I was poking around on Bart Torvik and found some truly remarkable stats that made me think that Michigan would be better off lowering Charles Matthews' usage and giving it primarily to Jordan Poole.
First off I should say Michigan's offense if fine, great in fact. Since Nov. 13 (this excludes Michigan's first two games) Michigan is 5 in offensive efficiency and *gasp* 5 in defensive efficiency (don't worry if you take out SC we're #1 in defense over that stretch, everything's fine). However looking at the individual player stats Michigan may be able to get even better by redistributing Matthew usage.
Whole Season Stats
Last 5 Games
OMG!!!! (Player Rankings From Nov. 23- Dec. 10. High Major Only)
Sorry for such a big chart but I saw Teske down there and didn't want him to feel left out.
So first... OMG!!! Since Nov. 23 Poole and Iggy have been the best high major players in the country, and its not even close. Also while this data is only a segment of the season the Big 10 definitely has some some players this year. Wow.
While Poole and Iggy have been our best offensive players all year they've stepped it up even more in the last five games. Matthews on the other hand has had a rough stretch shooting only 33% on 2 pointers and posting an O rating less than 100. Even over the course of the whole year his O rating has only been 103, which isn't great. As seen last year Matthews is not as efficient once his usage reaches a certain level. His overall efficiency should improve if his usage falls back to around 20. Luckily Michigan can certainly do this because of...
JORDAN POOLE! The guy has been the best offensive player in the country by a wide margin in the last 5 games and is only getting about 21% usage. Granted shooting 60% from 3 isn't sustainable but Poole is easily a 40% 3 point shooter, with the potential to hover around 45%. The guy can shoot. But there are two other reasons why I think a bump in usage for Poole could help this offense go nuclear.
1. 2 point %: One thing I'd noticed in watching Poole this year is he is very good inside the arc, despite looking for most of his shots outside of it (which when you're shooting 60% go for it!). The stats bear this out with Poole shooting 56% from 2 over the season and 61% over the last 5 games. Its probably not beneficial for Poole to bump up his usage with more 3's but there is a lot of room for more usage inside the arc which brings me to...
2. Playmaking: Poole has impressed me as a passer this year, his assist numbers aren't amazing but he does spend a lot of time looking for 3's which probably brings down those assist numbers. Last year one of the guys (Ace?) was talking about how dangerous a Poole-Teske pick and roll could be. Given Teske's offensive emergence and Poole's triple threat combo (3 pt, 2pt, playmaking) this pick and roll could be a great way to give Poole more usage and make him a major part of the offense.
I don't propose a major increase, probably only to 25 and then see how it goes. Given the variety of weapons on this team nobody needs to be above 25. But I think this is the right move considering the bump we would see in Matthews efficiency. The only drawback I can see to this is Zavier Simpson. Simpson's off ball offense is a major weakness and could be potentially exposed if Michigan plays long stretches with the ball primarily in Poole's hands in the pick and roll. However since we're taking some possessions away form Matthews it may be a wash. I'd be interested to hear what people with more knowledge of the X's and O's think of this. Also feel free to poke around and draw your own conclusions from these stats. There's a lot to work with here.