Amongst the handwringing and angst following the Wisconsin loss, there seems to be two distinct camps. First is the "Woe is me - fire everyone on offense" group The second is the "What did you expect - everyone thought this before the season" group.
I was kind of in the middle with one foot securely in the "We saw this coming" camp. This got me to thinking, what did we really believe before the season. I checked back on the three biggest prediction links I could find: The Athlon Prediction (LINK), the CFP Prediction (LINK), and the Front Page Preseason Predictions (LINK).
I was surprised, shocked even, to see the level of faith there was in this team. I did not see the warnings that people are now claiming to have had. I put together two charts, the first being individual predictions (I took the liberty of interpreting some comments based on the thread), and the second being people who saw Michigan in the College Football Playoffs. Even Brian saw the season as a 10-2 to 12-0 outcome.
It was kind of fun to read the predictions, although heartbreaking in a way. One theme was how bad Penn State sucked and that our 39 point victory in 2016 would be eclipsed despite playing them in Happy Valley, at night, during a white-out. People universally thought McSorley could not armpunt his way to any kind of winning season and that Barkley was a sham who could be stopped without a succesful passing attack. Another theme was how bad MSU would be this year with DrMantisToboggan predicting them to go winless but with a 6-6 ceiling as a possibility. Of course MeanJoe07 made fart noises, but what else would you expect?
Chart 1 - Your season prediction (some added a bowl result while others didn't)
|not TOM BRADY||11||1|
|UM Fan from Sydney||11||1|
|Blue Know It||10||2|
|Harbaugh's Left Elbow||10||2|
|Go for two||11||1|
|MGoBlog worst case||8||4|
|MGoBlog best case||12||0|
|Swayze Howell Sheen||12||0|
List 1 - List of posters predicting Michigan in the CFP
|Go for two|
|Swayze Howell Sheen|
My conclusions? We weren't as rationale as I remembered. I expected to see more 8-4 predictions and they really weren't there. On the bright side, there were a number of Mr. Yost postings where he shared information he was hearing from the Submarine and they turned out to be incredibly accurate. It may pay to listen to this man in the future about position groups and individual players (but not his CFP predictions).
Go Blue! Beat the Bucks!