T-Rank Rankings since 02/07/2018 Nova vs. Michigan

Submitted by Indonacious on April 1st, 2018 at 10:38 AM

 

RK TEAM CONF G REC ADJOE ADJDE BARTHAG
1 Michigan 3 B10 14 14–0 122.1 84.3 .9781
2 Villanova 1 BE 16 13–3 129.0 91.7 .9706

Michigan: #1 Defense, #12 Offense (during this span)
Villanova: #15 Defense, #2 Offense

For all the talk about Nova being heavy favorites/unbeatable/largest spread since 2010, the rankings show it may not be that improbable. Since our northwestern loss, they have lost 3 times (while we of course haven't lost during that time). We have essentially equal efficiency rankings during that time. All it takes is one game...let's go! 

http://barttorvik.com/trankslice.php?year=2018&sort=&conlimit=All&begin…

Comments

DrMantisToboggan

April 1st, 2018 at 2:40 PM ^

Nova is averaging 85 points per game this tournament. They just had a historically good shooting night last night. Assuming they come back to average, and possibly a little below average because we will be the best D they face all year, we should be able to hold them to upper 70s or low 80s. We will probably need 86 or so to win, which we have hit 7 times this season. We won't need our best offensive performance to date, but we will need a top 5ish for the season, along with a standard, stellar defensive performance.

 

Nova should be favored, but this matchup isn't impossible.

Franz Schubert

April 1st, 2018 at 6:47 PM ^

Nova has lost 3 times since we lost. The Michigan defense is a game changer, it’s not just good. Tech shut Nova down from 3 with great D, Michigan’s is better. Nova playing a weak defense like Kansas before Michigan will hurt Nova, they are going to be in shock at how pesky Michigan is, and it can get in there heads.