Upset Alert: Pitt (5-7) defeats #2 Miami (10-1) 24-14

Submitted by BoFlex on

Looks like the fightin' Narduzzi are turning in their 1 inexplicable upset of the season.

Edit: Miami recovers the onside kick, and driving with 1:53 left

Edit2: Welp, strip fumble recovery by Pitt and no timeouts left for Miami... game, blouses.

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Perkis-Size Me

November 24th, 2017 at 3:31 PM ^

But if they put a real beating on us and on Wisconsin (both of which are distinct possibilities), OSU could leapfrog several teams and still make it in.

If Auburn wins out I think OSU is sunk, but if Bama wins tomorrow and then Georgia loses to either Tech or Bama in the title game, OSU would have a real shot. And that's a terrifying prospect. 

Joined: 11/30/2011

MGoPoints: 105404

lilpenny1316

November 24th, 2017 at 5:12 PM ^

GA Tech will beat UGA, Auburn will beat Alabama, and South Carolina will beat Clemson.  Those underdogs are all playing at home and only GA Tech will probably have a neutral crowd at worst. 

And because karma hates us, OSU will beat us on our own turf.

Am I being cynical or just trying to do a reverse jinx?  I'm too superstitious to say.  

Joined: 11/19/2009

MGoPoints: 61782

Logan88

November 24th, 2017 at 4:12 PM ^

Umm...no they don't.

Neither of their losses were competitive and one of those losses was to a "meh" Iowa squad who put up 66 yards of offense against Wisconsin and just lost at home to freakin Purdue.

OSU has no right to be anywhere near the CFP but, as usual, everything will somehow work out in their favor.

Joined: 01/05/2009

MGoPoints: 8078

DoubleB

November 24th, 2017 at 3:33 PM ^

you just run out of 0 and 1-loss teams. Alabama, Wisconsin, Miami, Oklahoma, Clemson, and Georgia are it. If Alabama runs the table and Wisconsin is out if they lose to Ohio State, who else is there? Alabama, Oklahoma, Clemson-Miami winner, and who?

The one thing that could really hurt them, other than losing, is Auburn (or Georgia) beating Bama making a 2 teams from the SEC a real possibility

Joined: 11/19/2008

MGoPoints: 7470

M-Dog

November 24th, 2017 at 3:41 PM ^

This helps Ohio State (if they win out).

It's not a given that the CFP would put a 2-loss OSU (with 2 very bad losses) in over a 1-loss Miami that lost close to Clemson in the ACC Championship game.

It won't matter now.  The ACC gets one team in only.

Only the SEC can potentially get 2 teams in now, and IMO that is only if Alabama loses tomorrow and is sitting in the clubhouse with 1 loss. 

A 2-loss Auburn or 2-loss Georgia that did not even win their conference are not getting in over a B1G champion OSU that just knocked off an undefeated Wisc.

 

Joined: 07/06/2008

MGoPoints: 256996

Mr Miggle

November 24th, 2017 at 3:54 PM ^

Then maybe TCU gets in. Seriously, the impetus for adding that game was their teams getting left out one year bcause of their horrendous non-conference scheduling. More often, leagues chances would be better without one. True this year for the Big Ten, maybe the SEC and nearly the ACC.

Joined: 10/07/2010

MGoPoints: 47532

Muttley

November 24th, 2017 at 5:15 PM ^

Assuming Clemson doesn't pull a stinker vs S Carolina, the ordering by conference is

  1. SEC Champ (Bama/Aub/GA) 
  2. ACC Winner (Clem/Miami)
  3. Okla if it's Big12 Champ (also smoked OSU)
  4. Wiscy if it's BIG champ
  5. ND tenuous hold on next in line (plays Stanf Sat)
  6. OSU if BIG Champ (2 blowout losses)
  7. USC if PAC-12 champ
  8. TCU if it's it's Big12 Champ

Bama as a loser is the only team IMO that could enable the committee to send two from one conference, for which there will always be enormous political pressure against.  (I could see the committee rejecting a two-loss ND or OSU in favor of a one-loss Bama.  No one else is going to overcome those political headwinds as a second representative of a conference.)

You can argue order/seedings/travel, but I think the above captures In vs Out pretty well.

Joined: 07/07/2009

MGoPoints: -73245

BoFlex

November 24th, 2017 at 5:53 PM ^

I think the worst-case scenario is:

  1. SEC Champion: Alabama (13-0)
  2. ACC Champion: Miami (11-1)
  3. B1G Champion: Ohio State (11-2)
  4. Big-12 Champion: TCU (11-2)
  5. Pac-12 Champion: Stanford (10-3)
  6. B1G Runner-up: Wisconsin (12-1)
  7. SEC Runner-up: Georgia (11-2)
  8. ACC Runner-up: Clemson (11-2)
  9. Big-12 Runner-up: Oklahoma (11-2)
  10. Pac-12 Runner-up: USC (10-3)
  11. Notre Dame (9-3)
  12. AAC Champion: UCF (12-0)

Ohio State could reasonably get a 3-seed in that scenario.

Joined: 05/30/2011

MGoPoints: 5276

Occam's Razor

November 24th, 2017 at 3:29 PM ^

Richt kinda threw this game away when he panicked and benched Rozier in the 4th with 10 minutes left. 

Killed the confidence his team had. Pitt then goes marching for a TD on a crazy 4th down bootleg call. 

Joined: 10/23/2017

MGoPoints: 7178

switch26

November 24th, 2017 at 3:32 PM ^

Freshman qb beats number 2 team.. you wouldn't catch a Michigan team playing a true freshman beating a team they shouldn't.. Lol sad.. 4-7 we can't even beat mediocre teams in our conference

Joined: 02/04/2010

MGoPoints: 8309

gustave ferbert

November 24th, 2017 at 3:36 PM ^

that underdogs should play with.  Say what you will about Narduzzi (and to an even greater extent Dantonio), they know who the better team is, all they care about is winning the game. 

 

I'd love to see that tomorrow. 

Joined: 06/21/2011

MGoPoints: 46359

M-Dog

November 24th, 2017 at 4:44 PM ^

Yeah, this is a valid point.  Nobody that can actually beat us ever gives just an 80% effort. 

MSU, PSU, Iowa, Wisc have all beaten us, but none of it has been an 80% effort on their part (can't always say the same about us.)

Ohio State always gives us 100%.

 Not much opportunity for us to ever sneak up on somebody.

Maybe tomorrow perhaps.  All the Ohio State fans have been treating this as a done deal, their only concern is running up the score to impress the CFP.  They are not expecting a punch in the mouth.

 

 

Joined: 07/06/2008

MGoPoints: 256996