Hoops Preview: Purdue, Part Two

Hoops Preview: Purdue, Part Two

Submitted by Ace on January 25th, 2018 at 12:46 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #27 Michigan (17-5, 6-3)
at #2 Purdue (19-2, 8-0)
WHERE Mackey Arena
West Lafayette, Indiana
WHEN 7 pm ET, Thursday
LINE Purdue -13 (KenPom)
Purdue -14.1 (Torvik)
Purdue -10 (Vegas)
TV ESPN
PBP: Rece Davis
Analyst: Robbie Hummel

Right: Moe vs. Drago IV [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

THE US

Michigan's trip to face a white-hot Purdue squad represents something of a no-lose situation for the Wolverines. Neither the fancystat sites nor Vegas give Michigan much of a shot to win this one.

According to Bart Torvik's tourneycast, a loss would keep Michigan at their current standing as a projected 8-seed. A win, meanwhile, would shoot them all the way up to the 5-seed line. Barring a deep conference tourney run, this is easily M's best shot at getting off the dreaded 8/9 line and even get a little wiggle room to stay off of it. It'd also keep Michigan in contention for a rather shocking Big Ten regular season title; a loss almost certainly knocks them out of the race.

THE LAST TIME

Michigan was on the brink of handing Purdue their only conference loss until the Zaprudering.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 11 PJ Thompson Sr. 5'10, 185 69 13 137 Not At All
Very efficient, low-usage PG. Hitting 51% of threes. Strong defender.
G 3 Carsen Edwards So. 6'0, 190 68 28 119 Not At All
B1G's most improved. Shot creator who's greatly improved finishing.
G 31 Dakota Mathias Sr. 6'4, 200 76 19 129 Not At All
Three-point sniper, also threat inside arc, good passer when D overcommits.
F 12 Vincent Edwards Sr. 6'8, 225 75 24 122 Not At All
Does a bit of everything on offense, good defender.
C 44 Isaac Haas Sr. 7'2, 290 54 26 122 Very
Behemoth. Strong post scorer, rebounder, shot-blocker.
C 32 Matt Haarms Fr. 7'3, 250 46 16 109 Very
Low-usage Haas, basically. Some offensive dropoff but none on defense.
G 14 Ryan Cline Jr. 6'5, 190 46 14 118 Not At All
Just A Shooter™, makes 41% of his threes.
G 20 Nojel Eastern Fr. 6'6, 220 32 19 88 Yes
Big combo guard at best around hoop. Hits the glass. Turnover-prone.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Rutgers

Hoops Preview: Rutgers

Submitted by Seth on January 20th, 2018 at 5:30 PM

imageTHE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #28 Michigan (16-5, 5-3) vs
#116 Rutgers (12-9, 2-5)
WHERE Crisler Arena
Ann Arbor, MI
WHEN noon EST, Sunday
LINE Michigan –11 (KenPom)
Michigan -13 (Vegas)
TV BTN

Right: Look at ye, all nearly respectable-looking, I ‘ardly recognized ye. [Patrick Barron/MGoBlog]

THE US

This is the fourth and final basketball game the Big Ten decided to pack into eight days in the middle of January. Kindly enough, they made the final boss a relatively straightforward tank-and-spank on Sunday at noon, giving the Wolverines a welcomingly refreshing whole Saturday to wake up in their own beds and practice whatever the plan is to beat the screen-switching malfunction Nebraska exposed.

An off night in Lincoln after a mentally exhausting week is forgivable if it’s a one-time occurrence. On the other hand, Michigan’s only had about 20 minutes of good basketball in the 80 they’ve played since beating State by 10 in the Stand Behind Lou Anna Simon Center. Nick Ward’s ankles breaking dot gif can only be replayed so many times.*

Rutgers fortunately represents another step down in competition. However this year’s Knights are more like the decent WAC teams we’d like Beilein to schedule than the bottom-of-the-SWAC drags they’ve been historically. This Rutgers team also thrives on the kind of sloppiness that defined those awful halves. Also we have a running podcast joke about taking away your conference membership if you lose to the 14th who will always be the 14th member of it. It’d be nice to see that cleaned up early and some starters get their rest.

*(allegedly)

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 3 Corey Sanders Jr. 6'2, 176 81 26 96 Yes
Distributor/ballhandler who’ll drive the lane but can’t shoot.
G 0 Geo Baker Fr. 64, 180 80 20 105 Sort of
Pesky defender and main scoring threat who can also distribute—the biggest reason Rutgers has moved up to meh from utter crap.
F 35 Issa Thiam So. 6'10, 190 70 11 118 Not at all
If Duncan Robinson was two inches taller (and was still hitting 44% from three)
F 33 Deshawn Freeman Sr. 6'7, 227 65 27 93 Very
Physical defensive specialist with Ben Wallace-level hair game, Ben Wallace-like offensive game.
C 11 Eugene Omoruyi So. 6'7, 234 52 23 97 Extremely
First among heavy rotation at C. Crashes the boards, gets a lot of blocks, gets to the line and makes half of them.
C 21 Mamadou Doucoure Fr. 6'9, 243 35 16 91 Extremely
A guy. Can’t shoot.
C 2 Shaquille Doorson Jr. 7’0, 275 22 12 108 Extremely
True C averaged 20 mpg vs OSU-MSU-Purdue, DNP vs Iowa-Wis. Will see him against Teske or not at all
C 1 Candido Sa Sr. 6'9, 235 27 12 85 Yes
5/20 career on 3PA (1/1 this year), 40% from two. Very good shot blocker.
G 44 Souf Mensah Jr. 6’2, 220 15 11 39 Yes
JC transfer who looks like he’s 40. Only non-C on bench with Mike Williams out, may be a marginal improvement over playing with just 4 guys.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Nebraska

Hoops Preview: Nebraska

Submitted by Brian on January 18th, 2018 at 12:32 PM

460xTHE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #18 Michigan (16-4) vs
#85 Nebraska (14-5)
WHERE The Bank
Lincoln, Nebraska
WHEN 9 PM EST
LINE Michigan –4 (KenPom)
Michigan –4.5 (Vegas)
TV BTN

Some men should not wear hats. Welcome to the club, Tim Miles.

THE US

Michigan's packed week continues with a winnable-but-also-loseable road contest against Nebraska. You're probably thinking "Nebraska, pah!" after beating MSU and going toe to toe with future one seed Purdue, but Kenpom only gives Michigan a 63% shot at a win here.

This is a sneaky swing game for the season. Win, and take care of business against Rutgers at home and Michigan goes into Mackey seeking an upset that would mean game on for a Big Ten title chase. Lose and Michigan's playing for seeding the rest of the year.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 5 Glynn Watson Jr. 6'0, 173 72 24 100 Sort of
Excellent A:TO ratio; defensive pickpocket. Inefficient, especially from two (42%). Gets stuck with the late clock shots.
G 13 Anton Gill Sr. 6'3, 195 52 16 122 Not at all
Just A Shooter canning 46% from deep.
F 11 Evan Taylor Sr. 6'5, 208 69 15 107 Not at all
Low usage wing gets to the line frequently and is also hitting 46% from 3, but on just 28 attempts.
F 24 James Palmer Jr. 6'6, 210 72 28 106 Sort of
Meh alpha dog. 30% usage in Big Ten. Drawing 6.2 fouls/40, needs to get to line to be efficient.
F 14 Isaac Copeland Jr. 6'9, 221 72 20 109 Yes
Stretch four except he's hitting 28% on 3s, and playing a lot of center. Excellent on 2PT jumpers.
F 15 Isaiah Roby So. 6'8, 225 49 18 113 No
Bouncy low usage post has top 100 block rate and 20% DREB rate, unremarkable otherwise.
C 32 Jordy Tshimanga So. 6'11, 268 34 20 85 Very
True C is miserable offensively and fouls a ton. Excellent OREB guy. Missed Nebraska's last game, availability questionable.
G 12 Thomas Allen Fr. 6'1, 180 27 19 106 No
Literally the only bench player < 6'8". Reasonably effective in 15 minutes a game.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Maryland

Hoops Preview: Maryland

Submitted by Brian on January 15th, 2018 at 3:45 PM

bs-sp-kevin-huerter-maryland-umes-1113THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #17 Michigan (15-4) vs
#41 Maryland (14-5)
WHERE Crisler Arena
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN 6:30 PM ET, Monday
LINE Michigan –7 (KenPom)
Michigan –8 (Vegas)
TV FS1

please Kevin, don't Huerter them

THE US

Michigan is coming off a very satisfying win at Michigan State that flung them into the top 20 of the big ranking systems and now faces a trio of should-win-could-lose games before their rematch with the Boilermakers at Mackey on January 25th. Maryland, which is Chicago's Big Ten Bubble Team, is first up.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 1 Anthony Cowan So. 6'0, 170 88 23 118 No
Scoring PG must be kept off the line. 121 FTs already this year, hitting 86%. Let him shoot from two.
G 10 Darryl Morsell Fr. 6'4, 205 63 22 94 Very
Burly guard can't shoot, gets to the line pretty well, too many turnovers, OREB threat.
F 4 Kevin Huerter So. 6'7, 190 82 20 120 Not at all
Ideal Beilein wing escaped M's clutches. Not Just A Shooter hitting 46% from deep.
F 23 Bruno Fernando Fr. 6'10, 245 55 28 109 Very
Freshman post playing a lot of PF by necessity. Good rebounder at both ends, top 100 block rate, effective on the block.
C 15 Michal Cekovsky Sr. 7'1, 250 39 19 118 Very
Little used senior forced into more prominent role. Decent block rate, 70% from two but TO prone.
F 18 Jared Nickens Sr. 6'7, 205 33 14 113 No
Just a shooter. 53 threes attempted; 13 twos.
F 5 Dion Wiley Jr. 6'4, 210 44 13 108 No
Also just a shooter. 58 threes, 17 twos. Missed OSU game with concussion, availability questionable.
F 33 Joshua Tomaic So. 6'9, 220 14 16 119 Very
Stretch four sort has been super efficient in limited time probably against tomato cans.

YMMV on who the fifth starter is between Nickens and Fernando.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Michigan State

Hoops Preview: Michigan State

Submitted by Ace on January 12th, 2018 at 5:17 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #28 Michigan (14-4, 3-2 B1G) at
#3 Michigan State (16-2, 4-1)
WHERE Breslin Center
East Lansing, Michigan
WHEN Noon ET, Saturday
LINE MSU -9 (KenPom)
MSU -10.3 (Torvik)
MSU -9.5 (Vegas)
TV FOX
PBP: Gus Johnson
Analyst: Jim Jackson

Right: A formidable front duo, and this doesn't even picture another lottery prospect. [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

THE THING I HAVE TO MENTION FIRST

The response to the CFS fundraiser has been nothing short of incredible. You've raised over $14,000 in a little over a day. MGoCommenter Gordon had the idea to tie the fundraiser into this game; he's generously pledging a dollar per point Michigan scores tomorrow. The outpouring of support here has been incredible. A special thank you to Matt Demorest of HomeSure Lending, who donated a thousand freakin' dollars. Real ones! Every time I think this community can't blow me away, y'all find a way to do so.

I feel guilty asking for more, but this is a remarkable time for the CFS/ME community and this wave of newfound awareness can make a huge difference in researching a cure. You've already blown past the $10,000 stretch goal, which means I'll be getting the Ricky "Wild Thing" Vaughn haircut. I want to add a couple more.

So, if this hits $20,000, I'll dye that Wild Thing haircut blue. If we hit $25,000, I'll make it half blue and half maize. (My hairline, unfortunately, precludes a winged helmet pattern.) If we somehow get all the way to $30,000, I'll open up a contest to the people to draw a Michigan-related tattoo I'll get to commemmorate this whole thing. Something along these lines, perhaps.

I'm learning not to apologize for repeatedly putting this out there. Here's the widget again. Every little bit helps.

Happy 33rd Anniversary, Mom & Dad. Let's Find A Cure For CFS. on Crowdrise

Let's get me some ink.

THE US

Uh, meanwhile, this doesn't sound great, especially given Moe Wagner's paramount importance to Michigan's chances of beating the Spartans:

Wagner has struggled to get back on track since rolling his ankle against Texas in mid-December. It's a concern that the effects are lingering a month later. Michigan is going to have a very difficult time scoring against MSU if Wagner isn't able to stretch the floor. He's almost certainly going to play unless he reaggraves the issue; we'll have to wait and see how close he is to 100%.

Sliding down a spot, John Beilein finally said Isaiah Livers could step into Duncan Robinson's spot in the lineup. The upside: from a purely basketball standpoint, this is absolutely the game to do so, as Robinson simply doesn't have a workable matchup against MSU's starting lineup. The downside: a freshman making his first career start at Breslin without freaking out is kind of a big ask.

Prediction: Robinson starts and gets pulled by the first TV timeout, hopefully before Michigan is in too big a hole.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 5 Cassius Winston So. 6'0, 185 67 23 133 Not At All
Welp. Fourth nationally in assist rate, 13th in three-point shooting.
G 1 Josh Langford So. 6'5, 210 65 22 114 Not At All
Sharpshooter, raised efficiency while taking on bigger role. Late-clock scorer.
F 22 Miles Bridges So. 6'7, 230 69 25 120 No
Lottery prospect #1. Powerful, skilled all-around force.
F 2 Jaren Jackson Jr. Fr. 6'11, 242 65 22 114 Not At All
Lottery prospect #2. Unicorn. Great shot-blocker, good rebounder, hits threes.
C 44 Nick Ward So. 6'8, 250 50 28 125 Yes
Tremendous post scorer. Great rebounder and shot-blocker. Drives Izzo nuts.
G 11 Tum Tum Nairn Sr. 5'10, 175 52 9 124 Yes
Out there for defense/leadership. All but ignored on offense.
G 20 Matt McQuaid Jr. 6'4, 200 50 16 118 No
Just A Shooter™ type making 37% of his triples, right on career mark.
F 34 Gavin Schilling Sr. 6'9, 240 25 18 109 Very
Great rebounder, offense mostly confined to putbacks. Turnover-prone.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Purdue

Hoops Preview: Purdue

Submitted by Ace on January 9th, 2018 at 4:20 PM

First off, I've been overwhelmed and uplifted by the outpouring of support from my post earlier today. Thank you so much to everyone who's reached out with words of support or shared their own personal stories. It means the world to me to be a part of such a remarkable community.

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #32 Michigan (14-3, 3-1 B1G)
vs #5 Purdue (15-2, 4-0)
WHERE Crisler Center
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN 9 pm ET, Tuesday
LINE Purdue -2 (KenPom)
Purdue -4.8 (Torvik)
Purdue -1 (Vegas)
TV ESPN
PBP: Dave Flemming
Analyst: Dan Dakich

Right: It's gonna get physical. [Paul Sherman]

THE US

Purdue's visit to Crisler gives Michigan its best chance at a marquee win from a Big Ten schedule that doesn't have MSU travel to Ann Arbor. Given the way the nonconference schedule broke, pulling out at least one victory against the Boilermakers or Spartans is probably the only way the Wolverines can get above a 7 or 8 seed—there just aren't many resumé-boosing wins to be had when most of the conference is moving in the wrong direction.

In rotation news, Zavier Simpson took the starting job back from Eli Brooks for the Illinois game, and that's all but assured to be a permanent change. Brooks could be in a fight for the backup job with Jaaron Simmons, who Beilein inserted for a brief stretch that wasn't in garbage time. Jordan Poole has definitively moved in front of Ibi Watson as the primary backup at both the two and the three. (He's previously just played the two.) Isaiah Livers continues to impress and this could very well be the game he overtakes Duncan Robinson regardless of who starts the first half; the Boilermakers pose a terrible matchup for Robinson.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 11 PJ Thompson Sr. 5'10, 185 71 13 135 Not At All
Very efficient, low-usage PG. Hitting 49% of threes. Strong defender.
G 3 Carsen Edwards So. 6'0, 190 67 28 114 No
B1G's most improved. Shot creator who's greatly improved finishing.
G 31 Dakota Mathias Sr. 6'4, 200 76 19 129 Not At All
Three-point sniper, also threat inside arc, good passer when D overcommits.
F 12 Vincent Edwards Sr. 6'8, 225 74 24 118 Not At All
Does a bit of everything on offense, good defender.
C 44 Isaac Haas Sr. 7'2, 290 54 27 124 Very
Behemoth. Strong post scorer, rebounder, shot-blocker.
C 32 Matt Haarms Fr. 7'3, 250 46 14 112 Very
Low-usage Haas, basically. Some offensive dropoff but none on defense.
G 14 Ryan Cline Jr. 6'5, 190 45 13 117 Not At All
Just A Shooter™, makes 40% of his threes.
G 20 Nojel Eastern Fr. 6'6, 220 30 20 86 Yes
Big combo guard at best around hoop. Turnover-prone.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Illinois

Hoops Preview: Illinois

Submitted by Ace on January 5th, 2018 at 4:01 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #32 Michigan (13-3, 2-1 B1G)
vs #89 Illinois (10-6, 0-3)
WHERE Crisler Center
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN Noon ET, Saturday
LINE Michigan -10 (KenPom)
M -9.4 (Torvik)
M -9.5 (Vegas)
TV BTN
PBP: Brandon Gaudin
Analyst: Jon Crispin

Right: The last time. [Paul Sherman]

THE US

Michigan continues to be in a plum spot to make a run at the #3 seed in the conference. They're at #32 on KenPom, #27 on Torvik, and #40 in the RPI (up from 42 last week); Torvik's tourneycast has the Wolverines as a nine-seed after they were out of the field not long ago.

The rotation is getting close to set now that we're into the new year, but how the pieces are configured is still in question. Zavier Simpson looks like he should wrest the starting job away from Eli Brooks; he opened the second half against Iowa and has been a much more impactful player. Isaiah Livers, meanwhile, had a breakout game against the Hawkeyes; you're probably sick of me saying he should be in the starting lineup over Duncan Robinson, who's better served as a bench shooter paired with a strong defensive center (namely, Jon Teske). Those changes could happen soon.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 1 Trent Frazier Fr. 6'1, 170 52 23 104 Kinda
After slow start, averaging 16 PPG over last six games.
G 20 Da'Monte Williams Fr. 6'3, 190 48 15 95 Yes
Decent slasher, only 5/25 on threes, turnover prone.
G 13 Mark Smith Fr. 6'4, 225 52 21 97 Probably
Only shooting well at FT line right now, but has scoring potential.
F 12 Leron Black Jr. 6'7, 230 61 24 113 No
Plays big. Strong post scorer and rebounder, has extended his range.
C 43 Michael Finke Jr. 6'10, 235 67 16 120 Kinda
Plays like a stretch four but has been much more efficient on twos.
G 24 Mark Alstork Sr. 6'5, 190 58 18 100 Yeah
Wright State transfer off to rough start, probable benching.
F 23 Aaron Jordan Jr. 6'5, 210 52 18 130 Not At All
Hitting 52% of threes, decent inside arc too. Should probably play more?
G 3 Te'Jon Lucas So. 6'1, 180 49 19 93 Very
Turnover-prone PG with no range quickly losing role to Frazier.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Iowa

Hoops Preview: Iowa

Submitted by Ace on January 2nd, 2018 at 3:28 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #33 Michigan (12-3, 1-1 B1G)
at #78 Iowa (9-6, 0-2)
WHERE Carver-Hawkeye Arena
Iowa City, Iowa
WHEN 7 pm ET, Tuesday
LINE Michigan -2 (KenPom)
Michigan -3 (Bovada)
TV ESPN2
PBP: Jason Benetti
Analyst: Tom Crean

Right: LOOK OUT, FRAN. [Bryan Fuller]

THE US

Hey, everyone! Look! It's basketball! Which is not football! Hooray basketball!

Michigan re-starts Big Ten play on the road at Iowa back at full strength; while he looked rusty, Moe Wagner got through 20 minutes against Jacksonville on Saturday without issue. They have a great chance to tally an early conference road win against a young Hawkeye team off to a rough start.

Given the generally woeful state of the conference beyond Michigan State and Purdue, that could jump-start a run for the #3 seed. After the two Big Ten powers, Michigan ranks behind only Maryland, which is now down NBA prospect Justin Jackson (and reserve Ivan Bender) for the season.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 3 Jordan Bohannon So. 6'0, 190 71 19 118 Not At All
Spot-up and off-the-bounce sniper. Much less effective inside arc.
G 4 Isaiah Moss So. 6'5, 205 59 23 106 No
Solid shooter, still getting comfortable creating own shots.
F 2 Jack Nunge Fr. 6'11, 225 50 18 118 No
Very little rebounding presence, but efficient inside scorer and impact defender.
F 51 Nicholas Baer Jr. 6'7, 210 28 20 90 Kinda?
Stretch four on major cold streak. Good rebounder and rim protector.
C 5 Tyler Cook So. 6'9, 255 61 26 114 Very
Good post scorer who draws lots of fouls. Strong on boards.
F 55 Luka Garza Fr. 6'11, 235 44 25 119 Not Really
Very similar profile as Cook but with more blocks and a little shooting range.
F 35 Cordell Pemsl So. 6'8, 240 40 22 108 Very
Excellent rebounder, inefficient post scoring option.
F 1 Maishe Dailey So. 6'7, 195 39 16 124 Not At All
Just A Shooter™, 42% on threes.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Jacksonville (The Dolphins!)

Hoops Preview: Jacksonville (The Dolphins!)

Submitted by Brian on December 29th, 2017 at 11:21 AM

article-2182660-14571FB9000005DC-408_306x423THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #35 Michigan (10-3) vs
#337 Jacksonville (5-10)
WHERE Crisler Arena
Ann Arbor, Michigan
WHEN 6 PM ET, Saturday
LINE Michigan –27 (KenPom)
TV BTN

Dolphins worldwide are livid at the poor performance of the Jacksonville Dolphins, who do not viciously dunk on people like dolphins frequently do in the wild.

THE US

Michigan is finishing up its three game holiday swing against various groups of Russian WWIII POWs who have never seen a basketball against Jacksonville. Jacksonville, which has really and literally adopted the Dolphin as a mascot, is better than Alabama A&M(!) but worse than Detroit(!) per Kenpom.

As a result this should be a desultory affair immediately forgotten. The main thing Michigan fans will be hoping for is at least some playing time for Moe Wagner, who's missed the last few weeks after twisting his ankle late in the Texas game. It would be nice if he got ten minutes and looked on track to return at full force for the (re-)beginning of conference play on January 2nd.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 0 Tanner Rubio So. 6'0, 170 60 24 82 Sort of
Just A Shooter except he has an inexplicable, post-like TO rate to go along with 31% from 3.
G 1 JD Notae Fr. 6'2, 180 82 25 93 No
Shoots almost as well from 3 (36%) as he does from two (37%). Gets a lot more twos up.
G 3 Devin Harris Sr. 6'4, 200 66 24 87 Very
Bull in a china shop has top-30 FT rate, astronomical TO rate, and can't shoot.
F 14 Jace Hogan Jr. 6'6, 225 55 28 109 Quite
A-Sun Branden Dawson is by far JAX's most effective offensive player but might be out?
F 33 Cody Helgeland Sr. 6'8, 185 90 14 90 Sort of
Stretch 4 is another perimeter oriented player hitting 31%. Does not rebound.
G 10 Corey Romitch Fr. 6'4, 205 31 9 82 Yes
Nonexistent on offense. 29% from three and 1/2 from two.
F 25 Jaylin Hinton Fr. 6'5, 195 46 14 107 Very
Low usage garbage man hitting 61% from two.
C 13 Radwan Bakkali Jr. 6'10, 250 30 20 91 Very
Post can't DREB and hits 46% from two with astronomical TO rate.

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

Hoops Preview: Texas

Hoops Preview: Texas

Submitted by Ace on December 12th, 2017 at 2:58 PM

THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #41 Michigan (8-3) at
#26 Texas (6-2)
WHERE Frank Erwin Center
Austin, Texas
WHEN 9 pm ET, Tuesday
LINE Texas -5 (KenPom)
Texas -5 (Bovada)
TV ESPN2
PBP: Dan Shulman
Analyst: Dick Vitale

Right: Goodness gracious, Mo Bamba.

THE US

While UCLA put a quality win feather in Michigan's tournament resumé cap, there's still work to be done, especially since the Big Ten, uh, kinda sucks? The B1G is currently projected as a three-bid league by stat guru Bart Torvik—and that's with Maryland as one of the last four teams in the field. Michigan State and Purdue are the only locks.

In such a conference down year, it'd be very nice to add another resumé-boosting victory in non-conference play, and Texas represents M's final chance at doing so. According to Torvik's team forecast tool, a victory tonight would take Michigan from the projected sixth team out of tournament to in the field, albeit as a First Four team. That's a huge jump from one game.

Given the short turnaround (and a flight to Texas) from Saturday's UCLA game, I wouldn't expect to see major changes to the rotation yet. After this game, however, the team has a few tune-ups before conference play, and that's when we could see some major experimentation. I'll have much more on how that could shake out later this week; tonight's game will provide a critical extra data point for guys like Jordan Poole and Isaiah Livers.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 2 Matt Coleman Fr. 6'2, 180 74 16 108 Yes
Low-usage distributor, not much of a scoring threat.
G 10 Eric Davis Jr. 6'3, 190 43 17 98 Kinda
Three-point specialist in prolonged slump: 26% over last season-plus.
G 12 Kerwin Roach Jr. 6'4, 180 69 19 121 Yes
P&R threat who's extremely effective at rim. Doesn't often shoot from anywhere else.
F 21 Dylan Osetkowski Jr. 6'9, 245 70 27 103 Yes
Excellent rebounder, decent post scorer, will slide to center.
C 4 Mo Bamba Fr. 6'11, 225 59 21 105 Very
Tremendous rebounder and rim protector. Scores mostly via putbacks and cuts.
F 20 Jericho Sims Fr. 6'9, 240 39 16 89 Very
Decent cleanup guy, but turnover-prone and bad FT shooter.
G 3 Jacob Young So. 6'2, 185 24 19 127 No
Efficient scorer vs. bad teams, hasn't played much vs. good teams.
G 1 Andrew Jones (inj.) So. 6'4, 195 62 26 119 Not At All
Leading scorer, best shooter, quality defender out with hand injury.

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