I know this isnt rocket science, but i do think that a lot of our deep throw misses can be attributed to ball control and turnover margin issues. Becasue of early turnovers Michigan has been working in a hole, and loosing the turnover margin means losses to a ball control team. I think the shots downfield that are missed are as bad as turnovers, but since they arent counted as such they still show up on stat sheets as a zero gain play. Confidence is still an issue because of those early turnovers.
Its better to throw a ball with zero percent chance of completeion with a zero percent change of interception then it is to throw a ball that is 50/50, When you are lacking the confidence and are still in the half full mentallity.
my hope is that a few more games with zero bad interceptions will lead to a qb that puts balls closer to that 50/50 and less to the 0/0... there is still something to be said about atempting the long ball enough to where the defense at least has to take the top off the coverage, and harbaugh knows this which is why they are still taking those shots, But i still think at this point not throwing an interception is more important to the staff and maybe to the QB then completing the pass..