A Short Minnesota MBB Preview

Submitted by robbyt003 on January 17th, 2013 at 10:03 AM

[Ed-S: Bumped]

Record: (15-2, 3-1 Big Ten)

 

Wins vs top 100 opponents

Wins (RPI 1-50)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
18 Dec. 31 Michigan State 76-63
14 Jan. 9 Illinois 84-67
 
Wins (RPI 51-100)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
96 Nov. 18 Richmond 72-57
61 Nov. 23 Memphis* 84-75
78 Nov. 24 Stanford* 66-63
65 Nov. 27 Florida State 77-68
90 Dec. 4 South Dakota State 88-64
63 Dec. 11 North Dakota State 70-57

 

Losses

Losses (RPI 1-50)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
1 Nov. 22 Duke* 71-89
13 Jan. 12 Indiana 81-88

 

Starting Five

SR(6th year). Trevor Mbakwe. F. 6'8" 245lbs

9.5 ppg. 8.1 rpg. 1.5 blk.

SR. Rodney Williams. F. 6'7" 205lbs

12.5 ppg. 5.9 rpg. 1.5 blk.

JR. Austin Hollins. G. 6'4" 185lbs

10.9 ppg. 4.5 3pa. 3.5 rpg.

SO. Joe Coleman. G. 6'4" 200lbs

10.9 ppg. 4.1 rpg. 1.5 stl

SO. Andre Hollins. G. 6'1" 200lbs

14.4 ppg. 4.6 3pa. 43% 3pt. 

 

What I make out of all of this

This is the best team we have seen so far this year and they are extremely athletic.  If we want to steal a win at their place, we need to beat them on the glass.  They lead the Big Ten in offensive rebounds, so we need to box out.  They are an above average 3pt shooting team and fourth in the Big Ten in FG%.

I hope we got our road game jitters out of the way on Sunday, because "The Barn" is not going to be a very friendly atmosphere for us.  

Prediction Michigan 63, Minnesota 61. In a game that goes down to a missed Minnesota three in the final seconds.  

 

 

Comments

MN Go Blue

January 17th, 2013 at 10:36 AM ^

He still seems a bit slowed by injuries this year.  He is not the player he was before he got hurt.  That being said Minnesota has a lot of players that can hurt you.  If they are to get a win tonight they can't get off to a slow start like they have in so many games this year.

WhoopinStick

January 17th, 2013 at 10:37 AM ^

I see this game as more important that the OSU game.  We get the chance to give a loss to Ohio when they come to Crisler.  This is the only time we play Minny, so this is the only chance we have to give them a loss. 

marco dane

January 17th, 2013 at 10:58 AM ^

for Michigan. Minny isn't no joke. Coach Smith will have these boys pump and with a plan. I'm looking for a close affair with Michigan pulling away with the d leading to a victory. 

Hopefully,the pick and roll is working,along with a fast start!!

Also,hand checking is called moreso than the last game. Please tell me Hightower isn't working this game...??

LSAClassOf2000

January 17th, 2013 at 12:29 PM ^

It was discussed some yesterday, but we're fairly closely matched in some important respects in this game and one of the keys might be in playing that disciplined, efficient game that Michigan can play. Even looking at defensive points per possession, for example, we average 0.94 and Minnesota averages 1.01, so exploiting little things like taking advantage of the fact that Minnesota fouls more than we do will perhaps play a role in this game.

Needs

January 17th, 2013 at 1:53 PM ^

I don't think McGary can handle him in the post. He's not strong enough yet. I think Morgan's the key, he's a really good post defender, even if he doesn't contest.

We're going to need big time production from Hardaway and Robinson, as well as Morgan and McGary on the glass (the good news being that we're 2nd in the nation in defensive rebounding and that McGary does do a very good job of finding bodies to block out when the shot goes up.)

Soulfire21

January 17th, 2013 at 12:37 PM ^

I think Minnesota is a lot better than Ohio State, and given that we shit the bed only to scoop most of the shit off but still lost at OSU, I've got to think that Minnesota takes this one.

We really haven't looked good at all in our last two outings, shooting under 40% both times against Nebraska and OSU.  Stauskas' regression to the mean makes me sad, he's missed 15 of his last 22 3-point attempts.  Perhaps my pessimism stems from our absolutely disastrous first half at OSU, but this game is going to be a lot harder, and well, we lost the easier one, so..

That said, I'm open to being completely wrong.

Needs

January 17th, 2013 at 1:49 PM ^

Rebound. the. basketball. 

That's the key. If Minny's offensive rebound % is below 30, I feel really good about this game. Above that, I get nervous. If they hit their average, an absolutely crazy 48%, we'd have to shoot +65 eFG% to win or get a boatload of turnovers (and we don't really turn teams over much).

Big game for McG, Morgan, Timmy, and GRIII on the glass. The good thing is that Minny commits so much effort to the offensive glass that, if we can get the defensive boards, there should be opportunities to run.