Dual QB Statistical Analysis

Submitted by Son of Lloyd Brady on

Due to extreme boredom at work as well as my curiosity for how Denard matched up with other dual-threat QB’s last year, I decided to compare him with RGIII, KSU’s Collin Klein, Taylor Martinez, & Braxton Miller. None of my statistics are groundbreaking, I am not the Mathlete, but I do find the stats interesting and some a bit suprising.

Denard Robinson

 

COMP % 55.04%
YPA 8.422
ATT/TD 36.857
ATT/INT 17.200
TD/INT 1.333
QB-RATING 139.73
YDS/GM 90.462
YDS/RUSH 5.321
RUSH/TD 13.813

 

 

 

OOC STATS* (5 GAMES)

CONF STATS (8 GAMES)

1ST 6 GAMES

LAST 7 GAMES

HOME                (8 GAMES)

AWAY & NEUTRAL (5 GAMES)

SEASON

P.A.

93

165

117

141

140

118

258

P.A./GM

18.6

20.625

19.5

20.143

17.5

23.6

19.846

P.C.

44

98

67

75

84

58

142

P.C./GM

8.8

12.25

11.167

10.714

10.5

11.6

10.923

COMP %

47.31%

59.39%

57.26%

53.19%

60.00%

49.15%

55.04%

YDS

741

1432

1130

1043

1310

863

2173

YPA

7.968

8.679

9.658

7.397

9.357

7.314

8.422

TDS

8

12

10

10

13

7

20

INTS

7

8

9

6

8

7

15

ATT/TD

11.625

13.75

11.7

14.1

10.769

14.75

36.857

ATT/INT

13.286

20.625

13

23.5

17.5

16.857

17.200

TD/INT

1.14

1.50

1.11

1.67

1.63

1.00

1.33

RUSHES

84

137

102

119

141

80

221

RUSH/GM

16.8

17.125

17

17

17.625

16

17

YDS

565

611

720

456

919

257

1176

YDS/GM

113

76.375

120

65.143

114.875

51.4

90.462

YDS/RUSH

6.726

4.460

7.059

3.832

6.518

3.213

5.321

TDS

5

11

8

8

11

5

16

RUSH/TD

16.8

12.455

12.75

14.875

12.818

16

13.813

In out of conference games (OOC) Denard was atrocious throwing the ball, with nearly 1-1 TD/INT ratio and less than 48% completion. However, he was very effective running the ball at almost 7 YPC. In conference games, his passing stats improved quite a bit but rushing took a dip, except for RUSH/TD which actually increased. His statistics for home games compared to conference games are very similar to one another, as are away and neutral compared to OOC games.

Personally, I felt like Denard looked much better later in the season than his numbers indicate, and aside from his ATT’s/INT the last 7 games his numbers actually decreased in proficiency.

RGIII

COMP %

72.39%

YPA

10.679

ATT/TD

10.865

ATT/INT

67.000

TD/INT

6.167

QB-RATING

189.47

YDS/GM

53.769

YDS/RUSH

3.905

RUSH/TD

17.9

 

 

OOC STATS* (4 GAMES)

CONF STATS (9 GAMES)

1ST 6 GAMES

LAST 7 GAMES

HOME                (7 GAMES)

AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES)

SEASON

P.A.

114

288

182

220

208

194

402

P.A./GM

28.5

32

30.333

31.429

29.714

32.333

30.923

P.C.

93

198

142

149

154

137

291

P.C./GM

23.25

22

23.667

21.286

22

22.833

22.385

COMP %

81.58%

68.75%

78.02%

67.73%

74.04%

70.62%

72.39%

YDS

1257

3036

1950

2343

2379

1914

4293

YPA

11.026

10.542

10.714

10.650

11.438

9.866

10.679

TDS

14

23

22

15

23

14

37

INTS

0

6

2

4

1

5

6

ATT/TD

8.143

12.522

8.273

14.667

9.043

13.857

10.865

ATT/INT

#DIV/0!

48

91

55

208

38.8

67

TD/INT

#DIV/0!

3.833

11

3.75

23

2.8

6.167

RUSHES

42

137

72

107

97

82

179

RUSH/GM

10.5

15.222

12

15.286

13.857

13.667

13.769

YDS

222

477

295

404

431

268

699

YDS/GM

55.5

53

49.167

57.714

61.571

44.667

53.769

YDS/RUSH

5.286

3.482

4.097

3.776

4.443

3.268

3.905

TDS

2

8

2

8

5

5

10

RUSH/TD

21

17.125

36

13.375

19.4

16.4

17.9

 

 

If it seemed like RGIII was putting up video game numbers to open last season, well he wasn’t because you can’t put up numbers like that in video games. He started with amazing proficiency and I got all too well known #DIV/O! error message for his OOC ATT/INT & TD/INT because he didn’t throw any picks until conference play. Although his stats weren’t as gaudy in conference, I’m sure any QB in the nation would have accepted that level of play as he was still extremely effective.

What I find most amazing is that over the first 6 games, he averaged only one pick per 91 passing attempts. From there his stats plummeted to a dismal INT every 55 throws.

/s, obviously.

I’m not analyzing any more of his stats because they are all incredible and I guess that’s why he won that Heisman thing I keep hearing about.

 

Collin Klein

 

COMP %

57.30%

YPA

6.826

ATT/TD

21.615

ATT/INT

46.833

TD/INT

2.167

QB-RATING

125.64

YDS/GM

87.769

YDS/RUSH

3.599

RUSH/TD

11.741

 

 

 

OOC STATS* (4 GAMES)

CONF STATS (9 GAMES)

1ST 6 GAMES

LAST 7 GAMES

HOME                (7 GAMES)

AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES)

SEASON

P.A.

87

194

119

162

141

140

281

P.A./GM

21.750

21.556

19.833

23.143

20.143

23.333

21.615

P.C.

50

111

70

91

78

83

161

P.C./GM

12.5

12.333

11.667

13

11.143

13.833

12.385

COMP %

57.47%

57.22%

58.82%

56.17%

55.32%

59.29%

57.30%

YDS

508

1410

739

1179

957

961

1918

YPA

5.839

7.268

6.210

7.278

6.787

6.864

6.826

TDS

5

8

7

6

6

7

13

INTS

2

4

3

3

4

2

6

ATT/TD

17.4

24.25

17

27

23.5

20

21.615

ATT/INT

43.5

48.5

39.667

54

35.25

70

46.833

TD/INT

2.5

2

2.333

2

1.5

3.5

2.167

RUSHES

90

227

138

179

180

137

317

RUSH/GM

22.5

25.222

23

25.571

25.714

22.833

24.385

YDS

352

789

578

563

656

485

1141

YDS/GM

88

87.667

96.333

80.429

93.714

80.833

87.769

YDS/RUSH

3.911

3.476

4.188

3.145

3.644

3.540

3.599

TDS

4

23

10

17

14

13

27

RUSH/TD

22.5

9.870

13.8

10.529

12.857

10.538

11.741

 

 

Klein’s stats are very comparable to Denard’s, much more than I realized, and top to bottom seem very pedestrian until you notice that he rushed for 27 TD’s last season. His conference rushing numbers were outstanding as he averaged a TD about every 10 rushes. His passing numbers were solid but not spectacular, as there were no glaring weaknesses in his game and he was very consistent across the board whether home, away, in or OOC.

Interestingly, while Klein averaged a pass/game more than Denard, Denard was much more volatile, passing for more TD’s but also throwing more INT’s than Klein did TD’s. Overall Klein will not ‘wow’ you with his skill, but he is a good QB for what KSU is running and will keep them in games without losing it in bad decisions.

 

Taylor Martinez

 

COMP %

56.25%

YPA

7.253

ATT/TD

22.154

ATT/INT

36.000

TD/INT

1.625

QB-RATING

126.52

YDS/GM

67.231

YDS/RUSH

4.624

RUSH/TD

21

 

 

OOC STATS* (5 GAMES)

CONF STATS (8 GAMES)

1ST 6 GAMES

LAST 7 GAMES

HOME                (7 GAMES)

AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES)

SEASON

P.A.

80

187

129

159

158

130

288

P.A./GM

16

23.375

21.5

22.714

22.571

21.667

22.154

P.C.

53

109

70

92

94

68

162

P.C./GM

10.6

13.625

11.667

13.143

13.429

11.333

12.462

COMP %

66.25%

58.29%

54.26%

57.86%

59.49%

52.31%

56.25%

YDS

763

1326

1014

1075

1213

876

2089

YPA

9.538

7.091

7.860

6.761

7.677

6.738

7.253

TDS

5

8

6

7

9

4

13

INTS

3

5

6

2

4

4

8

ATT/TD

16

23.375

21.5

22.714

17.556

32.5

22.154

ATT/INT

26.667

37.4

21.5

79.5

39.5

32.5

36

TD/INT

1.667

1.6

1

3.5

2.25

1

1.625

RUSHES

79

110

100

89

96

93

189

RUSH/GM

19.75

12.222

16.667

12.714

13.714

15.5

14.538

YDS

458

416

584

290

582

292

874

YDS/GM

91.6

52

97.333

41.429

83.143

48.667

67.231

YDS/RUSH

5.797

3.782

5.84

3.258

6.063

3.140

4.624

TDS

7

2

9

0

7

2

9

RUSH/TD

11.286

55

11.111

#DIV/0!

13.714

46.5

21

Taylor Martinez began 2011 rushing the ball with great proficiency, scoring 9 TD’s in 6 games (once nearly every rushes) and averaging close to 6 YPC. His passing was an entirely different story as he had a 1:1 TD/INT ratio and completed less than 55% of his throws.

The second half of the season was a complete flip-flop for Martinez as his rushing YDS/GM fell from 97 to 41, YDS/RUSH down to 3.3, and he did not find the endzone on the gound. His passing numbers however were much better as his completion % increased to 57.9%, TD/INT ratio increased to 3.5:1, and he threw a pick every 80 passes rather than every 22 passes during the former part of the season.

While his numbers were not outstanding later in the season, Martinez improved greatly passing the ball as the season progressed. Some of the credit for this improved most definitely has to go to Rex Burkhead as he carried the rushing load for the team later in the season while Martinez focused on passing.

Braxton Miller**

COMP %

54.14%

YPA

7.382

ATT/TD

12.077

ATT/INT

39.250

TD/INT

3.250

QB-RATING

138.37

YDS/GM

59.583

YDS/RUSH

4.497

RUSH/TD

22.714

 

 

OOC STATS* (4 GAMES)

CONF STATS (8 GAMES)

1ST 6 GAMES

LAST 6 GAMES

HOME                (6   GAMES)

AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES)

SEASON

P.A.

52

105

51

106

75

82

157

P.A./GM

13

13.125

8.5

17.667

12.500

13.667

13.083

P.C.

33

52

26

59

37

48

85

P.C./GM

8.25

6.5

4.333

9.833

6.167

8.000

7.083

COMP %

63.46%

49.52%

50.98%

55.66%

49.33%

58.54%

54.14%

YDS

397

762

403

756

496

663

1159

YPA

7.635

7.257

7.902

7.132

6.613

8.085

7.382

TDS

5

8

5

8

5

8

13

INTS

1

3

2

2

2

2

4

ATT/TD

10.4

13.125

10.2

13.250

15.000

10.25

12.077

ATT/INT

52.000

35

25.5

53

37.5

41

39.25

TD/INT

5.000

2.667

2.5

4

2.5

4

3.25

RUSHES

45

105

61

98

83

76

159

RUSH/GM

11.25

13.125

10.167

16.333

13.833

12.667

13.250

YDS

165

550

243

472

395

320

715

YDS/GM

33

68.75

40.500

78.667

65.833

53.333

59.583

YDS/RUSH

3.667

5.238

3.984

4.816

4.759

4.211

4.497

TDS

0

7

0

7

5

2

7

RUSH/TD

#DIV/0!

15

#DIV/0!

14

16.600

38

22.714

And cue the talks of multiple Heisman’s coming from Columbus (coincidentally the same city I sit in as I type this). Actually, Braxton had quite a successful freshman campaign, with numbers very comparable to Denard’s. While Denard was more effective running, Miller actually had a better TD/INT ratio (we all know why from The Game) than did DR, albeit with a smaller sample size as OSU threw much less than Michigan.

Braxton improved substantially as he gained more experience towards the end of the season, seemingly in every category besides rushing. Overall, a solid but not spectacular season for Braxton and even though I hate to admit it, he will likely be a pain the ass for the conference for the next few years.

(All of the numbers for my statistics came from cfbstats.com)

(*OOC STATS INCLUDE BOWL GAMES)

(**MILLER DID NOT PLAY IN 2ND GAME OF SEASON)

Comments

UMgradMSUdad

June 21st, 2012 at 10:04 PM ^

Thanks for posting.  I wasn't surprised that Robinson tops the others in yard per rush, but I was surprised how much better he was in that area than RGIII, 5.321 yds/ rush vs. 3.905, more than a yard per carry difference.  Of course as you pointed out, RGIII put up just ridiculous passing statistics and was definitely deserving of the Heisman.

Roachgoblue

June 22nd, 2012 at 6:16 AM ^

Martinez threw better! Howevuh, Denard will have a solid passing year. You can trash these stats after this year I bet.

CoachBP623

June 24th, 2012 at 11:54 PM ^

I've re-watched each game from last year a couple times to dissect any tendencies, good or bad personnel packages, formations and motions, and situational play calling. One thing that helps Denards passing is his obvious rushing skill. For most teams 3rd and 5+ is a clear passing situation. What's funny is majority of teams went into a common pass coverage which generally allowed us to be successful with the qb delay. One thing that I've always hoped Denard would start doing is scrambling more when his reads aren't there. Finally toward the end of the season he was picture perfect in that area especially against nebraska and Ohio. This being year two in this offense for him I think not only will his stats all get better but I think his situational scrambling and decision making will also play a big part in his success and heisman campaign.

RG3 is a once in a lifetime talent, but I wouldn't trade Denard for anything or anyone. The heart and love he's shown for UM is amazing and I believe the best is yet to come.