When it Rains, it Rains Running Backs

When it Rains, it Rains Running Backs

Submitted by Seth on October 1st, 2015 at 6:11 PM

The thing I like most about daily fantasy games is having a thing to do with all this football knowledge that "it's my job" is only so much an excuse to accumulate. My job doesn't need me to know ahead of time that so-and-so has an 8-foot manbeast at running back and that the direction state university they're playing this week really should have gone Division III a decade ago. I don't really remember how all this information was acquired. It kinda assembled in my brain and sits there.

I can only foist so much of it on phone calls with friends (I mean, eventually you do have to ask about the kids) and the mgoslackchat. So I play Draft Kings, whom you may have noticed have been one of our best supporters for a very long time now, and who you also many have noticed are all over the place lately.

But remember these games are about exploiting market inefficiency. That blitz is your friend; they're sucking in tons of new players who don't know exactly what I'm talking about. And Ohio State fans.

Unfortunately the secret's out about the beast, and Buckeyes Bucking against Indiana is a smart play. So I've got a new dude. He is playing a team that doesn't stop anything, and his team is just starting to block everything, and his game just got moved to the early slot so his competition is unbalanced, and half the people in the pool are all gonna have the same guys. Don't listen to the weatherman who says the weather's gonna be clearer than you thought. I say it's gonna pour.

Details:

  • $100,000 prize pool.
  • First place wins $10,000
  • FREE for new users or $3 to enter
  • Top 7,850 scores win money guaranteed
  • Starts on Saturday, October 3rd at 12:00 PM EST
  • Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 spots.
  • Roster Format: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex

How I Learned to Love Non-Puppet Tate

How I Learned to Love Non-Puppet Tate

Submitted by Seth on September 10th, 2015 at 6:08 PM

And it's over six ounces! That's like a double whammy!

Ah, Golden Tate. You made a good rival, a better Stuffing the Passer puppet, and most recently an excellent number two to Calvin Johnson. But the reason I love Golden Tate the most was he was money on my fantasy team last year. And whenever I cheered for him people thought I was rooting for the Lions and felt sorry for me.

It's weird to have these feelings for former rivals. I'm not like Ace, who as we speak is probably in some dank Ann Arbor basement hoping to draft Carlos Hyde because Alex Boone is blocking for him. Go ahead Ace!

In fact, this time I welcome you to draft all the Urban Meyer quarterbacks. Wait are there any Urban Meyer quarterbacks? Ah yes, Alex Smith: drafted by Ute fans who are bad at trolling everywhere.

I can get behind a Badger or a Husker (hey Abdulla is cheap!), but I usually avoid rival-rival guys in fantasy because there's a wrongness. Unless he was a puppet. Or if he's still underpriced and could win you 100 large. Then it's okay.

NFL starts tonight. First NFL game of the year with our fantasy partners at Draft Kings starts Sunday.

DETAILS:

  • $1,000,000 prize pool
  • First place wins $100,000
  • FREE for new users or $3 to enter
  • Top 84,950 scores win money guaranteed
  • Starts on Sunday, September 13th at 1:00 PM EST
  • Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 spots. 8 players and 1 defense.
  • Roster Format: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex and 1 Defense

College…Football?

College…Football?

Submitted by Seth on August 31st, 2015 at 5:57 PM

three days

It's SO CLOSE.

It's so close your phone is dinging it at you because you put it in as an all-day event and there's a three-day auto-reminder.

It's so close that you know how when you get to Thursday evening and you think "where has the week gone?" because it went by that fast, well that is all the time since today that went by.

It's so close that you don't have to say a date, just an Anglicized version of an ancient Norwegian day of the week to describe when it's happening.

It's so close…well it's so close our contest at fantasy partners Draft Kings this week is actually A MICHIGAN COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME THAT TAKES PLACE THIS WEEK!

Details:

  • $100,000 prize pool
  • $10,000 first place prize
  • Free for new users or $3 to enter
  • Top 1,150 scores win money guaranteed
  • Starts Thursday, September 3rd at 6:00 PM EST
  • Salary cap drafting style to select 9 players
  • Roster format: 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, and 2 Flex

By now if you've been paying attention at all you should know things like how to get a free copy of HTTV by starting a Draft Kings account and depositing $15 or more, or that Jake Rudock is starting for Michigan in this game whatever coyness is coming from Schembechler Hall.

By now you should be quivering. It's that close.

It's Starting to Look a Lot Like Football

It's Starting to Look a Lot Like Football

Submitted by Seth on August 24th, 2015 at 5:59 PM

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[Upchurch]

We had a little preseason meeting of the MGoBloggerati last week. Due to some oversight, we unfortunately had this meeting at a bar with TVs and the Lions preseason game on those TVs. So no, we didn't get much planning done with a table full of football bloggers who had football in front of them, but Brian had this fantastic idea:

What if the NFL preseason actually counted? Teams would have unlimited rosters, but you could only play your 1st stringers for the 1st quarter, and your 2nd stringers in the 2nd, and so on. Play in a quarter and you lose your eligibility for the rest of them. Everybody wins!

In things that somebody wins:

Football season means we're gonna start getting back to picking daily/weekly fantasy games to congregate in with our fantasy partner Draft Kings. This week's is an NFL preseason contest because frankly that's what we're all paying attention to right now (sorry boss). And since it's early we just went with a free one anyone can play:

Details:

  • $100,000 prize pool.
  • First place wins $10,000
  • FREE for everyone to join - no deposit required
  • Top 23,150 scores win guaranteed
  • Starts on Sunday, September 13th at 1:00 PM EST
  • Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 spots. 8 players and 1 defense.
  • Roster Format: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex and 1 Defense

Smart pick:

I noticed Kelvin Benjamain has torn his ACL. Although the rookie vying to take his targets tweaked his hamstring last week and missed the Miami game, Funchess should be good to go. And the nice thing is you have to scroll a loooong way to get to him.

FOOOOOOOOOOOTBAAAAALLL

FOOOOOOOOOOOTBAAAAALLL

Submitted by Seth on July 31st, 2015 at 4:52 PM

Football.

No, seriously: football.

Look at the calendar. Look what tomorrow is.

Football.

Like: football.

It has been so long, and I've forgotten half of what I knew at the end of last season, but there is football on the horizon. And just like that, our daily fantasy partner Draft Kings has released their big—and I mean BIG—NFL Millionaire Maker contest.

What I mean by big: $2 million to the winner, and $10 million going out overall.

You don't get to argue anymore; if you've got your account with DK already—and by now you should—you are getting in on this. If you don't have an account, and you're at all interested in trying this out, go set up your account, get a free HTTV copy while you're at it, and then get in on this. You know more about football (football!) than any person has any right to, and you have until almost the middle of September to get your team right.

Details:

  • $10,000,000 prize pool.
  • First place wins $2,000,000
  • Enter for just $20
  • Top 125,700 scores win money guaranteed
  • Starts on Sunday, September 13th at 1:00 PM EST
  • Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 spots. 8 players and 1 defense.
  • Roster Format: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex and 1 Defense

Thanks to the most contrived controversy since Capcom tried to lead parents into revolt against Mortal Kombat, you cannot draft Tom Brady. You can get Kirk Cousins for $5,000, but why do that when you can get Chipmunk Kirk Cousins for like a quarter of that?

Fantasy Roll: Picking Weird Guys

Fantasy Roll: Picking Weird Guys

Submitted by Seth on February 17th, 2015 at 9:28 AM

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Parick Barron

At halftime of an eventual 71-69 win over Illinois of late January last year, Izzo explained to ESPN sideline reporter Allison Williams: "We had guys not catching the ball, but I've got some weird guys in there right now." In the hall of Tom Izzo excuses it ranks primarily for catchiness—certainly not for originality. This past December, in a press conference explaining his team's loss to Texas Southern, he blamed himself for going easy on his tired kids, then blamed early foul trouble for Valentine and "not enough bodies left."

We love to carp on Izzo's alibis, mostly in wonder at his acrobatic rationalizations. We feel justified in doing so because we're two years removed from a national championship appearance and the best freshman class since that one, and Michigan's spending a fifth of its minutes with Andrew Dakich on the floor.

If you're looking over the list of dudes you can draft for your daily fantasy teams, or are subjecting yourself to the "okay, let's have some fun with this" brand of basketball Michigan's playing these days, you've seen the going get weird. The difference in Ann Arbor is Beilein's entire career here so far has been the going getting weird, then the weird turning pro.

State, meanwhile, hasn't had Javon Bess since regulation of Michigan's visit to Breslin. If Izzo just happens to lose to a team led by freshmen Beilein plucked last April from Rice and Dayton, I'm sure the old knob will mention that in a delicious presser.

Go pick some weird guys!

Details:

  • $12,000 prize pool.
  • First place wins $1,000
  • $2 entry fee (FREE with first deposit).
  • Top 1,350 are paid.​
  • Starts on Tuesday, February 17 at 7:00 PM EST
  • Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 8 players
  • Roster Format: 3 G, 3 F, and 2 Utility
  • First time depositors at DraftKings receive a 100% bonus up to $600​

Fantasy Roll: LeVertless

Fantasy Roll: LeVertless

Submitted by Seth on January 23rd, 2015 at 6:16 PM

losing12

Every time I see a redshirt sophomore just emerging for his team this year I think about Michigan's own class of 2012. For the end of the Northwestern game, with Spike sick and LeVert down one ankle, the Wolverines were without every single guy from one of the best recruiting classes in basketball history.

If this was the NBA Michigan could tank the rest of the season and add a lottery pick to the lineup next year. Since this is college ball, we ought to remind ourselves that every sophomore guard isn't going to be Trey Burke, every freshman center isn't going to be capable of replacing a frontcourt of McGary/Morgan/Horford, and luck swings.

Michigan will be back to not fearing the cheese things. At least now we know all about the other players in the league. Let's make some money with that.

CBB $6.5k Mini Storm the Court

Fantasy partner Draft Kings opened up another $2 contest to us this week (they're doing their $100 buy-in too right now).

Details:

-$6,500 prize pool.
- First place wins $600
- $2 entry fee (FREE with first deposit)
- Top 750 win cash
- First time depositors at DraftKings receive a 100% bonus up to $600​
- Starts on Saturday, January 24th at 12:00 EST
- Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 8 spots
- Roster Format: 3 G, 3 F, 2 Utility

Fantasy: Don't Count Out Probable Tom

Fantasy: Don't Count Out Probable Tom

Submitted by Seth on January 8th, 2015 at 5:27 PM

qbswho

All year long I've been playing the NFL games of our fantasy partner Draft Kings, and every time I've pulled up a game I see the same four dudes vying for a sixth of my salary allotment. Even more than college (thank goodness) the pro game is a quarterback game, and picking the right one for your fantasy team will make or break your week.

Wouldn't you know it, come the Division series those dudes are still right there.

qbs

A quick rundown of the buttons: Rodgers has the same calf injury, Peyton's got a thigh bruise, Brady's ankle's still bothering him, and Andrew Luck reports he is so distracted by the whole "that was Peyton's team" angle that he's considering quitting the NFL, tracking down his old college coach, and enrolling at whatever school that is under an assumed name.

I'd tell you to choose somebody else, but it's probably worth a grand of fantasy bucks not to be against the Seahawks' defense right now. Russell Wilson against Carolina is intriguing if he wasn't the same price as the guy in New England, what's his name?

Pre-playoffs you can go cheap but since the big-money QBs are the ones who get this far, you're gonna have to try to get value. That's why I'm rolling with Brady: in these big leagues (this one has 57,500 entries max and is well on its way there) you're hoping to explode—you need to get past 200 fantasy points to win the big bucks—and except that one day a year Flacco goes off Touchdown Tom is the only QB capable of putting up a 40 spot who's not on the elite cost tier. Give him a crisp, clear day in Foxborough and he's been money this year.

Details:

-$100,000 prize pool

- First place wins $10,000

- $2 entry fee (FREE with first deposit)

- Top 11,500 win money guaranteed

- Starts on Saturday, January 10th at 4:35 EST

- Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 spots. 8 players and 1 defense

- Roster Format: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex and 1 Defense

- First time depositors at DraftKings receive a 100% bonus up to $600

The Fantasy College or Pro Option

The Fantasy College or Pro Option

Submitted by Seth on December 29th, 2014 at 6:54 PM

harbaughgiffo

Bo: AP via Niner Insider; Ditka: unknown, via SI

Only mildly less entertaining than the NFL falling all over itself to explain why one of their best coaches left them for college is the NFL falling over itself to pick a champion. Make fun of their beat writers all you want but their playoff games are really fun to watch. Even the Ryan Lindley vs. whatever came out of the NFC South game manages to merit my attention.

But then I like college bowls so much more, even when my team's staying home hiring Harbaugh and stuff.

So like Jim Harbaugh, you get to pick; we have a new NFL game for the Wild Card round, and we're still running the The Bowl Game Cash Game (from last week) for those who prefer college. Of course, nobody's stopping you if you'd like to do both.

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What's your deal?

The Pro Option: In keeping with All-baugh theme for today I tried to draft my team of all guys who've played for Harbaugh. I found four eligible out of the four eligible wild card games: Andrew Luck, Stepfan Taylor and Colby Fleener from Stanford, and Ted Ginn Jr. from Harbaugh's first year at San Francisco.

Details:

-$100,000 prize pool.
- First place wins $10,000
- $2 entry fee (FREE with first deposit).
- Top 11,500 are paid.​
- Starts on Saturday, January 3 at 4:25 PM EST
- Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 spots. 8 players and 1 defense.
- Roster Format: 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 Flex and 1 Defense
- First time depositors at DraftKings receive a 100% bonus up to $600

The College Option: If you follow the link to last week's I figured out which teams may tempo their way into or out of better performances, and which defenses might lend their assists.

The game is the college football $20k mini cash bowl. It's a $2 entry fee with $20k in prizes, and a lot of space left. I liked it because the bowl lineup has a lot of teams I pay attention to, including all the New Years Day games.

Details:

-$20,000 prize pool.
- First place wins $2,000
- $2 entry fee (FREE with first deposit).
- Top 2,300 win money guaranteed​
- Starts on Thursday, January 1st at 12:00 PM EST
- Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 players
- Roster Format: 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE and 1 Flex
- First time depositors at DraftKings receive a 100% bonus up to $600

The Bowl Game Cash Game

The Bowl Game Cash Game

Submitted by Seth on December 22nd, 2014 at 4:30 PM

melvin-gordon-run-o

So after several weeks and therapy I think we're ready to dispassionately regard things of a college football nature without the hurting. This is good because we know things about college football, and can use that knowledge for good, or you know, for picking fantasy teams.

This week we're congregating in the college football $20k mini cash bowl. It's a $2 entry fee with $20k in prizes, and a lot of space left. I liked it because the bowl lineup has a lot of teams I pay attention to, including all the New Years Day games.

Everyone has their tricks for drafting; I like to bring in advanced stats to know things like are both teams going to be playing at a high tempo (so more plays for my draftees) and if his opponent is an outlier against the relevant element (run/pass) of offense. I'll share my table for the pool of draftable players in this game, and highlight outliers (top 20 or bottom 30):

Matchup Pass Def Rk Rush Def Rk Plays/Min (rk)
Game Tm1 Tm 2 Tm1 Tm 2 Tm1 Tm2
Florida St. vs. Oregon 58 33 50 42 2.37 (73) 2.74 (11)
Washington vs. Oklahoma St. 55 53 47 41 2.51 (41) 2.53 (36)
Iowa vs. Tennessee 65 13 24 22 2.33 (77) 2.5 (42)
Kansas St. vs. UCLA 51 23 27 54 2.08 (113) 2.62 (25)
Ohio St. vs. Alabama 10 26 37 1 2.33 (81) 2.28 (90)
Houston vs. Pittsburgh 93 76 111 93 2.45 (50) 2.07 (116)
Missouri vs. Minnesota 22 43 11 30 2.37 (70) 2.08 (112)
Wisconsin vs. Auburn 31 47 29 18 2.03 (123) 2.42 (56)

I got tempo by dividing the total number of offensive plays by time of possession from NCAA's stats (saving the greater study for an offseason column). Rankings are from Football Outsiders' S&P+. From there you have to eyeball—a low tempo doesn't mean skip the guy and a bad rush defense doesn't mean you have to take that RB, but it does say if you're looking at spending $11k of your salary pool on Melvin Gordon it's good to know that Auburn has a pretty good rush D. Wisconsin's slow pace is Wisconsin's slow pace; Auburn's average pace suggests Gordon will get the usual amount of touches.

Details:

-$20,000 prize pool.
- First place wins $2,000
- $2 entry fee (FREE with first deposit).
- Top 2,300 win money guaranteed​
- Starts on Thursday, January 1st at 12:00 PM EST
- Salary Cap Style Drafting. $50,000 to select 9 players
- Roster Format: 2 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE and 1 Flex
- First time depositors at DraftKings receive a 100% bonus up to $600