Preview: Nebraska 2018

Preview: Nebraska 2018 Comment Count

Brian September 21st, 2018 at 3:54 PM

[Eric Upchurch]

Essentials

WHAT Michigan vs Nebraska wG6l0e_5_400x400
WHERE Michigan Stadium
Ann Arbor, MI
WHEN Noon Eastern
THE LINE Michigan –18
TELEVISION FS1
TICKETS exist
WEATHER low 60s, partly cloudy
0% chance of rain
minimal wind

Overview

I know Nebraska's 0-2 and in a year zero as Scott Frost takes over for a guy who had Nebraska in such a state that the first time anyone on the team touched a weight two guys got rhabdo, but 18 points? If I'd been sipping tea when I read that was the line it would have been spit take city, baby. Apparently I'm alone in this. The line hasn't budged since its release.

And okay yeah Nebraska hasn't been killing it but the Troy loss came without their starting quarterback—Michigan fans do not need to be told how devastating that loss can be—against a team that beat LSU last year and the Cornhuskers outgained Colorado by 150 yards. They ran for 329 yards! What part of that says "easy three score win" to you, Las Vegas?

I mean, Michigan should probably win this game but it's not the 90%+ shot the line says. I feel like I am taking the crazy pills. Unless Adrian Martinez is out. Then, yeah, 18 points. Survey says:

"He's further along," Frost said. "Again, it isn't just 'Is he ready to go?' It's 'Is he ready to go mentally and physically to the point that he can protect himself in the game and make sure he stays healthy?'

"He's really close. We gotta make a final decision."

Why is this game even on the board?

[Hit THE JUMP for BAD RADAR]

Comments

Preview: SMU 2018

Preview: SMU 2018 Comment Count

Brian September 14th, 2018 at 2:52 PM

Essentials

WHAT Michigan vs SMU craig-james
WHERE Michigan Stadium
Ann Arbor, MI
WHEN 3:30 PM EDT
THE LINE Michigan –35.5
TELEVISION BTN
TICKETS exist
WEATHER cloudy, 80+, humid,
slight chance of rain,
gross

Overview

Southern Methodist University is bad at football, having lost to the North Texas Mean Green by three-plus scores. And it was actually worse than that: all of SMU's 23 points came in the fourth quarter after North Texas had jumped out to a 36-0 lead; 14 of them came with under two minutes left. Even with the garbage time polishing, the Mustangs got outgained two-to-one and rushed for 4 yards. Things were actually less lopsided against #15 TCU last week thanks in part to a weather delay and gouts of rain during play, but SMU again failed to crack 250 yards.

It wasn't supposed to be like this: Chad Morris did well enough after inheriting the #127 S&P+ team to jump to Arkansas. New coach Sonny Dykes inherited a team that was one game below .500 the previous two years. SMU returns their starting QB and big chunks of the #11 S&P+ offense, but apparently the wrong chunks.

Or Sonny Dykes is not a good football coach. It might say something about something that the Mustangs went from a team that was competitive against undisputed national champion UCF to a humiliating 51-10 bowl blowout at the hands of Louisiana Tech once Dykes took over.

Either way, Michigan is favored by five touchdowns and change.

[Hit THE JUMP for WORDS about a BAD FOOTBALL TEAM]

Comments

Preview: Western Michigan 2018

Preview: Western Michigan 2018 Comment Count

Seth September 7th, 2018 at 4:05 PM

[Bryan Fuller]

Essentials

WHAT Michigan vs Western Michigan Image result for Western Michigan logo
WHERE Michigan Stadium
Ann Arbor, MI
WHEN Noon EDT
THE LINE Vegas: M–27.5
S&P+: M–25.7
TELEVISION FS1
TICKETS free on the board
WEATHER Mostly Cloudy, 67°F to 70° with slight chance of rain

Overview:

P.J. Fleck departed last year after a run to the Cotton Bowl catapulted him to a Big Ten job, and his lawyer made sure the #RowTheBoat thing went with him. Taking his place was Tim Lester, the former Syracuse QB/passing game coordinator whose one year as Purdue de facto OC failed to save Darrell Hazell. Lester reunited some coaching buddies from his own days at WMU then shuffled around jobs this past offseason. Lester's tight end binky of the '90s Joe Moreland came on as running game coordinator then flipped to passing game coordinator. Former Lloyd Carr assistant Terry Malone was named running backs coach. Defensive coordinator Tim Daoust and co-coordinator/DL coach Lou Esposito are both in their second WMU stints. And because a hashtag slogan is needed, #LetsRide was adopted.

The new arrangement of the deck chairs probably won't affect the Broncos half as much as their players getting healthy, and a wave of Fleck recruits growing into their roles. What should have been that Wile E. Coyote season was ruined by injuries: 20 players saw their seasons end prematurely, give or take a medshirt redshirt on a couple of freshmen. A 6-6 season ended in the Glass Bowl, which unfortunately is what they call the place they play the Toledo-WMU rivalry and not a new bowl game you haven't heard of.

Now with a few key pieces of the offense and most of the defense graduated, WMU seems to be settling into a team that's fun to watch for everyone except those with skin in the game. Both the offense and defense are explosive, and it's entirely by design. They lost their first game to Syracuse by falling behind 34-7 early in the 2nd quarter, charging back to within 6 points, then crumbling down the stretch, losing 55-42.

Run Offense vs WMU

This was a bad run defense last year (122nd to S&P+) and judging by the Syracuse game it's gotten far worse. So much of last week was garbage time with the backup QB handing off that the 5.4 YPC the Broncos gave up last week isn't quite representative. Orange QB Eric Dungey ran for 200 yards on 15 carries (13.3 YPC) and only one was a long TD. On film this looked to me like mostly a linebackers problem:

The linebackers rotate a bunch and none of them are much good at reading and reacting. The best is WLB/HSP Drake Spears, who got tossed from the game last week as part of the fight in the 3rd quarter, and is listed behind true sophomore Treshaun Hayward in this week's game notes. MLB Corvin Moment, a redshirt freshman, isn't good for much more than blitzes since he thinks he's instinctive and isn't. Regular SLB Alex Grace is the opposite: he's patient and gets a lot of tackles, but he's also 6'1"/220, easy to push around, and liable to get himself in the wrong gap while he's trying to do the math.

The defensive ends are all between 230 and 240 pounds, the linebackers are all 220, and after losing their nose guard for the season in spring the DTs are a recent offensive line convert and two undersized underclassmen. WMU tries to make up for this by blitzballing into the line or running a ton of stunts and blitzes, and often those do manage to interrupt running games. They also tend to open up huge holes when somebody runs himself out of the gap and the next guy is way too small to fight his way into it. The safeties line up hyper-aggressively—like at 5 to 6 yards—and the linebackers suck up like whoa on play action. The result is a lot of plays that get 1 or 2 grind-it-out yards, and a lot of big plays.

This is a much better matchup for Michigan's running game than last week. WMU is not built to stand up to a heavy Power rushing attack up front, and neither do they have the linebackers so adept at slashing into the blocking scheme. Michigan punished Minnesota's hyper-aggression last year by going jumbo and that seems likely to win Michigan's backs many trips to the secondary. Since that's happening 2 yards past the line of scrimmage, what happens from there is up to them.

KEY MATCHUP: Higdon and Evans vs a safety in the face, and all the yards behind him.

[Hit the JUMP for a plea to caveman]

Comments

Preview: Notre Dame 2018

Preview: Notre Dame 2018 Comment Count

Seth August 31st, 2018 at 1:09 PM

Don't adjust your TV tint. [Eric Upchurch]

Essentials

WHAT Michigan vs Notre Dame image
WHERE Notre Dame Stadium
South Bend, IN
WHEN 7:30 PM EDT
THE LINE Notre Dame -1
TELEVISION NBC
TICKETS from $500
WEATHER low 70s, 50% chance of T-storms

[Above: @phillykelly via OneFootDown]

Overview: It's Not Madness, It's Meat

In 1887 the Michigan football team, on their way to Chicago for the big Thanksgiving Game, stopped in South Bend to see some buddies, and taught their friends this game they were about. The Wolverines' 1942 visit had more fanfare, bumping the turning point of WWII to a corner of the front page. In 1989 Michigan kicked to Rocket Ismail. In 1991 Grbac threw a diving fade to Desmond on 4th and 1. In 2010 we got Denard in the pose and all the blood trying to escape through the purpled face of Brian Kelly. And if not by that point, certainly after 2011, any heart with a shred of college football in it could not imagine a world where Michigan doesn't play Notre Dame.

But minutes before the 2012 match, ND athletic director slash litigious orangutan Jack Swarbrick exercised a three-game opt-out clause inserted into the last re-up. It was meticulously timed to give Notre Dame one more home game than Michigan, and to give Michigan the minimal opportunity to react.

After the contractual games played out Michigan made a run on successful NFL Head Coach Jim Harbaugh, and because Mr. Harbaugh's heart has more college football in it than four Iron Bowls and a trombonist, one of his stipulations for returning was that Michigan play Notre Dame.

Swarbrick had what corporate lawyers call a Favorable Negotiating Position, but since everybody stood to win from this he had to get creative to avoid the appearance of a deal that any great ape of average intelligence could handle. Michigan would have to cancel its upcoming Arkansas series. It would have to start in South Bend again. It would have to put Notre Dame on the same home-away schedule as Ohio State and Michigan State, and play its home game in the middle of the Big Ten season. Also Warde Manuel must bend over a table at midfield during halftime and perform the caning scene from Oliver Twist while people in punctilious legal circles across the nation say "That Swarbrick: what a primate!"

So the last time these schools met was 2014, the all-time winning percentage was on the line, and Michigan got both Devins injured long after there was any point. It was a thing from the before-time, a game only the grad students remember. "Old Mone, he could run down a deer back then," says Grandpa Winovich. "I was just a wee, short-haired linebacker on a redshirt, but I remember that night. We outgained them, you know. That's what we told ourselves. We weren't supposed to look at the scoreboard. But I was a kid. I didn't know better. I glanced up. I shouldn't have.

image

"I told myself I'd never feel that way again."

In the interim Notre Dame went 2-5 to close 2014, went to a Fiesta Bowl by beating Temple and zero other ranked teams in 2015, then plummeted to 4-8 (Michigan quietly took back the "Winningest" lapel pin) in a fluky 2016 in which they lost seven of eight game decided by a single score.

That 4-8 mark also changed the direction of the program. Kelly scrapped the dink-and-dunk spread passing that defined his offenses for two decades, imported Chip Long from Memphis, and leaned on a rushing offense that maximized the legs of athletic giant Brandon Wimbush. Defensively they did the same, shelving the 3-4 under/Cover 2 that served them so well in 2012 for a blitz-you 4-2-5 under new DC Mike Elko. A rainy Citrus Bowl win over LSU capped a young team's bona fide comeback season that also featured stompings of USC, MSU, and NC State, a one-point early loss to Georgia, and an offseason having to defend their shiny new coordinators from SEC poachers.

OC Chip Long turned down an overture from Alabama, but Elko was lured to College Station. In his stead ND promoted Elko understudy Clark Lea, who gets 10/11 starters back from a top five outfit. Long meanwhile has to replace two of his best three receivers, both running backs, and the two best offensive linemen in the country.

After our three-year hiatus, Michigan and Notre Dame meet again, two great defenses, two tough running games, two fanbases greeting like old college buddies who went into the same business but haven't had talked in ages, two open roads to the promised land with matching precipices should something fall the wrong way. Michigan's got to wonder if their whole passing game can stay upright this time, while there's really only one question standing between the Irish and a playoff run. That is:

Where the hell is Wimbush aiming?

[Hit THE JUMP for a mini-FFFF and the preview]

Comments

Hoops Preview: Villanova, National Championship

Hoops Preview: Villanova, National Championship Comment Count

Brian April 2nd, 2018 at 11:55 AM

SPONSOR NOTE. HomeSure Lending is sponsoring our tourney coverage. If you need a home loan, you should probably get it from a guy whose Ted Valentine impression is just as thunderously sarcastic as yours. Matt will get you a good loan, fast. And call you for a charge while doing it. Unless it is actually a block.


1985_villanova_logo.0THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #7 Michigan (33-7) vs
#1 Villanova (35-4)
WHERE Alamodome
San Antonio, TX
WHEN 9:20 PM
LINE Villanova –6 (KenPom)
TV TBS

chance they use the same dang wildcat growl everyone else does: 82%.

THE US

It's all about the window. Over the course of the season, Villanova has proven themselves to be the best team in the country by a considerable distance. Over the course of the tournament, same thing. Michigan's been in some dogfights and hasn't beaten a seed higher than #6 Houston; the closest anyone's come to Villanova is 12 points and they ended their semifinal against Kansas in the first four minutes.

But if you push the window back, things get interesting. And I'm not talking about cherry-picking Michigan's win streak. Here's a Torvik slice since January 1st, when Zavier Simpson came off the bench to play 32 minutes against Iowa and established himself the starting point guard, against Quad 1 and Quad 2 teams*:

image

That's half the season—far more than half of the quality opponents—during which Villanova is a point or two better over the course of a 60-possession game. Not Vegas's 7 point gap, not Kenpom's 31% chance at winning, but damn near dead even. Big Ten Tournament Michigan—the Michigan that scored 1.1 and 1.2 PPP against the #10 and #31 defenses in the country, respectively—is a titan ready to go toe to toe with even Villanova and their holy grail offense.

Oops Sorry About Your Windshield I Don't Even Know How That Ball Got Out Of An Arena Michigan… not so much. The shooting that's barely gotten Michigan through four of five tourney games isn't going to cut it. For the love of everything good and holy, make some damn shots. Have a Stauskas seance. Whatever it takes.

*[FWIW: this skips the Northwestern L for Michigan by limiting it to Quad 2; it also skips Villanova's loss to Butler, which happened on 12/30. Since Villanova isn't going to run a zone, call it even?]

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 1 Jalen Brunson Jr. 6'2, 190 78* 26 129 No
KPOY #2 shoots 61/41 on big usage, has better than 2:1 A:TO.
G 10 Donte DiVincenzo Sr. 6'5, 205 63 22 119 No
Dual-threat SG is 57/39 w 20 A rate, technically bench player.
F 25 Mikal Bridges Jr. 6'7, 210 70 22 130 God no
KPOY #6 is future lottery pick. 59/44, not much in the way of assists.
F 4 Eric Paschall Jr. 6'7 250 75 18 123 No
Started 1/27 from 3, 48% since. Also shooting 64% and adding OREBs.
F 25 Omari Spellman Fr. 6'8, 255 67 18 121 God no
Stretch 5 hitting 51/44; solid 6% block rate, top 100 DREB guy.
G 21 Phil Booth Jr. 6'3, 195 61 18 119 No
Oh look it's another inside-outside threat hitting nearly 40% from 3.
G 2 Collin Gillespie Fr. 6'2", 185 28 13 125 No
Just A Shooter hitting 39%.
C 2 Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree Fr. 6'8, 195 31 12 132 Yes!
Rudy! Theo! Roy!

*[last five games minutes from Kenpom.]

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Comments

Hoops Preview: Loyola-Chicago, Final Four

Hoops Preview: Loyola-Chicago, Final Four Comment Count

Brian March 29th, 2018 at 2:18 PM

SPONSOR NOTE. HomeSure Lending is sponsoring our tourney coverage. If you need a home loan, you should probably get it from a guy whose Ted Valentine impression is just as thunderously sarcastic as yours. Matt will get you a good loan, fast. And call you for a charge while doing it. Unless it is actually a block.


Sister Jean GifTHE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #7 Michigan (32-7) vs
#30 Loyola-Chicago (32-5)
WHERE Alamodome
San Antonio, TX
WHEN 6:09 PM Saturday
LINE Michigan –5 (KenPom)
TV TBS

yes, you can purchase a Sister Jean bobblehead

THE US

Well, here we are. Again. Michigan rolls into the Final Four as the most fearsome defense left in the tourney by some distance. They can't shoot straight anymore, but it hasn't really mattered. Moe Wagner has had three off games, and it hasn't really mattered. The front end of a one and one is a turnover, and it hasn't really mattered.

It'll matter this weekend. Michigan has a shot at the national title. It'll either be a poor one if it's the first weekend; it'll be an outstanding one of it's Texas A&M. Here we go.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 13 Clayton Custer Jr. 6'1, 185 86* 21 117 No
58/47 from floor, excellent at 2PJs. Main assist guy but 5:4 A:TO is bleah.
G 14 Ben Richardson Sr. 6'3, 195 81 14 111 No
Low usage combo is 39% from deep and has 1:1 A:TO. Barely shoots inside line.
G 5 Marques Townes Jr. 6'4, 210 71 22 106 No
Slasher a rarity on the roster w 60% of shots at rim. 40% on limited threes.
F 0 Donte Ingram Sr. 6'6 215 71 19 106 No
40% from 3 on 184 attempts, does fair amount of work inside line.
C 25 Cameron Krutwig Fr. 6'9, 260 52 23 120 Very
Beefy dude with mad YMCA game. Post-up only. Not a rim protector.
F 21 Aundre Jackson Sr. 6'5, 230 48 28 108 No
Undersized backup 5 does a lot of posting up vs MVC.
G 12 Lucas Williamson Fr. 6'4", 190 47 13 110 No
Does some inside work vs MVC, in this game projects as 43% Just A Shooter
G 2 Bruno Skokna So. 6'1, 195 16 15 111 No
Also a guy likely to be relegated to standing around perimeter; 36% from 3.
G 2 Cameron Satterwhite Fr. 6'4, 175 11 15 102 Yes
Fringe guy who might get a few minutes if there's foul trouble.

*[last five games minutes from Kenpom.]

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Comments

Hoops Preview: Florida State, Elite Eight

Hoops Preview: Florida State, Elite Eight Comment Count

Brian March 23rd, 2018 at 1:21 PM

SPONSOR NOTE. HomeSure Lending is sponsoring our tourney coverage. If you need a home loan, you should probably get it from a guy whose Ted Valentine impression is just as thunderously sarcastic as yours. Matt will get you a good loan, fast. And call you for a charge while doing it. Unless it is actually a block.




hqdefaultTHE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #7 Michigan (31-7) vs
#26 Florida State (23-11)
WHERE Ann Arbor Elder Law Center
Los Angeles, CA
WHEN 8:49 PM Saturday
LINE Michigan –4 (KenPom)
TV TBS

uhhhhhhhh in the process of finding an ent picture i found an ent related music video

THE US

That'll do.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 3 Trent Forrest So. 6'5, 215 78* 19 114 Yes
Driver with no jump shot, top ten FT rate. 52% from 2, A:TO ratio close to 1.
G 11 Braian Angola Sr. 6'6, 195 76 23 112 No
Versatile SG-ish hits 48/38, creates most of his own twos. TOs an issue.
F 14 Terance Mann Jr. 6'6, 204 58 21 118 Yes
Another pure driver, 63% from 2 w 8% OREBs. Transition dependent.
F 0 Phil Cofer Sr. 6'8, 218 67 19 114 No
55/38 from floor, no assist, low TO gent.
C 25 Mfiondu Kabengele Fr. 6'8, 245 43 24 110 Yes
Rebounding beast with 6% block rate and some range.
C 21 Christ Koumadje Jr. 7'4, 233 27 17 118 Very
Enormous man w 10% block rate. Dunks on assists, putbacks.
C 12 Ike Obiagu Fr. 7'0", 240 26 14 88 Very
20% block rate! Terrible at everything else.
G 2 CJ Walker So. 6'1, 195 33 19 102 No
Former starting PG has more TOs than assists, shooting 47/36.
G 2 PJ Savoy Jr. 6'4, 195 51 19 102 No
Just a shooter hitting 38%. Minutes have surged lately.
F 23 MJ Walker Fr. 6'6, 205 47 19 100 Sort of
FR is scuffling badly, shooting 42/35 from floor with TOs, but still plays

*[last five games minutes from Kenpom.]

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Comments

Hoops Preview: Houston, Round Of 32

Hoops Preview: Houston, Round Of 32 Comment Count

Brian March 16th, 2018 at 5:02 PM

UConn_Houston_Basketball_32304THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #9 Michigan (29-7) vs
#18 Houston (27-7)
WHERE Peak Wealth Management Arena
Wichita, KS
WHEN 9:50 PM Saturday
LINE Michigan –2 (KenPom)
TV TBS

i have theories about that hair

THE US

I mean… I told you. I told you!

…it looks like [Montana's] defense holds up much better than their offense when the biggish boys roll into town: PSU, Stanford, Georgia State, and Washington all had 1 PPP or worse when they played the Griz. Those were all losses because Montana's offense crawled in a hole and died, averaging about 0.8 PPP. Penn State is the best of those teams on D, finishing 21st. Michigan is about 4 points per 100 possessions better than PSU, and far better than the other teams.

This might be a bit of a meatgrinder.

It was a bit of a meatgrinder in the same way Stalingrad was. And now everyone's freaking out about a 14-point NCAA win. Including me, a little. Take a breath.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country..

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 32 Rob Gray Sr. 6'1, 185 77 30 117 Nah
Huge usage iso guy, rise-up 3PA shooter, 50/35 from floor.
G 5 Corey Davis Jr. 6'1, 190 75 19 124 Not at all
Huge volume Not Just A Shooter shooter hitting 43%. Decent attacking closeouts.
G 25 Galen Robinson Jr. 6'1, 190 61 15 101 Very
D pest has top 100 steal rate, disaster away from rim on O, many A, many TO
F 15 Devin Davis Sr. 6'6, 225 62 21 110 Very
50% 2PA shooter w about half his makes assisted. Good rebounder, good TO rate.
F 13 Nura Zanna Jr. 6'8, 253 53* 13 99 Very
Putbacks and zero else. Massive OREB rate, foul rate. 47% FTs.
G 3 Armoni Brooks So. 6'3, 185 51 18 128 Not at all
Just A Shooter hitting 42%. Does DREB well.
C 24 Breaon Brady So. 6'8", 250 24 21 95 Very
Some post up but mostly another huge OREB guy w huge foul and TO rates.
F 35 Fabian White Fr. 6'7, 210 41 19 109 Very
Another Zanna clone, or close enough.

*[Zanna's got a slight plurality of C minutes in Houston's last five. He's at 37% on the season.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Comments

Hoops Preview: Nebraska, Big Ten Tournament

Hoops Preview: Nebraska, Big Ten Tournament Comment Count

Brian March 2nd, 2018 at 11:22 AM

1519053162_8b3432a8d86bd1c87964db8dbb164883THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #16 Michigan (25-7) vs
#50 Nebraska (22-9)
WHERE Madison Square Garden
New York, NY
WHEN 2:30 PM
LINE Michigan –4 (KenPom)
TV BTN

ayyyyyyy i'm rappaporting over heah

THE US

Michigan slid by Iowa in overtime yesterday and now looks to punch their five-seed card (probably? maybe?) against Nebraska, which sits inconveniently just outside the top 50 bin that would offer a Q1 win at a neutral court. But still.

They get a rested Cornhuskers outfit that hamblasted them in their only meeting of the year, so this should be a tight one. If Michigan can't improve it's three point shooting from the opener—and the first game—it won't be.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Note: all MPG numbers from Nebraska's last five games as that is more representative.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 5 Glynn Watson Jr. 6'0, 173 78 22 99 Yes
39/28 shooter has excellent A:TO ratio. Let him shoot.
G 11 Anton Gill Sr. 6'3, 195 56 15 115 No
Just A Shooter hitting 39%.
F 24 James Palmer Jr. 6'6, 210 81 29 110 Sort of
Has amped up alpha-ness since last meeting. Huge FT rate, 52% on a lot of unassisted twos.
F 13 Isaac Copeland Sr. 6'3, 195 85 20 115 No
Good-at-bad-shots guy hits 44% on 2PJ that are half his shots. Range out to 3.
C 14 Isaiah Roby Jr. 6'8, 225 76 18 120 No
Guards 1-5 w top 100 block rate. Busted out in B10 play, 125 ORTG and top FT rate in conference.
G 15 Evan Taylor So. 6'5, 208 49 18 113 No
Baffling gent shoots 43/47 but has ~85% of his usage from two. Gets to line.
C 32 Jordy Tshimanga So. 6'11, 268 34 20 85 Very
Remains miserable on O. 6.9 fouls/40. Huge OREB rate is main contribution.
G 12 Thomas Allen Fr. 6'1, 180 15 18 96 No
Literally the only bench player < 6'5". Role has shrunk to 6 MPG of late.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Comments

Hoops Preview: Iowa, Big Ten Tournament

Hoops Preview: Iowa, Big Ten Tournament Comment Count

Brian March 1st, 2018 at 11:31 AM

Alicia Jay Z film New York video TLH4a_E0tfHxTHE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #16 Michigan (25-7) vs
#95 Iowa (14-18)
WHERE Madison Square Garden
New York, NY          
WHEN 2:30 PM
LINE Michigan –9 (KenPom)
TV BTN

ayyyyyy i'm just walkin heah

THE US

Postseason time for a Michigan outfit that is streaking, recording five comfortable wins in a row after a nonsense game at Northwestern. Michigan's played themselves on to the five line, per the Matrix—Rhode Island chipped in by getting deathmurdered by St Joe's a couple days ago—and needs this game and tomorrow's to maintain that spot, even tenuously. Make it past the semi and then maybe we're talking about a protected seed.

This game should be a relatively easy one against an Iowa team Michigan has comfortably beaten twice, the second just a couple weeks ago. Fran McCaffrey's unlikely to have another trick up his sleeve in a tournament setting, and Iowa played yesterday.

You never know and all that. Maybe Michigan will shoot four for a zilly from three. They do not have the advantage of a plane crash this time around. Which is good! Unless they lose.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 3 Jordan Bohannon So. 6'0, 180 78 20 122 Not at all
SG forced to play point, good A:TO ratio. Lethal shooter, but terrible inside the line.
G 4 Isaiah Moss So. 6'5, 205 59 22 111 No
Multi-purpose O weapon w high shot volume and middling efficiency. Again, force inside line.
F 51 Nicholas Baer Jr. 6'7, 210 43 16 107 Sort of
Defensive pest and OREB threat is mediocre scorer.
F 5 Tyler Cook So. 6'8, 215 67 26 110 Very
Skilled 4/5 took it to M in first matchup, then got DUNCBLASTED two weeks ago.
C 55 Luka Garza Fr. 6'10, 235 50 24 121 Sort of
Rebounding machine w solid block rate, efficient, low TO interior scorer. Excellent long two shooter.
F 35 Cordell Pemsl So. 6'8, 240 42 19 107 Very
Hambeast PF rebounds everything and dunks off assists.
F 20 Jack Nunge Fr. 6'11, 225 41 19 109 No
Stretch 4 still a bit skinny; poor DREB gent.
G 25 Maishe Dailey So. 6'7, 195 40 16 103 No
Super large G is another guy Michigan should run off the line as his efficiency drops inside it.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Comments