Data about where to play college football if you want a shot at the NFL

Data about where to play college football if you want a shot at the NFL

Submitted by docwhoblocked on January 11th, 2012 at 10:32 PM

[Ed-S: Bumped from boards]

Which team/conference should a high school recruit choose given the a desire to reach the NFL. Here are the tables that I abstracted from databaseFootball.com.  They are only through 2010 so they would not include this years rookies.  Starred teams have moved conferences recently.  ( I gave up trying to star all the past and future moves the Big East is making.)  This was a bit of a project with lots of cut and paste into a set of spread sheets.  It would appear that one might want to play college football in the BIG 10 if you want to maximize the likelihood that you will play in the NFL although it will still be a long shot that you will play very long even if drafted.

As you look at the databaseFootball.com tables it's obvious just how short the careers of NFL players really are.  By the eyeball it is about 4 years on average over the history of the NFL but here is the official NFL line from NFL Communications:

"One fan on the conference call said she has read many times that the average career length of an NFL player is about three years, adding it seemed so many played much longer than that. She asked Commissioner Goodell about his knowledge of NFL career length.

“There is a little bit of a misrepresentation or a misunderstanding on that.  Frequently, it is said that the average career is about 3.5 years.  In fact, if a player makes an opening day roster, his career is very close to six years,” Commissioner Goodell said. “If you are a first-round draft choice, the average career is close to nine years.  That 3.5-year average is really a misrepresentation.  What it adds is a lot of players who don’t make an NFL roster and it brings down the average.”

According to a recent NFL Management Council analysis of players who entered the NFL between 1993 and 2002, the average career length for a player who is on his club’s opening-day roster as a rookie is 6.0 years.

That 6.0 average is 88 percent higher than NFLPA Executive Director DeMaurice Smith’s recent claim.

“The fundamental principle of our business model necessarily includes that every player only plays for an average of 3.2 years,” Smith said in a March 31 forum with MBA students at the University of Virginia .

Following are the facts from the career-length analysis (using regular-season and postseason rosters):

  • The average career length for a player who makes a club’s opening-day roster (active/inactive roster or injured reserve) in his rookie season is 6.0 years.
  • The average career length for a player with at least three pension-credited seasons* is 7.1 years (*a player receives a pension credit for each season in which he spends at least three games on an active/inactive roster and/or injured reserve).
  • The average career length for a first-round draft pick is 9.3 years.
  • The average career length for a player who is selected for or plays in at least one Pro Bowl is 11.7 years.  Of the 318 players who began careers between 1993 and 2002 and made the Pro Bowl at least once, 113 of those players – 36 percent – were on a club’s roster in 2010."

As usual there is a disagreement between management and labor on the facts.  Charts? Charts....

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

BIG schools

Total # NFL players

active 2010

SEC schools

Total # NFL players

active 2010

Ohio

367

29

Tenn

288

25

Michigan

317

29

LSU

257

32

Penn St*

310

17

Alabama

249

14

Mich St

255

18

Georgia

238

25

Wisconsin

253

11

Fla

233

23

Purdue

245

18

Auburn

212

19

Illinois

244

12

Ark*

191

12

Minn

229

9

Miss

179

10

Iowa

209

20

Ky

140

3

Indiana

176

7

MissState

127

11

Northwest

159

7

S Car*

122

11

Nebraska*

305

20

Vandy

77

7

 

3069

197

 

2313

192

 

 

 

PAC 12

schools

Total # NFL players

active 2010

BIG 12

schools

Total # NFL players

active 2010

USC

421

24

Nebraska*

305

20

UCLA

262

11

Ok

282

10

Wash

236

8

Texas

255

31

Ariz St

216

10

TexAM

239

8

Colo*

209

11

Colo*

209

11

Cal

206

23

Baylor

173

5

Stanford

199

8

Missou

150

3

Oregon

174

12

Ok State

144

8

Wash St

161

12

K State

137

11

Ariz

146

7

Kansas

135

4

Oreg St

136

12

TexasTech

112

5

Utah*

103

9

IowaState

93

4

 

2469

147

 

2234

120

 

ACC schools

Total # NFL players

2010 active

Big East

schools

Total # NFL players

active 2010

Miami* (YTM)

268

29

Pitt

272

13

BC

189

13

Con

26

3

FlaState

179

10

Syracuse

220

10

Maryland

175

13

W Va

154

2

Ga Tech

155

15

Louisville

112

13

Clemson

154

10

Cinci

95

3

Virginia

145

13

Rutgers

64

10

Va Tech

109

16

SouthFla

11

3

Wake

97

9

 

954

57

NC

181

14

 

NC State

132

14

 

 

Duke

91

3

 

 

1875

159

 

PS for laughs I looked up the MAC teams too.  Temple got most of their player into the NFL while they were in the Big East.

Temple  83 1
Miami (NTM) 61 1
Toledo 51 5
Eastern 37 3
BG 49 3
Buff 14 2
Akron 26 3
Ohio U 31 2
Western 40 3
Central 18 2
Kent 39 6
Northern Ill 42 5
  408 36