Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #15: Michigan 4, Michigan State 0

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #15: Michigan 4, Michigan State 0

Submitted by NastyIsland on December 7th, 2017 at 10:25 PM

_DSC5816

Some of Tony Calderone’s fine work (Bill Rapai)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

17 3 71%

Second Period

14 5 70%

Third Period

19 10 56%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

50 18 64%

Analysis: Michigan overpowered an under-talented MSU team, tonight. This was by no means a bombs-away performance, but they controlled the puck against a team that they should dominate. By the third period, Michigan was getting into the slot with ease. Tony Calderone had a day, netting a hat trick. The offense was driven, again, primarily by the top DMC line. This was a desired and expected result. Doing the same tomorrow night will be a good sign.

[After THE JUMP: Full House. On the stat sheet. Look, it's a thing in hockey stats, okay?]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #13: Ohio State 3, Michigan 2

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #13: Ohio State 3, Michigan 2

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 24th, 2017 at 9:55 PM

Therefore art thou, Romeo. Always in good position. (James Coller)

OFFENSE

 

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

23 7 53%

Second Period

16 6 43%

Third Period

18 4 41%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

57 17 46%

Analysis: Michigan did tally a number of attempts on net tonight. They did not, however, get many looks form the house. I’ve found over the last couple years of tracking a number of these stats that the average percentage of attempts from the house is near 40%. Michigan was at 30% tonight. Ohio State has the best defense I’ve seen Michigan play this year, and the numbers seem to back that up. Michigan’s goals came on a nice bounce on a shot from the point that evaded multiple skaters and jumped through Sean Romeo and a tap-in just outside the crease after some nifty passing with their goalie pulled. The few chances that they did create were met by Romeo, who played quite the game when called upon. OSU’s defense was the difference in this game.

[Hit THE JUMP for more]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #12: Michigan 4, Wisconsin 4 (SOW)

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #12: Michigan 4, Wisconsin 4 (SOW)

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 19th, 2017 at 1:15 AM

Hey Coop, wanna stick around for a fourth year, too? (Patrick Barron)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

17 7 55%

Second Period

17 4 52%

Third Period

31 11 67%

Overtime

4 1 33%

TOTAL

69 23 57%

Analysis: Michigan has definitely improved their offense this season. Tonight was further evidence of that. There was a spell in the second period where Michigan couldn’t stay out of the penalty box, but aside from that, they pretty much controlled the even-strength play. They created chances all over the ice and scored all four goals at even strength. Cooper Marody has really blossomed to the point that there are whispers in my hockey circle that he might be too good for the collegiate ranks. Tony Calderone has built upon his last couple of years by continuing to snipe and pour in goals. The offense is still only two lines deep, but that top line is starting to turn some heads. No comparisons yet, though, please.

[After THE JUMP: new shot-generating capabilites were present, but so were some bad old habits]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #10: Minnesota 6, Michigan 6 (SOL)

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #10: Minnesota 6, Michigan 6 (SOL)

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 12th, 2017 at 12:13 PM

There are too many narratives for this game that can only be summed up in one word (JD Scott)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

14 6 56%

Second Period

11 3 39%

Third Period

19 5 70%

Overtime

8 3 66%

TOTAL

52 17 57%

Analysis: This was such an odd offensive performance again. Michigan tallied 52 attempts on net, though the majority of those came from the edges. I can live with that many shot attempts against a talented Gopher team, for sure. The odd part was more reflected in their ability to put pucks away with their few opportunities from in close. Michigan got deep in the slot or around the crease and scored five times in 15ish chances. That seems a little high to me, especially given that most of those were even strength. Minnesota also seemed to let up a little after stretching their lead to 6-3. Once again, Michigan took advantage of a few breakdowns in Minnesota’s defense. I will also say that it seemed that Michigan has developed two top scoring lines. They’re now a Top-5 offense and Minnesota is included in that sample size. If they can continue this one more week, things will be looking way up.

[After THE JUMP: how the defense fared, switching goaltenders, and winning Corsi]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #9: Michigan 5, Minnesota 4

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #9: Michigan 5, Minnesota 4

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 10th, 2017 at 11:51 PM

In a game against Minnesota on Friday at Yost Ice Arena (Ryan McLoughlin/2017)

This is an appropriate reaction to a game-winning header (Ryan McLoughlin)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi (Shot Attempts)

House (Crease to Dot to Dot)

Possession %

First Period

17 5 45%

Second Period

17 7 45%

Third Period

19 9 61%

Overtime

3 1 30%

TOTAL

56 22 48%

Analysis: This was a very encouraging result from Michigan. While they were slightly out-possessed, Michigan managed to create a lot of chances, especially as the game wore on. They dominated the third period and got into the House with regularity. They do rely a ton on their top two lines and the provided. Cooper Marody looked in control all night, tallying two assists, including a great hold behind the net and then finding a driving Slaker to tie the game. Tony Calderone also drove some play, sniped a corner, and led a 2v1, finding Ol’ Dex, who also sniped a corner. Michigan’s top two lines went against six drafted defensemen and held their own. They took and finished the chances they were given well. This is exactly what this offense needs to do.

[Hit THE JUMP for a breakdown of other units]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #7: Michigan 7, Ferris State 2

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #7: Michigan 7, Ferris State 2

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 2nd, 2017 at 10:51 PM

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A strong third period breaks it open (Bill Rapai)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

22 9 54%

Second Period

16 8 47%

Third Period

20 13 61%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

58 30 54%

Analysis: Michigan turned in some nice offensive numbers, tonight, including getting over half of their attempts from the House. This probably speaks more to Ferris State than to Michigan, though. Michigan did create a ton, but Ferris did not look very talented or capable of threatening Michigan’s offense at all. The Wolverines took advantage of who they played and cut the Bulldog defense wide open. Looking at the numbers coming into the game, however, that’s what a good offense needed to do. Check.

[Defense, special teams, and goaltending after THE JUMP]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #6: Michigan 5, Penn State 2

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #6: Michigan 5, Penn State 2

Submitted by NastyIsland on October 29th, 2017 at 6:07 PM

Five point weekend for Ol’ Dex (Patrick Barron)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

5 4 31%

Second Period

24 10 51%

Third Period

13 5 34%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

42 19 42%

Analysis: Michigan’s offense in this game resembled last season’s offense. Five and 13 attempts in the first and third periods, respectively. Not awesome. They scored goals because Peyton Jones kinda sucks. Also, Penn State had some terrible giveaways. Give Michigan credit, they took advantage of what Penn State gave them. There is a lot to be said for that, but aside from a bluster in the middle of the second period, Michigan was doing more chasing of the puck. They did manage to get quite of a few good looks– 45% of their attempts came from the House, so when they shot the puck, they were generally in quality positions to do so. Some of the lack of shots is probably related to the avalanche of penalty minutes that they had to kill...more on that later.

[Hit THE JUMP for defense, special teams, goaltending, and more]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #5: Penn State 5, Michigan 4 (OT)

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #5: Penn State 5, Michigan 4 (OT)

Submitted by NastyIsland on October 28th, 2017 at 1:24 AM

Jack was nimble and was quick, just could not jump over the final…candlestick? (James Coller)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

22 7 48%

Second Period

16 6 43%

Third Period

25 11 45%

Overtime

0 0 0% (unlikely)

TOTAL

63 24 45%

Analysis: So, watching this…it felt a lot worse. This is results-based charting, however, and this is a very big improvement. I tweeted than Michigan had games of 49 and 39 in Happy Valley last year. Getting 63 attempts with almost 40% of those coming from the House is good, especially against a puck-dominant team. I think Michigan can do fine with numbers like this (the possession isn’t great, though). Penn State has a leaky defense and an inconsistent goalie. Michigan definitely took advantage of both of those things and scored enough to give them a good enough chance to win this game. Marody had a nice snipe, Dancs took his chance well, and others had great opportunities to score. Peyton Jones played well in net for Penn State at times, and at others he was awful. All in all, if you gave me these numbers before the game, I would have taken them happily.

[After THE JUMP: defense, special teams, and odd-man rushes]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #4: Michigan 3, Vermont 2

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #4: Michigan 3, Vermont 2

Submitted by NastyIsland on October 24th, 2017 at 10:03 PM

Pucks to the net, man (Bill Rapai)

OFFENSE

 

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

15

7

45%

Second Period

10

4

53%

Third Period

24

9

52%

Overtime

n/a

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

49

20

50%

 

Analysis: This was a bit of a downgrade from Friday night's performace. There were not the 'wide open' rush looks that Michigan generated in the previous game. Vermont sat back a little more in the third period, and the Wolverines were able to create a few flurries deeper in the House. It was tougher to see from my the angles that I was viewing from -who knew the scoreboard feed was a giant step down from the Press Box? So, I'm not going to make too many claims. The was about as 50/50 as you can get, even down to House Shots. Lekkas got a little leaky and let in a couple of soft goals. Michigan was fortunate to win this toss up game.

 

 

DEFENSE

 

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

18

7

55%

Second Period

9

6

47%

Third Period

22

6

48%

Overtime

n/a

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

49

19

50%

 

Analysis: As stated above, this was the definition of a 50/50 game. Michigan allowed more attempts than they did the previous night, but they did not get shelled by any means. They also did not give up an even strength goal. This is not as tight as would be ideally desired, but this is an acceptable performance. I think holding opponents under 40 attempts -like Friday- is not going to happen very consistently for many teams. Michigan's defense is probably a little crsiper than Saturday night's game, but I wouldn't think it is a ton better. They're going to have to win a few more games like this one...hopefully with a tad more offensive possession or some Special Teams contributions.

 

 

SPECIAL TEAMS

 

 

PP For

PP Against

PP Corsi For

PP Corsi Against

PP Shots/Min For

PP Shots/Min Against

First Period

0/2

n/a

6

n/a

.5

n/a

Second Period

0/1

1/3

1

7

.5

.5

Third Period

0/1

n/a

3

n/a

.5

n/a

Overtime

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

0/4

1/3

10

7

.5

.5

 

Analysis: Michigan's Special Teams units were not exactly stellar in their fourth outing. They gave up a short-handed goal in the first period (which I am apparently not charting). That was an awful turnover behind their net and Lavigne was hung out to dry. They also surrendured a power play goal in the second frame. That one was a big more unlucky as the puck bounced to an open area out of a scrum and the open man tucked it away. Those will happen. On the positive side, Michigan only took three penalties -actually four with the matching minors- on the entire night. That is also acceptable. I cannot comment on what they did on the power play because my view was not good enough to elaborate, unfortunately.

 

 

Lavigne spit out every 5v5 attempt (James Coller)

GOALTENDING

 

 

Shots Faced

Shots from House Faced

First Period

9

4

Second Period

9

6

Third Period

11

4

Overtime

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

29

14

 

Analysis: As promised by Mel Pearson, the goalie rotation continued through the second set of games and Hayden Lavigne got his second turn in net on Saturday. Both goals he gave up were not his fault by any means...and neither was of the even strength variety. Lavigne also had a bit more to do than his rotation partner did on Friday night. Michigan continues to have very fine netminding, and I've seen nothing to make me believe that shouldn't continue in the future, regardless of who starts in net.

 

 

ODD MAN RUSHES

 

 

Rushes

Advantages

Escape %

First Period

 

 

 

Second Period

 

 

 

Third Period

 

 

 

Overtime

 

 

 

TOTAL

 

 

 

 

Analysis: I was unable to track any of this, so I will leave it all blank. From what I could tell, though, it did not seem like there were many, at all.

 

 

FINAL CORSI NUMBERS

I had: Michigan 49(20), Vermont 49(19)

www.collegehockeynews.com had: Vermont 51, Michigan 48

 

Michigan Hockey 16-17, Game #35: Penn State 4, Michigan 1

Michigan Hockey 16-17, Game #35: Penn State 4, Michigan 1

Submitted by NastyIsland on March 16th, 2017 at 10:47 PM

(James Coller)  Thank you, Red

OFFENSE

  • FIRST: Michigan produced a 12(5) in the first period.  That's...ok-ish.  Its not great, but at least they are getting a couple good looks.  They have not gone in, though...something that happened last weekend.  Also, given their defensive play in the first period (spoiler alert), they're definitely going to need to create A LOT more offense.  They cannot get into an end-to-end game with Penn State, but if this keeps up, they're going to have to try.  Then, it could get really ugly.
     
  • SECOND: So, this could be Fool's Gold, similar to the third period of the second Minnesota game from two weekends ago...but Michigan had an 18(10).  That's not good...its great.  I will take that in any/every period.  Penn State was up 4-0 very early in the second, though.  Michigan almost had a couple of even strength goals.  One was overturned as Kile took a Winborg-induced rebound and lifted it over Jones, but on review, it was determined a Michigan skater was about 5 inches offside.  The second was a tremendous strip from Kile who quickly hit Shuart in the low slot but he could not get a shot off.  If both of those go in, its 4-3 and the period corsi makes sense.  
     
  • THIRD: Michigan turned up the heat to start the third period.  Jones almost gave away a goal by miscovering the puck, but Marody hit the post.  Later, Dancs walked into the slot and Jones made a great save to deflect his shot high.  Michigan really needed those to go in to change the game and make PSU extend themselves  to open up their defense.  Alas, they did not go in and PSU could be content to repulse attack after attack.  We talked last week about Michigan needing to limit PSU's quality looks and then convert on their own few quality chances.  After the first period (and giving up too many good look goals), Michigan was forced to have to score on every one of their golden chances and they did not.  That is hockey (and sports).  They are high percentage chances, not guarnateed chances.  When those don't go in for a team that does not get a lot of them, it is borderline impossible to win.  When you have to be perfect in all aspects of the game...and you are not...you're just not the better team.  That is what happened tonight.  Michigan had a 23(6) in the third.

DEFENSE

  • FIRST: The defense was bad.  Two of the three goals resulted from terrible defensive play.  The second goal was a nice rush from PSU but two M defenders covered the same guy and the winger got a great centering pass through the low slot and Sucese was right at the back post to tap it into the net.  Also, just as the period was closing, M had a awful DZTO at their blue line that enabled PSU to rush in on a 2v1 and Goodwin placed a shot neatly below Nagelvoort's blocker.  Nagelvoort has by no means been amazing, but he has not been able to clean everything up like he did last Saturday.  Looking at the numbers shows Michigan give up a 19(8).  That's a lot of chances...and a lot of good chances.  The next couple periods could be tough to get through.
     
  • SECOND: Michigan gave up a 15(5) against PSU in the second period.  I will take that every time from this team.  Nagelvoort made a couple nice stops, but the defense was a little better.  It also probably had a bit to do with PSU being up enough that they didn't want to overextend themselves and give away free goals.  Even on the goal, its hard to fault skaters going for a shot block and potentially getting in the goalie's line of sight.  
     
  • THIRD: Being up by 3 goals and having another game tomorrow (and potentially a third the following night), Penn State conserved energy and mostly sat on their lead and allowed Michigan to come at them.  Therefore, Michigan's defense didn't have much to do.  This game was won for Penn State in the first period.  Penn State had a 15(3) in the third.

 

SPECIAL TEAMS

  • FIRST: Michigan took one penalty and Penn State scored on it at the very end.  It really was just a smooth play to create and open shooter in front of the net.  Biro skated behind the net and stopped like he was going to reverse.  Folkes was right behind him and he popped out and spun around as he crossed the goalline and positioned himself in the crease.  Biro hit him in the stick blade and Folkes one-timed it behind Nagelvoort as Zach left his post, assuming Biro was reversing.  Very nice play.  Will be interesting to see Adam's GBGA on this one.   Michigan did not get a power play.
     
  • SECOND: There was one penalty in the second and it was against Penn State.  Michigan took advantage of their lone opportunity and broke the shut out!  Yay!  The puck was batted around in front and was lifted into Sanchez's chest and he batted/bumped it over a prone Jones (rhyme intended) and into the net.  Scrappy goal, but that's how it is down low.
     
  • THIRD: Michigan took one penalty in the third.  PSU didn't try to do too much with their man advanatge and didn't really come close to scoring.  Michigan drew a couple of power plays late in the third but never really mustered much of a threat.  That's pretty much it.  M finished 1/3 and PSU finished 1/2.

 

GOALTENDING

  • FIRST: So...Nagelvoort maybe had a chance on the third goal?  But not really.  He got square to the shooter but the puck went under his blocker.  He was visably upset that he didn't stop it, but it was a bad DZTO and became and OMR...I'm not blaming a goalie for that.  You save that and you're just awesome.  The previous two goals he had zero shot at stopping.  He's played well and let in three.  Ugh.  10 saves in the first period.
     
  • SECOND: So, we can kinda put the fourth(this is getting high) goal on Zach.  It was a faceoff won back to the point and fired at the net; however, TWO Michigan skaters stood to block the shot and it somehow went between them.  Nagelvoort reached with his glove and deflected it into the post and behind the line.  So, I guess he was kinda screened...but it appears he saw it late and got a glove on it.  He was frustrated after that one.  He also made about 2-3 more saves that coulda/shoulda been goals.  So...whatever, I guess.  He's playing fine, not amazing, getting no bounces or offensvie help.  <Insert Shruggie Here>
     
  • THIRD: Nagelvoort had a boring final period in a Michigan uniform.  Michigan made some early pushes and Penn State was comfortable to just sit back.  He's had a great senior season and its been awesome to watch him develop.  He's still a draft pick and hopefully he'll get a chance at the next level!  

 

ODD MAN RUSHES

  • FIRST: Michigan gave up 1 clear OMR.  It was a 2v1 after a great stretch pass.  Nagelvoort made a tremendous 5 hole save.  There were a couple other 'almosts' and one bad DZTO that became an OMR but I'm not calling it because it originated at the defensive blue line.
     
  • SECOND: There were a couple more OMRs for Penn State in the second.  The first was a 2v1 that the defenseman broke up, not allowing an attempt on net.  The next was a 3v1 that PSU set up perfectly with two passes and Nagelvoort made an amazing save.  OMRs are a thing, tonight.
     
  • THIRD: There were no OMRs in the third.  But PSU was also not that aggressive...as they did not need to be, given the score.

 

FINAL CORSI SCORE

I had: Michigan 53(21), Penn State 49(16)

www.collegehockeynews.com had: Michigan 52, Penn State 47