High chance of rain on Saturday
November 19th, 2018 at 7:27 AM ^
You do realize that a forecast 6 days away isn’t accurate at all?
November 19th, 2018 at 7:29 AM ^
Except weather modeling has gotten much more accurate in the last 10 years, and the forecasts are usually correct. People said there was going to be bad weather during the game against state almost a week before the game, and they were 100% correct.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:37 AM ^
As someone who works with weather on a daily basis it’s gotten better but it’s still nearly impossible to predict weather in the Great Lakes/ Ohio River valley with any accuracy this far out. It’s improved from blindly throwing darts at a wall to maybe a 30% accuracy this far out.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:37 AM ^
They are still way off. We had a 70% of no snow this past Sunday. They were wrong.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:43 AM ^
It snowed at my house on Sunday.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:44 AM ^
My work relies on the weather. Your assertion is absolutely incorrect when you get to the local level.
Ill give you Friday for an example. The Detroit channels told me there were only a few scattered light flurries forecast that morning. My weather apps told me the highest possibility of snow flurries was 7%. What we got was a snow squall lasting for 90 minutes and dropping an inch of snow. And that was within two hours of watching the forecasts and minutes of checking the apps.
The models and forecasting are very imprecise even now when it comes to local weather. Regional weather forecasting and determining trends are better.
November 19th, 2018 at 9:06 AM ^
Get out of here before we bash you, nerd. We listen to mgoweather the day of the game and that's it - no other weather nerds.
November 19th, 2018 at 9:25 AM ^
Dude, you're on a Michigan blog - you should probably clarify the type of nerd you're talking about...
November 19th, 2018 at 9:29 AM ^
Yeah, I mean the weather on the day of the MSU game was all over the weather map. I mean sunny, partly cloudy, followed by lightning and heavy rain, followed by hail, followed by sunny skies, followed by cloudy conditions and the threat of more rain. Now, that was a Great Lakes day of weather and fulfilled the old Michigan saw, if you don't like the weather, wait 15 minutes and you will be amply rewarded, because it is dead certain to change.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:09 AM ^
The weather is only accurate when the forecast is for the exact opposite kind of weather you're hoping for.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:28 AM ^
If Michigan plays smart with no turnovers and establishes a better run game, they will win. 28-24 Michigan.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:28 AM ^
In this instance I think rain actually helps us. OSU is an Air Raid team. Tougher to pass in the rain.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:49 AM ^
As long as our player realixr that on every offensive play they'll try to strip the ball . I find myself screaming at the tv sometimes as if reminding them, when it's evident they are carrying the ball sloppily. Hopefully one of the players/staff is reading this and prepares.
November 19th, 2018 at 9:05 AM ^
Need to practice playing with wet balls.
November 19th, 2018 at 9:26 AM ^
Is this why Urbane kept Zach Smith around?
November 19th, 2018 at 8:46 AM ^
Also, Shea throws with a glove on his right hand, so if it’s raining you’d think the grip issue wouldn’t be a problem since he’s already used to wearing it.
November 19th, 2018 at 10:38 AM ^
Would agree with this 100%. In this instance, I'd think this favors us considerably.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:29 AM ^
Eh, that could help us. Our quarterback can run. Theirs cannot.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:54 AM ^
He ran for 60 yards last Saturday just sayin...
November 19th, 2018 at 8:13 AM ^
Our QB is better at running then...
November 19th, 2018 at 8:47 AM ^
Yeah, but Maryland's defense would give up a first down to a corpse, so quality of competition and all that....
November 19th, 2018 at 8:48 AM ^
That's two thirds of his entire output for the season just sayin...
November 19th, 2018 at 8:49 AM ^
November 19th, 2018 at 7:33 AM ^
Let the daily hand-wringing about the weather forecast begin.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:50 AM ^
November 19th, 2018 at 9:11 AM ^
Your comment yesterday was the first thing I thought of when I saw this thread. Lol
November 19th, 2018 at 12:02 PM ^
That stupid Dantonio weather machine strikes again. Dude broke his machine trying to call for a tornado for our game and we've been stuck with crappy weather in the midwest ever since.
November 19th, 2018 at 7:33 AM ^
As a golfer who watches the weather a lot, the weather people can hardly tell you what's going to happen tomorrow let alone Saturday at game time
Start worrying about it if by Thursday they're still saying its going to rain
November 19th, 2018 at 8:52 AM ^
November 19th, 2018 at 9:11 AM ^
Well it gives them something to worry about, which is just a notch below oxygen and water among life-giving forces for Michigan fans.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:55 AM ^
No better authority than a weather watching golfer. Thanks Stan!
November 19th, 2018 at 7:37 AM ^
I wouldn't over think it yet. I know it's like this everywhere but I swear in Columbus we've had the most jacked up forecasts this fall as I can ever remember. As of yesterday weather.com had 80% of showers and now that is down to 50% with "scattered showers in the am".
Accuweather moved from a 65% chance of rain to 25% with "few possible scattered rain". It's going to change a million times. On Saturday both sites had over 85% chance of rain.
And if you are wondering the reason I'm so obsessed with the weather it's because I'd like to have one more "hang outside all day by a huge bonfire with college football on" Saturdays :)
November 19th, 2018 at 7:54 AM ^
We use running as the core of our offense. OSU hasn't been able to run the ball all year. Our QB is the more mobile one for the first time in forever. We want rain...
November 19th, 2018 at 7:56 AM ^
I forecast about 5 more of these threads before the week is over, and I bet I'm more accurate than the weatherman.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:08 AM ^
High chance of Michigan victory on Saturday - weather independent
November 19th, 2018 at 8:17 AM ^
No matter, rain is no longer an impediment. Refer to spartoons game earlier this year.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:25 AM ^
You mean the game in which we fumbled twice? One of which set up their only score.
November 19th, 2018 at 9:26 AM ^
In fairness that fumble was due to a fall on grass...anOSU has field turf, so that presumably wouldn’t be an issue.
November 19th, 2018 at 10:47 AM ^
Their only score. I'm fine with that result at Columbus if repeated. :)
November 19th, 2018 at 8:20 AM ^
While playing in the rain doesn't make running an offense easier for either team, I'd suspect that playing in the rain hurts OSU more than it does Michigan.
Michigan is going to try and establish the run game as it has all year, which has gotten better and better as the weeks have gone on, and its exactly what you want to be able to fall back on if inclement weather comes your way. OSU is much more of an Air Raid team this year than what its been previously under Meyer. Their strength is in the passing game, which is much more hindered in rain than the run game. Their run game, while not bad, is not what it's been over the past few years. Their OL is not what its been, either.
If I'm Harbaugh this week, I'm emphasizing the hell out of ball security. If Michigan wants to find a surefire way to lose this game, its turnovers. Look no further than last year's MSU game. When the rain comes, trust your OL and your run game. OSU's defense has been bad for most of the year, and you should at least be able to get chunks here and there.
Let OSU be the one to make mistakes. Haskins has shown he can commit costly turnovers.
November 19th, 2018 at 9:32 AM ^
Body blows
November 19th, 2018 at 8:30 AM ^
Rain is absolutely good for us. A.) OSU can't stop the run. B.) OSU has found success by throwing those 5 yard comeback and out routes, which will become much more difficult if everything is slippery.
Of course, if it's raining I bet we see a lot more Tate Martell.
November 19th, 2018 at 9:32 AM ^
By all means, please bring in the redshirt freshman that has only appeared in a few specific goal-line packages this year, and has ZERO experience running OSU's entire offense in a real game.
That would be fun...
November 19th, 2018 at 8:33 AM ^
NOAA forecast for Saturday:
- @tailgate = 75% chance of rain, 42 degrees, wind 6-11 mph
- @kick-off = 65% chance of rain, 50 degrees, wind 6-11 mph
- @game-end = 40% chance of rain, 48 degrees, wind 4-9 mph
November 19th, 2018 at 8:47 AM ^
The temp is going to be around 50 with light winds. Unless the rain is heavy it will not affect the game one way or the other...the field should be in decent condition-no precipitation in the days ahead. Otherwise, the weather is not an advantage nor a disadvantage to either team-both have excellent passing and running options. Just execute and make the plays.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:50 AM ^
It’s Monday. Take a breath.
November 19th, 2018 at 8:58 AM ^
Our run offense and run defense >>> their run offense and run defense
November 19th, 2018 at 9:32 AM ^
OSU's offense is entirely dependent on passing, particularly short timing passes. If the weather limits that, they're screwed.