The Bubble Shrinks By 1
Damn....Is it possible for anyone who knows all the teams we need to win or lose make another post like we had at the end of the reg. season that was extremely helpful and made games I didn't care about fun to watch.
Here. Posted this in a thread earlier but it got bumped to second page with all the Tressel discussion. It hasn't been a good day for us bubble-wise so far.
Kansas over Okie State-Helps us and doesn't let OSU bubble talk start again. Kansas won, barely.
Auburn over Georgia-Die Bulldogs Die. Georgia won.
ECU-UAB-This is a tough one. There are a lot of bubbly teams in the CUSA but none with really worthy resumes. I'd really prefer to see one of those teams take the autobid and UAB probably has the best resume of all of them. I'll go UAB to win the game and the CUSA tourney. ECU won.
Wake over BC-Not likely to happen. Cheer for it anyway. BC won
Cal over USC-This will help us and make you feel warm and fuzzy. Win-win. USC won.
KSU over Colorado-A Colorado win would be the worst thing imaginable. Colorado won.
Memphis-USM-Meteor to hit arena. Or for whoever looks worse to pull out a win and lose to UAB tomorrow.
Iowa over MSU-We've done our job against them. Now Sparty needs to go bye-bye.
New Mexico-CSU-Meteor game #2. Only concerning if the winner beats BYU tomorrow.
Cincinnati over ND-I don't like ND.
Arkansas over Tenn-The SEC version of Sparty will probably be in, 14 losses not withstanding. But can't hurt to see them lose this one.
Indiana over PSU-Too much bubble talk for a team that shouldn't be near it.
Marshall-UTEP-UTEP as long as either they or UAB win the conference tournament.
GTech over VTech-Would kill VTech's bubble hopes.
Washington over Washington State-Ditto VTech
they're in the tourney no matter what and the SEC is so unpredictable that you want the locks to advance so a crappy team doesn't steal a bid.
I dunno. If a loss could knock them down a few spots then I'm all for it. Don't see Arkansas beating Florida under any circumstance. Alabama the real concern for bid-stealing IMO.
a Mississippi State situation where a team that has no chance to make the Tourney wins the whole thing. The SEC is such a messed up conference a lot of the time that it freaks me out more than any other conference tourney. Obviously we want Bama to lose, but I'm concerned that like, Ole Miss, or something could randomly win the whole thing, because it's the SEC, and that's what happens. I want the locks to advance to minimize that chance.
Fair enough. A Florida-Kentucky final would be perfect but the SEC does have a tendency of being stupid in this tournament (and in general for that matter).
I think you should be rooting for PSU and MSU to win their games and lose in the next round. We need their RPI to hopefully be below 50 at selection time.
If MSU loses next round and we do too I think Michigan are better off considering Michigan beat MSU twice. Michigan's good wins have been few and far between, they need MSU to not make those wins look like wins over a bad team.
Thanks really appreciate it....Go Blue!
Luinardi already had them in. If he's right, they really didn't steal a spot. Hopefully Michigan can win though and stay out of the play in game (I refuse to call it the first round).
in that this win probably jumps them over us. If we were 6 spots away from the cut line, we're now 5.
That my post didn't make you feel better.
about six spots below us. In the unfortunate event that we lose tomorrow, had Colorado lost today, we would have stayed above them. Now if we lose, Colorado likely jumps us.
If we win tomorrow, we're in. If we lose, I'd say we're in "The Last Four In", watching nervously if any of "The First Four Out" or "The Next Four Out" play on.
uab also lost....idk how their position was but they lost to a mediocre EDU team and that may knock them off the bubble
but brackets had been penciling them in as the conference tourney winner anyway so it doesn't really change anything.
game would likely have them joining Missouri State in "The First Four Out". Likely below us in Lunardi's bracket if we lose tomorrow, but still within the margin of the error of the actual decision.
Now they are done and I don't think either Memphis or UTEP will quite make to a position above us even if we lose tomorrow and one of them loses in the championshp game. Still, it will be better if would be better if Memphis loses tomorrow to ECU an UTEP runs away with the league championship.
As long as Michigan wins tomorrow, I think they're in. Can't deny them if they knock Illini out. Take care of business and win.
As for the above bubble watch, I hope VT wins even though it would hurt Michigan :(
Can't root against alma mater
Do we want State to win? With a loss they would drop out of the RPI top 50 and take away 2 crucial wins. But otoh it's Sparty.
I just can't help it. I always want to Sparty to lose, even if it ultimately hurts our RPI or whatever. Call it a weakness I have.
The MSU game is a win/win.
If Sparty wins, their RPI stays over 50, and it improves our resume without changing their statuts vis-a-vis us very much.
If Iowa wins... well, LOLSPARTYNOOOOOO
Two games tonight to keep an eye on
Vols/Arky
VaTech/GaTech
It's certainly a PLAY OUT game for the Hokies. And, it might be for the Vols.
Under 4 TO in Indy and the Spartans are up 4 points. This is a PLAY OUT game for them as well. Maybe Iowa hits a couple of shots and makes this real dicey down the stretch.
March 10th, 2011 at 11:49 PM ^
Relax dude. We're in no matter what. There's no way the committe can take MSU over us and most analysts agree MSU is in (Although opersonally I would keep them out of the tournament given how bad they've been in the second half of the season).
If it comes down to the last spot and we're the only two teams in consideration, maybe. But they focus more on the overall resume - and MSU has the better wins, slightly less bad losses, and better strength of schedule.
I do think you'll make it even if Illinois beats you (though it will be a very nervous Sunday). But head-to-head counts for little when we're two teams among 15 fighting for those last 10 or so spots.
If there's one way to get the committee to look for excuses to leave you out, it's by having a 300+ non-conference SOS. Virginia Tech learned that to their sorrow last year, as did Penn State in 2009.
Honestly, if they don't beat Kansas I don't think they get in over Illinois, MSU, or Michigan regardless of Big Ten results tomorrow.