Turnovers & Special Teams–Updated Thru Illinois

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imageSynopsis for Turnovers: Apparently, after figuring out every possible way to lose football games over the past 3 years, Meeechigan figured out how to win a game that there was absolutely no way we should have won with this many TOs. M turned in a –4TOM (!!) leaving us at –7 TOM for the year and ranked #Gawd Awful (uh, #108). And yet, we won. As Les Berman says, "That's Why They Play the Games!"

Illinois had 17 possessions in regulation! The defense forced 6 punts, 1 missed FG, and 3 made FG. Michigan only punted the ball twice, failed on one 4th down attempt, made 1 of 2 FG, but gave the ball away 5 times (ILL gave it back to us once). Other than that, both teams pretty much scored TDs at will

You know how the ladies love to say that men can never admit we are wrong? Well, I was absolutely, positively, 1 Bazillion % Fracking WRONG!! I said there was no way for us to win this game without +2 TOM. I was totally Wrong!

To finish out the year, M needs to get some takeaways. Turnovers lost is about average (nothing to get excited about but not horrible either). Michigan is just not forcing any TOs and the Ints are now few and far between. There is nothing more to say. Enjoy the stats.

BTW, blocked punts, blocked field goals, on-side kick recovered by the opposing team, roughing the kicker penalties, etc. are not considered to be "official" turnovers but have the same effect. I will continue to track these also.image

 Synopsis for Special Teams: We punted twice and made one FG in 2 attempts. Net punting was hurt by the rugby punt that bounced right to the Illini and was returned 21 yards.

National Rankings:

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Details for Turnovers: Here is the Summary by Game. According to the folks at Football Outsiders  a first down TO is worth 5 points, second down TO is worth 4.5 points, and a third down TO is worth 4.0 points (regardless of field position!).

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The extrapolation is a straight line [Totals] X [13 Total Games / Games Played]. AQ Best and AQ average is over the past 10 years. AQ Best is kind of funky because the team with the "best" in each category is different so the numbers don't add. But, it does provide a point of reference.

Here is the detail of each fumble/interception and a comment providing insight if the turnover (or lack thereof) was significant. Note, blocked punts are not considered a turnover and an interception of an extra point is not considered a turnover (player does not get credit for a interception).

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Here is the overall summary by player (data in yellow was affected by this week's game).

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Details for Special Teams: Here are the Punting and Kickoff statistics. (Touchbacks are included as –20 yards when determining net yards.)

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Remember here are the correlations of TOM to WLM at season's end.

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Comments

tlh908

November 8th, 2010 at 11:52 AM ^

Man if we could just stop turning the ball over then we wouldn't have to dig out of big holes.  Amazing that we have won this many games with our turnovers.  

g_reaper3

November 8th, 2010 at 12:33 PM ^

We are negative 11 against MSU, Iowa and Illinois.  They are the 3 best defenses we have played.  It is surprising we beat Illinois with that many turnovers.  I think it shows the defense did do better.

On the flip side, we did get helped at ND though, we were +3 there.

Turnovers against top defenses doesnt forecast well for Columbus.

jlcoleman71

November 8th, 2010 at 2:24 PM ^

may not look that good (yardage, etc), but they were put in some difficult spots and came through in the end.........glad to see the defense getting the winning stop to end the game.