2 Scholarships left in 2014 class ?

Submitted by AVPBCI on December 17th, 2013 at 1:33 PM

If we get Vic Enwere and Malik Mcdowell than i assume the whole class is set.

 

If we get only one of the 2, or neither , what do we do with the other  1- 2 schollies available ?

 

Do we bank them for 2015, or do we offer 2 other possible commits in the 2014 class ?

Any secret or under the table or last second commitments or flips ( ie roy roundtree)

 

Any other offers out their on players who have not committed yet that could maybe end up at Michigan or possibly flip to Michigan besides Enwere ?

 

Your thoughts !

 

Thanks and Go Blue

Comments

turd ferguson

December 17th, 2013 at 1:42 PM ^

Personally, I wouldn't mind seeing another offensive lineman.  If my memory is right, I think we're only taking two O-linemen in the 2014 class (Mason Cole and JBB) and only currently planning to take two in the 2015 class (Runyan and another guy).  Probability says that not all of those guys will stick around for 4-5 years and not all of them will pan out as hoped.  We could find ourselves with a familiar problem if we end up with, say, 0-2 productive linemen from those two consecutive classes.

Magnus

December 17th, 2013 at 1:49 PM ^

Coaches generally want to have 13-15 linemen on the roster every year. Michigan has 15 scheduled to be on the roster in 2014, plus 1 already in the fold for 2015 (and nobody graduating after 2014). That puts us at least at 16, plus potentially another guy like Sterling Jenkins, which puts us at 17. Granted, there will probably be some attrition at some point in there, but we're getting to the point where taking linemen would be overkill.

I think we should go for a RB, maybe a QB, and a "best available player" if possible.

turd ferguson

December 17th, 2013 at 2:04 PM ^

I'm not crazy about that rule of thumb ("We want X players on the roster at this position every year, so let's recruit to that number").  It completely ignores the distribution of those players across classes.  For example, if I were losing no one at a position this year and a ton of guys at that position next year, I'd probably try to replace them with roughly equal numbers across the next two classes rather than skipping the position this year and then loading up next year.  

To me, recruiting is about building for a few years down the road, not just building depth for the upcoming year.  There's only so much you can expect from true freshmen anyway.

xxxxNateDaGreat

December 17th, 2013 at 4:16 PM ^

Well yeah, and Michigan has done that. Given how many lineman have been taken over the last two finished classes, I think Hoke & Co. can pass on an okay lineman this year in favor of one they may like more next year.

Sometimes, the chips fall into place and you can finish recruiting a position for two or three years worth, depending on your system and personnel needs.

Magnus

December 17th, 2013 at 5:05 PM ^

I don't know if we really lack players at the position. We lack a proven guy. The guys we have on the roster for defensive tackle (or maybe 5-tech) are Pipkins, Ash, Pallante, Mone, Henry, Godin, Glasgow, Hurst, Poggi, Strobel, and Wormley. Maybe I'm forgetting someone. That's eleven guys for those two spots, plus a couple guys who can play the 5. I don't think that's too bad. Pipkins, Ash, Mone, Henry, Hurst, and maybe Poggi can play the nose. It's just a matter of getting Pipkins healthy, but honestly, I think we would be okay with Henry as the starting nose tackle if we can find somebody to give him a breather.

WolvinLA2

December 17th, 2013 at 8:39 PM ^

Agreed, and you could throw Heitzman into that group as well.  I wouldn't be surprised to see him move to the 3-tech (at least occasionally) because he's both shorter and heavier than most of the 5-tech options (both good for an interior DL), he's less explosive than some of the 5-tech options (which is an attribute best for guys on the edge) and as the elder statesman on the DL, he's likely capable of learning multiple DL positions (and is likely pretty smart since he was originally a Vandy commit).  

Moving Heitzman to 3-tech initially will allow Henry to start at NT until Pipkins is full-go, and then you have experienced guys at all starting spots along the line.  Something like Wormley-Henry-Heitzman-Clark is what I'm thinking with maybe Godin-Mone-Poggi-MO as their backups.  That's not bad, and once Pipkins is fully back you move Henry to 3-tech and bump the weaker of the two 3/5-tech starters.  

JohnCorbin

December 18th, 2013 at 12:17 PM ^

(7) Pipkins, Ash, Pallante, Mone, Henry, Hurst, and Glasgow are the dedicated nose/3 techs.
(1) Poggi should be a 3 tech in a few years, but right now he's way too slight to make an impact there.  I  believe the coaches told him depending on his size they'd start him off at 5 and move him in.
(3) Heitzman, Godin, and Wormely are 5 techs with the possibility of moving to the 3 on passing downs.
(1) Strobel is an interesting case.  I remember he didn't want to go to a school like OSU because they were recruiting him at DT.  We recruited him at the 5 tech.  I know he's been practicing at the 3 tech, but it doesn't seem like he has the requisite size to play there.  I would love to sit in on a few practices to see what areas he needs improving, and why he isn't seeing the field.

That's 11 bodies, which is enough to have a healthy 3.7 deep at those 3 positions.  I'm most worried about Nose though.

I feel comfortable with Pipkins playing there, but who knows if he can come back from the injury that quickly.  I feel comfortable with Henry playing there, but who is going to spell him?  Ash/Hurst/Mone?  Ash hasn't made too big of an impact yet, Mone is an incoming freshman, and Hurst hasn't seen the field much as a freshman.  Makes me a bit nervous when looking at depth.

ken725

December 17th, 2013 at 1:43 PM ^

I don't think we bank the scholarship for the RB. We need a RB this year with both Norfleet and Hayes moving to the slot.

Maybe we offer someone like Jeff Jones who is considered a "soft commit" to Minnesota.

WolvinLA2

December 17th, 2013 at 8:30 PM ^

No, Norfleet is very fast.  He just doesn't get a shot to get up to full speed all that often.  He's dangerous in kick off returns because he can change direction so quickly, but after you change direction it takes a while to get up to full speed.  And we've only seen him on a few offensive plays, but when he gets the ball on a sweep, he's moving.  

WolvinLA2

December 18th, 2013 at 12:32 AM ^

I don't remember exactly how that return happened, but you can get rundown by a player slower than you if they had a good angle, or if they started running sooner.  It's also possible that the OSU player is also very fast.  They have some pretty good athletes on their team too.  And you're always slower carrying the ball than when you're just chasing someone down.  

Magnus

December 17th, 2013 at 1:43 PM ^

If we're going by open scholarships and seniors graduating, this class has spots for 16 players. We currently have 16 commitments. So "technically" there are zero spots remaining.

The question about secret, last-minute flips always bugs me because if we knew about them in mid-December, they wouldn't be secret, last-minute flips. We didn't know about Roy Roundtree, Willie Henry, Tamani Carter, Dennis Norfleet, etc. in December of their respective years, so I'm not sure why this question gets raised.

PB-J Time

December 17th, 2013 at 2:41 PM ^

It gets raised because U-M football didn't play last weekend nor will they play this weekend so all we got left is baseless guesswork on recruiting.

I suppose it is also a byproduct of this class being well on its way to being done before this football season even started...come what used to be a hot recruiting time is rather tame.

mclub

December 17th, 2013 at 6:04 PM ^

     The 2012 class had 25 players with 3 early enrollees (all eligible to be backdated, prior class had 20).  That left 3 spots open (25 max per year) to be backdated in 2013 by early enrollees.  Last years class was 27, so if you take out the 3, we have one spot left in the 2013 class to backdate.  This is all probably irrelevent because if you dont take more than 20 players, there is no advantage to backdating.  The max you can backdate is 5, and there would already be 5 open spots for the following class.

    As mentioned, the main issue is the 85 scholarship limit which we are right on the nose, pending unrenewed fifth years and attrition.  So yes, I believe we could backdate one but that would only be relevent if we took more than 20 players this year.

MI Expat NY

December 17th, 2013 at 6:15 PM ^

The small class would create room for 2015 if we had more than 25 scholarships available to get to 85.  Otherwise, it's sort of meaningless.  I guess you should always backdate the maximum number you can, just in case you find yourself in an unanticipated attrition related jam.  But well run programs generally shouldn't need more than 25 scholarships in a year to get to 85 on the roster.  

mackbru

December 17th, 2013 at 1:54 PM ^

Given our recent deficits, I'm guessing Hoke won't be banking any scholarships any time soon. Clearly, M can't recruit too many linemen.

And although M is currently at its limit -- 16? --  more slots will open up after the bowl game. It's inevitable that players will transfer, quit, or not return for the fifth years. No way M stands pat at 16. I bet it ends up at about 20.

 

ontarioblue

December 17th, 2013 at 1:52 PM ^

Would make a great nose tackle.  Plus I hear he has 2 years eligibility remaining.  I also know that TVH has been following Bobo's career on a weekly basis for the past few years.  Where is TVH when you need him?  Cue the TVH search light.

LSAClassOf2000

December 17th, 2013 at 1:53 PM ^

For reference because someone might ask, here the link to Rivals' list of current 2014 commits - (HERE)

Long story short, right now we're looking at 2 DBs, 1 DE, 2 DTs, 4 LBs, 2 OLs, 1 QB, 1 TE and 3 WRs in our class as it stands. If I did the database query right, there would be 28 as-yet uncommitted players with at least 3-stars and at least "medium" interest in Michigan.

ATH Adoree' Jackson 5 stars 6.1
list

 
RB Leonard Fournette 5 stars 6.1
list

 
DB John Smith 5 stars 6.1
list

 
RB Nathan Starks 4 stars 5.8
list

 
LB Kenny Young 4 stars 5.9
list

 
DE Malik McDowell 4 stars 6
list

 
LB Nyles Morgan 4 stars 5.9
list

 
DE Lorenzo Featherston 4 stars 5.8
list

 
DB Steven Parker 4 stars 6
list

 
LB Dwight Williams 4 stars 5.8
list

 
DT Marcus Griffin 4 stars 5.8
list

 
TE Bryce Dixon 4 stars 5.8
list

 
DB Erick Smith 4 stars 5.9
list

 
ATH Marshon Lattimore 4 stars 6
list

 
OL Braden Smith 4 stars 6
list

 
ATH Jay MacIntyre 3 stars 5.5
list

 
WR Tyre McCants 3 stars 5.6
list

 
ATH Michael Farmer 3 stars 5.5
list

 
DB Anthony Davis 3 stars 5.7
list

 
LB Jamal Davis 3 stars 5.6
list

 
DT Daniel Cage 3 stars 5.7
list

 
ATH Dionte Sykes 3 stars 5.5
list

 
OL Andrew Mike 3 stars 5.6
list

 
OL Richie Wenzel 3 stars 5.5
list

 
DT Jemal Averette 3 stars 5.5
list

 
DB Ladarius Wiley 3 stars 5.5
list

 
LB Ismael Murphy-Richardson 3 stars 5.7
list

 
LB Sean Bowens 3 stars 5.5