OT: Pierre to White Sox

OT: Pierre to White Sox

Submitted by Seth9 on December 15th, 2009 at 7:14 PM

The Dodgers traded Juan Pierre and $10.5 million to the White Sox for two players to be named later.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/baseball/mlb/12/15/pierre.whiteso…

This means that Chicago only has to pay $8 million, all owed next year, so they get a quality outfielder for $4 million a year.

YOU'VE GOT TO BE KIDDING ME!!!!!!!!!

OT: AL Central and the Deadline Period

OT: AL Central and the Deadline Period

Submitted by Seth9 on August 1st, 2009 at 10:33 AM
The AL Central was the most active division at the trade deadline, with all five teams teams making a deal that concerned everyday players or starting pitchers. Four of these teams made deals on the deadline day. What is questionable after these deals is whether the division has improved as a result.

In terms of whether the division's top teams improved, the answer is undoubtedly yes. The Tigers and Twins both made moves that certainly upgraded their rotation and lineup respectively, while the White Sox probably improved, assuming that Peavy actually plays this year (mind you, if the Sox were going to gut their farm system and trade Richard, they probably should have gone after Halladay first, but I'm not complaining because that would have sucked to epic proportions). However, I feel that this criteria is generally irrelevant because no team improved enough to take a run at the Wild Card should they fail to win the division, and the playoffs are a whole new season where the most talented team often doesn't win.

Another criteria that can be used is whether the overall level of talent in the division improved. To evaluate this, I'll look at all Major Leaguers acquired and lost by teams in the division:

Chicago White Sox

Gained: Jake Peavy, Mark Kotsay
Lost: Clayton Richard

Cleveland Indians
Gained: Justin Masterson
Lost: Cliff Lee, Victor Martinez, Ryan Garko, Rafael Betancourt, Ben Francisco

Detroit Tigers
Gained: Jarrod Washburn
Lost: Luke French

Kansas City Royals
Gained: Yuniesky Betancourt, Ryan Freel, Josh Anderson*
Lost: Nothing

Minnesota Twins
Gained: Orlando Cabrera
Lost: Nothing

*Josh Anderson is not being listed as being lost by the Tigers because he had been designated for assignment before being traded. However, the Royals have stated that when he reports, he will be called up, so he is in the Majors for the Royals, but the Minors for the Tigers. Brian Anderson is not being listed as lost by the White Sox for the same reason.

Overall, the division appears to have actually lost talent (courtesy of the Cleveland Indians). I will argue that the quality of pitching in the division remained at approximately the same level, counting Cliff Lee as equal to Jake Peavy (as Peavy won't start for awhile) and Clayton Richard, Luke French, and Rafael Betancourt as equal in value to Jarrod Washburn. However, the hitting has definitely gotten worse, with Victor Martinez and Ryan Garko being the players of note leaving and Orlando Cabrera the only player of note gained.

Now, while the level of talent in the division may have actually been reduced, it does not mean that the division will necessarily perform worse against other divisions. To evaluate this, I will take a look at every individual team and evaluate what effect their moves is likely to have on their record:

Chicago White Sox
Chicago definitely improved their rotation with Jake Peavy, but his impact will be limited as he won't be in the rotation until late this month at the earliest. He should be good for a couple extra wins.

Cleveland Indians
The Indians have definitely gotten worse by trading away almost every good player on their team. However, the impact of these moves could be mitigated in terms of wins if they play at their talent level. Statistically, before their deadline moves, the Indians were under-performing by five games according to Bill James' Pythagoream Theorem of Baseball (expected winning %=RS2/[RS2+RA2). If the Indians play at the level projected by this for the rest of the year, they probably still will lose games at a greater rate than they are now, but the effect on their record will be strongly mitigated.

Detroit Tigers
Washburn solidifies the rotation, but this will only transfer into a couple more wins unless the Tigers offense reawakens. Hopefully, they can pick up a bat off of waivers.

Kansas City Royals
The Royals managed to pick up three players that other teams were just trying to unload. Unless Betancourt manages to figure out how to hit, the impact of their moves will likely be negligible.

Minnesota Twins
The Twins managed to pick up a quality bat to hit in front of Mauer and Morneau, something that may provide a big boost to their offense, which is currently sixth in runs scored in the AL (currently, they're behind Cleveland, which will probably change soon). However, they have a mediocre pitching staff, so while improved, their team still has holes. That said, with Peavy out until late this month and Detroit still unable to hit (although Guillen has been highly impressive since returning and may be the boost the team needs), the trade for Cabrera may produce more wins than any other trade in the division.

Overall, it appears that the division will perform slightly better against the rest of the league thanks to moves by the Tigers, Twins, and White Sox. That said, the division really is not that much better than it was before the deadline, with Cleveland surrendering any prospect of winning for this year, next year, and probably the year after that.

OT: Peavy to White Sox

OT: Peavy to White Sox

Submitted by Seth9 on July 31st, 2009 at 4:49 PM

Jake Peavy was traded to the White Sox for four prospects.

http://www.fannation.com/si_blogs/mlb_trade_talk/posts/72805-padres-agr…

CRAP

Despite Peavy being on the DL, he is still a huge boost to the White Sox rotation, particularly as his injury is an ankle injury and will likely have no effect once he leaves the DL.

EDIT: Actually, the White Sox traded Clayton Richard and three prospects...

OT: Roy Halladay Trade Possibility

OT: Roy Halladay Trade Possibility

Submitted by Seth9 on July 7th, 2009 at 7:24 PM

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/baseball/mlb/07/07/bluejays.halla…

I doubt that anything will actually happen, but the possibility that Halladay will be traded is a good thing for the Tigers because:

1. If traded, he almost certainly won't go to any AL East teams, ruling out the potential for the Yankees or Red Sox picking him up.

2. If traded, it is highly unlikely he will go to another AL Central team, as only Chicago can afford to take on his salary and their pitching situation is fairly good, so they probably won't be willing to meet whatever Toronto's asking price is.

3. The Tigers are the other team in the Central that can afford him salary wise. Unfortunately, it is almost certain that the Tigers will not be able to offer anything that Toronto will accept. That said, should Dave Dombrowski decide that he really wants Halladay, he is one of the few GMs in the Majors who has the balls to be willing to trade away good players and prospects to get him.

4. Halladay is not likely to stay with Toronto when he becomes a free agent in 2010. If he is traded, it will probably involve a team that we wouldn't mind him playing for (Yankees, Red Sox, other Central teams). He may be willing to sign an extension with this potential new club, which would keep him in a position where he does minimal damage to the Tigers.