2018-19 iowa #2
1 hour and 13 minutes
The Sponsors:
This show is presented by UGP & The Bo Store. Do you like Michigan sweatshirts and stuff? Buy one from them. Our other sponsors are also key to all of this: HomeSure Lending, Peak Wealth Management, Ann Arbor Elder Law, the Residence Inn Ann Arbor Downtown, the University of Michigan Alumni Association, Michigan Law Grad, Human Element, Phil Klein Insurance, and Lantana Hummus
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1. Michigan's Pod
(starts at 0:58)
The "last two seed" means Michigan doesn't have to play Duke. Montana is without their two bigs from last year. Good at preventing assists on made baskets—we think that means they force you into a lot of iso ball. Nevada was good but played nobody. Seth shares what vomitorium means (got it from the great youtubist CGP Grey). But Nevada's best player, Jordan Caroline, has an Achilles flare, and they just lost to San Diego State without him. Clear preference is Florida.
2. The Rest of Michigan's Region
(starts at 22:41)
How good is Gonzaga? We like that Syracuse is the and Florida State are with them because those two are talent-independent hoodoos. All Syracuse does is have Tyus Battle drive in the lane. Texas Tech is the three seed, and the other great defense. Who grad transfers from St. John's? Highly dependent on a Culver, a high-assist/usage guy Matthews will be checking. They're not a switching defense. They give up a lot of threes but we're guessing those are 24-foot step-backs. How do you shoot 211 threes at 26%? Marquette has Marcus Howard (36% usage!) who's just a jack-it-up shooter. FSU is a forest of arms.
3. MSU III
(starts at 45:44)
When Michigan faces a switching defense they just freeze and take bad shots because their answers don't work: X isn't a stepback shooter, they don't have any Iso guys, Matthews is not a good offensive player, and they can't feed the post. Izzo admits he "couldn't play Ward" but also auto-benched Tillman and Michigan immediately swung out to a double-digit lead. Hat tip to Cassius Winston. Grumbling about the slow development of Poole, and Michigan wings being so slow to recover to McQuaid. A 20-percent win percentage flip on a blown call at the end is especially galling because it will never change. Just once it would be nice to play a rival without the rival getting an assist from the officiating.
3. Iowa/Minnesota
(starts at 1:06:03)
Rote blowouts and flexing. Michigan fixed the Iowa problem as soon as they stopped putting Iggy on Garza and Teske on Cook—Cook is the Big Ten's biggest foul magnet, Iggy can't guard Garza. As soon as they stopped doing that it was over. Minnesota was just dog tired.
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MUSIC
- Space Cowboy"—Jonzun Crew
- "Anthems for a Seventeen-Year-Old Girl"—Broken Social Scene
- "Can't Get There from Here"—REM
- “Across 110th Street”
THE USUAL LINKS
- Helpful iTunes subscribe link
- General podcast feed link
- Direct download link (right-click/save-as)
- What's with the theme music?
The people are what spews forth from the vomitoria, not the contents of the people
THE ESSENTIALS
WHAT | #6 Michigan (26-5) vs #34 Iowa (22-10) |
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WHERE | Phil Klein Insurance Group Center Chicago, IL |
WHEN | 9:30 PM, probably |
LINE | Michigan -8, 76% to win (Kenpom) Michigan –9.4, 82% to win (Torvik) |
TV | BTN |
THE US
Michigan will not go 4-0 at this year's Big Ten tournament, as they have the last two years. If they defend their crown for the third year running they'll have to settle for 3-0, because they've finally entered the tournament with a double bye.
To advance they'll have to take on the team that nearly ended last year's run before it started: Iowa.
THE LINEUP CARD
Click for big.
Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.
Pos. | # | Name | Yr. | Ht./Wt. | %Min | %Poss | ORtg | SIBMIHHAT | |||||||||||
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G | 3 | Jordan Bohannon | Jr. | 6'1, 185 | 76 | 19 | 115 | No | |||||||||||
SG miscast as PG. Not Just A Shooter (20 A rate, 40 FT rate) but should be: just 34% inside line. 38% from deep. | |||||||||||||||||||
G | 4 | Isaiah Moss | Jr. | 6'5, 208 | 59 | 20 | 104 | No | |||||||||||
Top priority: run this guy off the line. Shooting 34/44 in Big Ten play, with almost two thirds of his shots from two. | |||||||||||||||||||
G | 10 | Joe Wieskamp | Fr. | 6'6, 205 | 67 | 17 | 122 | No | |||||||||||
Composite #60 FR is high quality Not Just A Shooter hitting 57/43 with decent FT rate. Iggy-ish black hole, low TOs, 17% usage should be higher probably. | |||||||||||||||||||
F | 25 | Tyler Cook | Jr. | 6'9, 250 | 73 | 26 | 105 | Yes | |||||||||||
Second in B10 Count Dunkula standings, majority of usage at rim where he hits 73%. Big time struggles in B10 play. | |||||||||||||||||||
C | 55 | Luka Garza | So. | 6'11, 245 | 52 | 25 | 117 | Yes | |||||||||||
Eyebrows Moe designation repealed as Garza is 29% from 3 on season. Excellent interior scorer, horrible defensively. Doesn't rebound much either. | |||||||||||||||||||
G | 30 | Connor McCaffery | Fr. | 6'5, 205 | 46 | 17 | 106 | Yes | |||||||||||
Composite #152 FR has top 150 A rate and absurd FT rate (107!!!) that would be #2 nationally if he played 60% of minutes. 27 TO rate in B10 play, shooting 36/17. | |||||||||||||||||||
G | 1 | Maishe Dailey | Jr. | 6'7 200 | 32 | 14 | 92 | Yes | |||||||||||
Low usage guy shooting 53/21 with half his shots from three, 20 TO rate. | |||||||||||||||||||
F | 51 | Nicholas Baer | Sr. | 6'7, 218 | 48 | 17 | 118 | No | |||||||||||
Unkillable Methuselah ranks nationally in DREB, TO rate, Blk%, Stl%, and 3P%. Shooting 54/39 with good FT rate but only 64% at line. Would be 30 MPG starter on most B10 teams. | |||||||||||||||||||
F | 15 | Ryan Kriener | Jr. | 6'9 255 | 34 | 20 | 111 | Meh | |||||||||||
Three level scorer shooting 59/35. TOs an issue. Also bad defensively. |
[hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]
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