TomVH: Iowa Visitors

TomVH: Iowa Visitors

Submitted by TomVH on October 12th, 2010 at 3:04 PM

Here's the list of recruits I have confirmed coming in for the Iowa game. As always, this list will have names added and dropped as it gets closer to game day. I'm going out of town from Thursday until Monday though, so there won't be much if anything from me until Monday. Please refrain from making the, "Yeah, but what about defensive recruits?!" comments. Just because there aren't many visiting for this game doesn't mean Michigan isn't recruiting them; they are.

2011

  • DT Timmy Jernigan - 6'2", 275 lbs, 4 Star, Lake City, Florida
  • TE Drew Owens - 6'5", 225 lbs, 3 Star, Charlotte, North Carolina
  • DB Dallas Crawford - 5'10", 185 lbs, 3 Star, Fort Myers, Florida
  • WR Sammy Watkins - 6'1", 180 lbs, 4 Star, Fort Myers, Florida
  • WR Hakeem Flowers - 6'2", 175 lbs, 3 Star, Greenville, South Carolina
  • WR Quinta Funderburk - 6'5", 204 lbs, 3 Star, Chesapeake, Virginia
  • QB Kevin Sousa - 6'3", 210 lbs, 3 Star, Lake Nona, Florida (Commit)

2012

  • DE Chris Wormley - 6'4", 255 lbs, Toledo, Ohio
  • RB Will Mahone - 5'11", 205 lbs, Austintown, Ohio (He confirmed he will be there)
  • DB Luc Haupt - 6'0", 180 lbs, Austintown, Ohio
  • DB Chris Davis - 5'10", 183 lbs, Austintown, Ohio
  • QB Demitrious Davis - 5'10", 183 lbs, Austintown, Ohio

There will be more 2012 kids added to the list soon. I'm still trying to confirm some, so keep checking back later tonight and tomorrow. 

Post Week 6: Yardage Analysis and Predictions + Score Predictor

Post Week 6: Yardage Analysis and Predictions + Score Predictor

Submitted by tpilews on October 12th, 2010 at 12:06 AM

A quick recap of what week 6 was and what was predicted... Week 6 predictions found in previous diary here.

Prediction vs. Actual

UM offense: 553 yards vs. 377 yards = 68%

UM defense: 495 yards vs. 536 yards = 108%

While UM ended up short of their predicted yards based on ridiculous output to date, they were still able to gain more yards than Sparty typically gives up in a game. (377 vs. 350). On the flipside, the UM defense gave up nearly 100 yards more than Sparty typically gains. Needless to say, those are not good numbers. When you combine them with three turnovers, the likelyhood of a win is slim.

On a positive note, UM left 18 points on the field in the form of a dropped TD by Hemingway and two INTs thrown by DR in the end zone. In other words, UM was three mistakes from being dead even in this game.

My predictor came up with a final score of 40.5 for UM and 39 for Sparty. Not much analysis needed here as score is based entirely on yardage. On to week 7.

Charts?

Charts...

Because of the poor numbers, both on offense and defense, Michigan's yardage lead slid nearly 50 yards to Iowa. The Hawkeyes join OSU as the only teams predicted to outgain UM. At this point, Michigan still has a favorable matchup against Purdue and Penn State. The recent success of Illinois has really made that game quite a tossup.

As with last week, I added an offensive and defensive ranking based on yards. MSU moved up 2 spots to number 8 after the UM game. The game this week against Iowa should prove to be another huge test for the Michigan offense.

At this point, with the score predictor, I'm inclined to throw away the "hybrid 2009/2010" stats. We have just edged past the halfway point of the regular season and teams have started to display an identity. As many yards as UM is putting up this year, they just haven't scored as much. It is definitely taking UM more yards to score the same amount of points. Because of the special teams woes [Ed: and bad defense] UM is finding itself in bad field position game-after-game.

Predictors...

Yards:

UM - 407
Iowa - 454

Score:

UM - 28
Iowa - 35

Looking ahead to Iowa

Looking ahead to Iowa

Submitted by El Jeffe on October 9th, 2010 at 7:35 PM

I'm guessing this will get deleted because obvs. But on the off chance it doesn't, here's what I took away from today's game:

The game hinged on five high-variance plays--the two long MSU runs, the long MSU pass, and the first two Denard interceptions.

Now, on the defensive side, it is simply a case of pick your poison. I liked how aggressive we were at stopping the run, but when you have an underachieveing MLB and a first-year free safety, those things happen. I don't know what GERG can do about it at this point.

On the offensive side, State had a good game plan: (1) take away Denard the runner, (2) make him a thrower, and (3) importantly, take away his first option as much as possible. This forced all three interceptions, though the last one was kind of a dopey throw under any circumstances.

The reason I bring this up is to look forward to Iowa. I'm not sure they'll have the inclinatino to do what State did, in which case I expect more Denard on the ground, a la the last two drives of the last game. If they do follow the Sparty Plan for Success, then what I hope to see is more throwaways by Denard. Essentially, I hope the coaches tell him: "make your first read. If it's covered, go to run rabbit run or ballthrowaway.exe."

In other words, I hope I see Denard's completion percentage plummet next week (unless his first read is always open; then I expect the usual accuracy he has shown this year), or a bunch of 5-20 yard scrambles when his first read is covered.

Go Blue!

OT- Iowa Schadenfreude

OT- Iowa Schadenfreude

Submitted by BiSB on September 19th, 2010 at 11:27 AM

So, we had a sorta bad, and almost REALLY bad, day.  But we ain't got NOTHIN' on Iowa.

And the good folks at BHGP were kind enough to place all of their Scott Tenorman Award nominees in the same thread.

http://www.blackheartgoldpants.com/2010/9/19/1697289/iowa-arizona-the-venting-thread#comments

A fun game is to count the number of words they use to complete the phrase "Fuck you, _________."  The list includes "offense," "defense," "special teams," Arizona," and "Alphabet," among many, many others.

A letter before the season kickoff

A letter before the season kickoff

Submitted by nmajali on September 4th, 2010 at 10:50 AM

 

Dear Michigan Fan,

 

 

I write to you right before the kickoff of the 2010-2011, my words might not be the ones you want to hear but have to be said anyways.

Thank you for being faithful to my cause, thank you for being there 110,000 strong at every home game, thank you for traveling for 10 hours to see me play away. Thank you for crying when I lose and for partying all around town when I win. We have many memories together, good and bad, whether it be Bo’s speeches, the comeback against Iowa in 1997, A-Train’s fumble against NorthWestern or Phillip Brabbs’ field goal against Washington. They are all moments that make our relationship stronger and that make us bond the way we have bonded in the past and the way we will keep on bonding in the future. What doesn’t kill us makes us stronger.

Friend, you have been angry at me recently and I don’t really know why? is it because there are less W’s? If so is our relationship one of self-interest? I truly thought you loved me for my inner soul and not for materialistic and cosmetic things, I thought you love me for what i mean to do and not just what I succeed at doing.

Well, don’t blame anything on the coach or the players, the university or yourself, there is nothing wrong, the spirit of this team is still there, I know it. Did you see Threet running against Wisconsin in 2008, did you know that he is actually a pocket passer!! Did you see Tate trying and trying and trying last year, did you see Rich crying? Did you see that Notre Dame game, or the attempt to comeback against MSU or Iowa? Yes we do not always succeed, but it will come back, sooner or later, so don’t give up on me not today or tomorrow. Win or lose we are all Wolverines at heart, feisty and fighting till the end.

Don’t worry about that missed tackle today, and don’t worry about that broken protection, none are intentional and in return I will give you much more glory in the future, just give me  a real chance to prove it and cheer for that team as much as you can.

As for the coach, give him a chance, he really needs you and his players need him, so if anything lets all stand united against all those who doubt us and lets prove forever that we are all Maize and Blue and not just Wal-Mart Wolverines! And no matter what happens today next week or in November stand by me.

 

Go Blue and Hail to the Victors,

 

 

Love,

 

The Heart and Soul of the Michigan Football Team 

Now with div's defined.. what will Iowa & Neb play for?

Now with div's defined.. what will Iowa & Neb play for?

Submitted by Wolverine In Exile on September 2nd, 2010 at 8:28 AM

My vote is for the "Ol' John Deere"... too bad he graduates this year, but damn it'd be sweet to Ricky Stanzi leading the team on a tractor pull around Memorial Stadium...

 

feel free to include your own cheesy ideas with appropriately cheesy graphics....

OT: Iowa, the Nick Saban of Universities?

OT: Iowa, the Nick Saban of Universities?

Submitted by Zone Left on August 3rd, 2010 at 1:09 PM

An interesting article in the NY Times about Iowa ending up with about 400 extra Freshman than it planned.  Admissions is a difficult job, because inevitably, a large portion of the admitted students will choose other schools.  It kind of seems similar to coaches over signing recruits attempting to predict attrition.  At least the incoming Iowa students aren't having their admissions rescinded.

The university does not expect to have much trouble adding smaller discussion groups to accommodate the incoming freshmen taking big, introductory lecture courses like Rhetoric, which is essentially English 101. Housing all the incoming students, though, has been the biggest challenge. With each freshman entitled to campus housing, several hundred students transferring from community and other colleges will most likely be given beds in newly commissioned, off-campus apartments or renovated dorm lounges.

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/08/04/education/04admissions.html?_r=1&hp