Softball Regular Season Wrap Comment Count

South Bend Wolverine

[Ed-Ace: BUMP.]

Softball Regular Season Wrap


The legendary Hutch won her tenth B1G title in the last 11 seasons [JD Scott]

Stumbling Out of the Gate

Michigan softball entered the 2018 season in search of an identity.  The dominant hitters that carried the team to Oklahoma City in 2015 and 2016 had nearly all moved on, as had strike-out queen Megan Betsa, the driving force behind the 2017 squad.  The talent was there, but the question marks were plentiful.  Could a freshman Meghan Beaubien really take up the mantle from Betsa on day one?  Where was the scoring going to come from?  How would the new-look infield perform under pressure?  And, more fundamentally, who was this team going to be?

The first question was answered with a resounding “yes” on opening day.  After Tera Blanco got the win in the lid-lifter against UAB, Beaubien stepped into the circle for her first career start.  All she did was throw a no-hitter, missing a perfect game by just a walk & a hit batter while tallying a Betsa-esque 11 Ks.  She followed that performance up by holding the always-dominant Florida Gators to just 2 runs on 4 hits, and her Michigan career was off & running.

Unfortunately for Beaubien, she wasn’t able to count that quality performance as a win.  Despite out-hitting the Gators 5-4, the Wolverines couldn’t push even a single run across against holy terror Aleshia Ocasio.  Offensive struggles would continue to be a theme in the early going.  Solid defensive performances turned into losses all too often, as the Maize & Blue batters couldn’t find the big hit in the big moment.  A 3-2 loss to USF and a 2-0 stumble against Florida State were merely frustrating.  A 1-0, 8-inning faceplant against a thoroughly mediocre Virginia Tech squad was enough to set off some alarm bells.  Losses to Notre Dame and Texas compounded the issue, and even in victory, the offense underwhelmed.  Beaubien gave a glittering performance in a win over Florida State, making a solitary 1st inning run stand up as she shut out a top-ten team.

Freshman heroics in the circle can only take a team so far, though, and 12 games in, Michigan was sitting on an ugly 6-6 record.  With only one fully reliable pitcher and a batting order headlined by Faith Canfield, with a supporting cast of question marks, legitimate questions began to be posed about this team’s ability to contend for the Big Ten championship, even in a relatively soft year in the conference.

[Hit THE JUMP]

Finding an Identity, Racking Up Wins


Faith Canfield plates one of her team-high 42 runs. [Scott]

The day after the humiliating defeat at the hands of Virginia Tech, the team put together their best offensive performance of the year.  Despite coming against lowly Wichita State, an 11-0 5-inning run-rule victory felt like a breath of fresh air.  Even the most optimistic fan could not have guessed, however, that it would be the first game in an 18-game winning streak, and a run in which Michigan would win 33 out of 34 games, storming through the bulk of the Big Ten season.

The offense started to find its way during this stretch, as more and more players joined Faith Canfield as consistent contributors.  Natalie Peters solidified her role towards the top of the order as a speedy slapper, and senior RHP/1B Tera Blanco took over as the leading source of power in the batting line-up.  She managed to excel in that department while keeping her strike-outs to a minimum, making her the team’s most reliable on-base threat as well, having reached base in more than half her plate appearances on the season.  With Michigan products like Katie Alexander & Haley Hoogenraad contributing at a level few had foreseen and Madison Uden growing into her role in her sophomore season, the offense developed a consistency that hadn’t been there in the early going.

The newfound run support wasn’t what captured the headlines, however.  The defensive renaissance in Ann Arbor, sparked by Don Brown and Luke Yaklich, found its way over to Alumni Field as well.  Meghan Beaubien continued to star in the circle, producing at a level that shouldn’t be sustainable for a freshman, but somehow has been.  She would add no-hitters against Purdue and Maryland to her season-opening shut-down of UAB, but that wasn’t all.  She didn’t just turn in the occasional star performance, she produced week in and week out.  Despite facing all the toughest non-conference opponents and pitching 2 games in every 3-game Big Ten series, she maintained the highest standards.  Her ERA has stayed in the top-10 nationally almost without interruption all season long, well under 1.00.  She has already tied program-legend Jordan Taylor for most wins as a freshman in Michigan history, and stands poised to surge past her in the post-season.  What’s more, she displays an unflappable calm in the circle.  No matter the circumstances, her command of the situation remains steady. A nationally-elite K/BB ratio of 6.62 reflects cool control far beyond her years.


Tera Blanco has power... and pitching, too. [Scott]

While Beaubien grabs the headlines, she hasn’t been the only force behind Michigan’s stellar defense.  Tera Blanco has had an up-and-down pitching career, generally contributing more at the plate than in the circle.  As a senior, though, Blanco has become a consistent second option, maintaining a solid 1.47 ERA, and throwing a no-hitter of her own – hers coming against the Eastern Michigan Hurons.  Freshman Sarah Schaefer, who came in as a depth prospect, has also made significant contributions.  Appearing in 22 games and starting 5, Schaefer gives Michigan a third pitcher with a sub-2.00 ERA, and managed to out-do her teammates, throwing not just a no-hitter, but a perfect game against Robert Morris.  Never before in school history have the Wolverines put together 5 no-hitters in a single season, nor have they seen 3 separate pitchers deliver no-nos in the same year.

Defense starts in the circle, but it doesn’t end there.  Despite the pre-season question marks, the Wolverines have excelled in the field, posting (at last count) the #2 fielding percentage in the country.  The Saline slugger, Katie Alexander, has locked down the catcher position in her junior year, providing a steadying upper-classman influence that freshman pitchers Beaubien & Schaefer have especially benefitted from.  With just a single error all year, Alexander has been a rock behind the dish.

Indeed, team-wide, only two players have recorded multiple errors.  Freshman Natalia Rodriguez’s 6 errors may be a team-high, but don’t let that fool you into thinking that her play at shortstop has been anything less than stellar.  At a “make plays” position that comes with no shortage of pressure, Rodriguez’s elite defense has kept her in the line-up consistently, even as she has taken some time to find her way offensively.  Madison Uden, playing 3rd base, has picked up 3 errors on the season, also an impressively low number at a challenging position.  The rest of the defense has been all but impregnable, not only vacuuming up the routine balls, but also making the diving, lunging, sliding plays and the laser throws that give pitchers the confidence they need to attack even the most dangerous batters.

Spearheaded by this defensive prowess, the Wolverines wouldn’t lose another game from the Virginia Tech slip-up until the conference season got underway.  A stumble against Iowa in the opening weekend of Big Ten play caused the worrywarts to resurface, but consecutive sweeps of Purdue, Penn State, Rutgers, and Maryland, along with a mid-week win over MSU, helped set those fears aside.  With just two series to go in the conference, Michigan was in pole position as they sought to reclaim their status on the queens of the Big Ten.

Championship Restored Amid Late Losses


Meghan Beaubien has been at times literally unhittable. [Scott]

The first of these two series would be against surprise-contender Indiana.  A sub-.500 team that no one expected to do anything of note in 2018, IU feasted on a weak conference schedule and stunned observers by sweeping away Ohio State, a team many had pegged as the favorite in the Big Ten.  Heading into a huge home series against mighty Michigan, IU, shockingly, controlled their own destiny.  They even managed to jump out to a 1-0 lead in the Friday night match-up, and held on until the 4th inning, when a pair of Michigan runs flipped the script.  3 more runs in the 5th, off homers from Falk and Hoogenraad, sealed the deal.  The Hoosiers would exact revenge the next day, though, unbelievably overcoming a 4-0 deficit against, of all people, Meghan Beaubien, eventually winning 5-4 on a walk-off solo shot off the bat of Madison Uden’s sister, Taylor.  With the conference crown hanging in the balance, Michigan gutted out an ugly but badly-needed 2-0 win in 9 innings to take the series.

The struggles would continue just two days later, however, as a Tuesday tune-up against Western Michigan somehow turned into a shameful 8-2 loss.  Fans were understandably nervous about the MSU game the following night in East Lansing.  Fortunately, they needn’t have worried, as Michigan pounded the Spartans into the dirt, winning 8-0 in 5 merciless innings.

Finally, it was time for the OSU series that was always supposed to determine the outcome of the Big Ten race.  Thanks in large part to IU’s surprise sweep, the Buckeyes entered the weekend already eliminated from the conference race, but they still came to town highly motivated to play spoiler against their rivals.  Twice on Friday they used the long ball to take 1-run leads, but Michigan battled back each time, eventually taking home a 3-2 win.  Following the biggest upset of the Big Ten season, a 2-1 PSU win over Minnesota in extras, Michigan only needed one more win to lock up an outright conference championship.  That final game was never in doubt.  Michigan cruised to an almost-too-easy 8-0 5-inning W over Ohio State, dominating every facet of the game.  Even the thud of the 10-1 loss to those same Buckeyes on Sunday could not obscure the delight of securing the 20th conference crown in program history, and the 10th in the last 11 seasons.

Looking Ahead


Senior Aiden Falk and the Wolverines head for home. [Scott]

Michigan turns it attention now towards the postseason.  First will be the Big Ten Tournament in Madison, Wisconsin.  The Wolverines come in as the 1 seed and the favorite, but regular-season losses to lowly Iowa and mercurial IU, and an embarrassment against OSU on the final day should be enough to keep overconfidence in check.  Recent struggles in the conference tournament compound the concerns, as despite winning the regular season title in 4 of the last 5 years, Michigan has only taken home the tournament championship once in that span, when the sainted 2015 “Year of the Pizza” squad completed the double.  Minnesota has actually had more tournament success than Michigan of late, and the reigning champions, doubtless bitter about relinquishing one of their crowns, will be in no mood to let both slip away.

Tournament play begins on Thursday of this week, but Michigan won’t play ‘til Friday, as they await the outcome of the 8/9 match-up between MSU and Nebraska.  The game will be on BTN at 4:30 PM Central / 5:30 Eastern.  Should the Wolverines prevail as expected, they will most likely have to deal with either a re-match with OSU or a game against Northwestern, a consistently strong, rarely elite program.  The semifinal game will be at 3:30 PM Central / 4:30 Eastern on Saturday, with the championship game to follow shortly thereafter.

As much as a tournament title would mean to the players, the coaches, and the fans, though, it won’t mean much to the NCAA.  The early struggles combined with the late-season fade have doomed Michigan’s chances to host a regional in the national tournament.  The hope is to catch a good match-up, ideally in the 8-12 range or so, to prevent a terrifying super-regional.  The question marks about offense and pitching depth are enough to keep most prognosticators from giving the team a serious shot at reaching the Women’s College World Series.  As Hutch always says, though, at the end of the day, softball is about pitching and defense.  Michigan is top-5 nationally in both of those categories, and boasts one of the top aces in all the land.  You can never sleep on that sort of thing when it comes down to crunch time.  While some are already looking ahead to an extremely promising 2019 season, there’s still the potential for plenty of excitement right in the here & now.  It’s time for tournament softball – can’t ask for anything more than that!

Comments

OkemosBlue

May 7th, 2018 at 12:31 PM ^

Exactly right!  Softball is pitching and defense and Michigan has both thanks to the amazing frosh Beaubien!.  It has a chance to make Oklahoma City.   Go Blue! 

Alton

May 7th, 2018 at 3:46 PM ^

You gave the CDT game times for the Big Ten tournament; here are the EDT times for Michigan's quarterfinal and (hopefully) the semifinal and final:

QF:  Friday at 5:30 pm vs MSU / Nebraska winner

SF:  Saturday at 4:30 pm vs Northwestern, Ohio State or Iowa

F:  Saturday at 7:00 pm

All games will be on BTN.

Solecismic

May 7th, 2018 at 4:38 PM ^

Nice wrap-up. I hope Blanco's struggles in the circle this week were reflective of a little added pressure of knowing it was her last week playing in Ann Arbor. Schaefer just hasn't been getting much work during league play and her recent struggles could be seen as rust. But we have to worry a little that Beaubien might have to pitch every inning of every game. That was the case with Betsa last year in Seattle and the Huskies were far too deep to see that much of one pitcher and not figure her out. The RPI indicates there's a high risk that Michigan has to face a top team like Oklahoma or Oregon in a regional. I'd love to see an upset, and clearly, this team is capable. But it would be a major upset (and significant accomplishment) to get through their regional. It's a little sad that Lou Allen wasn't mentioned in the recap. Not that you overlooked her, but that her knee injury and unsteady performance wasn't what we hoped for from a recruit almost as heralded as Beaubien. She didn't start against Ohio State, but that could be as much her slump as it was Hutch rewarding senior Taylor Swearingen for four years of hard work. Swearingen was an interesting combination of a patient eye and a go-for-broke swing. From the beginning it always looked like she was just a weekend away from breaking out and becoming a mainstay in the lineup. Anyway, we have Allen to look forward to seeing next year with as much impact on the team as any top recruit. Hopefully fully healthy. Beaubien was everything Michigan could have hoped for. It's really her team now. On the offensive side, some season OPS numbers: Blanco 1.177, Canfield 1.043, Uden .956, Alexander .915, Falk .914, Hoogenraad .882. That's a solid core, better than we expected. Again, while it would be a huge upset to reach a super-regional, this team is capable.

Alton

May 7th, 2018 at 5:02 PM ^

The regional will be bad, bad news.  I'm guessing something like UCLA v New Mexico State, Michigan v CS Fullerton in the Los Angeles Regional.

They need to fix the RPI to be like the RPI in other sports--take a little off for a home win, and add a little for a road win.  Until that happens, we will keep seeing the #8 team in the SEC hosting a regional and the Big Ten champion barely getting a 2-seed.

chatster

May 7th, 2018 at 5:38 PM ^

Although there's an NCAA softball bracketology site that has Michigan as the 12 seed in the tournament and hosting a regional with Mississippi State, DePaul and North Dakota State, I have to figure that your less-optimistic prediction makes some sense.

I see that the latest NCAA RPI rankings (for whatever they're worth) have Michigan at 30, behind Ohio State at 27 and Minnesota at 28, so that might justify their not hosting a regional.

If they were to stumble in the Big Ten tournament and not reach the semifinals, are they in danger of falling to a three seed?

tlo2485

May 7th, 2018 at 6:51 PM ^

2 vs 3 seed doesnt really matter, as they play each other in the opening round. I think our regular season title would bump us up to a 2-seed, if it matters. At this point, it's all about the match up. If we can avoid the likes of Oregon, UCLA, Florida, and Oklahoma completely, I'd be happy. A perfect situation would be landing in the region of say, #10 South Carolina #11 Arizona or #12 LSU (hypothetical seedings) and having a much more managable upset. Then the Super Regional would potentially by @ #5 Arizona State, #6 Washington,  or #7 Florida State. Landing in the #8/#9 regional wouldnt be bad either. So we hypothetically want to finish in the #22-25 range as far as the committee is concerned. That would mean probably the tournament championship, and I think they committee would then automatically put us ahead of any B1G teams that have a higher RPI in addition to whatever numerical bump that gives us with the wins. This is impossible to predict, though. After the top 16 is seeded, they take chunks of teams in close rpi ranges and weigh in location, too. The further away from the top 16 you fall, the more location is weighed in. The low 3-seeds and 4-seed auto-bids basically get sorted completely based on location.

Kevin13

May 9th, 2018 at 3:58 PM ^

were concerning and hurt the team in the national standings. But, they have turned it around and I think a 3-0 B1G tourney run could still land them as a host for a regional. Still some games to be played out there and a 46-10 record would still speak for itself and I think have Michigan among the top 16 teams who get to host.

South Bend Wolverine

May 7th, 2018 at 8:03 PM ^

Great comment, I think you hit a lot of key points.  I especially agree re: both Swearingen & Allan.  When Swearingen belted 9 home-runs as a freshman with an OBP over .400 in limited action, I thought for sure that she was a star in the making.  Just a season or two, and she'd take off for sure.  Thought the same about Panda Vargas, for that matter, for similar reasons.  Sadly, neither really developed the way we'd hoped.  That's the way it goes, though - the flip side of it is the way players like Hoogenraad & Alexander unexpectedly become major contributors.

On Allan, I'm going to remain the optimist, though.  The injury & limited playing time this year has been frustrating, but her talent is unquestioned & she's shown some really great flashes.  If she can get fully healthy over the summer, I'm looking for a big-time break-out season for her in 2019.

GarMoe

May 7th, 2018 at 5:56 PM ^

Cool write up by Kornacki at MGoBlue of the team, they're strong across the entire lineup.  Have been watching them closely last few seasons as my 13-yr old daughter plays on club and school teams and is looking ahead to possible college ball and vying for a scholarship.

Does any dad (or mom) alum here have experience getting their female yougster on to a UM team (scholarship or not) in any sport that can pass on what worked, didn't work, etc and any suggestions in maximizing her exposure to whomever it matters most?

She'll either be softball or volleyball (she's been in the 95th percentile in height since birth) and am curious how much actual sway my being an alum/legacy carries for her.

Thanks in advance

 

PS - something funny I noticed....the roster has a column for "ht/wt" of each player but for some reason it only lists each athlete's height, not weight.  Why do you you suppose that is?  Very strange.  If you look at men's baseball, it indeed lists each guy's weight.  I think that's probably just an ugly stereotype that they project on to the girls as if they would really mind announcing to the world their weight.   Pffft!!!    When will it all end?  Will you all join me in my quest to end the bias?   #posttheweights

/s

Kevin13

May 9th, 2018 at 4:04 PM ^

to play softball, she needs to get on their radar and the sooner the better as kids commit to the program around 9-10 grades.  She should start be emailing the coaches personally and expressing her interest. Then start going to camps at UM and getting in front of them.

My daughter playes softball and she did an elite camp at UM one summer. She is a huge UM fan and it was a great experience for her getting to play on Alumni field and working with the coaches and many current and former players.

She plays in college today, but was not a UM level player, but just be consistent with going to as many camps as possible and staying in touch with the coaches.

outsidethebox

May 10th, 2018 at 6:50 AM ^

If you're going to play for Hutch you have to be a terrific athlete and one helluva a player...pretty much end of story. Hutch has a great eye for talent and pulls no punches in this regard. Watch the Michigan team go through warm-ups...the pure athleticism simply cannot be missed...on every single kid...pitchers included...no exceptions.

A few years ago, when I was assisting a young coach at a small college I was trying to get an outstanding player from a small school to come to us to get a couple years under her belt. She was a big Michigan fan and did everything she could to be offered by them...she is now playing for Ohio State :( ...I should give her a call and see what she has to say about that!!!

1975Blue

May 7th, 2018 at 8:53 PM ^

while BIG tourney starts Thursday.    Both tourneys have the same number of teams, but the BIG tourney plays the semifinals and final game on the same day, whereas the SEC tourney plays the final game on a separate day.  I recall a couple years ago Michigan fans complaining about playing in the late afternoon semifinal, and then having to play the final game minutes later, which they lost.  Having a weak #2 pitcher makes it tough to win both games on the same day.  

1975Blue

May 7th, 2018 at 9:01 PM ^

in the first game ?  I would say Nebraska, recall MSU beat Michigan early in the tourney last year.   That same MSU pitcher came close to beating Michigan a few weeks ago in Ann Arbor, with UM winning 1-0.   She was not available to pitch against UM a week ago due to a scheduled arm injection treatment (UM won that one 8-0).    

Michigan Arrogance

May 8th, 2018 at 7:02 AM ^

I think this team has a bit of a better shot based on what Hutch siad - Pitching and D is the name fo the game and this team is the best in the nation and those two aspects in sum.

 

I would only be mildly surprized if they got to the WCWS, unless they beat one fo the top 3-4 teams like OU or UW (i thought the huskies were dominant this year?)

 

 

1975Blue

May 8th, 2018 at 8:52 AM ^

 better pitching from their #2 and #3 pitchers.  They are going to struggle to win regionals having to rely solely on the #1.  Last two games that Beaubien did not pitch, UM lost to Western 8-2 and lost to OSU 10-1.    If pitching continues that bad, they won't win BIG tourney.   

Maize4Life

May 8th, 2018 at 11:08 AM ^

a regional hosting in their grasps but those late season losses doomed that chance..not feeling optomistic about advancing this year just not enough batting power

tlo2485

May 8th, 2018 at 11:55 AM ^

Pray for Georgia's Regional. They were on track for a possible top 5 seed before their Meghan Beaubien got injured. They will probably get an 8 or 9 seed. I saw a projection with #8UGA and #9FSU. Georgia is very vulnerable now and we shutout Florida State earlier this year. This would be a gift from above. 

jlai4

May 9th, 2018 at 2:46 AM ^

I like Tera Blanco as a hitter and 1st baseman, but not as a pitcher. She's done well against lower level competition, but against mid-level to top tier competition, she can't handle it. She lost to USF early on in the year and her latest outing vs Ohio State is very concerning. She hasn't developed much as a pitcher. I'd prefer Schaefer over Blanco honestly. In the end, the team will only go so far as much as Beaubien can carry them - provided the team can score runs. The inconsistent offense can be a potential problem in the tournament. 

Side question: What happened to Leah Crockett? She was recruited as a pitcher but hasn't played this season.  Did she have some sort of injury that I missed?

Solecismic

May 9th, 2018 at 2:48 PM ^

We're used to certain development paths based on a lot more knowledge and a lot more media interest in football and men's basketball. With softball players, physical development and strength are apparent and predictable before they reach college. In fact, the new recruiting rules that will prevent early recruiting are very much welcome and will change softball recruiting dramatically. The unknown is how players will react to better competition. Most have played AAU, so there's some knowledge, but it's far from complete and some play in areas and/or divisions where they face fairly bad competition throughout the season. Blanco wasn't one of those players. Hutch knew she was getting a top prospect. And she was just a little short of being able to compete as a pitcher at this level. While she improved, and probably would have been the ace at 90% of Division I schools, it just wasn't enough here. But she's been every bit the hitter Hutch needed. I'm sure Hutch is delighted with how she turned out, as are her teammates. Schaefer is more a big fish from a small pond. A little more of an unknown. She has handled the jump well, but since she isn't an elite prospect, needs more experience against good hitters. Throwing her out there against an elite opponent would be a mistake. Blanco should take what Beaubien can't in the regional. There's reason to hope she can develop further. Beaubien is future NPOY material, and I'm sure no surprise to Hutch. Not that many of those out there. Just luck that she happened to grow up loving Michigan (and I'm sure the 2005 championship when she was in grade school helped), because the weather here makes recruiting a challenge. Crockett left the team roster right before the season started (you can see she's in the yearly team photo). She was a big fish from a really, really small pond, but much more a wild card in terms of development. She simply couldn't develop the command necessary to put out there. I believe she's still with the team as some sort of assistant.

Wolverine Devotee

May 9th, 2018 at 3:19 PM ^

I was the banquet on Monday night (first class event by the way).

Crockett is no longer a player on the team but is still part of the team and helping any way she can. These are Hutch's words.

 

Wolverine Devotee

May 9th, 2018 at 3:23 PM ^

You can tell this team is very close. The banquet Monday night showed it. I went with my girlfriend and it was a really great night. 

Team awards from banquet-

Most Outstanding Player: Tera Blanco

Most Outstanding Pitcher: Meghan Beaubien

Freshman of the Year: Meghan Beaubien

Drewett Acdemic Excellence Award: Taylor Swearingen

Maize and Blue Award: Katie Alexander

FLwolvfan22

May 9th, 2018 at 7:35 PM ^

Normally I don't follow much outside football and basketball but it's always interesting to watch someone who is the best at their craft work. Kind of like watching Randy Johnson pitch, I would always stop and watch the game even though I did't follow his team, just something about seeing the best in an era or a generation. I don't care what sport or level you're talking about, could be t ball, winning is hard to do. If you win that many titles consecutively, it's really special. Just the intimidation factor is  a huge thing. Every coach that faces off against her looks over at the Michigan dugout nervous before each game wondering how bad is this beating going to be? I hope to see that indimidation factor back in Michigan football for every team we play.