Unverified Voracity Breathes Relief Comment Count

Brian

Minor crisis averted. Butler went with the other guy, not Lavall Jordan. Why is unclear—comfort level I guess since Jordan hasn't been at Butler in a while. And I don't care. Guy who molded Darius Morris and Trey Burke and is going to be a head coach someday soon is still at Michigan. Keep these guys together a couple more years and this thing is established big-time. After that happens I'd actually be in favor of some current assistants heading out to establish themselves an obvious pick when Beilein retires.

Meanwhile, the critical 2014 recruiting class (in which Michigan is actually slugging out high-profile recruitments instead of acquiring stars like Burke, GRIII, and Zak Irvin who were either under the radar or snatched so quickly no one else could get involved) may get a bump from the turnover in Indy.

Butler was widely assumed to be the leader for Indianapolis SF Trevon Bluiett, a top-50-ish player who's been tearing up the AAU circuit this summer. Scout's Brian Snow recently told GBW that he'd be "beyond shocked" if Bluiett didn't end up at Michigan or Butler, and there were a couple of different reports that the Bulldogs had been dropped. Immediately refuted reports

Scout.com, Rivals.com and the Indianapolis Star all reported that Bluiett had not dropped Butler from his list, contrary to reports.

Scout's Sam Webb, citing Bluiett's father -- Reynardo -- said his son had yet to speak with Miller, claiming Butler was still a player for his son.

…but I'd rather be the team that reports are not being refuted about.

I want one. The Michigan version is… uh… Bo punching out a tree? Fielding Yost riding roughshod over the Vatican? Whatever it is, Brady Hoke should get on the phone with Kliff Kingsbury and get an equivalent in Schembechler Hall:

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BUT DOES IT COME IN VELVET

Now I'm envisioning a whole lineup of offensive murals, Pawnee City Hall style. The possibilities. The possibilities.

(Yes, that's Texas trying to Man Up Crab in the background.)

CAP HIM NOW. Messi's doing some sort of thing where he goes around playing charity matches. The most recent was in Chicago, had a Northwestern alum—their all-time leading scorer—on the other team, and, well:

That guy works in finance now. IE: he is not a professional. He's probably just happy he's not playing with a howling wind coming directly off Lake Michigan.

For health and other such items. Taboos now != taboos then.

HashCutDuo[1]

NUKE URBAN MEYER. I'm a little unclear what's going on with this Aaron Hernandez thing but from what I can make out, Hernandez arrived at Florida straight from an ESPN laboratory in their hometown of Bristol, massive and unformed. After three years at Florida he was a combination of Dexter and Jeffery Dahmer, because Urban Meyer. Therefore Urban Meyer is basically Skynet creating the Terminator and should be bombed from space?

I think I have this straight. It fuzzy, though, because my brain keeps trying to drown itself when it tackles sentences like these:

At Florida, Meyer was the best in the business at winning.

At all costs.

Sadly, though, Aaron Hernandez now stands alongside Tim Tebow as a symbol of his UF program.

At Florida, Tebow was not only a great Gator.

He was Urban Meyer's greatest fumi-Gator.

Can the FCC force Mike Bianchi to change his twitter handle from @BianchiWrites to something that is not a flat-out lie? No? What about the elusive and abstract concept of justice?

If you want a fisk of this abomination, it has been fisked.

On the two for one. Kenpom looks at an array of statistics and concludes that yes, a two-for-one is generally the right move, but I should probably stop shouting "two for one!" at the end of the first half:

The two-for-one is a complicated issue, and it generally doesn’t provide as much benefit as one might think. Like the fouling-up-3 conundrum, if the strategy is executed perfectly, a large benefit is likely. But players aren’t robots, and all of the imperfect acts that can disrupt the strategy eat away at the potential benefit. Assuming the average gain is a fifth of a point, that’s worth slightly less than one percent in terms of win probability at the end of a half. A coach implementing this strategy will win one extra game out of 100 - and that’s out of 100 games where a two-for-one opportunity exists!

I will try to remember to never bring this up again as something that is important. Contrast that effect with the assertion Romer made about going for it on fourth down: you'd win an extra game every other year. Much larger effect there.

Never played the game. As you might imagine, I'm rather sensitive to assertions that you have to have Been In The Arena to comment on sports. This doesn't happen much these days, but a few months I checked my twitter mentions to find a dozen-tweet-long conversation between two BITA meatheads taunting me for not being an athlete and laughing at my assertion that Jordan Kovacs was a better safety than Ernest Shazor. I'm not sure what part of Being In The Arena makes you incapable of watching things and coming to obvious conclusions…

REMEMBER WHEN THIS ISH HAPPENED ALL THE TIME

…but this isn't rocket science, it's just paying attention systematically. Being In The Arena doesn't mean you do that. I mean. Matt Millen.

So yes I found Bill Barnwell's takedown of the player-generated NFL 100 list, which purports to be a ranking of the best guys in the game, delightful:

Only nerds and losers care about statistics, right? If anyone should know about the impact that the league's mauling guards and run-stuffing nose tackles have on the game, it's the guys who play alongside them in the trenches. You win from the lines out!

And yet, somehow, despite there being about three times as many offensive linemen on NFL rosters as there are running backs, there are 12 running backs against just six offensive linemen in the Top 100 Players list. Put it this way: 37.5 percent of the starting running backs in football are considered to be one of the top 100 players in football. That's better than one out of every three. Only 3.75 percent of the starting offensive linemen in football are considered to be one of the top 100 players in football.

That is just one of many, many problems that arise when you ask people unprepared to do something to do it. The Been In The Arena argument is 90% a request to take your thoughtless blather uncritically. NOPE

Etc.: Excellent Bryan Curtis piece on former Michigan baseballer Mike Cervenak, who is in his 15th year(!) in the minors with Toledo. Michigan voted the best uniforms in the Big Ten, which duh. Presumably this is a ranking of the actual uniforms, not the ghost unis from the bowl game. Burke in Utah, is betting favorite to be Rookie of the Year.

Meanwhile in Joe Dumars, signs power forward who can't shoot to play small forward, duplicating strengths, ignoring weaknesses, and setting the Pistons up as—at best—an easy first-round victim. DBB's Mike Payne brings a flamethrower; do not get him mad at you.

Comments

michelin

July 8th, 2013 at 1:48 PM ^

Unable to cope with reports from legitimate media outlets—from the Wall St Journal, to the to the Tampa Tribune to Sports Illustrated to the Boston Globe and Boston Herald , the PR people at Ohio have launched an assault through far less reliable sources: like Twitter.  .  They are now getting his wife and daughter—and a few bloggers-- to assert that Meyer is unfairly blamed for murders by an ex-player, rather than blaming the player himself.   They are trying to fill the blogosphere with parodies of any legitimate critique of Meyer--as if the Bianchi report you cite were the only one.

In so doing , they are trying to reframe the issue  into an absurd proposition, which is far  easier to dismiss.  Of course, Meyer did not make Hernandez a murderer---just like JoPa did not make Sandusky  a pedophile.  But that is not the issue.

A USA today article about Urban suggests that Meyer was informed of Hernandez crimes at Fla and that these crimes may have been covered up.  Not yet proven?  OK.  But the reports seem no less substantial than those about Penn St prior to the revelations of the Freeh report; and no such investigation has yet been made into the allegations at Fla.  Indeed, no such investigation woujld ever have taken place even at Penn St were it not for the persistence of journalists like yourself.

 

 

bronxblue

July 8th, 2013 at 3:21 PM ^

This is one of the areas of this blog where I wish Brian and other would just let something go.  Trey is in Utah, should be a good player.  Pistons got a guy who has helped lead a team to the playoffs for several years now.  Perhaps Joe Dumars, who has been running a basketball team for over a decade and created one of 6 franchises since Jordan played to hoist the title, may know something about how he wants the Pistons to look and play going into next year.  Doesn't mean Burke won't be good, but it also doesn't mean Detroit made the wrong decision to draft someone else.

wile_e8

July 8th, 2013 at 3:31 PM ^

This is one of the areas of the comments where I wish commenters would just let something go. Having a previous successful run does not make someone correct about every decision they make, nor does it thse criticizing the decisions incorrect. How about arguing with the merits of the criticism instead of making lame arguments from authority?

Michigan Arrogance

July 8th, 2013 at 2:58 PM ^

you know what me, Jordan Kovacs and Ernest Shazor have in common?

 

 

 

 

 

none of us got drafted into the NFL. I'd take Kovacs career over Shazors any day and twice on Sunday

Vote_Crisler_1937

July 8th, 2013 at 3:09 PM ^

I had the pleasure of working out with Cervenak a time or two in the early 00's. He really was a hard-working very nice guy, who took great care of his brother. Knowing Happ, when he was quoted as, "really it's Cervy?" I'm guessing he was nothing but excited for Cervenak to get that shot. Im so glad this article was linked. Thanks.

Magnus

July 8th, 2013 at 5:57 PM ^

Again, maybe I'm mistaken, but how is that second video a knock against Shazor? I can't really see the jersey numbers, but it looks to me like Shazor is the safety to the top of the screen and Mundy is the free safety in the middle. Michigan has an OLB in C-gap, a DT in B-gap, and then the WILL steps up to the outside and gets walled off. Nobody accounts for the A-gap including the free safety, which looks like Mundy. Are we expecting the strong safety to come all the way across the formation and make that play?

Also, Jordan Kovacs got outrun by Darius Willis against Indiana, so I'm not sure what Cobb outrunning Shazor has to do with it. Both guys weren't fast. Next issue.

Shazor had 4 picks in two years; one pick was returned for a TD. Kovacs had 5 picks in four years; none were returned for scores. 

I can cherry pick stats, too.

Neither guy was drafted. If I'm picking an all-time Michigan team, I'm probably not picking either one. Arguing about who's better is kind of pointless. 

TwoFiveAD

July 9th, 2013 at 9:25 AM ^

Because you have someone analyzing film that has no idea how to analyze film. 

Your last paragraph sums the whole comparison up nicely.  Though I spent 15 minutes of my life yesterday doing just that. 

And be honest Magnus, if you were a defensive coordinator and had to choose one or the other, you're picking Shazor all day every day.  You probably aren't even hesitating when you answer.

kevin holt

July 8th, 2013 at 7:19 PM ^

I know it's not Kenpom, and in fact it's from MSU, but some googling found this paper: http://www.cse.msu.edu/~roger202/docs/Rogers_Immink_2for1Analysis.pdf

The paper, at least from its title, seems to state that the two for one gives a "significant" advantage. I haven't read into how they come to the conclusion, and it might just be anecdotal (who knows, it could just be a student paper and worth nothing), but it seems to say the opposite of "not a huge advantage".

Wee-Bey Brice

July 8th, 2013 at 7:50 PM ^

The 2 for 1 scenario inevitably produces a myriad of bad, quick shots by the offense. If executed perfectly then its a great way to get one extra look at the rim, but if not then it's probably a good ol' fashioned waste of possession (which is the opposite of what they're actually trying to do)

Ernis

July 9th, 2013 at 11:25 AM ^

BEEN IN THE ARENA = DO YOU EVEN LIFT BRO

 

DO YOU EVEN LIFT? ‏@YesIEvenLift_                 July 2nd
don't cry because it's over, cry because you don't even lift