Just got a notification from that former #1 recruit Justin Fields has decided to transfer from Georgia.
Last week, I had an interesting conversation with a registered NFL agent. This particular agent formally represents several Michigan grads currently in the league, as well as guys currently on the team. He thinks well of many guys at Michigan, even though he is an OSU grad. Our discussion took place prior to the debacle, when I still had naive hope in a Michigan win. Sigh.
So, I've had this weird idea for a while and I've been wanting to bounce it off mgoblog to get some feedback (or basically to have an interesting discussion).
I was sleepless and bored, so I decided to go back and review our OL recruiting over the past few years. The MGOExperts are well versed in this and nothing of great surprise. But, for me, it helped put into perspective the multi-year struggles we've had and why there should be real hope going forward. I posted because I thought it might do the same for others.
I use 'systematically' in the title because I think football is about as close as you can get to clean, though I've heard some 3rd-hand things and wouldn't be surprised by 'improper benefits' going to some players through small-time boosters, fans, etc. What I don't think is going on is SEC-levels of bagmen networks actively concealing and funneling money to entice players to come to Michigan.
So let's say Michigan's administration has had enough of the NCAA's garbage, and they decide to turn a blind eye and nudge the money cannon at recruits. What you're dealing with is not some good ole' boys network of car dealerships but Panama Papers-levels of ammunition. (Side note: this is why I'm pretty sure Michigan isn't doing the systematic cheating. The resources are such that Michigan would annihilate the competition for getting top players, except for maybe Texas.) Does Michigan go from annual top 10-15ish to consistent top 1-3? Does the program start dominating nationally, maybe even slipping recruits past the Mississippi event horizon?
We have not see one in a while for obvious reasons, not much content and who wants to talk football after that season and with the way basketball is playing. But my question is, shouldn’t they start up again soon? Maybe after basketball is done in April? (fingers crossed). We just had a junior day and the Spring Game will be coming up soon. We just had the a QB commit and this is the time of year when you can start to see who has serious interest and does not.
Worded differently: what's an unpopular view that you feel very strongly about for Michigan athletics? Gut-feelings are at home here, but bonus points are awarded (not actually awarded) for some evidence. Examples include stuff like, "Harbaugh is overrated," &c.
11 am in the backroom of The Brown Jug. A little smaller venue this year after 3k at Hill then 2.5k at Crisler. The ESPN style analyst two top will be manned by Joey Galloway and Jim McElwain. The reserved booth in the corner is for special guests Bobby Higginson and Chyna of WWE fame. Noted signees expected to be there ---a PWO long snapper from Temperance Berford and a sophmore from Alice Lloyd they found at last months open try outs. Julius Welschof will be interviewed by Don Brown on the big screen in the corner (he'll be on break from his water bottling job). Come say HI, I'll be posted by the VIP entrance in the alley by the old Dollar Bill Copying on Church street.
A University of Iowa PhD candidate came up with a predictive model (link). Where it was wrong, the article says the school chosen was 2nd on the list of possible places to commit that the model generated.
Her data is based on analyzing tweets from recruits. Here's the meat and potatoes of it:
She mined data from 573 athletes in 2016 from the 247Sports recruiting database who had at least two Division I scholarship offers and public Twitter accounts. Then she pulled their tweets, followers and accounts they followed each month and distilled the data into a model that makes it all easy to understand.
She found that if a recruit tweeted a hashtag about a school, his likelihood of committing there jumped 300 percent. For every coach the athlete followed from a given school, his likelihood of committing went up 47 percent. When a coach follows an athlete, likelihood increases 40 percent.
“The most significant actions online are the actions the athlete is doing,” Bigsby said. “Who is he following? What is he tweeting? What hashtags is he using?”
Her model crunched those numbers along with other data sets — i.e.: a college’s location relative to the recruit’s home town, a college’s academic ranking, a college’s recent football performance, and more — and spit out a list of universities a recruit was likely to attend, along with each school’s odds.