Home-turf feel makes Michigan basketball's New York minute in the Big Ten Tournament special

Home-turf feel makes Michigan basketball's New York minute in the Big Ten Tournament special

Submitted by Kewaga. on March 5th, 2018 at 9:16 AM

Hockey NCAA tournament bid/seeding update

Hockey NCAA tournament bid/seeding update

Submitted by stephenrjking on March 4th, 2018 at 12:45 AM

This is probably a bit excessive given the quantity of hockey threads now available, but I thought it would be nice to reset where Michigan stands regarding the NCAA tournament.

For starters, if you weren't already aware, Michigan is now a 100% lock for a bid. That is, by far, the big news. They are currently ranked #8 in the Pairwise Ratings, which is a mathematical model that perfectly replicates the NCAA rankings for hockey. Those less familiar with the system will be interested to know that it is a 100% objective, numbers based system to determine bids and seeds. 

They are 3 ten-thousanths of a point behind now tied with Clarkson in the RPI (and ahead by common opponent record), which means they could jump Clarkson to #7 with a good finish to the conference tournament; it is virtually impossible for them to ascend any higher than that. According to collegehockeynews.com's Pairwise Probability Matrix, Michigan has a 41% chance of earning a #2 seed in the tournament, a 59% chance of earning a #3 seed, and a 0.1% chance of being someone's worst nightmare #4 seed.

This means that we can start looking at potential matchups. It's still early, with a lot of games left to play and a lot of changes left to occur, but Michigan is looking at a 2-3 game somewhere in three weeks.

The committee won't pair Michigan with a team from its conference, so if OSU drops from the #4 spot, they will be placed in a separate region from Michigan. So will Penn State, if they hold on to their #11 position. Minnesota also has a better than 50% chance of being a #3. None of these teams will play Michigan in the opening round.

Michigan's natural opponent right now at the 9 spot (the first 3 seed) is UMD, which is my personal nightmare. There's a lot to change between now and then. Other possible three-seed opponents include Northeastern and Providence.

If Michigan drops to a three, they're looking at Minnesota State, Denver, Clarkson, Northeastern, or UMD again. Denver is the one I would not want to play from a hockey standpoint. I think a rematch against Clarkson would be very attractive.

Where is Michigan going? Too soon to tell, but it will probably depend upon which #1 seed they are paired with. FWIW Notre Dame probably goes to Allentown, unless North Dakota makes the tournament and forces Saint Cloud out that way. I think Michigan has a decent chance to get shipped to Sioux Falls if Saint Cloud is there, but they really could go anywhere.

Michigan Hockey ‘17-18, Game #36: Michigan 7, Wisconsin 4

Michigan Hockey ‘17-18, Game #36: Michigan 7, Wisconsin 4

Submitted by NastyIsland on March 3rd, 2018 at 11:15 PM

Dancs Goal

Ol’ Dex struck goals…twice [Bill Rapai]

OFFENSE

 

Corsi

House

Possession %

First Period

15 7 50%

Second Period

24 10 49%

Third Period

13 4 33%

Overtime

n/a n/a n/a

TOTAL

52 21 44%

Analysis: Much, much better from the Wolverines tonight, as they tallied six (!) even-strength goals (seven with Slaker’s empty-netter). They eviscerated the Badger defense, getting into the slot and House with ease and finishing their chances.

The DMC line was crushing Wisconsin on the forecheck and Dancs tied the game early after scooping up a loose puck in the House. Becker and Warren added jammer goals down low. Dancs had a snipe as the second period ended, and Luce flung a puck at the net from the blue line that also got through Berry.

One of the keys coming into the series for Wisconsin was to have one of their goalies steal a game. That did not happen at all. In total, they gave up 12 goals on 57 shots for a save % of .790. That’s not going to win many games or series. Michigan went into Clear, Dump, and Change Mode with a three-goal lead and Wisconsin threw the kitchen sink at the net and pulled their goalie with over four minutes left. That’s why there’s such a discrepancy in the third period. Close Corsi ended up 27-26, Michigan.

[More, including the goal of the year, after THE JUMP]

Michigan Hockey up to #8 PairWise

Michigan Hockey up to #8 PairWise

Submitted by k.o.k.Law on March 3rd, 2018 at 7:03 AM

Updated 6:00 a.m. this morning:

 

 

http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-rankings/d-i-men/

 

Our win over UW and Penn State over Gophers dropped them to #11, and us up to #8

also ahead of UMD and Northeastern

 

Ohio still #6, ND #2 after winning their games last night

 

This would be a #2 seed.

Amaizing season, come to Yost tonight to watch us win the series.

Friday Night BTT at Yost: Michigan Hockey vs. Wisconsin Game Thread

Friday Night BTT at Yost: Michigan Hockey vs. Wisconsin Game Thread

Submitted by JWG Wolverine on March 2nd, 2018 at 7:49 PM

Game is (once again) on BTN Plus (sigh...)

However, Radio + GameTracker: http://mgoblue.com/watch/?Live=115&type=Archive

It's 3-1 and we really aren't playing well to start this game, it's time to take Lavigne out, and I realized the reason behind our bad luck is the lack of a classic MGoBlog Hockey Game Thread!

So here it is. Let's bounce back now.

GO BLUE!!!!

 

Michigan Hockey Rooting Guide: Week 23

Michigan Hockey Rooting Guide: Week 23

Submitted by NastyIsland on March 1st, 2018 at 8:00 AM

WHAT? [Marc-Gregor Campredon]

Corsi Table

 

Game 1

Game 2

Game 3

Game 4

Michigan

58(24)

69(23)

38(14)

52(30)

Wisconsin

45(15)

53(22)

56(18)

34(15)

Michigan has a 1-2-1 record against Wisconsin this year. They’ve dominated a couple of games that they lost due to trailing on the scoreboard and Wisconsin sitting back (Games 1 and 4). They also gave away a point in Game 2 with a goal in the final minute of regulation. Michigan won Game 3 thanks to great (!!) special teams play. So, what does that mean? Well…

Wisconsin Preview

 

PWR

Corsi

PP%

PK%

Players Drafted

Skaters >.75 PPG

GAA

Save%

Michigan

10th

18th

15%

76%

7

2: Marody, Calderone

2.61 (Lavigne)

.912 (Lavigne)

Wisconsin

24th

12th

18%

81%

7

2: Wagner, Frederic

2.89 (Berry); 2.97 (Hayton)

.903 (Berry); .894 (Hayton)

During their first series, Michigan was in the midst of their defensive crisis. They also were rotating goalies. Both of those issues seem to have mostly been sorted out. In their last meeting, Hayden Lavigne had his worst game of 2018, though.

Everything about these teams seems to be relatively even. Michigan's overall offense and defense are statistically slightly better than Wisconsin's. Wisconsin’s Corsi and special teams play are slightly better than Michigan’s. I would give Michigan an edge in net, though, especially since there seems to have been a sharp uptick in quality of play in the second half of the season for Hayden Lavigne; he has a .915 save % since January 5th.

[After THE JUMP: how to beat Wisconsin, a look at the rest of the conference tourney, and ways Michigan can stay in (or get bumped from) the big tourament]