Hello: Brad Hawkins
Michigan's picked up a commit from NJ WR Brad Hawkins. Here is an informative post about him.
GURU RATINGS
Scout | Rivals | ESPN | 247 | 247 Comp |
4*, #38 WR, #224 overall | 4*, #42 WR, #7 NJ #206 overall | 4*, #25 WR, #6 NJ #191 overall | 4*, 92, #37 WR #198 overall | 4*, #38 WR #203 overall |
There is virtual unanimity about where Hawkins falls amongst the top football prospects in the country: about 200th. Every service ranks him somewhere between 191 and 224.
SCOUTING
Hawkins is a nice combination of burly-go-get-it and the athleticism to get separation. ESPN calls him a "physical specimen" and praises his ability to get open:
Shows some suddenness off the line for a bigger player. Has a long, strong stride to get into routes quickly and cover ground. Is deceptively sudden in confined spaces and can shift gears to flash double moves. … Above average body control opening up and adjusting to throws outside strike zone. Tracks deep ball well and fields over the shoulder throws naturally. …tremendous red zone potential as he continues to get stronger to be a significant factor on the jump ball.
247's Clint Brewster describes him as a version of Junior Hemingway:
…gives you a lot after the catch. … tough player in traffic and catches contested passes. He's not a blazer on the outside but has adequate speed and shows some quickness to take away angles from defensive backs. Power player and uses contact well in his routes. … He's able to use his body to box out defenders and snags the ball away from his body out in front. Really attacks the ball in jump ball situations.
Rivals is just as high on him as everyone else is but they were higher before his appearance at a camp stop. He dropped about 50 spots afterwards. This is their explanation as to why:
"Hawkins does a lot of things on the field very well and he will be a solid pickup for one team but there isn't a ton of explosiveness to his game. He has a knack for coming up big in big moments but consistently dominating on the field is something he needs to show more consistently."
Other camps he attended had a similar vibe, with a 7 on 7 appearance in Carolina—which was unspecified—netting him a "best hands" award. Both that appearance and the Rivals camp highlighted his reliability. Carolina:
…such a reliable receiver. He works the middle of the field very well and was always there for his quarterbacks in tough situations. Hawkins always seemed to be open because he runs great routes and covers a lot of ground coming out of his breaks.
…hard to point out any one area where Hawkins dominated on Sunday; but he does everything well. The 6-foot-2, 195-pounder is an all-around wide receiver who can break press coverage, gets on top of defensive backs in a hurry and catches everything thrown his way. The four-star has a basketball background and that came through in the way he was able to high-point the football and out-leap defenders.
He is one of those guys. You know, those guys. The ones that are large and good at boxing out and maybe don't have announcers moaning about how unbelievably open they are.
OFFERS
Hawkins was down to Michigan and South Carolina pretty quickly in his recruitment, but he reports an impressive offer list including OSU, Oregon, Penn State, MSU, Miami, Florida, Auburn, Tennessee, Virginia Tech, Wisconsin, and so forth and so on.
HIGH SCHOOL
Hawkins's teammate Ron Johnson just committed to Michigan a couple weeks ago; 2017 OL Cesar Ruiz also has an offer. Before that Camden had a drought of D-I prospects going back to 2009.
STATS
Hawkins caught 45 passes for 805 yards and 14 TDs as a sophomore and 51 for 748 yards and 11 TDs as a junior.
FAKE 40 TIME
VIDEO
PREDICTION BASED ON FLIMSY EVIDENCE
I mentioned Junior Hemingway above and I'll mention him again: Hawkins appears to be the kind of guy who can go up and get it in a crowd but also is slippery/mean enough to be an option on screens. He probably isn't going to blow by cornerbacks on the regular but with his ability to position his body and block out defensive backs he may not have to if he's going to be effective.
Hemingway got absolutely enormous at Michigan, pushing linebacker size as an upperclassman—Hawkins isn't that burly yet but at 202 he is filled out well for a high school receiver.
Other potential comparables are Greg Mathews and Amara Darboh.
UPSHOT FOR THE REST OF THE CLASS
Hawkins is the 21st commit and first outside wide receiver in the class. (IN four-star Chris Evans is tentatively slated for slot receiver.) It's likely Michigan adds one or two more guys at his position, with fellow New Jersist Ahmir Mitchell the most likely name to join him.
Past that, 21 is not much less than 25. By backdating three early enrollees, Michigan can go up to 28 if they have room, and they're recruiting like they do.
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That was quick... Now Sparty is saying that recruiting rankings don't mean anythiing.
I think that stuff is a little overrated. Running good routes, getting off your defender at the snap and winning close battles is way more valuable than just speed. Yeah, you want these guys to be fast. But so many of the great WRs at Michigan (and many other places) weren't super fast and still had tons of success. Who are the last 3 awesome WRs we've had? Manningham, Hemingway and Gallon. All three stretched the defense in different ways and were super successful. None of them were all that fast, in terms of WR speed.
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Seriously? Everyone here has been saying that because HARBAUGH!!!
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Whoo Hoo!! New jersey is Big Ten country!
Thank you, much maligned Rutgers.
The B1G may never actually make any money off the addition of Rutgers, but we've certainly profited.
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Which Kelly? Doesn't really matter but Caleb would be a huge pull.
we need players that have his kind of moves
She would be a real asset to the program.
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Really looking forward to the long promised analysis from Ace on how we can accomplish fitting these guys into the 85 number.
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Final paragraph in this write-up states if Michigan back-dates early enrollees into previous class, we can offer up to 28 scholarships.
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But that has nothing to do with getting under the 85 number.
Look - there is only so much Ace can do to explain that because if he knows something that isn't common knowledge yet he won't say it and if he doesn't he would just be speculating anyway. All that matters to us right now is if the coaches know, and they know much more than we do about who will be around a year from now. There's also the "normal attrition" amount that is unpredictible but almost always there.
If Ace is going to follow Mgo's long held policy to not name names you are not going to get many specifics. But here is a roadmap to free scholarships:
- There are 4 class of 2012 redshirts who have not played a meaningful Big 10 down in their career. Guys like Heitzman and Hayes played much more than these guys and left before their 5th year. I'd expect the same for these 4.
- A QB will transfer.... we have way too many with 2 of "Harbaugh's guys" poised to matter in 2016 - O'Korn and Gentry. Magnus is hinting he is hearing Gentry in fact will get some time this year (no rs) to prepare him for the competition in 2016. If true that is going to say a lot about existing QBs on the roster. Even if not true there are going to be too many underclassmen QBs.
- 1 obvious medical on OL
- You get 2-3 not obvious guys who transfer every year for a multitude of reasons starting with playing time.
- There are "older" wide receivers who barely have played going into their 3rd/4th year and receiving zero talk in spring as guys like Cole or Ways or Canteen are talked up. Will they be content to just sit again for 2 more yrs?
- There are 2 other non linemen guys who have been position switched many times and cant buy playing time. Maybe they play this year as 3rd string type backups -maybe its another year they are shut out. With younger players coming in do they stick around past this year - or do they want togo somewhere and play some football?
Etc
But I am surprised that the coaching staff is basically going to give up on a bunch of guys now after only spring ball practice. Don't we have great coaches now that could transform some of these assumed non-contributors into contributors after a full set of fall practices and full season? The QB position is, of course different, and certainly can see transfers there.
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I don't think any of that suggests that the coaching staff is giving up on anybody, but if there is a kid on the team that harbaugh wouldn't have recruited or who still isn't showing signs of being a D1 contributor, he's not going to see the field or get reps in practice and when that happens, the players usually make the call.
We do have great coaches, and they will do everything they can this fall. But they won't split their time equally with every player and there is only so much they can do for every player in one year. If a kid is in his 2nd or 3rd year this fall and the coaches aren't even considering him for PT, he might not want to wait another year. This happens every year with good and bad coaching staffs, and a little more often directly after a coaching change.
Also, statistically speaking, someone will get injured, someone will either get in trouble or flunk out or something, and somebody will leave that we didn't see coming kind of like Michael Ferns.
We are banking on a whole bunch of unknowns in order to be at the right number? And, we are banking on guys that have eligibility for 2016 and after on the current roster to actually see the their lack of playing time and leave. Coaches can't force guys to leave, right? Only not offer a 5th year to a potential red shirt senior?
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this is where I see the 'brace yourself... shady shit is coming' memes in our future.
I think the writing is on the wall that we are going to 'cut players', push players out, cool on players we have offered in the hope that they don't commit... basically, all the shit that we hate about the SEC is coming home to roost; that is the price of championsihp football.
jdon
I always thought having depth with juniors and seniors was the big difference in wining, but really it comes down to coaching. Hence, the 2012 recruiting class was rated as #8 in the country by most! Though Pipkins was one of our two 5 stars, He now done due to injuries. What ever happen to Strobel? He was projected as a big DE out of Mentor, OH. If I remember correctly Hoke beat out OSU and got Strobel to play for Michigan! the Buckeyes were all upset since Strobel was a verbal commit for nearly a year before Hoke convinced him to head to Michigan.
Hoke's 2013 class was number 6 in the country! What happened to Jaron Dukes a 6'4" 4* speedy WR from Columbus? May be Taco will be a presence on the DL this season? There was a lot of good talent in the 2012 and 2013 recruiting class. These are now your juniors and seniors!
Jaron Dukes was never a 4* recruit, and has never been considered "speedy."
The projected class size is always higher than the number of graduating seniors. People freak out about it every damn year. It's a projected class size. There's guesswork involved and an entire season to be played before it's finalized. If you recruit for the mininum number of places you have, you're left scrambling to fill the class at the end. And have turned away players you would have gladly taken earlier.
The disparity in numbers is higher this year. That's the only difference. That's to be expected with a regime change and with a high number of candidates to not get a fifth year. I'll bet that when it's done, we're going to have one or two unused roster spots. Then people will freak out about how we always lose out on recruits that announce on signing day. That pursuing them is a waste of time and we should just take guys that decide early.
I also doubt that this class gets to a full 28. We re at 14 and 5 spots are very easily discernable. That's 19. After that you get into the QB stuff, the position switchers and the unpredictables and getting to 25 doesn't look so hard. We also might have a class of 2015 guy who doesn't make it through the season, which seems to happen more often than not.
"We are at 14" what?
There are 14 open scholarships for 2016 that are known before attrition and the whatnot.
It gets repeated all the time on this site. I don't know how it started.
We have 15 spots opening up by departing seniors.
Rudock
Lyons
O'Neill
Houma
Kerridge
G. Glasgow
Morgan
Ross
Williams
Jenkins-Stone
Bolden
Ojemudia
Piplins
Norfleet (He may well return. His scholarship has not been used.)
Wilson
Nice hands, fluid athlete with excellent body control. Not a burner, but appears to have the ability to "box out" and get leverage, particularly on smaller corners. Decent route runner for a HS WR and will improve vastly in that area. Has nimble feet, good vision and sets up his blockers well in the open field.
A college S&C program will make that body even more solid, to the point where he could possibly play some H-Back in some formations. Anquan Boldin-esque receiver.
Great addition to this class. Looks like the interview with Coward did not hurt recruiting after all. ;) Happy 4th!
But what's his fake 40 time? Does non-existent get all the fakes or none of them? We must know!
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I've lost all ability to keep up with what's going on in recruiting. Too much is happening in a short amount of time.
Rich people problems.
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