CFP Rankings Speculation

Submitted by lhglrkwg on

Welp. I'm as pissed as anyone but fortunately Michigan still controls its own destiny.

Today was the classic late season, everyone loses Saturday and we thought it would be dull. So with #2 Clemson, #3 Michigan, #4 Washington, "#8" Texas A&M & #9 Auburn all losing what happens Tuesday? Believe it or not, our loss was probably the most respectable of them all with Clemson losing at home to a similar team and Washington lost by double-digits at home to a ranked team.

I have no idea how you sort this out. Do we even drop? I'm guessing

  1. Alabama
  2. Ohio State
  3. Michigan??
  4. Louisville??
  5. Clemson
  6. Washington

It's going to be hard for the committee to justify throwing Louisville past Clemson and all the way up to 3 and no one else can really justify overtaking us but OSU. Is there a shot we stay put with a last second loss on the road at night?

mediocracy2

November 13th, 2016 at 2:02 AM ^

but OSU has a ridculously good secondary. Actually, it pisses me off that those fu*kers have that much talent back there. The run game is what's going to have to be clicking to have a shot in Columbus.... On the flip side - Our run defense is very solid outside of Peppers so that's a plus when trying to visualize the matchup.

WinThyGame

November 13th, 2016 at 12:05 AM ^

Probably 4 or 5. I truly think Louisville is a better team than Clemson and would beat them on a neutral field. 

1. Alabama

2. Ohio State

3. Louisville

4. Michigan

5. Clemson

6. Wisconsin

7. Washington

mediocracy2

November 13th, 2016 at 2:09 AM ^

I would go....

1 Alabama (benefactor of a weak conference)

2 OSU

3 Clemson (can't put Louisville ahea of them yet)

4 BLUE

5 Louisville (sceptically)

6 Washington

Weird that all of the teams that lost today really can't drop much further than this. Will be intersting to see what plays out with PSU, seeing as they clearly played a flukey game to beat OSU and may very well find themselves getting beat by Wisconsin in the BIG championship game... WTF

Bigku22

November 13th, 2016 at 12:06 AM ^

This loss is meaningless. If we beat OSU we still go to the B1G title game and if we win that we still make the playoff. Clemson and UW both lost today. Everything is still in front of us. 

If anything this should refocus our team, tough loss can be a good thing. 

 

doggdetroit

November 13th, 2016 at 12:59 AM ^

I disagree that this loss is meaningless. Given what transpired today, a Michigan win would have essentially rendered the OSU game meaningless. Had Michigan beaten Iowa, the top 5 would have looked like this:



1) Alabama

2) Michigan

3) Ohio State

4) Louisville/Clemson

5)Clemson/Louisville



Under this scenario, I don't see how a close loss to #3 OSU would drop #2 Michigan out of the top 4 considering neither Louisville or Clemson have any marquee games left on their schedules. You could move one of those team over Michigan but there's no way you could move both of them up. 



That said, you are correct that Michigan is very much alive and in control of their playoff destiny.

funkywolve

November 13th, 2016 at 3:13 PM ^

Losing to Iowa ended UM's chances of making the playoffs if they lose to OSU. With all the upsets yesterday, if UM could have scraped out a win I think they would have had a strong chance at making the playoffs at 11-1, if the loss to OSU was close.

ESNY

November 13th, 2016 at 12:30 AM ^

Don't see any way Louisville is ahead of Clemson or Michigan. We have three wins that are better than any of their wins. Clemson is similar. Having the "best" loss shouldn't overrule much better wins.

I Like Burgers

November 13th, 2016 at 12:50 AM ^

I think we'll be behind both Louisville and Clemson.  Something like

1. Bama (10-0)

2. Ohio State (9-1)

3. Clemson (9-1)

4. Michigan (9-1)

5. Louisville (9-1)

6. Washington (9-1)

7. Wisconsin (8-2)

8. Penn State (8-2)

9. Oklahoma (8-2)

10. Colorado (8-2)

Although I think 4/5 is a coin flip.  And that top 10 gives Michigan three top 10 wins which is better than anyone else, so....who the fuck knows.  Maybe Michigan moves up with a loss, LOL.

wolfman81

November 13th, 2016 at 12:07 AM ^

I mean, I don't see them falling past Wisconsin. Clemson and Washington both just lost at home. I guess I could see them flip with Louisville since Clemson > Iowa.

Win and make the playoffs. It is that easy. This week's rankings won't matter that much.