dickinson among the lilliputians [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Basketbullets: The Dickinson Diaries Comment Count

Ace December 1st, 2020 at 3:05 PM

Let's reset the scene.

With 11:23 to play on Sunday, Michigan trails Oakland, 49-45, in what would be one of the most shocking upsets of this young college basketball season. Juwan Howard inserts his freshman center, Hunter Dickinson, to see if he can crack a zone defense that's flummoxed the Wolverines into a turnover-plagued evening. He wouldn't come off the floor until the Wolverines pulled out an overtime victory. Some numbers from that stint on the court:

  • Michigan scored 36 points. Dickinson scored 19 of them himself, going 6-for-7 from the field and 7-for-9 from the line.
  • Dickinson also had three assists in that span that accounted for six more points. In other words, he had a direct hand in 25 of Michigan's final 36 points.
  • Add in Dickinson's steal that immediately led to a Chaundee Brown fast break layup and you can up that number to 27. He didn't get an assist because Eli Brooks acted as an intermediary.
  • His only missed shot came on the broken play to end regulation.
  • He didn't commit a turnover.
  • He went +14 in that 16:23 time on the court.

This was the best performance we've seen from a true freshman center since 2013 NCAA Tournament Mitch McGary, competition level be damned. Dickinson's presence transformed Michigan's offense in ways that'll be sustainable against better teams, even if he's not necessarily playing a major role in generating 75% of the team's points. (That bit is, uh, less sustainable.)

feeding the beast [Campredon]

Since I was taking clips of almost every Dickinson touch down the stretch, let's take a look at his impact plays against Oakland, what he did well on them, and what they portend for the future. I've also gone through his touches against Bowling Green and will sprinkle those in to show this isn't just a one-game, zone-driven outburst.

Against a zone defense, knowing how the defenders are going to shift around the court is paramount, as is maintaining a high activity level as the offense (ideally) keeps the ball moving side to side. Dickinson was constantly moving from the moment he got on the floor and showed a great understanding of where to place himself to create passing angles and seal off defenders. His first offensive possession is easy work; Michigan will go back to this quick-hitting set repeatedly:

The post defense here is poor; regardless, that's a nice entry pass from Terrance Williams, and I like seeing Dickinson default to finishing with an authoritative two-hand slam.

[Hit THE JUMP for post scoring, post passing, a bit of defense, and more.]

Dickinson is never going to be confused for an elite athlete, but it's obvious he put in a lot of strength and conditioning work over the offseason to slim down and add mobility. He earns his way to the line by beating his man down the floor off a defensive rebound, then hits both free throws.

His next highlight play comes a whole two possessions later. Dickinson sees the play develop and works his way into the dunker spot, then threads a gorgeous bounce pass to Williams:

You can see the constant work again here; Dickinson fights for an early post-up before the offense gets into its play, then works his way into position to get the ball and make the pass to Williams. There's zero hesitation between catching the ball and passing, then he puts it right where Williams needs it to go straight up for the layup.

On the next trip, Dickinson again never stops moving, this time working his way to the basket to tip in a missed three despite getting fouled on the putback. He converts the and-one at the stripe. We then get to see some of his defensive potential when he walls off a drive and still steals the pass to his man, leading to a layup the other way:

While he's still getting comfortable on defense, his active hands and tremendous size are a very good starting point. Oakland mostly went with iso-ball, but he showed his pick-and-roll defense potential against Bowling Green when he stuck with a guard in drop coverage and easily swatted away a layup. He's more of a shot-alterer than shot-blocker right now and he sometimes goes for blocks that he can't get to, which has led to some putback opportunities, but that's not at all uncommon for young big men and can be coached out.

Dickinson's next bucket features more good off-ball movement and a nice feed from Williams. Those two played together growing up in the DC area and their chemistry is apparent; Juwan Howard has also taken notice:

“I think we just had chemistry doing this for a long time and Coach Howard said that in the locker room. You guys have been doing it since the (AAU) Team Takeover days and since elementary school. That's why he put us both in at the same time to get the good high-low in, make the right play, make the right pass.”

I love this next possession. Dickinson is directing traffic up top—not something you see out of every freshman center in their second game. When the floor is spread, he dives in the paint, posts up twice, then slips out of the way to give Brooks a passing option when he drives:

Two hands for safety.

Before we get to Dickinson's next play, a quick flashback to the opener, when he threw a dart from the post to Livers for a wide open three after the defense collapsed in on him:

Dickinson's size and post scoring ability are going to draw the attention of multiple defenders; his passing really puts those defenders in a bind. Above, they're late to close out and give up the open triple. Now, below, we return to the Oakland game. Dickinson draws two defenders even though he gets a pass in a relatively non-threatening position. He quickly fires a cross-court bullet that's so on-target Livers is essentially in his shooting stance on the catch, and when the defender closes out too hard, he has a lane for a dunk:

Everything about this pass is damn near perfect: the court vision, the timing, the speed on the ball, the accuracy, the unguardable nature of it coming from a 7'2 center, everything. This is Dickinson's most advanced skill.

Dickinson then helped force another turnover by being huge and knowing that's sufficient. He was noticeably less jumpy in the Oakland game than against Bowling Green and that'll be an important adjustment for him going forward; he can impact a lot of shots and stay out of foul trouble without ever leaving the ground.

His next assist, finding a cutting Livers out of the low spot in a high-low set, may be a carbon copy of the earlier one to Williams, but I still feel the need to embed it because the pass is so damn good:

Sheesh. Once again, note how Dickinson makes himself an easy target for the entry pass, too. He's not ambling into the post, he's flashing into the post. That makes it hard for anyone, let alone an undersized zone defender with his eyes on the ball, to prevent a 7'2, 255-pounder from establishing good position.

In the last couple minutes of regulation, Michigan either went with other options or, in the case of the final possession, couldn't get the ball to Dickinson in good position. Incidentally, they couldn't hang onto a late two-point lead. Dickinson rectified that by winning the overtime tipoff and playing the finishing role in what had become the team's go-to set, posting up when Livers cut from the paint after initially showing a Horns look:

While Michigan's wings on these sets only had to make a simple post entry to Dickinson for these plays to succeed, there are a lot of variations we could see against defenses more multiple and talented than Oakland's "we had three days of real offseason practice" zone.

The Grizzlies resorted to hacking Dickinson in the post the rest of overtime, which gave us a chance to see another one of his high-level skills: free-throw shooting. After posting strong marks in high school, he's 10-for-13 from the stripe so far this season, and you're damn right I'm about to post a gif of some free throws because the stroke looks good:

What a game. My main concern about Dickinson heading into the season was whether he'd be able to handle a heavy minutes load while maintaining his effectiveness. Seeing him play a 16-minute-plus stretch at such a high level alleviated a lot of those concerns, and I imagine they did for his coach, too.

Michigan entered the season with question marks at point guard and center. After two games, the latter is now an exclamation point.

Bonus Bowling Green Plays Because Why Not

Exploiting a mismatch, making a tough catch while keeping the ball high, and finishing between three defenders:

Check.

Reverse layup because he hunts a mismatch early in the shot clock:

Check.

A sweeping lefty finish when he posts up after setting a high screen:

Check.

An Unseldian outlet pass that leads to a three and running the floor to be in position for the putback if it doesn't fall:

Check.

Comments

spiff

December 1st, 2020 at 3:30 PM ^

I like the point on dunking with two hands. Compare that to Teske who was also very large but just didn’t do a great job finishing with authority around the rim. Great to see from the youngster!

Champeen

December 1st, 2020 at 3:39 PM ^

I am very impressed with Dickinson.  First time he was on the court vs. BG i did not even know that was him because he really lost a lot of weight and gained some muscle - looked like a totally different kid.

Anyway, he is playing much, MUCH better than i expected.  I did not think i would see this kind of play from him until mid sophomore season.

Zeb, OTOH, hmmmmm.

Nothing Special

December 1st, 2020 at 4:24 PM ^

I would cut Zeb some slack. It seems obvious that the team hasn't seen much zone defense in practice based on how they played against Oakland... I am just happy that Zeb hasn't forced too much. He has some assists too. Sure his defense is basically nonexistent right now, but he's a super skinny frosh who was banged up a bit in preseason and probably wasn't full go in practice as much as he normally would have been. 

Jordan2323

December 1st, 2020 at 10:46 PM ^

I wish Zeb wouldn't have transferred to Montverde Academy. I feel like he didn't get to play very much and he seems way behind in game play. It shows that Hunter and Terrence played a lot of ball. The thing that has surprised me on Zeb, and I think its lack of fundamentals, is that he keeps getting beat off the dribble and reaches out and grabs. 

Nothing Special

December 2nd, 2020 at 7:15 AM ^

Yeah, hard to disagree with that take. I think most people would agree that transferring to Montverde was an error in judgement in the end. At that age, the kids need to be playing in games and not watching from the bench. Besides his lack of defensive fundamentals, he just seems to be lacking confidence in his abilities. Maybe I am wrong. I just haven't seen him drive to the hoop or shoot wide open shots yet; and that is not even touching on the defensive problems. He will come around I think. Just needs a lot more time to settle in that I was expecting. 

My Name is LEGIONS

December 1st, 2020 at 4:36 PM ^

When we got him over that other higher ranked center (name escapes me) i said I preferred Dickinson's game.  And got laughed at here. 

Then I said that he looked near equal to Garza in an offseason pickup game they played, and got ridiculed here.  

Now it's my thin skinned turn...

HA HA HA HA !!!!  

njvictor

December 1st, 2020 at 5:56 PM ^

When we got him over that other higher ranked center (name escapes me)

Mark Williams?

And got laughed at here. 

I don't remember a single person who wasn't excited about Dickinson. Vast majority of people recognized that Dickinson would likely be the better college center who gave a better return value

Aspyr

December 1st, 2020 at 5:06 PM ^

I think he does have a similar skill set to McGary but not as athletic as McGary or a Mo Wagner. Some of that might be appearance because he is very stiff. Want to see an outside shot and the ability to drive to hoop because the better teams are going to learn to defend him just waiting around the paint. But he sure does have soft hands - so frustrating seeing every big we have had since McGary fumble every pass to them. His passing and court awareness is also similar to McGary. One thing he seems to be better at than McGary appears to be stamina. 

michengin87

December 1st, 2020 at 5:43 PM ^

I agree.  I was particularly impressed with the soft hands.  I recall one pass in particular that was below his waist and he nimbly grabbed and spun for an easy layup.  I also recall a tapped in put back that he made look so easy.  These both require very nimble hand eye coordination and that will serve him well in his career.  I can't think of too many college kids that impressed me as much as Dickinson did in his 2nd collegiate game.

How will he hold up against legitimate bigs like Garza in the B1G?  Can't wait to find out!

J. Lichty

December 1st, 2020 at 7:43 PM ^

Very few hold up against Garza, and I expect Dickinson will not have his best results defensively against Garza (offensive end a different story).  Teske played some of his worst games results-wise against Garza, who is a NBA level offensive player who also has the refs on his side. That said it is much better year for him to be breaking in with last-year's crop of devastating big men thinned.  Facing Garza and Cockburn in addition to the now departed, Wesson, Oturu, Haarms Happ (or does he still have another 5 years of eligibility?) may have put a lower ceiling on the results a bit more than we should hopefully see. 

AC1997

December 1st, 2020 at 5:15 PM ^

I think his passing is going to translate against a lot of teams - at least until people start getting aggressive with double teams.  I do worry that his post scoring is going to fluctuate a lot against better defenders, better coaches, and with more scouting.  He likes to go the same way frequently and I think we'll see some ups and downs in that regard.

The good news is that the B10 has some good defenses, but the best post defenders from last year are mostly gone. 

BlueLikeJazz

December 1st, 2020 at 6:22 PM ^

Obviously the passing is excellent and he's got good finishing moves, but I think what I like best about his game so far is his decisiveness. Every single clip he catches the ball and within a beat he has decided what to do and initiated it. His passes are quick and confident, and the scoring moves are so efficient. The thing I hate when watching traditional big men play is the slow backing down and hesitation while they decide what to do. It's tedious and largely ineffective. If he can keep that fast decision making and aggressiveness against better defenses he's going to be dangerous.

Michigan4Life

December 1st, 2020 at 7:04 PM ^

Dickinson showed a lot of skills in 2 games but there's so much more that he hasn't shown or needs to be developed. One is perimeter shooting. He hasn't showed it yet and I believe he only attempted 1 3 pt shot. His FT shooting % plus his HS shooting would lend me to think that it'll come when we see team play drop coverage where Dickinson can do pick and pop. He'll be more of a threat than Teske. Another is his post moves. He showed turning to his left but nothing else. He needs to develop variety of post moves and countermoves because he'll face better defender with more size in the B1G. But that's nitpicking at this point considering he's a freshman.

Double-D

December 2nd, 2020 at 12:33 AM ^

Dickinson fired a couple of those laser passes in the BG game as well.  Maybe Harbaugh could give him some playing time this Saturday.  He’s accurate for sure. 

CoolNicePerson

December 2nd, 2020 at 10:07 AM ^

Ace, maybe this question has been asked before, but what is it about zone defenses that seem to make it so difficult for teams on the upper end of a talent gap to overcome? This game reminds me of a few other times over the years where Michigan struggled with an opponent with a far lower KenPom rankings, as well as other notable matchups like Syracuse beating MSU in the 2018 NCAA tournament?

I only know that such teams ran zone defenses because of reading game recaps like those posted on MGoBlog, and while the concept of a zone D is easy enough to grasp I don't get why it seems like such defensive schemes are able to throw such a wrench in the face of colossal talent disparities?