A Harsh Message

Submitted by jamiemac on

Yesterday's second half was the worst blow to a Revolution since:

A. The Winter of Valley Forge

B. The Seige of Vicksburgh

C. The Alamo

Well, it cant be the Alamo because thats what last week's game was. So that makes it either Valley Forge or Vicksburgh. And, really, right now, on the first day of November in Year 2 of the Rodriguez Revolution, it's hard to determine which is the more apt historical marker in light of yesterday's outcome and ensuing aftermath. It could be either one right now. A clear cut TBD.

If it's Valley Forge, its a cold harsh reminder of how long the struggle will be, yet a fact of life towards the eventual birth of a super power. If its Vicksburgh, its the beginning of an end, one that could be as drawn out with an ensuing upheaval and Reconstruction period that ultimately would set the program back farther back than any of us can possibly imagine.

Clearly, I hope its the former. Sadly, I can no longer expect that. I remain convinced Rodriguez can get it done in a big way here at Michigan. I am now, however, dubious that he can survive the noise that will envelop the program in the wake of the Illinois loss. The critics had been put away, but they seize on losses like this with the reactionary temper of a hyperbolic spastic hopped up on an eight ball. Those critics must be RIGHT becasue their OUTRAGE is LOUD and ANGRY and this is UNACCEPTABLE  and they WONT TAKE THIS ANYMORE because this is not MICHIGAN FOOTBALL.

Well, I have two words for those hyperbolic reactionaries today.

Shut Up.

Oh, and another sentence.

Go cheer for another team for awhile.

You should have left years ago. Let me clue you in on a dirty little secret: Your precious Michigan program has been fooling people for an entire decade. Any reference to It as contemporary elite program is rubbish. I hate to throw out the real  F word, but they have been frauds for a long time now.

Do you want to know why your bowl streak didnt die sooner? The difference between some of the teams earlier this decade and 2008 is some got to sit next hot rollers while one sat next to an all-star cooler.

The 2004 team was the luckiest team in program history. 2005 might have been the second luckiest, despite its Infinite Pain lore. The 2005 team 's 7-5 record was much closer to the program's true identity, record wise, than the seasons immediately before and after it. The famed 2006 team almost lost to Ball State. In the tenth game of the season. A MAC team. With a losing record. Hokalicious!

Come on, we're talking about the same program that lost to Appalachian State in 2007. Even with an all-time group of upperclassmen, the program lost that game, were woodshedded by an Oregon team, and scored just three points against OSU. Not once that whole regular season did they play like a club worthy of even begin ranked. Those uppclassmen had been holding the program together by the skin of their teeth  for years.

In the wake of their mass departure after the bowl win over Florida, the program was left with a stark reality nobody bothered to notice: The program had no depth. Ann Arbor claimed to be a place for the leaders and the best. But, instead, it had become a place where recruits went to get get slower and weaker. Folks, that was Michigan's reputation. And it was earned. Michigan was a fraud. That was the perspective from the outside looking in. But, it's easy to be blinded by reality when genuflecting at the church of Hart, Henne and Long.

A team with some all-program caliber players sprinkled throughout the roster almost lost to a woeful MAC team and did lose to a FCS school in embarassing fashion during their final two seasons in Ann Arbor. So, we're melting down in shock, horror and ALL CAPS because the team meshed virtually entirely of freshmen, sophomores and mid-level  upperclassmen recruits left in their wake actually did lose to a bad MAC team and a terrible Big 10 team during their first two years? Really, you're surprised by this development?  Folks, this is not 'what out of left field' looks like.

This stretch of poor seasons was a long time coming. It took an incredible amount of luck that it didnt happen sooner. And if you cant like Michigan in the bad times, then why do you like Michigan even at all? If you're not up for the long climb to the top, then I dont know what to tell you. If you're not aware of the mediocrity every other past elite program had to wallow through while it reinvented itself before it could become elite again, then crack open some college history books.

This 2009 team is basically where we all thought it would be back in the summer. We all, myself as much as anyone, let our minds get filled with big things this season after that September start. Maybe something like a nine win season could be in the offing. I am discouraged by the outcome yesterday, but certainly not disillusioned with where we are as a program today. Eight days ago, I was stoned enough on Maize and Blue bud and the Power of the Forcier to think the we were about to turn a corner. Today, I have been reminded just how long and hard it will be to take a fraudelent program and turn it into a super power in the current world of college football. And, make no mistake, that is indeed the charge of Rodriguez and he--or anyone else for that matter--aint doing it overnight.

When faced with the reality of yesterday you have to go back and remind yourself where you thought the team was in the summer. I hoped they could find seven wins on the schedule. I also said during one of our WLA Lives in August that I didnt like our chances to win any of the four road games this season. Part of my initial excitement about the Notre Dame win is that it opened the door for a bowl season that didnt include a win in any of these road games.  I thought having QBs with the right skill set would enable a big improvement. But, I figured getting all your snaps from true freshmen QBs with this team would probably be enough to really limit the improvements as measured in the black and white world of wins and losses. The defense scared the crap out of me, especially if we had to do any lineup shuffling past our original first string.  Can we kick a field goal? Or field a kick?

If you had told me back in the summer that Brandon Minor would be on pace for less carries, yards and scores than last year; and that our freshmen QBs would account for twice as many turnovers as TDs  in Big 10 play; and that the defense, more youthful that last season, would be every bit as big play vulnerable and seive like as last years; and that walk ons would emerge as starters with lineup shuffles in the secondary virtually every week; and that after close to half a season of a return game that was impeccable, it would return to last year's lost fumble per game form......well, if you told me all that, I think I would have promptly scheduled and left for a three month Sabbatical to Australia or something.

But, if you had told me all that, and promised a winning record after nine games, I would have made that deal.  And, here we are, with a winning record in November. Take it, or leave it.

Now, I had some issues with how Rodriguez handled the game yesterday. He coached poorly. The team has had no offensive identity the last couple of weeks, and its the burden of the coaches to cultivate that.  I am surprised we're this confused about how are rushing carries are being distributed. And, I blame him for not being able to rally the kids yesterday in the second half. That goal line stand should not have been the knockout punch it so obviously was. They were unable to coach the kids up and Rodriguez personally seemed as stunned as the players after the touchdown was overturned.

Hearing him in the postgame presser talk about how he felt it was a TD reminded me of Mike Davis bucking for a 17-win Indiana team to make the tournament after a 25-point opening round loss to Minnesota in the Big 10 Tournament by pleading 'we were the fourth place team.' Yeah, they dont even have a color for fourth place ribbons, Chief. And, in case you needed to be told, when I get flashes of Mike Davis based on something you did, it is most definetly not good. No question.

So, Rodriguez has a big chore ahead of him and a lot that he has to achieve between now and the end of the season. He needs to get these kids back playing with confidence and an identity on offense. He cant let November spin out of control the way the second half spiraled last weekend.  He has to recharge Forcier and get him back to early season form. He needs to establish some momentum of what a good-looking Rodriguez team will look like in the future. We'll see.

But, I'm not going to let one step back with what is still the youngest team in the Big 10, freak me out to the point, where I will back off on the sentiment that Rodriguez can get it done here. I remain certain of it. Maybe we ought to let him have a season with a legit returning QB before we even begin to dole out grades on his tenure? kthxbai.

I want to end with just a glimpse of what a more TL;DR answer would be to the question I see spread by some persistently loud posters around here dismayed at Rodriguez and wondering where the accomplishments are. Sink on these numbers, with all rankings per Rivals.

In 2005-07, Michigan brought in 23 five/four star players. Only 13 remain with the program. Eleven of those recruits came from the 2005 class, so that's just 12 five/four star recruits in our jr/sr classes right now.

In 2008-2009, the two seasons where Rodriguez had to get them to sign on the dotted line, Michigan brought in 31 five/four star recruits, with 26 still on the roster that are either sophomore, redshirt freshmen, freshmen or redshirting.

Rodriguez is stockpiling talent. Replinishing the lifeblood of a program that had received guru approvals in the past thanks in large part to brand name alone. It might not be a very savvy or seasoned team right now. I would even grant that it's not a very well coached team right now, either. But, the program has at least twice as much talent in the underclassmen ranks as it does in the upperclassmen ranks. These kids intend on being here for awhile. I hope the coach that brought him here gets the same chance.

Let It Grow. It will pay off. We'll come get you when we're in full bloom. I promise.

Comments

PurpleStuff

November 1st, 2009 at 10:17 PM ^

I took the "fraud" comment to mean that the strength of the program as a whole was in decline under Carr (or at least not very good) but that the team continued to have success thanks in large part to a handful of super-elite college players. Very few teams, even great college teams, have four year starters at QB and RB (one of whom is already starting in the NFL while the other was the leading rusher in school history), the first pick in the NFL Draft at OT, and a wideout who is on pace for a thousand yard season in the NFL. If even one of those guys hadn't panned out as an extreme success, the team would have been a lot worse because the depth of the team was not strong (as evidenced by the team's struggles when any one of those guys went down with an injury). When those players graduated, the huge holes in the program became apparent pretty quickly (this was of course speeded up by transfers/defections, but the lack of talent even before this was glaring).

Ernis

November 1st, 2009 at 11:21 PM ^

Look at it this way: a team that was thought to be good enough to play for the national title was barely good enough to beat a lousy Ball State. Football is a game of fine lines. You can bet IU is a lot better than that Ball State team and we were on pace to beat them until the complete, horrific collapse. Think of how many of our close wins could have been losses, and vice versa. The same could be said of so many top-tier teams. Florida only got into the national title game in 06 due to a muffed punt by Arkansas... the race to the top is a nuanced dance, and upward mobility becomes increasingly sensitive the closer one gets to the top. The point is, I didn't read this post as an indictment of Carr; though I can see how one might interpret it that way. As I see it, the OP was highlighting the fact that there is a thin line between elite and B-grade. For years, despite our many successes, we've been dancing precariously close to that line. Now, we've dipped below it for reasons that are not entirely RR's fault (though there is no doubt that he bears a hefty portion of the responsibility); it will take time before we can get back to the good side of it.

DCBlue

November 1st, 2009 at 11:46 PM ^

Just think of it like politics. There are extremes on both sides of the aisle. Or, as my father likes to say, he's not a Pelosi OR a Cheney fan. It's all about the middle. I'm frustrated as hell about the Illinois game, don't think that 1998-2007 was a "fraud," and don't think Rodriguez should be fired. What does that make me? Someone not in the WLA and not wielding a pitchfork. After reading all the ALL CAPS hating here the last few days, I'm reminded of a John Updike quote: "To be President of the United States (or head coach at Michigan), sir, is to act as advocate for a blind, venomous, and ungrateful client (the Michigan fanbase)."

M-Wolverine

November 2nd, 2009 at 7:25 PM ^

And what they don't get is it sets up IMPOSSIBLE expectations for Rich. If he's only as good as Lloyd was, he's not good enough!!!!!!! Man, I hope he's close to as good as Lloyd. We'll be happy for a long time if he is.

claire

November 1st, 2009 at 10:33 PM ^

I agree with the majority of what you've said. And with that being said I'm more interested in the future than the past. I want to know what it will take for M to compete with the SEC/Big 12/Pac 10, and even the Mountain West/WAC. Listen, right now we're a mediocre team in an even more mediocre league. Does anyone really believe that Iowa could compete with the likes of Cinncinati or Boise or Fresno St or BYU? I like RR's system he just needs more time. I think the Oregon offensive coordinator (Helfrich) had some relationship with RR and they looked very good last night against a good SC defense. The game continues to evolve and we did not evolve with the game over the last 10 years. Consequently, we're behind. Blame whoever you want-I have my own feelings about that. But that and a dime will get me jack squat. And I would agree that if, last summer, you told me would be 5-4 I'd ahve been fine with that.

Brodie

November 1st, 2009 at 10:40 PM ^

We were ranked number 5 in the country. We lost to a team in I-AA. Seriously. Get the Michigan dick out of your mouth for a minute and imagine Ohio State lost to Richmond last week. Richmond who is undefeated, Richmond who won the FCS last year, Richmond who is 32-6 in the past three seasons. Now tell me... would any of that matter to you? Hell fucking no. We lost to a 1-AA team.

M-Wolverine

November 2nd, 2009 at 7:34 PM ^

So should we have been more motivated for last Saturday's game? You're making his point for him. Not that Rich should be blamed for everything, but that the same problems that are STILL getting bitched about from yesteryear are no problem if they happen now. Consistently is all he's asking for.

mrjblock24

November 1st, 2009 at 11:01 PM ^

I think when it comes to mistakes in a single game, you can put that on the players. If it's a recurring theme on your team, that falls squarely on the coaches. IMHO you have to fault the player and the coach, with the coach taking responsibility. In the end it'll be the coaches head if the players don't execute, and like it or not that's just how it is.

los barcos

November 1st, 2009 at 10:48 PM ^

what i dont understand jaimemac, if you and everyone else hate these "bandwagon" fans, why do you spend a substantial portion of your time writing a well thought out essay trying to convince them to stick around?

formerlyanonymous

November 1st, 2009 at 11:22 PM ^

I don't prefer either really. I find posts in the positive are generally reactionary to the reactionary posts in the negative. If it weren't for the negative reactionaries, I wouldn't have to put up with the reactionary positives. That and most people love to think of everything positively. It makes them feel better, whether it's realistic or not. So that's probably why most treat them differently. Alternatively, some of the negative people acting overly anger, and having some of that anger spill over on individual posters. They are angry and lashing out. Sometimes it comes off as aggressive against people who disagree with them or think they are overreacting. Your basic internet argument sociology of sorts. As far as I'm concerned, if people are willing to put forth their arguments rationally and at least entertain opposing view points, I don't care what their motive is. Start making personal attacks or refuting everything in a derogatory tone, then you deserve to be criticized severely.

M-Wolverine

November 2nd, 2009 at 7:36 PM ^

But it doesn't explain why positive people are the ones negging for opposing opinion. Seems like they shouldn't care as much, and be, I don't know, positive. And the negative should be acting crazy negging everyone. But I don't see that.

jamiemac

November 1st, 2009 at 11:21 PM ^

I'm not trying to convince them to stick around. I'm telling them to be quiet and to take a vacation if they dont have the stomach to like this team. Learn about other programs. There is a rich tapestry of college football out there. It's cool. Come home whenever. The program will be back. And so will they.

clarkiefromcanada

November 1st, 2009 at 11:04 PM ^

JamieMac, I think I might be as old school as you in terms of the blogosphere...hell, I lurked the new system for the better part of a year before even registering...and why? because of everything you identify, patiently, in this discussion regarding hyperbolic reactionaries. Your quote: they seize on losses like this with the reactionary temper of a hyperbolic spastic hopped up on an eight ball. Those critics must be RIGHT becasue their OUTRAGE is LOUD and ANGRY and this is UNACCEPTABLE and they WONT TAKE THIS ANYMORE because this is not MICHIGAN FOOTBALL. Listen guy, that's the best quote I have read on here...perhaps ever. I especially enjoyed the ALL FUCKING CAPS part...amen brother. Best wishes to you.

DCBlue

November 1st, 2009 at 11:38 PM ^

that jamiemac used three battles from U.S. history? I mean, I get the revolution theme, but for a WLA member wouldn't Operation Barbarossa and the specific early German successes against the Soviet Union been more appropriate? Also -- does this all mean that the Ohio State game is our Stalingrad? Not one inch over the Volga?

arod

November 2nd, 2009 at 12:09 AM ^

a reoccurring theme in posts around here. I also think that anyone who thinks we should fire RR is stupid, but I have only seen very few people actually defend that position. Maybe this is simply a result of the posting restrictions, but it seems to me that people are freaking out over some imaginary zombie Michigan fanbase. We've got 100 posts on here telling these zombies need to fuck off and like 3 zombies. I suspect people who are all pissed about the team eating a dick yesterday are redirecting their anger at idiot fans, imagined or otherwise. I also suspect that most people who are upset with RR have criticism along the same lines as yours, but are no longer "certain" that RR will succeed. In fact they probably think that the balance of evidence best supports a conclusion that RR succeeding here is doubtful. I think that is an overstatement, but I don't think it's an unreasonable position and I don't understand the need to demonize those who reached that conclusion.

Wolverine318

November 2nd, 2009 at 8:32 AM ^

If you want to see irrational fans go read The Wolverine site (particularly the Fort) and of course the Michigan football forum on mlive. I have also started to see a rise since Saturday with Michigan fans using the MSU style meme "Dick Rod" on the premium message boards on rivals. Don't act like somehow the Michigan fanbase is somehow above the irrational fan behavior we have witnessed at Notre Dame, MSU, and Nebraska during their recent coaching changes. Put through enough turmoil and stress a Michigan fan is still as irrational and bat shit crazy as an MSU fan. Saying that Rich is not above honest criticism about his coaching, team preparation and recruiting. These fans also need to look at recent case studies at Notre Dame and Nebraska at what happens when you fire coaches too quickly.

jamiemac

November 2nd, 2009 at 11:22 AM ^

This was not meant as a message to just mgobloggers, but the entire Michigan fan base. I questioned Rodriguez a lot in the Diary, so I am not villifying critics. What's really the difference between the 7-5 2005 outfit and a 6-6 2009 year? Not much. Thats my whole point. In fact, the safety play, failure to stop the big play and the inability to overcome a single injury on the offensive line seem about the same. The difference is that team had all-timers at key spots. We dont this year. Why people are surprised this program is struggling is beyond me. Sometimes I wish we had gone 0-3 in OT games that season, not the other way around, then people would not crap as much on our current players for killing the "tradition" of the program.

M-Wolverine

November 2nd, 2009 at 7:40 PM ^

I mean, wishing we had won less, so we wouldn't care about not winning now? Uh, yeah, that sounds like the makings of a great program.

M-Wolverine

November 2nd, 2009 at 7:44 PM ^

You hit it. There's hardly any credible FIRE RICH ROD NOW stuff going on. Sure, there's some "out there" with every loss by every coach. But suddenly, there's a little doubt in their minds, and it hurts them to even complain about anything. Don't know how "boy, did a shitty job if you lost to that lame Illni team" means "fire him today". Or how those that don't want us to lose to crappy crappy teams don't want the best for the program. And I think that's the majority of it is that. Not fire a coach and ruin our program and not even give a coach 3 or 4 years (at Michigan? Like that won't happen). But a lot of whistling by the graveyard going on.

Wolverine318

November 2nd, 2009 at 9:30 AM ^

That is utterly pathetic. Tate was in front of me in line at Target on Ann Arbor-Saline Rd. yesterday. My wife and contemplated telling Tate we will always have him, Rich's and the team's back yesterday, but we just let Tate be. It just felt awkward. Tate is under some serious stress and he doesn't deserve the irrational ad hominem bashing he is receiving on his facebook wall. To those fans who feel it is within their duty as a "Michigan Fan" to bash a 18 year old freshman QB, fuck off. JamieMac, thank you. I had to turn off WTKA this morning due to the high concentration of tin foil hat wearers calling into the morning show. It is amazing these fans have zero perspective and long term vision.

EZMIKEP

November 2nd, 2009 at 2:13 AM ^

Thanks for saying everything that I feel and then some. This is a needed post. In a time of importance its probably one of the best posts I have ever read in the 3 almost 4 years since I started reading this blog. Thanks again bro.

wvBYUblue

November 2nd, 2009 at 8:19 AM ^

I'll just add to the chorus of agreeance (made up word) with this diary. The Michigan base has been feeling this for ten years, that is why the call for Carr's head would begin right around that inevitable first loss of the season. Even the loss to OSU and subsequent shellacking by USC in '06. Fraud in this post, in my opinion, refers to the mirage that Michigan was among the top elite programs. I think that this has mostly been due to tradition and an ability to get 9 wins a season and an occasional big win against a top opponent. That keeps the winning percentage up and to some extent perceptions. But then you get the USC assessment, they knew exactly what was coming. That is what is meant by fraud. It's time to put Michigan back among the elite of the elite, where they are making and winning BCS bowls year in and year out. Here's to 2010.