A Tweeter named Wesley Weber did a nice job tabulating the CFP rankings vs. S&P+, FPI, and Sagarin, to show how much the Committee overvalues the ACC and SEC, and undervalues the B1G. It's pretty striking:
You know that Desmond Howard is picking M to win it all. But surprisingly, Howard is not alone. 5 other ESPN writers—out of 42 total—are picking M to make the CFP: Marty Smith, Dan Orlovsky, Cole Cubelic, Rod Gilmore, and Todd Blackledge.
15 writers picked Wisconsin to make the CFP; 11 picked OSU; 8 picked PSU; 3 picked MSU.
3 writers picked 2 B1G teams to make the CFP: David Hale picked Wisconsin and OSU; Tom Luginbill picked PSU and OSU; Dan Orlovsky picked M and Wisconsin.
I completely agree with Mo Hurst sitting out if the Outback if he decides to do so. But it brought a question to my mind - Will it be the players decisions in bowl games that eventually push us to an expanded playoff?
People keep saying the controversy over the 4th team in the playoff will eventually lead us to 8, but there is no incentive for the bowl people to do away with their games when they make money.
However, If more and more players end up sitting out what are truly meaningless games, the bowl games then become even more meaningless. The only way to keep the best players from playing might eventually be to make the games meaningful. Would a Mo Hurst, a Christian McCaffery or a Leonard Fournette skip a playoff game with their team having a chance to play its way to a championship?