Dual QB Statistical Analysis
Due to extreme boredom at work as well as my curiosity for how Denard matched up with other dual-threat QB’s last year, I decided to compare him with RGIII, KSU’s Collin Klein, Taylor Martinez, & Braxton Miller. None of my statistics are groundbreaking, I am not the Mathlete, but I do find the stats interesting and some a bit suprising.
Denard Robinson
COMP % | 55.04% |
YPA | 8.422 |
ATT/TD | 36.857 |
ATT/INT | 17.200 |
TD/INT | 1.333 |
QB-RATING | 139.73 |
YDS/GM | 90.462 |
YDS/RUSH | 5.321 |
RUSH/TD | 13.813 |
OOC STATS* (5 GAMES) |
CONF STATS (8 GAMES) |
1ST 6 GAMES |
LAST 7 GAMES |
HOME (8 GAMES) |
AWAY & NEUTRAL (5 GAMES) |
SEASON |
|
P.A. |
93 |
165 |
117 |
141 |
140 |
118 |
258 |
P.A./GM |
18.6 |
20.625 |
19.5 |
20.143 |
17.5 |
23.6 |
19.846 |
P.C. |
44 |
98 |
67 |
75 |
84 |
58 |
142 |
P.C./GM |
8.8 |
12.25 |
11.167 |
10.714 |
10.5 |
11.6 |
10.923 |
COMP % |
47.31% |
59.39% |
57.26% |
53.19% |
60.00% |
49.15% |
55.04% |
YDS |
741 |
1432 |
1130 |
1043 |
1310 |
863 |
2173 |
YPA |
7.968 |
8.679 |
9.658 |
7.397 |
9.357 |
7.314 |
8.422 |
TDS |
8 |
12 |
10 |
10 |
13 |
7 |
20 |
INTS |
7 |
8 |
9 |
6 |
8 |
7 |
15 |
ATT/TD |
11.625 |
13.75 |
11.7 |
14.1 |
10.769 |
14.75 |
36.857 |
ATT/INT |
13.286 |
20.625 |
13 |
23.5 |
17.5 |
16.857 |
17.200 |
TD/INT |
1.14 |
1.50 |
1.11 |
1.67 |
1.63 |
1.00 |
1.33 |
RUSHES |
84 |
137 |
102 |
119 |
141 |
80 |
221 |
RUSH/GM |
16.8 |
17.125 |
17 |
17 |
17.625 |
16 |
17 |
YDS |
565 |
611 |
720 |
456 |
919 |
257 |
1176 |
YDS/GM |
113 |
76.375 |
120 |
65.143 |
114.875 |
51.4 |
90.462 |
YDS/RUSH |
6.726 |
4.460 |
7.059 |
3.832 |
6.518 |
3.213 |
5.321 |
TDS |
5 |
11 |
8 |
8 |
11 |
5 |
16 |
RUSH/TD |
16.8 |
12.455 |
12.75 |
14.875 |
12.818 |
16 |
13.813 |
In out of conference games (OOC) Denard was atrocious throwing the ball, with nearly 1-1 TD/INT ratio and less than 48% completion. However, he was very effective running the ball at almost 7 YPC. In conference games, his passing stats improved quite a bit but rushing took a dip, except for RUSH/TD which actually increased. His statistics for home games compared to conference games are very similar to one another, as are away and neutral compared to OOC games.
Personally, I felt like Denard looked much better later in the season than his numbers indicate, and aside from his ATT’s/INT the last 7 games his numbers actually decreased in proficiency.
RGIII
COMP % |
72.39% |
YPA |
10.679 |
ATT/TD |
10.865 |
ATT/INT |
67.000 |
TD/INT |
6.167 |
QB-RATING |
189.47 |
YDS/GM |
53.769 |
YDS/RUSH |
3.905 |
RUSH/TD |
17.9 |
OOC STATS* (4 GAMES) |
CONF STATS (9 GAMES) |
1ST 6 GAMES |
LAST 7 GAMES |
HOME (7 GAMES) |
AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES) |
SEASON |
|
P.A. |
114 |
288 |
182 |
220 |
208 |
194 |
402 |
P.A./GM |
28.5 |
32 |
30.333 |
31.429 |
29.714 |
32.333 |
30.923 |
P.C. |
93 |
198 |
142 |
149 |
154 |
137 |
291 |
P.C./GM |
23.25 |
22 |
23.667 |
21.286 |
22 |
22.833 |
22.385 |
COMP % |
81.58% |
68.75% |
78.02% |
67.73% |
74.04% |
70.62% |
72.39% |
YDS |
1257 |
3036 |
1950 |
2343 |
2379 |
1914 |
4293 |
YPA |
11.026 |
10.542 |
10.714 |
10.650 |
11.438 |
9.866 |
10.679 |
TDS |
14 |
23 |
22 |
15 |
23 |
14 |
37 |
INTS |
0 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
6 |
ATT/TD |
8.143 |
12.522 |
8.273 |
14.667 |
9.043 |
13.857 |
10.865 |
ATT/INT |
#DIV/0! |
48 |
91 |
55 |
208 |
38.8 |
67 |
TD/INT |
#DIV/0! |
3.833 |
11 |
3.75 |
23 |
2.8 |
6.167 |
RUSHES |
42 |
137 |
72 |
107 |
97 |
82 |
179 |
RUSH/GM |
10.5 |
15.222 |
12 |
15.286 |
13.857 |
13.667 |
13.769 |
YDS |
222 |
477 |
295 |
404 |
431 |
268 |
699 |
YDS/GM |
55.5 |
53 |
49.167 |
57.714 |
61.571 |
44.667 |
53.769 |
YDS/RUSH |
5.286 |
3.482 |
4.097 |
3.776 |
4.443 |
3.268 |
3.905 |
TDS |
2 |
8 |
2 |
8 |
5 |
5 |
10 |
RUSH/TD |
21 |
17.125 |
36 |
13.375 |
19.4 |
16.4 |
17.9 |
If it seemed like RGIII was putting up video game numbers to open last season, well he wasn’t because you can’t put up numbers like that in video games. He started with amazing proficiency and I got all too well known #DIV/O! error message for his OOC ATT/INT & TD/INT because he didn’t throw any picks until conference play. Although his stats weren’t as gaudy in conference, I’m sure any QB in the nation would have accepted that level of play as he was still extremely effective.
What I find most amazing is that over the first 6 games, he averaged only one pick per 91 passing attempts. From there his stats plummeted to a dismal INT every 55 throws.
/s, obviously.
I’m not analyzing any more of his stats because they are all incredible and I guess that’s why he won that Heisman thing I keep hearing about.
Collin Klein
COMP % |
57.30% |
YPA |
6.826 |
ATT/TD |
21.615 |
ATT/INT |
46.833 |
TD/INT |
2.167 |
QB-RATING |
125.64 |
YDS/GM |
87.769 |
YDS/RUSH |
3.599 |
RUSH/TD |
11.741 |
OOC STATS* (4 GAMES) |
CONF STATS (9 GAMES) |
1ST 6 GAMES |
LAST 7 GAMES |
HOME (7 GAMES) |
AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES) |
SEASON |
|
P.A. |
87 |
194 |
119 |
162 |
141 |
140 |
281 |
P.A./GM |
21.750 |
21.556 |
19.833 |
23.143 |
20.143 |
23.333 |
21.615 |
P.C. |
50 |
111 |
70 |
91 |
78 |
83 |
161 |
P.C./GM |
12.5 |
12.333 |
11.667 |
13 |
11.143 |
13.833 |
12.385 |
COMP % |
57.47% |
57.22% |
58.82% |
56.17% |
55.32% |
59.29% |
57.30% |
YDS |
508 |
1410 |
739 |
1179 |
957 |
961 |
1918 |
YPA |
5.839 |
7.268 |
6.210 |
7.278 |
6.787 |
6.864 |
6.826 |
TDS |
5 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
13 |
INTS |
2 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
2 |
6 |
ATT/TD |
17.4 |
24.25 |
17 |
27 |
23.5 |
20 |
21.615 |
ATT/INT |
43.5 |
48.5 |
39.667 |
54 |
35.25 |
70 |
46.833 |
TD/INT |
2.5 |
2 |
2.333 |
2 |
1.5 |
3.5 |
2.167 |
RUSHES |
90 |
227 |
138 |
179 |
180 |
137 |
317 |
RUSH/GM |
22.5 |
25.222 |
23 |
25.571 |
25.714 |
22.833 |
24.385 |
YDS |
352 |
789 |
578 |
563 |
656 |
485 |
1141 |
YDS/GM |
88 |
87.667 |
96.333 |
80.429 |
93.714 |
80.833 |
87.769 |
YDS/RUSH |
3.911 |
3.476 |
4.188 |
3.145 |
3.644 |
3.540 |
3.599 |
TDS |
4 |
23 |
10 |
17 |
14 |
13 |
27 |
RUSH/TD |
22.5 |
9.870 |
13.8 |
10.529 |
12.857 |
10.538 |
11.741 |
Klein’s stats are very comparable to Denard’s, much more than I realized, and top to bottom seem very pedestrian until you notice that he rushed for 27 TD’s last season. His conference rushing numbers were outstanding as he averaged a TD about every 10 rushes. His passing numbers were solid but not spectacular, as there were no glaring weaknesses in his game and he was very consistent across the board whether home, away, in or OOC.
Interestingly, while Klein averaged a pass/game more than Denard, Denard was much more volatile, passing for more TD’s but also throwing more INT’s than Klein did TD’s. Overall Klein will not ‘wow’ you with his skill, but he is a good QB for what KSU is running and will keep them in games without losing it in bad decisions.
Taylor Martinez
COMP % |
56.25% |
YPA |
7.253 |
ATT/TD |
22.154 |
ATT/INT |
36.000 |
TD/INT |
1.625 |
QB-RATING |
126.52 |
YDS/GM |
67.231 |
YDS/RUSH |
4.624 |
RUSH/TD |
21 |
OOC STATS* (5 GAMES) |
CONF STATS (8 GAMES) |
1ST 6 GAMES |
LAST 7 GAMES |
HOME (7 GAMES) |
AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES) |
SEASON |
|
P.A. |
80 |
187 |
129 |
159 |
158 |
130 |
288 |
P.A./GM |
16 |
23.375 |
21.5 |
22.714 |
22.571 |
21.667 |
22.154 |
P.C. |
53 |
109 |
70 |
92 |
94 |
68 |
162 |
P.C./GM |
10.6 |
13.625 |
11.667 |
13.143 |
13.429 |
11.333 |
12.462 |
COMP % |
66.25% |
58.29% |
54.26% |
57.86% |
59.49% |
52.31% |
56.25% |
YDS |
763 |
1326 |
1014 |
1075 |
1213 |
876 |
2089 |
YPA |
9.538 |
7.091 |
7.860 |
6.761 |
7.677 |
6.738 |
7.253 |
TDS |
5 |
8 |
6 |
7 |
9 |
4 |
13 |
INTS |
3 |
5 |
6 |
2 |
4 |
4 |
8 |
ATT/TD |
16 |
23.375 |
21.5 |
22.714 |
17.556 |
32.5 |
22.154 |
ATT/INT |
26.667 |
37.4 |
21.5 |
79.5 |
39.5 |
32.5 |
36 |
TD/INT |
1.667 |
1.6 |
1 |
3.5 |
2.25 |
1 |
1.625 |
RUSHES |
79 |
110 |
100 |
89 |
96 |
93 |
189 |
RUSH/GM |
19.75 |
12.222 |
16.667 |
12.714 |
13.714 |
15.5 |
14.538 |
YDS |
458 |
416 |
584 |
290 |
582 |
292 |
874 |
YDS/GM |
91.6 |
52 |
97.333 |
41.429 |
83.143 |
48.667 |
67.231 |
YDS/RUSH |
5.797 |
3.782 |
5.84 |
3.258 |
6.063 |
3.140 |
4.624 |
TDS |
7 |
2 |
9 |
0 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
RUSH/TD |
11.286 |
55 |
11.111 |
#DIV/0! |
13.714 |
46.5 |
21 |
Taylor Martinez began 2011 rushing the ball with great proficiency, scoring 9 TD’s in 6 games (once nearly every rushes) and averaging close to 6 YPC. His passing was an entirely different story as he had a 1:1 TD/INT ratio and completed less than 55% of his throws.
The second half of the season was a complete flip-flop for Martinez as his rushing YDS/GM fell from 97 to 41, YDS/RUSH down to 3.3, and he did not find the endzone on the gound. His passing numbers however were much better as his completion % increased to 57.9%, TD/INT ratio increased to 3.5:1, and he threw a pick every 80 passes rather than every 22 passes during the former part of the season.
While his numbers were not outstanding later in the season, Martinez improved greatly passing the ball as the season progressed. Some of the credit for this improved most definitely has to go to Rex Burkhead as he carried the rushing load for the team later in the season while Martinez focused on passing.
Braxton Miller**
COMP % |
54.14% |
YPA |
7.382 |
ATT/TD |
12.077 |
ATT/INT |
39.250 |
TD/INT |
3.250 |
QB-RATING |
138.37 |
YDS/GM |
59.583 |
YDS/RUSH |
4.497 |
RUSH/TD |
22.714 |
OOC STATS* (4 GAMES) |
CONF STATS (8 GAMES) |
1ST 6 GAMES |
LAST 6 GAMES |
HOME (6 GAMES) |
AWAY & NEUTRAL (6 GAMES) |
SEASON |
|
P.A. |
52 |
105 |
51 |
106 |
75 |
82 |
157 |
P.A./GM |
13 |
13.125 |
8.5 |
17.667 |
12.500 |
13.667 |
13.083 |
P.C. |
33 |
52 |
26 |
59 |
37 |
48 |
85 |
P.C./GM |
8.25 |
6.5 |
4.333 |
9.833 |
6.167 |
8.000 |
7.083 |
COMP % |
63.46% |
49.52% |
50.98% |
55.66% |
49.33% |
58.54% |
54.14% |
YDS |
397 |
762 |
403 |
756 |
496 |
663 |
1159 |
YPA |
7.635 |
7.257 |
7.902 |
7.132 |
6.613 |
8.085 |
7.382 |
TDS |
5 |
8 |
5 |
8 |
5 |
8 |
13 |
INTS |
1 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
ATT/TD |
10.4 |
13.125 |
10.2 |
13.250 |
15.000 |
10.25 |
12.077 |
ATT/INT |
52.000 |
35 |
25.5 |
53 |
37.5 |
41 |
39.25 |
TD/INT |
5.000 |
2.667 |
2.5 |
4 |
2.5 |
4 |
3.25 |
RUSHES |
45 |
105 |
61 |
98 |
83 |
76 |
159 |
RUSH/GM |
11.25 |
13.125 |
10.167 |
16.333 |
13.833 |
12.667 |
13.250 |
YDS |
165 |
550 |
243 |
472 |
395 |
320 |
715 |
YDS/GM |
33 |
68.75 |
40.500 |
78.667 |
65.833 |
53.333 |
59.583 |
YDS/RUSH |
3.667 |
5.238 |
3.984 |
4.816 |
4.759 |
4.211 |
4.497 |
TDS |
0 |
7 |
0 |
7 |
5 |
2 |
7 |
RUSH/TD |
#DIV/0! |
15 |
#DIV/0! |
14 |
16.600 |
38 |
22.714 |
And cue the talks of multiple Heisman’s coming from Columbus (coincidentally the same city I sit in as I type this). Actually, Braxton had quite a successful freshman campaign, with numbers very comparable to Denard’s. While Denard was more effective running, Miller actually had a better TD/INT ratio (we all know why from The Game) than did DR, albeit with a smaller sample size as OSU threw much less than Michigan.
Braxton improved substantially as he gained more experience towards the end of the season, seemingly in every category besides rushing. Overall, a solid but not spectacular season for Braxton and even though I hate to admit it, he will likely be a pain the ass for the conference for the next few years.
(All of the numbers for my statistics came from cfbstats.com)
(*OOC STATS INCLUDE BOWL GAMES)
(**MILLER DID NOT PLAY IN 2ND GAME OF SEASON)
I have another one coming tomorrow that I've been working on for a few weeks.
Thanks for posting. I wasn't surprised that Robinson tops the others in yard per rush, but I was surprised how much better he was in that area than RGIII, 5.321 yds/ rush vs. 3.905, more than a yard per carry difference. Of course as you pointed out, RGIII put up just ridiculous passing statistics and was definitely deserving of the Heisman.
RG3 is a once in a lifetime talent, but I wouldn't trade Denard for anything or anyone. The heart and love he's shown for UM is amazing and I believe the best is yet to come.
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