Mich/Penn St predictions
Noon BTN
Finally back at home on throwback day. A lot of former players will be in the house today. Burke and THJ will lead us to the win this afternoon. I will predict that GR3 will throw down a nice slam today. J Morgan will play more today and really need him healthy for the bottom of the stretch.
Michigan 78
Penn St 57
February 17th, 2013 at 9:44 AM ^
Puts up 20 because it's at home against Penn state. Gotta get him going on the road.
February 17th, 2013 at 9:46 AM ^
After that, it depends if Beilein sets up a competition in the 2nd half among players for playing time.
February 17th, 2013 at 9:50 AM ^
Take no prisoners and get their minds right.
February 17th, 2013 at 9:51 AM ^
Michigan. We'll be up by over 20 in the first half, but frequent substitutions and a lack of urgency will whittle the margin down a bit in the second half.
February 17th, 2013 at 9:55 AM ^
72-50
February 17th, 2013 at 9:56 AM ^
M wins by less than 15, I read the thread and get pissed off at the unacceptable crowd.
February 17th, 2013 at 9:58 AM ^
74-58 M
February 17th, 2013 at 9:58 AM ^
Massy is going with a 99% win probability for Michigan and a predicted margin of thirty points, and the line for this game has typically sat near 20 points at most sites, I believe. This would be a statistical way of saying "pain", I would assume.
Here is a summary comparison with just in-conference games factored in:
Offensive Stat Comparison | ||
|
Penn St. | Michigan |
Points/Game | 56.2 | 71.7 |
Avg Score Margin | -12.5 | 7.9 |
Assists/Game | 9.3 | 14.8 |
Total Rebounds/Gm | 33.6 | 34.6 |
Effective FG % | 39.8% | 54.2% |
Off Rebound % | 29.1% | 31.9% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
|
||
|
Penn St. | Michigan |
Opp Points/Game | 67.3 | 61.0 |
Opp Effective FG % | 49.1% | 49.5% |
Off Rebounds/Gm | 10.9 | 10.4 |
Def Rebounds/Gm | 22.7 | 24.2 |
Blocks/Game | 3.6 | 2.9 |
Steals/Game | 4.9 | 6.2 |
I don't foresee too much difficulty here, given the predictive stats myself. I would say that we stand a good chance of winning comfortably against Penn State in our own house. I'll go with Michigan in a 76-56-ish performance.
February 17th, 2013 at 9:59 AM ^
Another one of our statements days... The boys have had five days to rest, and they need to take out some pent up frustration. Go Blue.
February 17th, 2013 at 10:09 AM ^
occur. Swag also happens for the first time in a few games
February 17th, 2013 at 10:17 AM ^
74-52. Close early, then Michigan puts the hammer down at about the 10-minute mark of the 1st half. Next thing you know, we're up 15 late in the first half, and the drama is done for the afternoon.
February 17th, 2013 at 10:19 AM ^
Mcgary will have a big day he has been improving against great competition. He will use what he's learned the past couple weeks and have a break out game against poor competition.
February 17th, 2013 at 10:21 AM ^
65-60 UM doesn't look good again. You can tell the guys are getting tired as the season goes on and I think it shows again today.
February 17th, 2013 at 10:27 AM ^
That they have looked tired but their young kids and they finally got a little time off I do not think that will be an issue.
February 17th, 2013 at 10:49 AM ^
They're
February 17th, 2013 at 10:55 AM ^
Grammar 5-0
February 17th, 2013 at 11:25 AM ^
Needs at least one comma...
*I just can't help myself sometimes. Grammar and punctuation are what make our language readable. Without them it's just a jumble of words. Our schools are failing us on the most basic level here. As Brian likes to say; "Cumong man".
February 17th, 2013 at 11:32 AM ^
Go to Kenpom and read some of the names of the schools ranked similarly to Penn State.
Elon, Rider, High Point, Bryant, Lafayette, UC Davis, Wagner, Gardner Webb.
You're entitled to your opinion, but do you actually think Michigan is going to only beat some of those schools by 5 at home? Because Penn State is just about as bad as they are.
February 17th, 2013 at 11:43 AM ^
All I will say is upsets, no mater how big, have happened. Obviously I hope I'm completely wrong and UM blows then out but I just think a young tired team will come in dogging it trying too not put much energy into this game because of how bad State is. You can say "oh Belien won't allow it". But they are young, and young people do what young people want to do.
February 17th, 2013 at 8:01 PM ^
good thing PSU is as bad as they are.
February 17th, 2013 at 10:26 AM ^
PSU couldn't come at a better time. GRIII and McGary have big games and we cruise to a 25 point win..... 72-47.
February 17th, 2013 at 10:54 AM ^
I think it will be close for the first 10 minutes, but the floodgates will burst open after that. They've had 5 days off, they're at home, and its against a school that's winless in B1G competition. If they win by any less than 20, today is a disappointment. No excuses today. But, I don't think that will happen.
91-60 UM
February 17th, 2013 at 10:59 AM ^
Michigan wins 81-62
February 17th, 2013 at 11:21 AM ^
thinking Kenpom is at -25 and it's a gimme bet. Also took over 131. But then I read some of these comments and I hedged it with a parlay of PSU +21.5 and the under. My gut feeling is Michigan barely covers the 22 point spread with a garbage time field goal with less than a minute to go. Who the hell knows about the O/U?
February 17th, 2013 at 2:06 PM ^
Looks like it might be a two-point game at PSU.
February 17th, 2013 at 2:09 PM ^
and that's the important thing.
February 17th, 2013 at 11:26 AM ^
Option A. UM blows out PSU early and cruises in the 2nd half. UM 80, PSU 55.
Option B. UM comes out flat. PSU hangs around. UM gets down to business in the 2nd half and pulls away. UM 80, PSU 55.
Option C. Treat Options A and B as discrete quantum states and Option C is a superposition of A and B with the outcome of UM 80 PSU 55.
Any other deviation from a UM blowout would be a violation of the laws of physics and I would have to dump the standard model to explain such a violation. But kids seem to not want to follow rules which is what makes college sports so fun. Let us hope for at least one day that the magic that is college sports does not happen and reality stays the course for one day.
February 17th, 2013 at 11:50 AM ^
Pain.
(for PSU, obviously)
February 17th, 2013 at 11:51 AM ^
We reach 100 points.
February 17th, 2013 at 11:53 AM ^
Hopefully, this is an easy game.
Michigan 87
PSU 51
February 17th, 2013 at 11:54 AM ^
This team is incredibly consistent in how inconsistent they play. So, that being said, we get slightly concerned in the first 10 minutes of the 1st half as we volley the lead back and forth with PSU for a while. We eventually wake up and end the 1st half up by 11. We continue that dominance in the 2nd half until we're up by 26 with 7 mins left. By that time, we cool down and start emptying the bench and end the game with a 74-59 victory.
February 17th, 2013 at 12:15 PM ^
Win by less than we should, but a win's a win.