Another possible "red-lock" status (semi OT)

Another possible "red-lock" status (semi OT)

Submitted by 4yearsofhoke on May 3rd, 2017 at 4:44 PM

http://www.mlive.com/spartans/index.ssf/2017/05/michigan_state_de_demet…

 

Demetrius Cooper (DE) accused of violating his assault and battery bond conditions (consuming alcohol). Pretty big time player. Not a huge slip up, but a slip up.

Also his attorney previously said the bond condition would be easy to follow because "his client does not drink alcohol." Whoops!

SIAP: Yards against Staee this year - two notable outliers

SIAP: Yards against Staee this year - two notable outliers

Submitted by LBSS on November 23rd, 2015 at 9:33 AM
Hat-tip to an MGoLurker buddy for pointing this out. 
  • Western Michigan -- 383
  • Oregon -- 432
  • Air Force -- 428
  • Central Michigan -- 340
  • Purdue -- 301
  • Rutgers -- 349
  • Michigan -- 230
  • Indiana -- 389
  • Nebraska -- 499
  • Maryland -- 289
  • Ohio State -- 132
Looked through recent topics and didn't see this anywhere. Thought it was pretty interesting. As lurker buddy said, "Could this be just Dantonio's insane obsessive hyper-game-planning for the two biggest games?"
 
I hope this means they'll give up 450 and 4 TDs to Penn State.

Chances of a Rivalry Upset

Chances of a Rivalry Upset

Submitted by MadMatt on August 27th, 2015 at 12:04 PM

Maizenbrew has an interesting discussion between Drew Hallett and Anthony Broom on the chances of our Wolverines beating either the Spartans or the Buckeyes this year:

http://www.maizenbrew.com/2015/8/27/9213819/michigan-football-biggest-storylines-in-2015-rivalry-redemption-ohio-state-michigan-state

Their conclusion is that Michigan will not do it.  They look at recent history, talent/matchups, home field advantage, general Harbaughness, etc.  I would like to respectfully disagree with their conclusion.  I think the general randomness of college football means that we can reasonably expect to savor an upset over a hated rival this year.  I won’t go full Mathlete on you, but my reasoning is based on probability.

We’ve all become conditioned to expect the worst kind of luck persistently.  When was the last time Michigan had a favorable turnover ratio?  When was the last time turnovers broke even or better against a top 20 opponent?  (The first B1G Michigan-Nebraska game?  Yeah, it has been that long.)  Even during the glory years, we all knew that in any given season Michigan was likely to have one “say what?!” loss against a clearly weaker team.  When was the last time a top 20 team had an “off day” against us?  Yeah, it’s been that long.  My point being that luck changes season to season, game to game, or even play to play.  (2011)  To use the language of probability, football plays are independent variables.  We don’t know what normal luck feels like anymore against MSU or OSU, but that can change in a moment.

To add some numbers to it, let me use one of the NOT fun facts from the article.  Drew pointed out that Michigan is 2-12 in the last seven seasons’ worth of games with MSU & OSU.  (Combine that with Michigan’s recent history in Bowl games, and the whole fan base heads for the rest room, but I digress…)  Let’s apply a little probability analysis.  Suppose that all seven years both the Spartans and the Buckeyes were clearly superior, such that they had an 80% chance of winning any given game.  I don’t think it was near that bad, certainly not in some seasons, but let’s go with the pessimistic case to illustrate the point.  If you apply math to these numbers, Michigan still should have won 3 games or more (55% of the time).  Even assuming we stunk, we still should have gotten lucky more often than two times.

Turning to this season, we may not know exactly when or how the ball bounces in our favor, but the odds are reasonably good it will decisively bounce in our favor in one of those two games.  (To use another illustration, Ohio State is the overwhelming favorite to repeat as National Champions.  They will be favored in each and every one of their games, possibly excepting a playoff match-up.  What is the chance someone other than OSU actually wins the Championship?  Yes, a lot more than 50%.)  Again, assume that this season the Spartans and the Buckeyes are clearly superior.  Even if that is as much as a 70% chance, Michigan still has a 50% chance of winning one of those games (0.7 squared).

So I’m saying there’s a chance; a mathematically significant chance.

Uniformz: There will be Ugly Green Pants Worn

Uniformz: There will be Ugly Green Pants Worn

Submitted by alum96 on November 2nd, 2013 at 2:15 PM

I was actually a fan of what MSU rolled out uniformz wise two years ago, however today's "all green" look - not so much.  The pants...the pants... will be greeeeen  See here for fugly.    I call this the "green giant" look.

I'm  on record that UM and USC have the 2 best looking uniform packages and they should really never really change them ... at least their home unis- great helmets, great color combos.  I get why other programs do it and sometimes it works great.  This is not one of those times.

On a somewhat more important note Bosch, Glasgow, and Magnuson catch a small break as 6th year DT (23 years old, almost 24) Tyler Hoover is out for the game.

Beat STAEE

MSU under investigation by FAA for use of state planes for recruiting

MSU under investigation by FAA for use of state planes for recruiting

Submitted by Sinsemillaplease on July 1st, 2013 at 11:10 AM

As the title says, MSU is under investigation for their use of planes operated by the state of Michigan for recruting trips by Dantonio and Izzo. The investigation began after the Lansing State Journal ran a series on the planes and how they are utilized. Over a five year period, Dantonio and Izzo combined for 102 flights on state-operated flights. As you likely assumed, The University of Michigan can handle it's own recruiting travel arrangements and is not under investigation.

META: Annoyance Week request

META: Annoyance Week request

Submitted by BiSB on October 15th, 2012 at 10:17 AM

It's Little Brother Week here in the state of Michigan, and as many of you know, this week draws the Sparty trolls out from the dark recesses of the RCMB. And like the swallows of Capistrano, they flock to this board, start shitting on everything, and make a bunch of noise without expressing a single coherent thought.

You will be tempted to engage them. You will be tempted to debate them. This is futile. You can't debate a Spartan troll any more than you can debate floor tile. And we're not talking the nice slate tile; we're talking the shiny trucker rest stop floor tile. Instead, I humbly request that you report their presence to the Moderator Action Sticky thread (http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/moderator-action-sticky-1), and we will take appropriate action.

And to you Sparty trolls, I'd just like to remind you that there are a number of interesting SPAM lists to which one could potentially be signed up. So unless one relishes the prospect of sifting through a dozen needlepoint newsletters every day, methinks you should take this week off.

[EDIT - PGB:  If I might add, the flip-side is also true.  Please avoid starting "hate" threads that just get people all ramped up and make the Board look second-rate.  You stay classy, San Diego!]

 

Gameday / Wifeday Open Thread

Gameday / Wifeday Open Thread

Submitted by lhglrkwg on September 29th, 2012 at 9:28 AM

Gameday open thread time. How many misspelled signs will we see? Will any be funny at all?

We will see.

Edit: Updated since I gather maybe many of us are with the misses rather than watching 3 hours of MSU and OSU fans. Tell us about your wifeday plans too and how it is much preferrable to seeing 50 signs of Dantonio's head with "NEXT QUESTION" next to it