Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #19: Notre Dame 2, Michigan 1

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #19: Notre Dame 2, Michigan 1

Submitted by NastyIsland on January 5th, 2018 at 10:06 PM

(James Coller/MGoBlog)

Cale Morris must have had his kale, today (James Coller)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

18 8 53%

Second Period

17 2 50%

Third Period

26 7 62%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

61 17 55%

Analysis: Michigan was down two of their top-six forwards tonight, but you couldn’t exactly tell. They were able to control the puck for the last 50+ minutes of the game and create chances all over the ice. Calderone scored the lone even-strength goal of the game on a power move that somehow caught Morris off of his near post, and the puck trickled between him and said post. Notre Dame entered the game with a elite defense and arguably the best goaltending in college hockey and the latter is what saved them. I thought Michigan was able to beat the Irish defense with enough consistency to score multiple goals. However, Cale Morris was just as good as advertised (with the help of one large post) and stole Michigan’s pot of gold in the end. Michigan didn’t overwhelm from the house area, but multiple lines were able to generate chances, and that is definitely something to build on for the Wolverines. 

[After THE JUMP: quantifying a great defensive effort]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #16: Michigan State 5, Michigan 0

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #16: Michigan State 5, Michigan 0

Submitted by NastyIsland on December 8th, 2017 at 10:07 PM

Yeah, I’ll take one of those! (Bryan Fuller)

OFFENSE

 

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

23 10 64%

Second Period

14 4 54%

Third Period

18 10 51%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

55 24 57%

 

· Analysis: So, this was similar to and actually better than last night, but the pucks didn’t go into the net. It’s also more complicated than that. Michigan’s problem is that they have basically 1.5 scoring lines. Last night, Calderone netted a hat trick. Tonight, the DMC line didn’t score and neither did Michigan. Remember the CCM line? They had an additional 1.5 competent lines behind them. That is not the case this year. Michigan’s offense will seemingly go as their top line does. Also, MSU’s defense did a nice job of generally keeping Michigan from really great scoring chances all around.

[After THE JUMP: stats and discussion of defense, special teams, goaltending, and odd-man rushes. Also, a picture of a self-inflicted wedgie]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #15: Michigan 4, Michigan State 0

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #15: Michigan 4, Michigan State 0

Submitted by NastyIsland on December 7th, 2017 at 10:25 PM

_DSC5816

Some of Tony Calderone’s fine work (Bill Rapai)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

17 3 71%

Second Period

14 5 70%

Third Period

19 10 56%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

50 18 64%

Analysis: Michigan overpowered an under-talented MSU team, tonight. This was by no means a bombs-away performance, but they controlled the puck against a team that they should dominate. By the third period, Michigan was getting into the slot with ease. Tony Calderone had a day, netting a hat trick. The offense was driven, again, primarily by the top DMC line. This was a desired and expected result. Doing the same tomorrow night will be a good sign.

[After THE JUMP: Full House. On the stat sheet. Look, it's a thing in hockey stats, okay?]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #13: Ohio State 3, Michigan 2

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #13: Ohio State 3, Michigan 2

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 24th, 2017 at 9:55 PM

Therefore art thou, Romeo. Always in good position. (James Coller)

OFFENSE

 

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

23 7 53%

Second Period

16 6 43%

Third Period

18 4 41%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

57 17 46%

Analysis: Michigan did tally a number of attempts on net tonight. They did not, however, get many looks form the house. I’ve found over the last couple years of tracking a number of these stats that the average percentage of attempts from the house is near 40%. Michigan was at 30% tonight. Ohio State has the best defense I’ve seen Michigan play this year, and the numbers seem to back that up. Michigan’s goals came on a nice bounce on a shot from the point that evaded multiple skaters and jumped through Sean Romeo and a tap-in just outside the crease after some nifty passing with their goalie pulled. The few chances that they did create were met by Romeo, who played quite the game when called upon. OSU’s defense was the difference in this game.

[Hit THE JUMP for more]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #12: Michigan 4, Wisconsin 4 (SOW)

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #12: Michigan 4, Wisconsin 4 (SOW)

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 19th, 2017 at 1:15 AM

Hey Coop, wanna stick around for a fourth year, too? (Patrick Barron)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

17 7 55%

Second Period

17 4 52%

Third Period

31 11 67%

Overtime

4 1 33%

TOTAL

69 23 57%

Analysis: Michigan has definitely improved their offense this season. Tonight was further evidence of that. There was a spell in the second period where Michigan couldn’t stay out of the penalty box, but aside from that, they pretty much controlled the even-strength play. They created chances all over the ice and scored all four goals at even strength. Cooper Marody has really blossomed to the point that there are whispers in my hockey circle that he might be too good for the collegiate ranks. Tony Calderone has built upon his last couple of years by continuing to snipe and pour in goals. The offense is still only two lines deep, but that top line is starting to turn some heads. No comparisons yet, though, please.

[After THE JUMP: new shot-generating capabilites were present, but so were some bad old habits]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #10: Minnesota 6, Michigan 6 (SOL)

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #10: Minnesota 6, Michigan 6 (SOL)

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 12th, 2017 at 12:13 PM

There are too many narratives for this game that can only be summed up in one word (JD Scott)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

14 6 56%

Second Period

11 3 39%

Third Period

19 5 70%

Overtime

8 3 66%

TOTAL

52 17 57%

Analysis: This was such an odd offensive performance again. Michigan tallied 52 attempts on net, though the majority of those came from the edges. I can live with that many shot attempts against a talented Gopher team, for sure. The odd part was more reflected in their ability to put pucks away with their few opportunities from in close. Michigan got deep in the slot or around the crease and scored five times in 15ish chances. That seems a little high to me, especially given that most of those were even strength. Minnesota also seemed to let up a little after stretching their lead to 6-3. Once again, Michigan took advantage of a few breakdowns in Minnesota’s defense. I will also say that it seemed that Michigan has developed two top scoring lines. They’re now a Top-5 offense and Minnesota is included in that sample size. If they can continue this one more week, things will be looking way up.

[After THE JUMP: how the defense fared, switching goaltenders, and winning Corsi]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #9: Michigan 5, Minnesota 4

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #9: Michigan 5, Minnesota 4

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 10th, 2017 at 11:51 PM

In a game against Minnesota on Friday at Yost Ice Arena (Ryan McLoughlin/2017)

This is an appropriate reaction to a game-winning header (Ryan McLoughlin)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi (Shot Attempts)

House (Crease to Dot to Dot)

Possession %

First Period

17 5 45%

Second Period

17 7 45%

Third Period

19 9 61%

Overtime

3 1 30%

TOTAL

56 22 48%

Analysis: This was a very encouraging result from Michigan. While they were slightly out-possessed, Michigan managed to create a lot of chances, especially as the game wore on. They dominated the third period and got into the House with regularity. They do rely a ton on their top two lines and the provided. Cooper Marody looked in control all night, tallying two assists, including a great hold behind the net and then finding a driving Slaker to tie the game. Tony Calderone also drove some play, sniped a corner, and led a 2v1, finding Ol’ Dex, who also sniped a corner. Michigan’s top two lines went against six drafted defensemen and held their own. They took and finished the chances they were given well. This is exactly what this offense needs to do.

[Hit THE JUMP for a breakdown of other units]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #7: Michigan 7, Ferris State 2

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #7: Michigan 7, Ferris State 2

Submitted by NastyIsland on November 2nd, 2017 at 10:51 PM

_DSC4741

A strong third period breaks it open (Bill Rapai)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

22 9 54%

Second Period

16 8 47%

Third Period

20 13 61%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

58 30 54%

Analysis: Michigan turned in some nice offensive numbers, tonight, including getting over half of their attempts from the House. This probably speaks more to Ferris State than to Michigan, though. Michigan did create a ton, but Ferris did not look very talented or capable of threatening Michigan’s offense at all. The Wolverines took advantage of who they played and cut the Bulldog defense wide open. Looking at the numbers coming into the game, however, that’s what a good offense needed to do. Check.

[Defense, special teams, and goaltending after THE JUMP]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #6: Michigan 5, Penn State 2

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #6: Michigan 5, Penn State 2

Submitted by NastyIsland on October 29th, 2017 at 6:07 PM

Five point weekend for Ol’ Dex (Patrick Barron)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

5 4 31%

Second Period

24 10 51%

Third Period

13 5 34%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

42 19 42%

Analysis: Michigan’s offense in this game resembled last season’s offense. Five and 13 attempts in the first and third periods, respectively. Not awesome. They scored goals because Peyton Jones kinda sucks. Also, Penn State had some terrible giveaways. Give Michigan credit, they took advantage of what Penn State gave them. There is a lot to be said for that, but aside from a bluster in the middle of the second period, Michigan was doing more chasing of the puck. They did manage to get quite of a few good looks– 45% of their attempts came from the House, so when they shot the puck, they were generally in quality positions to do so. Some of the lack of shots is probably related to the avalanche of penalty minutes that they had to kill...more on that later.

[Hit THE JUMP for defense, special teams, goaltending, and more]

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #5: Penn State 5, Michigan 4 (OT)

Michigan Hockey 17-18, Game #5: Penn State 5, Michigan 4 (OT)

Submitted by NastyIsland on October 28th, 2017 at 1:24 AM

Jack was nimble and was quick, just could not jump over the final…candlestick? (James Coller)

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

22 7 48%

Second Period

16 6 43%

Third Period

25 11 45%

Overtime

0 0 0% (unlikely)

TOTAL

63 24 45%

Analysis: So, watching this…it felt a lot worse. This is results-based charting, however, and this is a very big improvement. I tweeted than Michigan had games of 49 and 39 in Happy Valley last year. Getting 63 attempts with almost 40% of those coming from the House is good, especially against a puck-dominant team. I think Michigan can do fine with numbers like this (the possession isn’t great, though). Penn State has a leaky defense and an inconsistent goalie. Michigan definitely took advantage of both of those things and scored enough to give them a good enough chance to win this game. Marody had a nice snipe, Dancs took his chance well, and others had great opportunities to score. Peyton Jones played well in net for Penn State at times, and at others he was awful. All in all, if you gave me these numbers before the game, I would have taken them happily.

[After THE JUMP: defense, special teams, and odd-man rushes]