UM Decommits this year

Its possible he gets an offer late in the cycle, probably only if the coaches decide they want to fill out the class but that isn't very likely right now.

with Avery or Williamson. Avery came into camp and impressed. They offered knowing the scholarship crunch and knowing that he would likely commit. I don't see anything changing there. And with Williamson, he goes to school that you just don't want to piss off. But otherwise I agree with your categories.

Dileo isn't leaving. We were always his second favorite school after LSU when he was younger, and we were in on him way early. He's pretty much 100%.

What, what, WHAT!?!

Coaches conveniently losing your phone number and not contacting you, which is a subtle way of telling you you might want to look elsewhere for that whole college thing.

the coaches basically stopped talking to him. He never talked to Hopson, his position coach, while he was committed. After a couple of months he basically got the hint. You might also see "The Dewayne Peace Treatment." This is where the coaches suggest a position change knowing that it will likely lead to a decommit. Peace wanted to play WR but coaches decide they wanted him at CB.

You could probably also call it the "Dewayne Peace treatment", although he was asked to move positions. Still, it seemed like a similar situation with him. Do you think that there might be a few commits who jumped on an early offer that Rich Rod turns away? I would say that either Drake or Dileo would fit this category, except they both come from recruiting hotspots. Maybe they are part of a larger plan to expand recruiting efforts in those areas. And of course they could just be awesome and Michigan found them first. EDIT: wow, timing works out nicely to make it look like I am just repeating what the guy above me just said.

I think thats the key question right there. These young high school kids have a fantastic opportunity to travel, see top athletic and academic programs, and for a while at least to be in the media spotlight. If I were one of these kids I would take all 5 officials no matter what, then as many unofficials (if necessary) as it took to find where I was comfortable. THEN I WOULD COMMIT. They owe it to themselves to see what's out there, make a decision, then stick to it. If that happens 18 months or 18 seconds before the deadline than so be it. These are young kids, and many commit too early, or without exploring their options; I'm sure when RR tells them to take their time and make sure before committing he means it. Visiting other schools after committing isn't a sin, but it's sure as hell a red flag to me. PS. I don't have a problem with going to camps, because you learn and improve as well as being seen.

I don't understand where the Kinard is coming from. Unless he decides to de-committ because he's slow played I don't see it happening.

I know pessimism reigns supreme because of 3-9 and the RoJo fiasco scarred everybody and assuming the worst prepares us for when it might happen...but this is not a realistic scenario. Getting an extra star doesn't magically make a school more aware of a prospect, and it doesn't make a recruit suddenly look elsewhere, especially a recruit like Devin Gardner. Listen to his interviews. He's about as humble and reserved as you can be. He's formed close friendships with Austin White, Jeremy Jackson and Ricardo Miller. When Ricardo and M-Rob were up for the Spring Game, Devin was one of the ones in M-Rob's ear about ending his recruitment and committing to Michigan. Hell, Devin took a lighter to a letter from Ohio State and posted pictures of it on Facebook to reassure Michigan fans that were paranoid about him "growing up an Ohio State fan." He's not going anywhere.