Report: DJ Wilson To Stay In Draft
[Marc-Gregor Campredon]
From DX so very solid:
Sources tell DraftExpress that D.J. Wilson is keeping his name in the 2017 NBA Draft and will not return to Michigan.
— Jonathan Givony (@DraftExpress) May 24, 2017
Our analysis is that this is bad.
Michigan has a couple options to fill the roster spot Wilson is apparently vacating. Illinois State grad transfer Mikyle MacIntosh just withdrew his name from the draft; he's another high-usage, dubious efficiency lower level guy. This is mostly because of his two point shooting. He was 76/44/36 last year on 28% usage. He had a block rate similar to Wilson and could help patch that lineup hole.
The other option is Canadian SF/PF Ignas Brazdeikis, who is currently planning on being a 2018 recruit but is keeping 2017 options open.
UPDATE: It's official.
"D.J. and our coaching staff worked very hard over the last month to get as much information as possible on his draft status," said U-M head coach John Beilein. "Given the data and insight we received, D.J. is confident he is ready to take the next step in his basketball career. We love D.J., and he will always be a Michigan Wolverine. His development over the past three seasons, and particularly this past season, was phenomenal. With continued work, he shows great potential to improve in a similar manner in the NBA. We wish him and his family the very best, and we will always be rooting for him during this draft process and for all the years to come."
Shit.
Honestly we went 1-2 and that's not too bad. If he's got a 1st round guarantee and his dream was always the NBA, well, good luck kid. Go get paid.
hopefully we start to hear some positive chatter on that front soon.
How did he do that without one single hair falling out of place?
That's grace.
Vanilla Ice Ice Baby
damnit. why can't we have nice things?
good luck, dj.
You have people like miles bridges who are lottery locks who come back and DJ wilson who is a first round fringe staying in...wtf spartan kool aid is tom izzo giving his players?
Izzo has a Svengalli- like ability to convince kids who probably should go to stay, while we seem to experience the opposite.
I guess this is just the downside of JB's rapid development of players. They sometimes leave earlier than we would want and maybe earlier than they should. Not begrudging anyone for doing what they feel is right. But, as a fan it stings knowing what could have been next year with DJ on the lineup.
Maybe someone else on the roster while hit the weight room and become the next DJ Wilson, I for one did not expect anything from him this past year.
Izzo's players like him more than Beilein's do, it's pretty simple.
I wouldn't expect Beilein's players to like Izzo.
***Completely baseless speculation alert*** Izzo has some incriminating evidence on his guys that may get unswept from under the rug if they don't return. I'll go put my foil hat back on now.
Since 2010, total # of players that have left early and actually gotten drafted per big Ten school:
Michigan- 7 (presuming Wilson gets drafted)
Indiana- 4 (presuming Thomas Bryant gets drafted)
Ohio State- 4
Maryland- 4 (presuming Trimble gets drafted)
MSU- 2
Wisconsin- 1
Illinois- 1
Iowa- 1
ATTENTION RECRUITS: SEE ABOVE
1: The fact that Beilein has developed this many players to go early when he does not recruit like other top basketball schools is amazing
2: The fact that Beilein has been as successful as he has been with BIG titles and tournament titles and tournament runs is amazing, considering he is usually reloading with under the radar guys
Very hard situation to continue to reload without 5 star talent
Izzo shits on his freshmen so hard that they get Stockholm Syndrome.
Somewhat expected. I've heard that he has a first-round guarantee from the Utah Jazz, who have the 30th pick in the first round. https://t.co/xHf1VFmIuT
— Rod Beard (@detnewsRodBeard) May 24, 2017
Utah always did have an infatuation with short shorts...
Damn dude, NSFW tag, please.
He made the wrong choice. It's just dumb. He needs at least two more years before he'll see the floor in any meaningful capacity. He could have made more money, and had a much better chance of sticking had he come back one more year.
But, we should all be used to it by now. I don't understand why Beilein can't keep players in the program.
How many are contributors?
If you need development, it's still easier to find it by working with pro coaches against pro players 24/7, without worrying about going to class while getting paid.
It would have been great to see more production from him in our uniform, but I understand the decision.
You're not wrong. However, it's pretty widely known that the NBA doesn't give players much time to develop before cutting them loose. That's the gamble. He'd get the same time in the NBA whether he leaves this year or next, so if he could bulk up and work on his offense while getting his degree (don't know how close he is), that seems the best choice to me. Obviously it's easy to cast judgement from my desk, but that's how I see it. I do understand your argument, I just think it's flawed (as you probably feel about mine).
There's a risk for sure. Hopefully our guy gets paid. On that we'll all agree.
How many aren't contributors?
Essentially it's irrelevant. He's a man and he made his choice. I'm not happy he's leaving either, but I'm not a selfish asshole, either.
Getting them to be contributors on an NBA team is not Beilein's job or problem.
His job is to get them drafted, which he happens to have an excellent track record with. What happens after that is on the player and his new team, not the college coach.
That too.
how is this relevant?
(apparently i'm supposed to say this twice in a post).
It's relevant because (IMO) a lot of the guys who leave early end up washing out because they're incomplete products. More time spent prior to reaching the NBA seems best for all but the very top end players.
to develop if they were going to develop. It's really hard to carve out a long career in the NBA and a lot of guys just aren't good enough. Absolutely no guarantee any of these guys would have been better off to come back to college.
If DJ gets picked 30th he gets $2.5M guaranteed. With a $1.6M option in year 3.
http://basketball.realgm.com/nba/info/rookie_scale/2018
Will that set him up for life? No. Is that a whole lot more than his scholarship (which isn't cash that he gets, but whatever). Hell yes. Get that money DJ. Then come get your degree.
However the rumors are that Utah has guaranteed him 30th.
It has been pretty much the consensus that if he came back another year, he would be a lottery pick next year.
Soooo... a bunch of people guessing that he would have been a lottery pick next year makes it "the consensus". Are you serious?
Well, I don't have any specific reference in mind. That was my recollection. If it's mistaken, then I'm wrong.
he could have taken his stock up to lottery level. He had the chance to, but nowhere near was it assured, or even highly likely. He also could have seen his stock drop like GR3 did by coming back. He could have suffered a career ending injury if he came back. He could also be a starter next year on an NBA team. Lot of possibilities, so for a 21-year-old guy with injury history to pass up a likely first round selection would be really tough to do.
A. He starts his free agency clock a year earlier and a year younger.
B. If he doesn't stick in the NBA a fringe first round talent can still get paid millions playing in high level european/chinese leagues. A strech big like Wilson would be highly valued.
C. All of this is preferrable to playing a year for free
It's easy for all of us sitting here to say that they would take a 25% chance of making $10 million vs a 90% chance of making $4 million.
$2.5 Million won't set him up for life? That is the equivalent of making $100k per year for 25 years of work. 80% of America will likely disagree with your statement.
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