Jerry Palm: Rose Bowl for Michigan
Jerry Palm released his 2012-2013 bowl projections that include Michigan (Big Ten Champ) facing Oregon (Pac-12 # 2, USC gets picked for the MNCG).
Obligatory statement about the utter ridiculousness of predicting bowl games before a single game of the season has been played? Check.
The reason I bring this up (as opposed to other prognosticators) is that last year around this time, he had Michigan in a BCS bowl (the Fiesta) and most people were taken aback at his "silly" (but not so silly looking back on it) faith in Michigan.
And it's not just that he correctly predicted Michigan into a BCS bowl, he also predicted Michigan's losses to MSU and Iowa.
At the very least, it's nice to see us in the conversation for high-profile bowls, championships, etc. You know, how it should be.
predictions...lets play some GD football
August 2nd, 2012 at 10:47 PM ^
Second that. I don't care what Harry Palm thinks. No polls till October 1.
Ehh.. This guy must not have been paying attention last year when the picks were based entirely on interesting matchups and excitement factor, AKA Money. There's not a chance in hell Louisville makes it to the Sugar Bowl to play Bama. And there's probably no chance Boise gets to a BCS game. If they didn't get to one last year they won't this year. I think they take a big step back without Moore.
but that didn't stop me from getting my airfare to LAX three weeks ago. Rose Bowl Bound!!!
I have hotel reservations. Waiting for some football before I get air fare.
You both make me feel like a real jerk for not planning ahead like that.
Strong work.
Also, agree with the OP. Preseason predictions are stupid, but things seem very normal when we are predicted to be awesome. If it makes anybody feel better, I am having the same feelings that I had before the '03 season. Heisman finalist, victories in all four of our rivalry games (I'm including you Minnesota because I love that jug so GD much) and a Big Ten title. I'm down.
Don't worry, I don't have anything booked yet either.
Not too ridiculous considering we are a favorite to win the B1G along with Wisconsin and MSU. Perhaps this reflects his thoughts on how those games will play out.
USC is by no means a lock. Last year they let 4 teams tag them for a combined 167 pts, and the 2 biggest regulation scores weren't against Stanford or Oregon. They have a great qb, but their defense is very suspect, and their play on both sides of the ball is very incosistent. They very much remind me of our Team 131. F.I. the beat Arizona at home, but it was 48-41 in regulation, similar to our Illinois game. Then they lost at ASU 43-22, and ASU had a losing record, barely squeezing out 2 scores against the good Illinois defense the week before. DeAnthony Thomas is gonna light them up this year when they play Oregon.
They're not a lock, but obviously the sure favorite to get there. Oregon is their toughest opponent, but they now have to play the extra game (PAC 12 title game), so that gives them one more chance to lose.
And oh my, I don't want anymore of Oregon. They smacked us twice and I've had enough with that. The 2003 game wasn't as close as the score indicates. M had some late scoring that made the game seem more competitive. I won't even talk about details of the 2007 game in which they absolutely dismantled M.
We didn't run the ball well, but we shouldn't have lost that game... that was special teams disaster. And we recovered the onside kick in the 4th with a couple of minutes... we had a chance to win that game.
So here's my ePunch to the mouth for the writer.
like a drum,beat ohio state keep it close against bama and thats a pretty good season
Sorry, but guessing correctly on last year does not make me trust him more this year. In fact, that means he was just pulling things out of his ass last year. I can't think of many rational people that were predicting 11-2 for us before last season.
I don't know if just because his thoughts last year differed from the majority of peoples' and he happened to be very close to correct means he was "pulling stuff out of his ass". Could it be that he sees things others don't? Or that they may overlook?
Honestly I tend to agree with you, I think a lot of what went in to last year's predictions for Michigan done by him were "Well, Michigan can't stay bad for so long can they? Why not?"
Also, I wonder if he is influenced by the fact that some of the most stellar seasons schools have are in their first couple years with a new coach.
Neither is people assuming a team is exactly the same as it was the year before (as people did with Michigan last year and seem to be doing with Alabama this year). People who actually looked at the roster saw that the team was going to get substantially better as virtually no one departed, players returned from injury, and young contributors continued to grow/emerge.
This year is not much different. The same "rationalists" are worried about the major losses we suffered on defense (2 starters from the Sugar Bowl, only one of whom was an NFL draft pick), while underestimating the dramatic improvement that will come from not having to learn a brand new offense, bringing back so many promising young players and first time starters who are only going to get better (Ryan/Gordon, Beyer/Clark, Morgan/Hawthorne, Countess, Avery, Gordon), and having the opportunity to incorporate many more potential contributors who are waiting in the wings (guys like Ash, Washington, Furman, M. Robinson, Rawls, Taylor, and the entire incoming freshman class).
This team is going to be really good.
Is no guarantee of future performance.
She said...
This is a bunch of hogwash, but I am lovin' the Dec. 27 Military Bowl between ND and Miami(NTM).
Considering neither TCU nor West Virginia are in the Big East, no, those weren't the ones. They were Louisville and Boise State. In fact, WVU or TCU would have been much better choices.
I was looking at the predictions here and caught myself thinking , wow no Ohio state thats a bold prediction...... lol
I am still sticking to my opinion that there isn't anyone on the schedule Michigan can't beat, and that everyone except Bama has at least one "fatal flaw" for Michigan to exploit.
As for Palm, he is eerily good at predicting who gets into the NCAA Baskeball Tournament and who doesn't. He may turn out to be that good at football, too.
I am still sticking to my opinion that there isn't anyone on the schedule Michigan can't beat, and that everyone except Bama has at least one "fatal flaw" for Michigan to exploit.
As for Palm, he is eerily good at predicting who gets into the NCAA Baskeball Tournament and who doesn't. He may turn out to be that good at football, too.
The easier it gets...... Yes, very tough road wins, but possible with a Sr QB...It can be won with help from incoming frosh suPRIZES...
I was looking it over on ESPN yesterday and, while certainly a gauntlet, it's not like we can't do it. Alabama, Ohio, Nebraska, and Notre Dame are all winnable games for us. It's not out of the question we go 3-1 out of those 4.
I'd feel much more confident if we had more experience on our lines though, I hope they can gel together well throughout the season.
August 2nd, 2012 at 11:18 PM ^
I think that we're underrated. WHAT DO YOU GUYS THINK? We're definitely underrated. RIGHT?
August 2nd, 2012 at 11:29 PM ^
Looking over the Legends, I don't see a dominate team. I think it will be close between Michigan, NE and MSU. Even the top teams in our division may lose 2 to 3 conference games. The prediction looks quite reasonable for Michigan to win the Legends and beat the Leader winner in the B1G championship game!
I wouldn't mind going 8-4, win the B1G conference and play in the Rosebowl. Of course I'm always rooting for the team to go undefeated!!!!