That is the best we can do coming off a bye week?

That is the best we can do coming off a bye week?

Submitted by ontarioblue on October 31st, 2010 at 3:41 PM

What the hell was that?  Two weeks to prepare for Penn State, a walk on quarter back, an injury riddled defense and we come up with that?  The entire coaching staff is to blame for this debacle.  GERG ever here of blitzing?  How can you not challenge a walk on?  Thomas Gordon was the only player that even got close.  I like many other alumni and season ticket holders demand better than this.  This was one of the worst efforts I have seen in years.  We deserve much , much better.

Do not denigrate the fanbase

Do not denigrate the fanbase

Submitted by jmblue on October 31st, 2010 at 3:40 PM

If you want to defend the staff, fine.  But please don't trot out the old "It's our fanbase that disappoints me the most" line.  That might be applicable at some schools, but it isn't here. 

We have a great fanbase.  Yes, maybe it's a little quieter than it could be on gameday, but the fact is, we turn out in larger numbers than any other fanbase in the country to see our team play.  The last two years, PSU had a larger stadium than us, but we still outdrew them - we continued to sell out, while they couldn't do so even when their team went 11-2 back-to-back years.  We filled up the place to watch a 3-9 team and a 5-7 team.  And even after those disappointments we're still turning out this season.  And by and large, this fanbase has been patient.  RR has always drawn more cheers than boos when he's been announced.   I can tell you that this would not happen at a lot of other schools, given how he's done.  When he says we have great fans, he's not kidding.  He saw what it was like at WVU.  We've treated him with respect and will always do so, even if he ends up losing his job. 

People aren't upset because they "aren't fans."  If they weren't fans, they wouldn't care.  Watching the winningest program in history go 13-19 over three seasons (4-16 in conference) is incredibly painful.  It's like watching a friend battle an addiction.  You hope the friend (program) will get it together, but at some point you wonder if it will happen, and if not, what can be done to bring things back to the way they were.  That is a reasonable reaction.  Above all, we're fans of Michigan.  I would love for RR to win big here.  But at the end of the day, if it's not in our program's interests for him to stay employed, so be it.  Don't tell me I'm not a fan for saying that.  

SS Beaver and other random game day observations

SS Beaver and other random game day observations

Submitted by IUandUofM on October 31st, 2010 at 2:46 PM

Just got back from the game (stayed over night in PA), and had a few random observations to share about the experience:

1-from the direction we came in, the stadium looked huge and dominated the landscape.

2-as it got dark out before the game ... the stadium structure, style, and lighting, looked very similar to a cruise ship docked at port.

3-tailgating was abundant and there were many more visibly drunk people than I expected.

4-apparently there is a uniform for all the girls ... you need to be skinny, have long brown/black hair to your mid-back, wear tight black or gray leggings (or jeans), and Uggs boots.  It was quite odd really ... there seemed like there were 1,000s of girls that looked identical in this way.  Maybe this is the way college girls dress when it is colder out, but I did not notice the same trend at any other game this year.  

5-the lighted concession stands outside the stadium were the same as at a carnival or fair ... which added to that type of atmosphere.

6-inside the stadium, the concourses where riddled with girders that created a maze of obstacles that you can to duck under and weave in and out of.  We saw two people hit their heads ... it was not attractive and was annoying.

7-the bathrooms were bad ... the worst I have been to in a while ... and the lines were silly long.

8-at our seats, the stadium looked pretty big ... but not collegiate.  The student section was impressive with their white wear and pom poms.  

9-the crowd did get into it at times, but seemed a bit subdued.

10-took a good hour to get out of the parking lot after game was over.

All in all, the Michigan stadium and  experience is sooo much nicer, classier, and I am not at all jealous of PSU ... except maybe for their student section involvement.  

 

 

 

A look back at preseason expectations

A look back at preseason expectations

Submitted by mejunglechop on October 31st, 2010 at 2:11 PM

from http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/last-chance-looks-stupid-predict-record-2010

Some people predicted the regular season and the bowl game, some predicted just the regular season, and some predicted both. To deal with that, I split predictions into ones that didn't account for bowl games and ones that did.  "8-4 + bowl win" type predictions were applied to both categories and so did predictions of 5-7 and below. That makes the losing predictions overrepresentative, but what can you do...

Exclusively regular season: 187 total

Record Predicted # of predictions % of whole
12-0 8 4.2
11-1 2 1.1
10-2 9 4.8
9-3 18 9.6
8-4 51 27.3
7-5 66 35.3
6-6 21 11.2
5-7 7 3.7
4-8 4 2.1
3-9 0 0

2-10

1 .5

1-11

0 0
0-12 0 0

Regular season + bowl (if 6+ wins): 168 total

Record Predicted # of predictions % of whole
13-0 8 4.8
12-1 3 1.8
11-2 9 5.4
10-3 20 11.9
9-4 43 25.6
8-5 57 33.9
7-6 11 6.5
6-7 5 3.0
5-7 7 4.2
4-8 4 2.4
3-9 0 0
2-10 1 .6
1-11 0 0
0-12 0 0

Things that interested me in Table 1:

  • 47% of posters predicted 8-4 or better.
  • About 62% of posters predicted either 7-5 or 8-4
  • 81% predicted at least 7-5

Thing from Table 2:

  • Very few people predicted bowl losses.
     

Notes: I counted 13-0 and 6-7 as also being predictions of 12-0 and 6-6, respectively. The only prediction I didn't count was gordie bell's 0-13 since it's mathematically impossible. I might have miscounted once or twice, but cut me some slack. I'm not Mathlete, people.

Somewhat OT-FL DE Aaron Lynch Backs Off Notre Dame Commitment

Somewhat OT-FL DE Aaron Lynch Backs Off Notre Dame Commitment

Submitted by DGDestroys on October 31st, 2010 at 1:02 PM

According to Tom, FL DE Aaron Lynch has decommitted from Notre Dame. He's the number 9 DE in the class, according to scout, and number 7 to Rivals. Here's to hoping a little bit of tasty Schadenfreude improves some of your days. 

Searching for something to hold on to

Searching for something to hold on to

Submitted by Bielfeldt's Calves on October 31st, 2010 at 12:47 PM

Happy Halloween everyone.

 

So after suffering through the Michigan vs Penn State game last night, drinking until I passed out and trying to figure out how Lloyd Brady gets the great seats he does, I was forced try and find some rational reason why the Defense man, why?

 

Over the past 8 games every Michigan fan has engaged in some kind of discussion about the defense. And 9 times out of 10, if the conversation is with smart fans, ends in a comment about the youth of it. And I think we can all agree that the defense is young. But, is that really it? Isn't GERG and ultimately Rich Rod responsible for the poor play?

 

I've always been in the "youthy defense" and not the "coaches blow" camp. But after last night I finally had a few moments where I just went, "well maybe coaching..."

 

So I took to the numbers in hopes to find some solace. I remember in 2008 when we were suffering through Rich Rod's first year and the offense was horrible. I looked at the percentage of starters verse other first year coaches. What I found was that Michigan had the highest percentage of underclassman contributors. Fast forward two years and we're #2 in total offense and Denard!

 

So, I want to take a look at the Big Ten defenses and where how they rank nationally in total defense and scoring defense:

 

*quick note: all numbers are through week 10/23/2010

 

 

Team

Total

Scoring

OSU

3

9

Iowa

13

11

ILL

23

15

Wisc

25

34

PSU

31

21

MSU

32

17

Pur

63

62

NW

67

40

Ind

77

91

MN

90

100

UM

104

80

 

No surprise to anybody, Michigan ranks at the bottom of the Big Ten in total defense.

Let's look at the summary of the upperclassman vs underclassman contribution in the Big Ten:

Team

Total

Scoring

Upper Production

Under Production

OSU

3

9

70%

30%

Iowa

13

11

83%

17%

ILL

23

15

66%

34%

Wisc

25

34

72%

28%

PSU

31

21

63%

37%

MSU

32

17

58%

42%

Pur

63

62

54%

46%

NW

67

40

78%

22%

Ind

77

91

76%

24%

MN

90

100

52%

48%

UM

104

80

44%

56%

Aside from Northwestern and Indiana, which no one is going to mistaken for football schools (although NW is bowl eligible), you can't tell me that experience does not translate into success, on some level. Yes, you need talent. But your likelihood to succeed with that talent increases with the age of said talent.

Here's a look at Michigan's chart:

 

Michigan

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number

Solo

Total

Solo%

Total%

FR

9

60

104

20%

21%

SO

9

106

173

35%

35%

JR

9

38

65

13%

13%

SR

7

96

156

32%

31%

Total

 

300

498

 

 

Under

18

166

277

55%

56%

Upper

16

134

221

45%

44%

Total

 

300

498

 

 

So yeah 56% percent of Michigan's defense contribution comes from underclassmen. Three of our top five tacklers are Kovacs (SO), Floyd (SO) and Gordan (FR). And only Michigan State has more underclassmen on its roster.

I suppose you can make a recruiting argument that holds the coaches solely responsible, but even then, the talent they are ultimately responsible for is producing (SO, FR classes). So before you head for AA torch and pitchfork, look at the numbers and hope that we can beat Purdue to get the extra practices.

I have a break out of each team over at Productive Sweatpants: http://www.productivesweatpants.com/2010/10/scary-michigan-defense.html

Ron English? Why not Hermann or Mallory?

Ron English? Why not Hermann or Mallory?

Submitted by readyourguard on October 31st, 2010 at 11:28 AM

I've heard Ron English's name pop up as a possible replacement for GERG or <gasp> RR.  Why?  What have people seen in English that would suggest he's a qualified replacement or that he'd have a high probablity to succeed?

If we're going to reach back to someone who served us well in the past, why not a Jim Hermann?  or a Mike Mallory?

My guess is that RR doesn't want to have bring in someone with direct ties to Bo, if for no other reason than it potentially creates even more tension amongst the staff, adminsitration, and fanbase.  But why Ron English?

Shaking off a hangover, did we really give up 453 yards to PSU?

Shaking off a hangover, did we really give up 453 yards to PSU?

Submitted by iawolve on October 31st, 2010 at 11:16 AM

Things get a little fuzzy right before the night ended since the frequency of trips to the fridge increased dramatically as the game wore on. I was hoping was just not remembering correctly in my hazy state before I came online, but by the looks of the threads, I just had the "oh crap that really happened last night" moment. Son of a bitch.

Other examples of coaches turning programs around?

Other examples of coaches turning programs around?

Submitted by Wendyk5 on October 31st, 2010 at 9:15 AM
I'm curious whether there have been any coaches in recent college football history who have taken on this kind of program turn around and have succeeded. This has turned into a major program overhaul that seems to be never ending. Is history on our side?