Tracking 2010 Turnovers -- Updated Thru ND

Submitted by Enjoy Life on September 13th, 2010 at 12:41 PM

I’ve added a summary for each player.

Synopsis: An excellent game as far as turnovers! Only 1 fumble by DR and no lost fumbles. No passes intercepted and 3 interceptions made.

Just as in the UConn game, turnovers were a significant factor in the win. The +3 TOM was certainly counteracted by all those penalties (8 for -99 yards)making this game a lot closer than it should have been.

 

TO Lost

 

 

 

 

TO Gained

 

 

 

       

Opp

FMB

FL

Int

Tot

 

Fmb

FL

Int

Tot

 

TOM

Score

WLM

Uconn

3

0

0

0

 

1

1

0

1

 

1

30-10

1

ND

1

0

0

0

 

0

0

3

3

 

3

28-24

1

Total

4

0

0

0

 

1

1

3

4

 

4

 

2

                           

Extrap

24

0

0

0

 

6

6

18

24

 

24

   
                           

Per Game

2.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

 

0.50

0.50

1.50

2.00

 

2.00

   

AQ Avg

1.63

0.80

0.97

1.77

 

1.73

0.85

1.03

1.88

 

0.11

   

% of AVG

123%

0%

0%

0%

 

29%

59%

146%

107%

       

 The Extrapolation is a straight line: [Totals] X [12 Total Games / Games Played].

Here is the detail of each fumble/interception and a comment providing insight if the turnover (or lack thereof) was significant.

Qtr

Time

Down

Spot

Player

Lost

Int

Force

Recover

Int By

Score

Result of Drive

1

8:12

2-9

V25

ND

 

1

   

Mouton

7-0 ND

M TD (7-7)

1

3:06

2-1

M44

DR

0

       

7-7

M TD (M14-7)

2

6:36

1-10

V48

ND

 

1

   

Floyd

14-7 Mich

Punt

3

4:38

1-10

M23

ND

 

1

 

 

Kovacs

21-17 Mich

Punt

Here is the overall summary by player.

 

TO Lost

 

 

 

TO Gained

 

 

Player

FMB

FL

INT

 

 

Force

Rcvr

INT

Denard

2

0

 

 

Floyd

1

 

1

Grady

1

0

 

 

Ezeh

 

1

 

Gallon

1

0

 

 

Mouton

 

 

1

 

 

 

 

 

Kovacs

 

 

1

Total

4

0

0

 

Total

1

1

3

 Remember here are the correlations of TOM to WLM at season’s end:

TOM is a significant contributing factor in determining the WLM.

90% of teams with a positive TOM of 5.0 or greater had winning records
84% of teams with positive TOM had winning records
Only 41% of teams with negative TOM had winning records
Only 28% of teams with a negative TOM of -5 or worse had winning records

62% of teams with a positive TOM of 5.0 or greater had WLM of +4 or better (8-4 record or better)
38% of teams with a TOM of 0 to +4.0 had a WLM of 4 or better
Only 25% of teams with a TOM 0 to -4.0 had a WLM of +4 or better
Only 8% of teams with a negative TOM of -5 or worse had WLM of +4 or better

Details here:    http://mgoblog.com/diaries/turnover-analysis-part-3-what-impact-winning

Comments

TheOracle6

September 13th, 2010 at 6:13 PM ^

To think if we were as disciplined as we were against UConn we probably would have won by at least 10-14 points.  Really great to have not turned the ball over yet, hopefully that will be a continued trend as the season goes on.  Great work sir, thanks for the diary.

Enjoy Life

September 14th, 2010 at 3:14 PM ^

Yes, it is also true that blocked punts and even an on-side kick are NOT considered turnovers. I kinda get the blocked punt (the other team was going to get the ball with the punt) but the on-side kick baffles me -- is it because the offense never had possession?