MGoQuestion: Can Michigan win the 2017 NCAA Tournament?
Now that the field of 68 is set, how does everyone feel about Michigan's possible chances of making a deep run? Realistically, I think this team can make the Final Four and possibly even the final game. I think Duke will make it from the other side and I'm not sure we'd have enough to beat them in their current state. However, I don't think our draw is too terribly difficult considering the 2 seeds we could have drawn (Duke, Kentucky, Arizona), and Oregon lost a starter for the year recently. According to KenPom, Kansas is the worst 1 seed in the field.. what say you?
If my calculations are correct, approximately 68 teams can win the tournament.
But Sparty has less that 0.00039% chance, so only 67 teams have a realistic chance.
Accordingy to Spartan fans, they would say a -6 percent chance of winning. (Which is 3-9.)
We all know, of course, that the total games played was 12, so the correct percentage from 3-9 is 3 out of 12, or 3/12, or 25%.
So, yeah, they have a good chance.
In sports other than football and math.
Our basketball team won 4 games in 4 days after a plane wreck.
This is one game more than their football team won all season.
Can? Yes
Will? Not likely
Always- Go Blue !!!
Not likely at all. I think there's a vague chance at the Final Four; in fact, I think the second weekend, were we to make it, will be easier to navigate than the first.
But at some point we are going to run into a team that does everything we can do with better players. Walton may ensure that this doesn't happen until deeper in the tournament, but it's going to happen.
I've got us falling in the Elite 8 to Kansas, who I think is exactly the team you are talking about. I know Kansas loves to choke in the tourney, but I think after losing in the Big 12 tourney they will be focused. Frank Mason will be their Burke in the dance and get them to the Final Four.
The Midwest Regional is in Kansas City, MO, less than an hour from KU's Lawrence campus. They'll have a lot of fans there by Saturday. But that's a long way down the road.
I need to focus on the cowboys of Oklahoma State, because I'm ...
Can we? Yes. Will we? Probably not. That's the same answer for about half the field.
Obviously 68 teams could win the tournament. Historically, the lowest seed to win the whole thing has been an 8, so it may be more realistic to say that about the top 32 teams have a chance. Michigan is obviously in the realm of possibilities.
why not us?
I seem to remember that question being asked recently....
If they score more points than each of the teams they play (when they play them), then I really like their chances of winning it all!
March 13th, 2017 at 11:06 PM ^
I'd be happy with 1/3 of these, or 3/9ths if there were 9 choices.
7000:1 odds
So you're saying there's a chance!
Bovada has them at +2500 which would be 25:1. They were at +15000 before the conference tournament.
My bank wouldn't let me deposit (its an international goofy site), even though I had before. I was going to bet $100 and if we won, I would have gotten $15,000!...I just deposited $100, so now I will get $2500...not bad actually and since Mobileye got sold today...that $100 is house money all day!
Of course they CAN. But will they? Would take an incredible effort and some luck. You never know which player or which team will get hot during the tournament. That's what makes it so fun. They can play great but run into someone playing greater. Or they could just have a bad shooting day. No one can take away what they've accomplished this season.
Hoping for a tourney run, but it will be tough. At this point no matter when they get knocked out, mad props for these guys. And if everything falls into place and they can get to the Final Four or better, wouldn't shock me.
These guys deserve continued success. But even a loss can't take away from an incredibly SUCCESSFUL season. LET THE MADNESS BEGIN!!
GO BLUE!!
"Possible but not probable"
With this team, we will tough to beat. I'd say we are only one player short. unfortunately,
Wilt passed away several years ago....go blue
lmao
This team has developed to the point where they can beat anybody on any given night, but the level of competition in the NCAA tournament is just much more difficult than the B1G tourney, and it requires 6 games to win it, not 4. I just don't see this team winning more than 4 given the odds.
While Beilein has turned this team into one no one wants to play, at the end of the day, this is a team with 1-2 NBA players (non-lottery), at best. In order to win a championship they will have to beat ~3 teams that feature 3-4+ NBA guys (featuring a lottery guy or two). That's VERY tough to do. During the NCG-Elite 8 run, we were trotting out 5 NBA guys. I think you'll find most championship teams look more like that than what we're rolling with this year, sadly.
Correct response.
None of the B1G teams have a deep team this year.
The elite teams have size, length and shooters at every position including the bench.
If you have a deep team, you can afford to hack at our good players.
YES, AND THEY WILL
at the right time. Elite eight entirely possible.
Then if you get that far, who knows?
Anyone else notice that Hollis is an exact voice twin of the creapy prosecuting attorney from "Making a Murderer." I bet he talks about how he has a $300,000 house to the young NCAA interns.
I think there's a small chance to reach the Final Four, but anything beyond that is unlikely. In order to make the championship game again, I think there'd have to be mammoth upsets in the South or else we'd be likely to face UNC or Kentucky, which seems too steep a mountain to climb.
incredible bounce from past successes. I am hoping for the worst for Izzo-troll-boy, and for Hollis, who seems like a real smarmy AD to me. Oh, I'll just thrown in the football program on the burn pile too. F msu
Familiarity bias. I will choose Michigan to win it all in one of my brackets, but I can see the logic of choosing Okla St. over Michigan. A 10 over a 7 upset is not at all unlikely, Michigan may be gassed, OSU's #1 Kenpom offense lights it up which covers up bad defense, etc.
#7 UConn did it in 2014. Just win six games. Anything can happen.
Go Blue
I don't think fatigue will be an issue when you're talking about playing on Sunday and then playing on Friday.
UConn. Both were low (9 and 7) seeds led by senior point guards (Kemba and Shabazz), and made it to the finals of their conference tournament (won Big East in '11, and lost American title game). I'm not sure either of those teams was necessarily more talented than Michigan this year, they both just got on a roll in their conference tourney and kept going.
These are the types of thoughts we are allowed to have on Monday of the week of Round 1.
Sure its possible, but I'm not getting my hopes up. I think this team can play with anyone on when its on its game, but let's say we managed to somehow, someway make the title game. You're more than likely going to meet a Duke or a Villanova on the other side. I'm not entirely sure that even on our best night, we'd be able to beat those guys. We'd have to play a flawless game, and they'd have to make some game-defining mistakes.
If Michigan managed to win it all this year, it would go down as probably one of the most improbable runs, if not the most improbable run, in college basketball history. You're going to have to beat a slew of bluebloods to ascend to that mountaintop. Teams full of blue chip lottery picks.
It can happen, but I'd sleep on it.
but I think that's the max they can go unless there are some other dark horses in the final 4.
The way we are playing over the last month is very different than much of what went on earlier in the season. Should the level of play continue, good things can happen, but it is a daunting first weekend. If we get by Louisville, all bets are off.
I don't think Michigan has a realistic chance to win it. There are some holes and inconsistencies. Unfortunately, we've been riding a hot streak, which came at a great time...but you can't count on some of these guys every game. Zak Irvin is a guy who could go out and have a really cold game, for example. And Wagner getting into foul trouble could be very problematic.
Strong disagree. Michigan has been playing like an elite team for 15-16 games now.
They won the Big Ten Tournament despite some poor/mediocre shooting performances versus Purdue and Minnesota and are blowing out teams left and right.
This isn't a hot streak or a fluke.