2015 MBB Rotation

Submitted by Tate on April 28th, 2014 at 7:00 PM
With the 2014-2015 roster virtually set, while waiting for the potential pickup of Huff, I started messing around with the minute rotation for the upcoming season.
Just wanted to see how everyone else has structured next years potential lineup. This is what I have:

PG
Derrick Walton 30
Spike Albrecht 10

SG
Caris LeVert 35
Zak Irvin 3
MAAR 2

3
Zak Irvin 27
Kam Chatman 10
Aubrey Dawkins 3

4
Kam Chatman 20
Mark Donnal 10
DJ Wilson 10

5
Mark Donnal 20
Ricky Doyle 15
Max B. 5

My minute structure may not be the best, but looking at it I am very excited for what this team can do.

I created this thread for others to put their breakdown.

And apologies for the umpteenth roster thread.

Thanks.

Comments

alum96

April 28th, 2014 at 10:24 PM ^

Not going line by line but there is no way a 1st year big man plays 30 minutes.  Mitch played 20 minutes freshman year, Morgan played 24 as a RS FR etc. A guy like Noah Vonleh who is going lottery played 26.  Donnal will go through normal learning curve and pick up fouls and any time he picks up an early 2nd he wil be sitting on the bench in the first half etc.   I know it is RS FR and not FR but still a first year player playing the 5, jostling inside with other bigs and not playing the perimeter on defense mostly like a Nik, GR3, etc would be.

If Donnal can average 24 we should be thrilled.  I think there will be a lot of zone as well to try to protect him and keep him on the floor but again very young team on defense and mistake prone.  When late on a rotation or late to your man you tend to foul.... and Big 10 refs don't respect young big men.  So some games he might get stretched out to 25-28 minutes and others, just with fouls he is going to be limited to 18-20. 

If you think there is only going to be a 9 man rotation either Wilson or Dawkins or MAAR gets a redshirt I guess.  There are 11 candidates for playing time and the one who in theory would benefit most from a RS (Doyle) is at the 1 position we have where he needs to be out there since there is no similar body type outside of Donnal.  So you RS one of the wings if there is no way Beilein plays 11.

Mmmm Hmmm

April 28th, 2014 at 7:08 PM ^

Would Beilein really burn both MAAR and Dawkins' redshirts for 5 minutes combined? That's an honest question--seems a little low to burn for to me. I would imagine one or the other is more likely to be redshirted if that's all they will play. It's a nine-man rotation without either of them, which is deeper than we ran most of this past year.

WMU81

April 28th, 2014 at 7:12 PM ^

Chatman at 4 spot as a true freshman is rough. That said, these freshman could surprise a lot of people. I'm really interested to see Wilson develop.

Padog

April 28th, 2014 at 7:15 PM ^

I think that MAAR will get 5-10, and Dawkins will redshirt. Or the other way around. I don't see Beilein burning both redshirt unless they are both good or Irvin plays the power forward.

Genzilla

April 28th, 2014 at 7:16 PM ^

The hoops roster for next year is set.  Either it's Cole, who sits out a year for the transfer, or the scholarship will be banked for next year.

Generic MGoBlogger

April 28th, 2014 at 7:26 PM ^

Spike will definitely get more minutes... He is too indispensable to only play ten minutes... I also think Walton has a breakout year, so I won't be surprised if Spike and DWalt play on the court together for minutes at a time.

True Blue Grit

April 28th, 2014 at 7:28 PM ^

I don't see LeVert playing 35 minutes per game for one thing.  That's almost Gary Grant PT.  And I really, really hope and expect that Max B.  will get a lot more than 5 minutes.  

ThadMattasagoblin

April 28th, 2014 at 7:35 PM ^

I don't think that he doesn't like 10 man rotations. He just never has enogh players to make having the 9th or 10th player worth playing. If Stauskas, GR3, and McGary come back then I bet he goes 10 deep. Last year 10 deep would have been Bielfeldt. We already went 9 deep with Spike, Caris, Mitch, Glenn, Derrick, Zak, Nik, Jordan, and Jon.

alum96

April 28th, 2014 at 10:38 PM ^

2010-2011 is the most similar to 2014-2015.  Young inexperienced big men, deep rotation, star guard, no seniors, etc.

# of games played:

  1. 35 - Morris
  2. 35 - THJ
  3. 35 - Morgan
  4. 35 - Novak
  5. 35 - Douglass
  6. 35 - Smotrycz
  7. 34 - Vogrich
  8. 29 - Horford
  9. 27 - Christian  4.7 mpg
  10. 25 - McLimans  5.4 mpg
  11. 16 - Akunne   2.5 mpg
  12. 11 - Bartelstein  1.7 mpg

Spirit of exercise is to show a 10-11 man rotation with some guys playing 5 minutes (or less) per game is not out of the question.  I'd argue that is a 10 man rotation through McLimans ....and Akunne and Bartelstein are sort of what maybe a MAAR or Dawkins would get.

Now will he do it this year?  Who knows.  But we have recent history showing when he has the players he will play a deep bench.

Lilweezy19

April 28th, 2014 at 8:04 PM ^

I see MAAR redshirting, obviously if he is more impressive than Dawkins then switch them around. I see more athletic ability out of Dawkins to keep up in the Big Ten. 

Bielfedt will obviously see around 15 minutes to start the year but I think people are highly underrating Chatman and Wilson. I think Beilein will want Chatman and Wilson to play significant minutes. 

Wilson could be cut to 10 minutes and Bielfedt will then play 10 minutes at the PF. 

Athletic 6'8" power forwards will be needed to grab rebounds when we have Donnal down low. 

Donnal could be cut down to 25 minutes to allow another 5 minutes to Bielfedt. Bielfedt just didnt impress me at all, unless he improves his three point shooting in games, Id rather role with the young guys. 

Rodriguesqe

April 28th, 2014 at 8:14 PM ^

2015 walton >> 2014 walton

2015 lavert > 2015 lavert

2015 irvin < 2014 stauskus

2015 chatman < 2014 robinson

2015 donnal < 2014 morgan

2015 bench: spike, wilson, doyle, beilfeldt, maar, dawkins (probably first 3 getting most minutes).

2014 bench: spike, irvin, horford

 

the 2015 team is now the most unpredictable team we've had in some time. i'd guess they'll start the year ranked  around #20, but i wouldnt be mad if they were unranked. 

cant wait to see who steps up. dont know if we'll play any defense but i know we'll be scoring plenty this season.

Darker Blue

April 28th, 2014 at 8:23 PM ^

I firmly expect Max Bielfeldt to be a starter next year. I know he's not a real big guy, but haven't you seen Beilein's ability to devolp talent. He's studied under Jordan Morgan. Max is gonna be a baller. BELIEVE 

Fab and Fresh

April 29th, 2014 at 1:58 AM ^

but there are players who have seen a reduction in playing time due to failure to develop or perform under Beilein's watch. It happens. And Max has shown little to no evidence in neither his play or mpg in his very limited backup role this past season to indicate that he will be a starter this upcoming season. Don't get me wrong. I love the guy. He's got the biggest calves in college basketball. He could even prove to be a serviceable reserve next (this) season. But a starter, he is not.

AlwaysBlue

April 28th, 2014 at 8:33 PM ^

on how quickly the freshmen can grasp Beilein's offense along with the speed and physical demands of the game. Given what has been reported about who Michigan was pursuing in the late signing period I have to believe Beilein feels comfortable with Donnal, Doyle and Max at the 5. Now it's going to be mix and match depending on who looks most prepared for the demands of the college game and Beilein's offense.

Here's hoping the rest of the recruits are doing what Doyle is in terms of preparing themselves.

Avon Barksdale

April 28th, 2014 at 8:54 PM ^

Why do so many people here believe that a 4 has to be built like Dirk Nowitzki? "Chatman is a freshman, he can't play the 4....." I'm guessing these are the same people that didn't watch U-M basketball until the final four run..... We had a 6'3, 200 pound white guy play the "4" a few years ago. I'm not that worried about a 6'7 210 pound freshman playing the four.