Preview: Houston Baptist

Preview: Houston Baptist

Submitted by Ace on December 4th, 2015 at 3:18 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (5-2) vs
Houston Baptist (2-5)
WHERE Crisler Center,
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN 2 pm ET, Saturday
LINE Michigan -23 (KenPom)
TV ESPNU
PBP: Lisa Byington
Analyst: Brooke Weisbrod

Right: Michigan's offensive prowess was downright terrifying the last time these two teams met. [Fuller]

THE US

You can breathe a little easier; X-rays on Derrick Walton's ankle, which he turned in nasty-looking fashion against NC State, came back negative. He's going to miss some time with a sprain. How much is uncertain:

"So it's a sprain," Beilein said on his weekly radio show on Wednesday night. "It's a mild sprain."

Shortly thereafter, Beilein added, "He sprained his ankle badly — I don't know what type of grade it would be, but it's sprained and we do not know when he'll be back.

"Hopefully it's not before too long."

Walton's absence shouldn't be an issue against Houston Baptist; it'd hurt if he couldn't give it a go next Tuesday at SMU. Based on Beilein calling it both a "mild" and "badly" sprained ankle in the span of a few minutes, the timeline for a return is unclear. Today, Beilein said they'll "wait and see" if Walton can play tomorrow; my guess is they won't feel the need to push Walton against a very overmatched opponent.

THE LAST TIME

Michigan played Houston Baptist two years ago. If you think the KenPom line—Michigan is favored by 23—is a little extreme, it's nothing compared to the margin from the 2013-14 matchup, which the Wolverines won 107-53 while scoring a nearly unfathomable 1.62 points per possession. Most importantly, Andrew Dakich hit a three:

Pew pew.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Preview: NC State

Preview: NC State

Submitted by Ace on December 1st, 2015 at 3:27 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (4-2) at
NC State (4-2)
WHERE PNC Arena,
Raleigh, North Carolina
WHEN 7 pm ET, Tuesday
LINE NC State -1 (KenPom)
TV ESPN2
PBP: Mike Patrick
Analyst: Len Elmore

Right: "Mini mascot and cheerleader" circa 1970s.

THE STAKES

After the ACC won the first ten ACC/B1G Challenge titles, the Big Ten has won four of the last six, and the other two were ties. This year, however, KenPom says there's a high likelihood the ACC flips the challenge back in their favor:

I ran a Monte Carlo simulation using the current ratings and not surprisingly, the ACC is a heavy favorite to emerge victorious. There’s a 63% chance the ACC wins at least eight games and just an 18% chance the Big Ten wins at least eight.

There's a better chance of a 7-7 tie (19%) than an outright B1G win. Despite being on the road, Michigan has one of the more winnable games of the challenge, which stands at 1-1 after Wake Forest beat Rutgers and Minnesota took down Clemson yesterday.

From Michigan's perspective, tallying a road non-conference win over a decent opponent could be huge come March. If they can't pull it off tonight, they'll get one more chance when they go to SMU next week, but NC State is their best shot.

THE US

This should come as little surprise:

After seeing how little Spike Albrecht has played so far this season, this may also be unsurprising, but it sure is disconcerting:

Michigan coach John Beilein said Monday that Albrecht, whose return from offseason surgery on both hips has not progressed as hoped, will no longer practice with the Wolverines, instead opting to use that time for continued rehabilitation.

"If we have a choice right now of two hours of therapy at one of the therapy centers here in Ann Arbor or two of practice, it's going to be two therapy — just to do whatever we can to get him ready," Beilein said.

Albrecht is still available to play "spot minutes"; he's clearly well short of 100% and has already ceded a lot of his playing time to Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Battle 4 Atlantis Preview: Texas

Battle 4 Atlantis Preview: Texas

Submitted by Ace on November 27th, 2015 at 2:06 PM

THE ESSENTIALS


WHAT Michigan (3-2) vs
Texas (2-2)
WHERE Imperial Arena,
Paradise Island, Bahamas
WHEN 7 pm ET, Friday
LINE Michigan -1 (KenPom)
TV AXS TV
PBP: Kenny Rice
Analyst: Seth Davis

Right: Last time was fun.

HOW TO WATCH

One last time, here's how to find AXS TV, a channel you'll probably never watch again. For those in the area, here's a handy guide for A2/Detroit/GR provided by U-M Media Relations:

  • AT&T U-verse Ch. 1106
  • Charter Ch. 820 (also Ch. 770 in Detroit)
  • Comcast Ch. 382
  • DirecTV Ch. 340
  • DISH Ch. 167
  • Wyandotte Cable TV Ch. 179

For the rest of you, AXS TV has a channel finder on their site.

THE STAKES

Fifth place in the Battle 4 Atlantis. Try to contain your excitement.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss SIBMIHHAT
G 1 Isaiah Taylor Jr. 6'3, 185 72 28 Yes
Same high-volume, low-efficiency slasher he was in '14. Solid passer now.
G 3 Javan Felix Sr. 5'11, 205 43 16 No
Career 35% 3P shooter is Texas' top outside shooting threat.
G 2 Demarcus Holland Sr. 6'3, 190 64 12 Kinda?
Tiny usage. 0/7 on threes this year; was at 42% last year and 29% the year prior.
F 21 Connor Lammert Sr. 6'10, 235 60 11 Kinda?
Tiny usage. Solid rebounder. Career 30% 3P shooter is 6/12 this season.
C 55 Cameron Ridley Sr. 6'10. 290 57 27 Very
Post-up/rebounding/shot-blocking force limited by fouls, FT shooting, turnovers.
G 10 Eric Davis Jr. Fr. 6'2, 185 55 22 Not really
Freshman provides scoring spark off bench; can hit three or get to the hoop.
G 12 Kerwin Roach Jr. Fr. 6'4, 170 43 24 Yes
Posting woeful 66.7 ORtg due to 6/21 shooting, 11 turnovers.
F 0 Tevin Mack Fr. 6'6, 210 38 26 Yes
0/14 2P, 2/14 3P, edges out Roach in ORtg b/c he turns it over less.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Battle 4 Atlantis Preview: Charlotte

Battle 4 Atlantis Preview: Charlotte

Submitted by Ace on November 26th, 2015 at 4:42 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (2-2) vs
Charlotte (1-3)
WHERE Imperial Arena,
Paradise Island, Bahamas
WHEN 9:30 pm ET, Thursday
LINE Michigan -14 (KenPom)
TV AXS TV
PBP: Kenny Rice
Analyst: Seth Davis

Right: Was not aware ecstacy was so popular among gold prospectors.

HOW TO WATCH

The broadcasts of the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament are split between ESPN and AXS TV, and while you're surely familar with the former you probably need some help finding the latter. For those in the area, here's a handy guide for A2/Detroit/GR provided by U-M Media Relations:

  • AT&T U-verse Ch. 1106
  • Charter Ch. 820 (also Ch. 770 in Detroit)
  • Comcast Ch. 382
  • DirecTV Ch. 340
  • DISH Ch. 167
  • Wyandotte Cable TV Ch. 179

For the rest of you, AXS TV has a channel finder on their site.

THE STAKES

The winner of this game will take on the winner of Texas/Washington (7 pm, AXS) in the 5th/6th-place game on Friday at 7 pm on AXS TV. The loser faces off against the loser of UT/UW on Friday at 9:30 pm on AXS TV. You can see the full tournament bracket here.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss SIBMIHHAT
G 1 Braxton Ogbueze R-Jr. 6'1, 181 78 19 No
Mostly Just A Shooter™ but can dish out the occasional assist.
G 3 Jon Davis Fr. 6'2, 193 66 14 Kinda
Freshman got start against Cuse, posted 9-6-4. Still finding his shot.
G 2 Andrien White Fr. 6'3, 184 73 22 No
High-volume shooter hitting 43% of twos and 41% of threes.
F 22 Bernard Sullivan R-Sr. 6'8, 225 68 23 Very
Decent def. rebounder, blocks the occasional shot, sub-par scorer w/ limited range.
C 31 Benas Griciunas R-So. 7'0. 233 25 28 Very
Auburn transfer starts but plays limited minutes. Stuggling except as offensive rebounder.
G 0 Ridell Camidge So. 6'3, 188 49 17 Yes
Minutes have waned with each game because he can't find shot: 4/15 3P this year.
F 15 Anthony Vanhook Jr. 6'4, 216 47 19 Yes
JuCo All-American is rebounding and passing very well so far this year.
C 50 Joseph Uchebo Sr. 6'10, 261 46 22 Very
Pitt transfer. Good rebounder, shot-blocker, and finisher. Gets plurality of mins at C.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Battle 4 Atlantis Preview: UConn

Battle 4 Atlantis Preview: UConn

Submitted by Ace on November 25th, 2015 at 5:00 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (2-1) vs
UConn (3-0)
WHERE Imperial Arena,
Paradise Island, Bahamas
WHEN 9:30 pm ET, Wednesday
LINE UConn -1 (KenPom)
TV AXS TV
PBP: Kenny Rice
Analyst: Seth Davis

Right: Run, don't walk, to this archived UConn Advance history of Jonathan, their live mascot. The mascot that clearly needs to be put down at right filled in for a "shell shocked" Jonathan V.

HOW TO WATCH

The broadcasts of the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament are split between ESPN and AXS TV, and while you're surely familar with the former you probably need some help finding the latter. For those in the area, here's a handy guide provided by U-M Media Relations:

Ann Arbor:

  • AT&T U-verse Ch. 1106
  • Charter Ch. 820
  • Comcast Ch. 382
  • DirecTV Ch. 340
  • DISH Ch. 167

Detroit:

  • AT&T U-verse Ch. 1106
  • Charter Ch. 770 and Ch. 820
  • Comcast Ch. 382
  • DirecTV Ch. 340
  • DISH Ch. 167
  • Wyandotte Cable TV Ch. 179

Grand Rapids:

  • AT&T U-verse Ch. 1106
  • Charter Ch. 820
  • DirecTV Ch. 340
  • DISH Ch. 167

For the rest of you, AXS TV has a channel finder on their site.

THE STAKES

The winner of this game will play Syracuse (which beat Charlotte this afternoon) at 3:30 tomorrow afternoon on ESPN in the tournament semis. The loser plays Charlotte at 9:30 on AXS TV in the consolation bracket. You can see the full tournament bracket here.

THE US

John Beilein is hoping to get the rotation set this week:

The even matchup outside means that, if Michigan wants to have a chance at winning, it needs to improve down low. Beilein said that he wants to trim the rotation down from 12 to eight or nine, but has yet to see his forwards differentiate themselves.

“We’ve got to make decisions now,” Beilein said. “Get some guys off the bubble, play some guys, and then, if that thing changes, play some new guys and put other guys on the bubble.”

He's also mentioned changes are coming to the starting lineup. While he didn't specify, it's a good bet Ricky Doyle replaces Mark Donnal, who's probably fighting for a rotation spot over DJ Wilson and Mo Wagner at center.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss SIBMIHHAT
G 4 Sterling Gibbs R-Sr. 6'2, 191 75 19 No
Grad transfer is a lights-out outside shooter. Solid passer, too.
G 44 Rodney Purvis R-Jr. 6'4, 205 64 23 No
Off to a good start. Solid outside shooter whose finishing is coming along.
G 5 Daniel Hamilton So. 6'7, 195 60 26 Not Really
Averaging 9-8-6. Inefficient scorer, excellent rebounder, high assist and TO numbers.
F 32 Shonn Miller R-Sr. 6'7, 222 58 18 Yes
Cornell grad transfer. Good defensive rebounder and shot-blocker. Gets to line and can score inside but takes too many threes he doesn't hit often.
C 35 Amida Brimah Jr. 7'0. 232 53 15 Very
Major presence on offensive glass, finishes well. Doyle-like DR%. Arguably best shot-blocker in country.
G 2 Jalen Adams Fr. 6'3, 187 44 23 No
Blue-chip recruit off to a hot start inside and outside the arc. High assist and TO numbers.
G 21 Omar Calhoun Sr. 6'6, 205 34 20 Kinda
30% career three-point shooter taking almost exclusively triples, has made 4/14 so far this year.
F 12 Kenton Facey Jr. 6'10, 217 38 19 Very
Force on the glass, not a great offensive player otherwise.

THE RESUME

Michigan represents the first true test for the Huskies, who've recorded blowouts of #312 Maine, #156 Furman, and #212 New Hampshire in their first three games this season.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Preview: Xavier

Preview: Xavier

Submitted by Ace on November 20th, 2015 at 5:06 PM

blue-blob

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (2-0) vs
Xavier (2-0)
WHERE Crisler Center,
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN 9 pm ET, Friday
LINE Michigan -6 (KenPom)
TV BTN
PBP: Jeff Levering
Analyst: Seth Davis

Right: Xavier's alternate mascot is somewhat less than terrifying.

THE US

Michigan is still looking to narrow down their rotation, but between Xavier having a legit big man and Zak Irvin still working his way back to 100%, it's doubtful that happens tonight.

We could see a change in the starting lineup, however. Mark Donnal and Kam Chatman have been starting at the five and the four, respectively, but they may be replaced by Ricky Doyle and Irvin. John Beilein has also mentioned DJ Wilson as a player he's considering starting, though that seems less likely.

Preview: Elon

Preview: Elon

Submitted by Ace on November 16th, 2015 at 4:04 PM

elon-mascot

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (1-0) vs.
Elon (1-0)
WHERE Crisler Center
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN 7 pm ET, Monday
LINE Michigan -19 (KenPom)
TV ESPN3
PBP: Dan Gutowsky
Analyst: Rich Zvosac

Right: Elon used to be the Fightin' Christians, complete with this mascot, until switching to the Phoenix in 1999. Depending upon your ability to deal with nightmare fuel, this is either fine or terrible. [Photo link]

THE US

Michigan's rotation should continue to take form, but the most important thing to watch tonight will hopefully be the return of Zak Irvin from his nagging back injury. Irvin has been practicing and is expected to suit up tonight; if he doesn't it will be an ominous sign, as there's little question Michigan wants him to get into some live game action before Friday's big step up in competition against Xavier.

Big Ten Tourney Preview: Wisconsin

Big Ten Tourney Preview: Wisconsin

Submitted by Ace on March 12th, 2015 at 5:27 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (16-15, 8-10 B1G) vs
Wisconsin (28-3, 16-2)
WHERE United Center,
Chicago, Illinois
WHEN Noon ET, Friday
LINE Wisconsin -12 (KenPom)
TV ESPN

Right: Michigan gets another chance to topple the titans of the Big Ten. [Marc Gregor/MGoBlog]

THE US

Derrick Walton went through warmups before the Illinois game, though on the broadcast the announcers relayed that John Beilein didn't expect him to play. After the game, Walton left open the possibility of a return tomorrow:

"It's day-by-day," Walton said of his injury. "I try to see what I can do, do some warm-ups, see how I feel and if it feels well I'll play."

It'd be quite a surprise if he was able to start (or play close to starter's minutes), but some more help off the bench would be quite welcome.

After two straight strong performances as the starter, Max Bielfeldt will again take the tipoff at center. He's certainly earned it with his recent play.

THE STAKES

If Michigan wins, they're almost undoubtedly in the NIT, and they'd have a winnable semifinal game against Purdue—unless Penn State pulls another big upset—to get into the conference title game. As it stands, the Wolverines are on the NIT bubble; they had work to do to get in heading into today, but the resounding win over the Illini may have pushed them into the field.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss SIBMIHHAT
G 24 Bronson Koenig So. 6'4, 190 82 17 No
Low usage, very efficient PG. Shot 45% from three in Big Ten play.
G 21 Josh Gasser Sr. 6'4, 192 85 11 No
DEATH TO BACKBOARDS
F 15 Sam Dekker Jr. 6'9, 230 81 22 Kinda
Extremely efficient inside the arc, not a great outside shooter. Solid rebounder.
F 10 Nigel Hayes So. 6'8, 235 84 21 No
Excellent rebounder, nice touch around hoop, now has 3-pt range.
C 44 Frank Kaminsky Sr. 7'0, 234 80 29 No
1st in KenPom POY race. Nightmare matchup, can score in post or bomb threes.
F 13 Duje Dukan Sr. 6'10, 218 36 19 No
Struggling with his shot. Not much of a rebounder.
G 3 Zak Showalter So. 6'2, 185 19 16 Yes
Not asked to do much in his limited minutes. 31.5 eFG% in conference play.
F 30 Vitto Brown So. 6'8, 237 12 23 Very
Good rebounder, not a huge offensive threat.

THE RESUME

Rampaged through the Big Ten. Only conference losses came at Maryland and, uh, Rutgers. There's no way to explain the latter, even when accounting for Frank Kaminsky's absence in that game.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Big Ten Tourney Preview: Illinois

Big Ten Tourney Preview: Illinois

Submitted by Ace on March 11th, 2015 at 4:14 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #9 Michigan (15-15, 8-10 B1G) vs.
#8 Illinois (19-12, 9-9)
WHERE United Center,
Chicago, Illinois
WHEN Noon ET, Thursday
LINE Illinois -3 (KenPom)
TV BTN
PBP: Kevin Kugler
Analyst: Jim Jackson

Right: Nnanna Egwu contests jumper, stares straight into your soul. [Eric Upchurch/MGoBlog]

THE STAKES

In Michigan's case, "win or go home" takes on a greater significance tomorrow. Not only do the Wolverines need to beat Illinois to stay alive in the Big Ten Tournament—and keep any NCAA pipe dream* going—but they'll most likely need two wins this weekend just to qualify for the NIT.

It's been a rough week for Michigan's postseason hopes. The NIT guarantees spots for teams that win their conference regular-season title but lose in their conference tournament; after Robert Morris and North Dakota State knocked off St. Francis (NY) and South Dakota State, respectively, last night, seven such automatic bids have been claimed. That's burst several bubbles in the process, potentially including Michigan's: The Bracket Matrix and DRatings both left Michigan out of the NIT field in their latest updates. NYC Buckets has M as a seven-seed clinging to one of the last at-large bids.

Meanwhile, Illinois is on the wrong side of the NCAA bubble; they've got plenty to play for this weekend.

*And a pipe dream it is: KenPom's log5 analysis gives Michigan an 0.2% chance at winning the BTT, and just a 2.9% chance of making it past Illinois and Wisconsin.

THE US

Ricky Doyle, who missed the Rutgers game due to illness, will be a "full go" tomorrow, according to John Beilein. Doyle could've given it a go last weekend, but with Michigan cruising to victory that wasn't necessary.

Derrick Walton is doubtful to play.

THE LAST TIME

Michigan took on Illinois at Crisler in the Big Ten opener, a game that feels like it took place decades ago. A torrent of threes from Aubrey Dawkins and a surprise changeup to the 2-3 zone led to a comeback, overtime victory on the day Jim Harbaugh was introduced as head coach.

The return trip to Champaign didn't go quite as well. Michigan surprisingly controlled much of the game... and then allowed a 21-2 run to close the game, including a 14-2 margin in the overtime period. Aubrey Dawkins had a really sick dunk, at least.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations; I've switched over to conference-only stats for %Min and %Poss now. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss SIBMIHHAT
G 3 Ahmad Starks Sr. 5'9, 170 60 22 Not really
Middling assist:turnover, decent shooter, not a threat inside the arc.
G 25 Kendrick Nunn So. 6'3, 190 86 22 No
Good outside shooter, less efficient inside arc, solid defender.
G 24 Rayvonte Rice Sr. 6'4, 230 40 25 No
Stocky, high-usage slasher now hits threes. Solid defensive rebounder.
G 21 Malcolm Hill So. 6'6, 230 85 24 No
Cooled off after nearing 50/40/90 status; still a dangerous all-around scorer.
C 32 Nnanna Egwu Sr.  6'11, 250 78 14 Yes
Good shot-blocker, offensive rebounder. Had poor year offensively.
G 1 Jaylon Tate So. 6'3, 170 56 14 Very
High assist and turnover rates. Almost never shoots. Gets to line a ton.
F 12 Leron Black Fr. 6'7, 220 35 19 Very
Very good rebounder. Not a great finisher. Foul-prone.
C 22 Maverick Morgan So. 6'10, 250 22 18 Very
Poor finisher, way better on off. glass than defense. Not a big shot-blocker.

THE RESUME

Illinois is looking to play their way into the NCAA Tournament after finishing an even 9-9 in conference play. Faced with a pretty tough slate, they dropped four of their last six after their second meeting with Michigan.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Preview: Rutgers

Preview: Rutgers

Submitted by Ace on March 6th, 2015 at 2:01 PM

bielfeldt

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT Michigan (14-15, 7-10 B1G) vs.
Rutgers (10-20, 2-15)
WHERE Crisler Center,
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN 2:15 pm ET, Saturday
LINE Michigan -10 (KenPom)
TV BTN
PBP: Joe Davis
Analyst: Shon Morris

Right: Goodnight, sweet calves. [Eric Upchurch/MGoBlog]

THE US

Crisler will host Senior Day festivities for Max Bielfeldt tomorrow before tipoff, which should end any speculation Michigan will bring him back for a fifth year in 2015-16. Bielfeldt became an unexpectedly critical contributor this season after there years spent mostly on the bench. His calves have been, remain, and presumably always will be magnificent.

UPDATE: As it turns out, Bielfeldt will start tomorrow:

As for Derrick Walton, there's less and less optimism he'll make it back onto the court this season:

"We're running out of time," U-M coach John Beilein said Wednesday night on his weekly radio show. "We're guaranteed at least two more games, but he has not been able to do anything close to going at full speed. When he pushes off in certain ways, it bothers him. His (practices) with us are usually very short -- 10 or 15 minutes."

To sum it up, Walton is still not pain-free.

Until he is, he won't play.

Today, Beilein confirmed Walton is out for Rutgers and said he's "doubtful" for the Big Ten Tournament. I don't see much reason to push it at this point.

THE LAST TIME

In the first game after Caris LeVert went down for the year with a broken foot, an illness-ravaged Michigan squad edged past Rutgers, 54-50. The then-novelty of seeing freshmen and walk-ons stepping into bigger roles helped make up for the game's lack of aesthetic appeal.

THE STAKES

A loss to Rutgers probably dooms Michigan's NIT hopes unless they make a solid run in the Big Ten Tournament. There are also potential BTT seeding ramifications: Michigan should be the #9 seed (facing off against either Illinois or Indiana) unless they lose to Rutgers, Northwestern beats Iowa, and Wisconsin beats Ohio State—then M would be the #10 seed.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss SIBMIHHAT
G 4 Myles Mack Sr. 5'10, 175 88 23 Not really
Scoring and assist leader is RU's only player with ORtg above 100.
G 2 Bishop Daniels Jr. 6'3, 185 66 23 Kinda
Not very efficient but draws a lot of fouls. Very turnover-prone.
F 10 Junior Etou So. 6'7, 230 70 14 Kinda
Team's best defensive rebounder. Not a good shooter. Draws lots of fouls.
F 11 Kadeem Jack Sr. 6'9, 235 77 27 Yes
43% on twos and 31% on threes, so naturally takes a crapton of shots.
C 35 Greg Lewis Jr. 6'9, 245 58 15 Very
Okay rim protector, mediocre rebounder and finisher.
G 6 Mike Williams Fr. 6'2, 190 38 19 Yes
Spot-up shooter who can't knock down shots (22% 3P).
F 22 DJ Foreman Fr. 6'8, 230 37 20 Yes
Poor finisher, decent rebounder, especially on offense.
C 40 Shaquille Doorson Fr. 6'11, 275 25 11 Very
Low usage, solid off. rebounder and shot-blocker, TO- and foul-prone.

THE RESUME

Rutgers has lost 13 in a row, which dates back to two games before their first matchup against Michigan. This is likely the last time their résumé will be discussed in any capacity.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]