"Wagner's Wager" analysis
Brian has written about the idea that the team's 3-point shooting seems to live-or-die based on the result of Wagner's first three.
Well, someone on reddit did an analysis, and it doesn't seem to be a statistical reality. Obviously, it was probably never a "real" thing anyway, but it's always fun to do the math.
The result of one (1) shot in a data pool of 20+/- doesn't correlate with overall success or failure? Shocking.
Nobody was ever claiming it was a "real" thing that had any real psychological effect on the team, but it did seem like a quirky trend based on anecdotal observation. I find it interesting to see that the trend wasn't actually real.
if he'd missed his first few today with that validated I would have spent the whole game worried
People on Reddit have too much free time on their hands.
Hey Brain, You've made it! Your mere musings motivate someone to invest time testing your thoughts. What else do you want to know?
But I want to believe now!
"...but it's always fun to do the math."
I love MGoBlog. I doubt this comment would appear on any other sports blog,
Did you watch today's game? Confirmation bias was overwhelming today!