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Tim

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Michigan 80 Iowa 78 (OT), MIchigan 13-12 (6-7 Big Ten)

It wasn't pretty, but at this point in the season it would be improper to take any win for granted, right? If Michigan was in position to grab an NCAA tournament bid, this would have been a scary game. However, the Wolverines are closer to missing the NIT than they are to making the Big Dance. Let's just enjoy the win.

After steady improvement throughout the month of January and the beginning of February, it's clear that Michigan's defense is not at a level that will win basketball games when the offense isn't working right. Like Wisconsin and Northwestern before them, the Hawkeyes shot the ball well, finishing with a 55 eFG%. Had Michigan not matched that number in one of their better shooting performances of the year, this game could have gotten ugly. Michigan opened up a 10-point lead late in the first half, but let Iowa claw back to tie it up by the break. Play was much more back-and-forth in the second half, but Iowa led by five with only 22 seconds to go, before Michigan managed to force overtime.

There were some bright points. On top of the newly-found shooting competence, this team actually showed some heart for the first time in quite a while, gutting out a win when it looked like all hope was lost. If they'd been able to do that a couple more times this year, maybe we'd be talking NCAA Tournament fringe instead of NIT fringe. A number of players stepped up that one probably wouldn't expect (primarily Laval Lucas-Perry), and seven whole players got double-digit minutes!

BULLETS

  • Rough game for Manny Harris despite decent numbers on the scoresheet. He had six turnovers, and nearly fouled out. A couple of his fouls were borderline calls, but they were also plays he should be smart enough not to make. He shot just 7 of 17.
  • DeShawn Sims, as we've come to expect, was this team's leader. He struggled making some layups through contact, otherwise he would have had a stellar outing. Very interesting for Beilein to (finally, in the eyes of some) play him with Gibson.
  • Darius Morris was super-quiet. Two assists, three missed shots, and two personal fouls isn't a statline that shows off how much he's improved over the course of the year. He still needs lots of work on his shot, but this game wasn't as big a step backwards as it might seem.
  • If we're criticizing LLP for being invisible most of the time, let's also give him props when he shows up to play. His 3/3 shooting from behind the arc to start the game got the offense moving, and though he didn't do a whole lot after that, he was the catalyst for Michigan's big run.
  • Man, the Big Ten Network presentation was awful. We constantly got shots of the lights or the back of someone's head instead of, you know, the game. We got about 10 seconds of ridiculously loud music, presumably off someone's iPod in the production truck (I kid). The commentary was often too quiet to hear, but it doesn't matter, because the announcers had no interest in talking about the game. The Big Ten Network doesn't have a great reputation to begin with, and it's painfully clear that they have no interest in correcting that.
  • [Editor's note: anyone else notice Jim Jackson's somewhat disturbing morph into Hubie Brown? I heard "blank is the best blank we have have in our league" a dozen times.
  • It's nice to see Stu Douglass and Zack Novak find something of a shooting stroke. Both only shot 3-pointers, but if they can continue shooting well, Michigan might be able to surprise a team at the end of the year, and get some confidence for the future.
  • Michigan still has a chance to go on a bit of a run here, with Ken Pomeroy favoring them to win three of the last five, including the next two. Dylan is hinting that Michigan is capable of sneaking into the tournament, but I wouldn't get so far ahead of ourselves quite yet.
  • Getting back to the officiating for a second, I think Oops Pow Surprise said it best:

    We're not stupid enough to think that Hightower and Valentine were somehow actively conspiring against Iowa; not only is Michigan plainly unworthy of a conspiratorial effort (see: not a tournament team), but that theory would require the supposition that the two men are actually capable of calling a good game and just choose not to. That's a fantasy.

    Further, it's not the case that all the calls went against Iowa for the balance of the game. There were several calls that seemed to be a whistle just blown at random, and a good amount of them were in Iowa's favor. This is what happens in a Hightower/Valentine game.

    Bad officiating is frustrating for all, even when it's not heavily slanted in one direction or another

  • [Editor's note: UMHoops pointed this out about the refereeing: DeShawn Sims says he complained to the refs about his game-tying three and the ref said he would have called a foul if he had missed, which just goes to show that every conspiracy theory you've ever had about basketball refereeing is true. Bastards.]

  • Did Anthony Wright get in a bar fight or something? Beilein:

    “The facts are, over the last day, I believe that Anthony had done nothing wrong to what the facts that were presented to me,” Beilein said. “If the facts change, then I will make appropriate action. But the facts are the facts that we discussed.”

    People, don't punch Ant Wright please.

Up Next

The Nittany Lions of Penn State travel to Crisler Arena Saturday, looking to win their first game in the Big Ten this year(!). This is a good opportunity for the Wolverines to get a win against a pretty bad team, and it's also a football junior day (about which more in Wednesday Recruitin'), so let's get this team some fan support to close out the year.


Comments

Maize Rage

February 17th, 2010 at 2:46 PM ^

I would like to see Gibson and Sims on the floor at the same time a lot more. LLP’s 4/4 free throws in overtime were huge. Overall, it was a very good team effort.

michfan4borw

February 17th, 2010 at 2:47 PM ^

I summarized my impressions of the game on the "preview" blog posted, but I forgot to mention that even though Manny picked up some bad fouls, he played much of the second half and the entire overtimes with 4 fouls -- yet he didn't foul out. To me that was improved leadership in that circumstance b/c he played with all that in mind, and in fact, played effectively with those 4 fouls. Well done, Manny. Nevertheless, the guys have to keep working or we'll lose a home game we shouldn't.

ijohnb

February 17th, 2010 at 2:56 PM ^

Just cause I feel like being wild and zany. I think that the Big Ten will get six teams in the tourney. If Michigan finishes 17-13, two games ahead of Northwestern in the big ten standings, alone in sixth place (take note, this would have to include a win over Illinois at home, and a victory over a ranked opponent MSU/Ohio State). Northwestern would have a significantly better win-loss record and two victories over Michigan. Could anything short of a Big Ten tourney win get UM into the tourney over Northwestern. A first round Wildcat exit and Michigan winning 2 games in the BTT, bringing Michigan to 19-14 on the year. Or any chance the Big Ten gets 7 teams? As crazy as it may seem, if Michigan goes on a real run here, they could make things somewhat complicated for the selection committee. Once again, I know this is far fetched, but...

Tim

February 17th, 2010 at 3:53 PM ^

I'll have a post about Michigan's tourney possibilities tomorrow or Friday. They actually seem to have a much better shot than anyone would have predicted, though I'm no bracketologist.

Illini Boy

February 17th, 2010 at 5:31 PM ^

Illinois is still on the bubble and needs to win two more regular season games to be safe. That would put them at 11-7, 18-12 with wins over Vanderbilt, and Clemson at Littlejohn OOC. If Illinois goes 10-8 they're probably out, even with two good OOC wins. If Michigan goes 4-1 in conference, they'll have the exact same record as Illinois (actually, they'll be 17-12 instead of 18-12 because one of their wins doesn't count, but that's not a huge difference) but with a signature OOC win over Connecticut, who definitely isn't making the tournament. In other words, Michigan would need to go 4-1 in the last five just to get to a point slightly behind an Illinois team that probably wouldn't make the tournament at 10-8. That's ignoring the fact that Michigan's conference wins at this point are Iowa twice, Penn State, Indiana, Minnesota, and Ohio State without Evan Turner, so 4-1 is wildly optimistic. And the committee is explicitly downplaying the role of conference tournaments in selection decisions, so outside of winning the thing outright or a performance that involves ripping through two of the heavy hitters, probably neither Illinois or Michigan would get in at 10-8.

Muttley

February 18th, 2010 at 11:23 PM ^

I mean, why torture yourself...it still was stunning to see not only Mich but the B10 teams ranked so lowly. http://www.realtimerpi.com/rpi_Men.html This site presently ranks Mich 120. We've fallen from 117 immediately after our Iowa win. Maybe Penn State is so bad that even the game nearing makes your SOS & RPI fall ;) Anyway, 17-13 (actually 16-13) seemed like quite an improvement, so since I was being optimistic, I thought why not an NCAA bid if we finish strong and say, make it to Saturday? But then I checked the RPIs. Uggh. Purdeu 9, Wisk 15, MichStat 24, tUOS 42. I believe we were a 10 seed w/ an RPI of 40 last year. So, lets say we finish 4-1, and our SOS improves from 68 to the 50s. (Go OOC opponents!) Three games above .500 (+3) w/ a 50s SOS puts us in the range of 81 Minnesota (+4, SOS 51) and 97 Duquense (+1, SOS 55). Then let's say we make it to the final game by going 3-1 in the B10. Now we're +5 and our SOS goes (optimistically) into the 40s. Maybe that gets us in the 74 New Mexico St (+6, SOS 92) - 77 Notre Dame (+7, SOS 54) range. Still not there, methinks. So now let's run the table all the way to the BTT final. That gets us maybe to the 56 S. Fla (+7, SOS 37) range. Albeit with an extremely hot finish. Seems to me just winning the BTT is easier than going on an 8 game winning streak from here to the BTT final.

might and main

February 17th, 2010 at 7:26 PM ^

that's the great damn thing about sports ... you see the wildest most unlikely things happen. If I have to put money down its an easy bet M doesn't make the tourney, but there _is_ still a chance and you just never know. I like the fight in this team. And they're capable of playing some pretty damn good ball. And we've got a pretty damn good coach. Who would've bet that we'd win the tourney back in '89? Nobody. You just never know.

zlionsfan

February 18th, 2010 at 1:11 PM ^

especially considering Northwestern's gift-wrapped package for Penn State last night. Purdue, Michigan State, Wisconsin, and Evan Turner are in. After that, it's anyone's guess. Illinois has a shiny conference record for now, but also has Purdue, Evan Turner, and Wisconsin remaining on their schedule, plus a likely rematch with one of the last two in the first round of the conference tournament. 19-13 with an RPI in the 70s is not going to look very good on the bubble, and that's assuming they win in Ann Arbor (plz no) and at home against Minnesota. Michigan pretty much has to win out to get close to a shot. Wins in Columbus and East Lansing would make their resume palatable as opposed to its current state ... a loss in either place would probably be the nail in the coffin. Michigan's RPI is miserable. Unless they end up with some big notches on their belt (MSU, OSU, and maybe a team in the tournament), I see no way it happens. Northwestern has taken a perfectly average bubble team and molded it into yet another NIT contender. One quality win (home vs. Purdue), a home loss to Penn State ... they have Wisconsin in Madison, which unfortunately for them is probably a must-win, given that their last four games are RPI dumps (no credit for winning, huge penalty for losing). Minnesota's RPI is a bit better than Michigan's, but not much. They also have wins over Butler (neutral) and Ohio State (home). However, with four possible losses remaining on the conference schedule (Wisconsin, Purdue, at Illinois, at Michigan), Minnesota's probably out as well. The big problem that I see is that the four bubble teams are basically intertwined. I'm not sure any of them can make the tournament without knocking out the rest. Illinois has Michigan and Minnesota next week ... by next Saturday, I would guess one or two of the bubble teams will be done. (Who knows? Maybe it'll be Illinois with a key loss on Tuesday.)

SpartanDan

February 19th, 2010 at 12:02 AM ^

No. 17-13 is 16-13 as far as the committee is concerned (Northern Michigan, not being a D-1 team, doesn't count). And it's 16-13 with six top 100 wins and two sub-100 losses. Two Big Ten tourney wins and that becomes 18-14, seven top 100 wins. That's not an NCAA tournament resume. That's an NIT 5-seed resume. Besides that, conferences don't get bids. Teams do. (Remember just two years ago, when the ACC got four despite having the #1 RPI.) Michigan's RPI is in the 120s right now, and I don't think there's ever been an at-large even in the 70s. The strength of the top four in the Big Ten isn't going to get a sixth or seventh team in unless those teams deserve it. And barring an absolute miracle, Michigan doesn't. Only prayer of an at-large, IMO, is to win out until the Big Ten final. That gets you close, and if there's enough carnage on the rest of the bubble it might do the job. (If nothing else, the committee might throw you in because it's too much work to have two separate brackets made out depending on the result of the Big Ten title game, since that's going to finish right before the selection show, and because you've done enough to make it not completely ridiculous even if you lose.) It looks to me like the Big Ten is a five-bid league, with Minnesota and Northwestern both long shots for #6.

desmondintherough

February 17th, 2010 at 3:26 PM ^

Watching this team be good, like their shooting was this game and the rally to send it to OT, just makes the previous malaise more painful. Of course we'll take it, but the numbness of ennui would be better for my work product.

mgovictors23

February 17th, 2010 at 4:12 PM ^

I'll admit it, I almost turned the game off when we were down by five. The heart the team showed though at the end was awesome and really shouldn't even have gone into overtime because Deshawn was fouled as well on his shot.

Don

February 17th, 2010 at 4:53 PM ^

On one hand, we have (supposedly) every college program west of the Mississippi slavering to join the Big Ten because of the incredible awesomeness of the BTN, and on the other we have BTN basketball & football play-by-play people who are considered by the entire sane universe to be complete and utter crap. Something ain't matching up here.

megalomanick

February 17th, 2010 at 4:55 PM ^

...it's clear that Michigan's defense is not at a level that will win basketball games when the offense isn't working right.
You can substitute basketball for football or hockey and it would be just as accurate. How terrible is that?

MC Hammer

February 17th, 2010 at 5:19 PM ^

[Editor's note: UMHoops pointed this out about the refereeing: DeShawn Sims says he complained to the refs about his game-tying three and the ref said he would have called a foul if he had missed, which just goes to show that every conspiracy theory you've ever had about basketball refereeing is true. Bastards.] That's actually a fairly commonplace procedure. If a player gets bumped but the shot isn't affected much, the ref waits to see if it goes in. If it does, no harm no foul (literally) and if it doesn't the whistle gets blown. Sounds unfair, but it reduces cheap fouls and three point plays.

Tim

February 17th, 2010 at 7:39 PM ^

It might be commonplace (and I definitely think it is), but that doesn't make it right. If a foul is committed, a foul is committed. If not, then don't call one. Same goes for last-second fouls. No need to "swalow your whistle." If the defender doesn't want a foul to be called, then he shouldn't commit one.

Blue boy johnson

February 17th, 2010 at 9:41 PM ^

Ok great win, my complaint. Why would Stu Douglass EVER, unguarded 25 feet from the basket pick up his dribble, ridiculous. That kid has run way too many half court sets in his life. Let if flow Stu. Stu needs to spend the summer on a Mormon type mission play full court hoops with the brothers on some inner-city court. Make yourself a threat Stu, you can do it son, get some of that Demar Dorsey swagger.

4godkingandwol…

February 17th, 2010 at 9:42 PM ^

... more concerned about telling a decent recruiting story at this point. If we continue to show momentum, it hopefully increases our chances with one of the recruits we're still in the hunt for. Hopefully?