Michigan currently sits distant third with 267.47 points.
Taking Elliot, Johnson and Weaver off expected commit list: 260.46 points.
Adding the following 10 per most probable according to this site:
Gives 283.68 points.
IMO, we do not get Fuller, but keep Elliot: 284.15 points.
Either of the above places Michigan 2nd to LSU's 286.57 (if all other teams stay the same which they wont). Both above point totals would have placed 5th last year in recruiting class rankings.
5th place +/- 2 spots seems about right for our final projected finish.