Mike Valenti

Mike Valenti

Submitted by Kaminski16 on November 22nd, 2010 at 4:31 PM

This guy is an absolute clown. Did anyone listen to their show at all today? Not only would MSU "probably beat Ohio State in East Lansing," but "Craig Roh can't play," and "Rodriguez simply can't recruit." I can't handle Spartan Media.

Are our defensive players too small?

Are our defensive players too small?

Submitted by trueblue262 on November 22nd, 2010 at 3:49 PM

Upon a debate I came across on whether our defensive players were much smaller than "before".  I did a little research on one of the recruiting sites on what type of recruits we are getting now (under current coach) compared to 2002-2004 (under past coach). I was very encouraged with my results,

Remember these #'s reflect the defensive side of the ball (before transfers / position switches / etc.

Current Staff -  AVG weight (defensive line) 264.20 (3.8 stars)  / LB wt. 209 (3.67 stars) DB wt. 188.25 (3.38 stars)

Past staff - AVG weight (DL) 266.88 (3.75 stars) / LB wt. 230 (3.75 stars) DB wt 191.86(3.71 stars)

I guess in short, the reason for my optimism is, the past coach had these results in the middle of his "term" following years of Big 10 champs, a 3 year rcord of 28-10 and within 5 yrs following a National Championship. The other had to persuade these recruits after a coaching change in December, the biggest upset in college football history AND a combined record 16-20. I will say this, there seemed to be MORE defensive recruits under the past coach vs. the current-

Go Blue

TomVH: 2012 LB Royce Jenkins-Stone Update

TomVH: 2012 LB Royce Jenkins-Stone Update

Submitted by TomVH on November 22nd, 2010 at 3:31 PM
I spoke with Cass Tech 2012 LB Royce Jenkins-Stone yesterday. He told me Chris Singletary said that he should be getting his Michigan offer soon. They're just waiting on his transcript, and then should be good to go. He still loves Michigan, but was a little taken back by not getting an offer yet.

Stale no more

Stale no more

Submitted by Old School Wolverine on November 22nd, 2010 at 3:10 PM

Given that Jim Harbaugh is the closest thing to a modern Bo, and perhaps closest in kind to the old school Michigan offense that I and many faithful yearn the return to,  take note that Stanford is now averaging 40.0 pts/game, which is now MORE than our new era spread, of 36.6 pts/game.    

Perhaps the numbers are skewed because Stanford's defense has been far superior and gives more time for the offense on the field.  Or, that our defense has been so bad that opponents have scored so quickly and given our spread offense extra time and opportunities. Or vice versa, I do not know.

Either way, somebody please chime in here and try to give the implications of both defenses and how it affects the numbers above.

Relax - Here is what is going to happen

Relax - Here is what is going to happen

Submitted by Wolverine90 on November 22nd, 2010 at 3:04 PM

Been following UM for 33 years.  First recalled game was the Charles White phantom touchdown in 1979 vs USC in the Rose Bowl.

 

This next two weeks will be the loudest for the anti-RR bandwagon.  Then after a week or two, in mid-December, as UM begins preparing for it’s bowl game, reason and objectivity will return.  Everyone will come back to realizing that RR is going to get a 4thyear.  No question about it. 

 

While RR is definitely at fault for a very large number of missteps over the last 3 years, the man has also been subjected to an inordinately large number of misfortunes (injuries, youth, bare cupboard the first 2 years), many of which were not his fault, which have negatively impacted his ability to advance his team quicker.  This is the silver lining upon which the pro vs. anti RR bases will squabble during this off season.

 

But RR will return, and I am happy he will.  AD Brandon is a smart man, and this is what he will conclude:

  1. For all the negativity, for all the mediocrity, for all the losing streaks, the University of Michigan has made a 3 year investment in Rich Rodriguez in order to give him a chance, and the time, to get his system in place.
  2. For all the negativity, the investment has followed a positive trajectory – 3-9, 5-7, 7-5…
  3. While the defense has regressed to catastrophic levels, the offense has done the polar opposite, setting records.
  4. Jim Harbaugh is an attractive candidate.  He is a Michigan Man, and has done terrifically well at a school without the recruiting pull or football tradition of a major power.  However, Brandon will look at it this way – what differentiates Harbaugh’s success now from Les Miles’ success three years ago?  Further, what differentiates Harbaugh’s success now, with all world QB Andrew Luck, from RR’s success at WVU with all world QB Pat White a few years ago?  What is to guarantee Harbaugh would leave his cushy position at beautiful Palo Alto, at a job with little expectation or pressure, for the pressure cooker at UM?
  5. Returning RR for a fourth year is only fair, to see through on our three year investment and give him one more chance to finally put it all together, improve the defense, and continue the positive trajectory to 8-4 or 9-3 and finally back into the upper echelon of the Big 10.
  6. Finally, and most importantly, returning RR for a fourth year will also evidence to other coaches out there that Michigan’s administration is not trigger happy with the pink slip.  It will show coaches around the country that if you get hired at UM, you are going to be given every chance possible to succeed, and patience will be shown.  UM fans with rose colored lenses will bark back that “but this is Michigan and any coach in the country would die for this job!”  Not true.  UM’s is a tough coaching job.  Incredible fan expectations, coupled with heated in-state rival recruiting wars (does Ohio State have to battle an in-state Big 10 school for it’s own players like we do with MSU?  Goodbye Gholston, Thomas, Bullock, etc., etc.).  Brandon will show the nation that he has his coach’s back this off season, and this will position Michigan favorably regardless if RR busts in 2011. If he succeeds, we all exhale. If he fails, we are positioned well for the next hire. If Harbaugh bleeds Blue as much as many say, one more year of waiting will not impact him, and he will likely not sign on for a long term deal anywhere else in the interim, knowing full well this position may possibly become available next year if RR fails.

Early prediction for 2011 – new D coordinator (GERG, while also not entirely responsible for the fiasco on D, will be the fall guy), and UM goes 8-4, seeing RR into a 5thseason.

 

 

GO BLUE, and until he is no longer our coach, I SUPPORT RICH ROD.

Communist Football's Almanack of Broken Records - Wisconsin Edition

Communist Football's Almanack of Broken Records - Wisconsin Edition

Submitted by Communist Football on November 22nd, 2010 at 3:01 PM

Comrades,

Well, it finally happened. Denard broke the NCAA record that inspired this diary: the single-season mark for rushing yards by a quarterback. So, congratulations to Denard Robinson, and to his teammates and coaches, without whom this record would never have been achieved.

Once again, however this season turns out in the end, I urge all of you to not forget to enjoy the remarkable athletic performance that you are witnessing before your very eyes. You may never see a player like Denard again.

Also, Rob Lytle, R.I.P. Lytle was the featured back in the great 1976 ground attack, which at 4,144 yards and 345.3 per game, remains the most prolific rushing offense in recorded Michigan history. Lytle held the Michigan single-season rushing record for 11 years, with 1,469 yards, and the career record for five years, with 3,317, before those marks were topped by Jamie Morris and Butch Woolfolk, respectively.

Before we move on to the show, I want to say one thing: Bret Bielema is a coward. Trashing Denard as a "pretty" player who they "would never recruit." I seriously doubt you would talk smack about Comrade Denard if you were playing him in 2011 and 2012. Here's hoping that Michigan and Wisconsin meet in the Big Ten championship game in one of those years. Your plodding style may be working well for you this year: but get back to us when you win a mythical national championship with it. The inevitablitiy of the Hegelian dialectic means that we will get there before you do.

Quick Links

Prefatory Verbiage • New This WeekWeek in ReviewRecord of the WeekQBs as Rushing ChampionsQB Rushing, GameQB Rushing, SeasonQB Rushing, CareerRushing (Any Position)200/200 Club1500/1500 Club1000/1000 ClubTotal OffenseTotal Offense Per PlayPassing EfficiencyOther M PassingOther M RushingTeam OffenseMiscellaneous RecordsStandard DisclaimersAcknowledgmentsComments

Prefatory Verbiage

  • Previous editions. Previous editions of this Almanack can be found at the MGoBlog Communist Football page.
  • Suggestions are welcome. If you have found an interesting statistic or record that you think I should add to this list, please put it in the comments section and I'll add it to the original post (and give you credit).
  • Review the disclaimers. Football has evolved considerably over its 141-year history, much more so than other major sports, and that is important to keep in mind when talking about all-time records. The existence of this diary is not meant to imply that individual achievement is more important than the achievement of the team.

New This Week

New to this week's Almanack is a section on the 1500/1500 club, which did not exist until Saturday afternoon.

Week in Review: Denard Sets the NCAA QB Rushing Record and Joins the 1500/1500 and 1500/2000 Clubs

By dilithium standards, Denard had a decent, but not extraordinary game. He complete 16 of 25 passes with 2 TDs and one interception for a rating of 162.7, above his season average. He also ran for 121 yards on 22 carries for a YPC of 5.5: not bad.

Denard set his first NCAA record: rushing yards by an FBS (I-A) quarterback for a single season, with two games left. (FWIW, the all-division record is 1,844 yards by Jayson Foster of I-AA powerhouse Georgia Southern in 2007.)

Denard also became the first player in major college history to run and throw for 1,500 yards in the same season, and the first in college football history (all divisons) to run for 1,500 yards and throw for 2,000 yards in a single year.

Of the other prominant dual-threat QBs, Cam Newton was off this week; Colin Kaepernick ran for 35 and threw for 251 in a rout over New Mexico State; and Taylor Martinez ran for 17 and threw for 107 in an injury-interrupted loss to Texas A&M. LaMichael James, Denard's leading rival for the FBS rushing title, was also off this week.

Record of the Week: 1500/2500 Club

Denard is 271 yards short of 2,500 passing for the season, which would make him the first person in major college history to throw for 2,500 and run for 1,500 in the same season. A big day throwing against O-State could get him there.

Though his average keeps trickling down, Denard maintained possession of the Michigan career yards-per-carry record with a minimum of 200 attempts, with 6.4 YPC. The previous record had been held by 6.3 YPC by Jon Vaughn (from 1989-1990).

Denard extended his hold on to the Michigan career pass-efficiency record with a minimum of 200 attempts, at 150.4. The previous record was 148.1 by Elvis Grbac (from 1989-1992), and Elvis had the benefit of a Heisman Trophy-winning receiver. Denard's 150.4 mark is also on pace for third all-time in the Big Ten, though he needs 300 completions to qualify for that record (he currently has 161).

Denard remains on pace to break the Michigan single-season total offense per play record, with 8.2 yards per play as of this week. The current record is held by Drew Henson, who recorded 7.9 YPP in 2000.

Quarterbacks as NCAA Rushing Champions

A quarterback has never led the NCAA FBS in rushing yards over a single season. In 1937, the first year in which the NCAA kept official football statistics, Colorado halfback Byron "Whizzer" White led the nation in rushing with 1,121 yards, along with 475 passing yards. (If that wasn't enough, White also went to Oxford on a Rhodes Scholarship, played in the NFL for Pittsburgh and Detroit, served in World War II during which he was awarded two Bronze Stars, came back and graduated from Yale Law School, and was appointed by John F. Kennedy to the Supreme Court of the United States.)

This year, Denard could become the first quarterback in history to finish the season as the NCAA rushing champion (by yards gained). He currently has gained 1,538 yards on the ground. However, LaMichael James of Oregon is 116 yards behind with one extra game to play.

On a yards-per-game basis, James is in first place with 158.0 (Denard has fallen to third with 139.8, behind James and Connecticut's Jordan Todman). Personally, I find the YPG statistic to be arbitrary: should Denard be punished because the Bowling Green game was a rout, and LaMichael James be rewarded because he was suspended for one game for pleading guilty to harrassing his ex-girlfriend? FWIW, on a yards-per-carry basis, Denard is still ahead of James.

Here are the top 5 rushers in the country, sorted by yards gained:

Player Team Carries Yards YPC Games YPG TD
Denard Robinson MICH 227 1,538 6.78 11 139.8 14
Bobby Rainey W. Kentucky 313 1,492 4.77 11 135.6 13
Kendall Hunter Oklahoma St. 248 1,461 5.89 11 132.8 16
LaMichael James Oregon 225 1,422 6.32 *9 158.0 17
Mikel Leshoure Illinois 233 1,371 5.88 11 124.6 13
* - LaMichael James was suspended for Oregon's first game against 
New Mexico for pleading guilty to a misdemeanor.

Rushing Yards by a QB, Single-Game

Denard currently holds the Michigan and Big Ten records for rushing yards by a quarterback in a single game: 258 vs. Notre Dame. The NCAA FBS record is 308, on 22 attempts, by Stacey Robinson of Northern Illinois, against Fresno State, on Oct. 6, 1990. 

Rushing Yards by a QB, Single-Season

Denard currently has 1,538 rushing yards in 11 games. This projects to 1,818 over a 13-game schedule. He owns the NCAA FBS (I-A) record, previously set by Beau Morgan of Air Force in 1996 with 1,494 yards. The Big Ten record was previously in the hands of Antwaan Randle-El in 2000 with 1,270 yards. Denard has destroyed the previous Michigan record for QB rushing yards in a season: 674 by Steve Smith in 1981.

Before you get too overwhelmed by all the numbers in this diary, just stop and think about that for a minute. Denard Robinson, your starting Michigan quarterback, playing before your very eyes, is on pace to almost triple a Michigan rushing record. And not just any record, but one that has stood for three decades. Even if you account for the fact that we're playing a very different style of football now—it's just incredible.

Rushing Yards by a QB, Career

There's no point in projecting Denard's career rushing totals, since we don't even know how he'll do this year (or if his knee will hold up), nor if he will stay for his senior season. But here are the records:

Michigan's career record is held by Rick Leach (1975-1978) at 2,176 yards: a record Denard will break this year, at his current pace. Denard needs to average 144 rushing yards a game to take this title. (Guys like Leach and Steve Smith must salivate at what they could have done in the offense of Comrade Rodriguez.) The Big Ten record is Antwaan Randel El's (1998-2001) at 3,895 yards. The NCAA FBS record is held by Pat White (2005-2008) at 4,480 yards.

The NCAA FBS per-game career record is 109.1 yards by Stacey Robinson of Northern Illinois, achieved from 1988-1990 over 25 games.

Rushing Records (At Any Position)

For a single game, the Michigan record is 347 by Ron Johnson in 1968 against Wisconsin; the Big Ten record is 377 by Anthony Thompson of Indiana in 1989 against Wisconsin; the NCAA FBS record is 406 by LaDainian Tomlinson of TCU in 1999 against UTEP.

For a single season, the Michigan record is 1,818 yards (Tshimanga Biakabutuka, 1995); the Big Ten record is 2,087 yards (Larry Johnson, Penn St., 2002); the NCAA FBS record is 2,628 yards (Barry Sanders, Oklahoma State, 1988). Denard can break Touchdown Tim's Michigan record by averaging 140 yards per game over the rest of the season.

That Barry Sanders record will be around for a long time. At one point, Denard was on pace to break Larry Johnson's Big Ten rushing record, but he has slowed down as the schedule has gotten tougher, and that record now looks out of reach for this year.

For a career, the Michigan record is held by Mike Hart (5,040 yards, 2004-2007); the Big Ten record is held by Ron Dayne (7,125 yards, 1996-1999); the NCAA FBS record is also held by Ron Dayne, but they list it as 6,397 yards. (Herschel Walker of Georgia holds the record for a 3-year career at 5,259 yards, set from 1980-1982.)

The 200/200 Club

Much has been made of the fact that Denard is the only player in FBS history to gain 200 yards rushing and 200 yards passing twice in regular-season games. To me this is a silly distinction—who cares if it was done in the regular season or a bowl game? If anything, Vince Young's performance in the 2005 Rose Bowl against USC is even more remarkable, given that that USC team is considered one of the most dominant teams of the modern era. Wake me up when Denard gets his third 200/200 game. (He did go for 191/190 against Penn State.)

Anyway, here are the 200/200 games listed in the NCAA record book, sorted by total offense. You'll note that Denard is the only member of the 240/240 club, and Marques Tuiasosopo is the only member of the 200/300 club.

Player Team (Opponent) Year Rushing Passing Total Off.
Marques Tuiasosopo Washington (Stanford) 1999 207 302 509
Vince Young Texas (Oklahoma St.) 2005 267 239 506
Denard Robinson MICH (Notre Dame) 2010 258 244 502
Denard Robinson MICH (Indiana) 2010 217 277 494
Reds Bagnell Penn (Dartmouth) 1950 214 276 490
Brad Smith Missouri (Nebraska) 2005 246 234 480
Brian Mitchell La.-Lafayette (Colo. St.) 1987 271 205 476
Antwaan Randle-El Indiana (Minnesota) 2000 210 263 473
Vince Young Texas (USC Rose Bowl) 2005 200 267 467
Patrick White W. Va. (Pittsburgh) 2006 220 204 424
Steve Gage Tulsa (New Mexico) 1986 212 209 421

The 1500/1500 Club

There is one quarterback in major college football history who has both rushed and passed for 1,500 yards in the same season.

Player Team Year Rushing Passing Total Off.
Denard Robinson MICH 2010 1,538 2,229 3,767

The 1000/1000 Club

There are 30 quarterbacks (and one halfback, Johnny Bright of Drake) in FBS who have run and thrown for 1000 yards in the same season. Of these, none have both run and passed for 1500 yards (the rushing record for QBs is 1,223).

Seven quarterbacks have achieved this milestone multiple times: Brad Smith (thrice), Colin Kaepernick (twice and counting), Vince Young (twice), Pat White (twice), Beau Morgan (twice), Joe Webb (twice), and Joshua Cribbs (twice). Only two people have joined the 1000/1000 club as freshmen: Brad Smith of Missouri, and Joshua Cribbs of Kent State. Air Force leads the overall list with five different QBs, in six different seasons, in the 1000/1000 club. (It is interesting that an instrument of American capitalist imperialism, the U.S. Air Force Academy, is the premier exponent of communist football.)

The list below of 1000/1000 members is sorted this list by rushing yards. I've also added 2010 season totals for Cam Newton, Taylor Martinez, and Colin Kaepernick, three dual-threat quarterbacks who are likely to surpass 1000/1000 this year (Kaepernick already did so in 2008 and 2009, and Newton already has for 2010). Newton is also likely to join Denard as a 1500-yard rusher.

Player Team Year Rushing Passing Total Off.
Dilithium (on pace for) MICH 2010 1,818 2,634 4,452
Newton (on pace for) Auburn 2010 1,651 2,594 4,245
Denard Robinson MICH 2010 1,538 2,229 3,767
Beau Morgan** Air Force 1996 1,494 1,210 2,704
Joe Webb UAB 2009 1,427 2,229 3,726
Jammal Lord Nebraska 2002 1,412 1,362 2,774
Brad Smith Missouri 2003 1,406 1,977 3,383
Chris McCoy Navy 1997 1,370 1,203 2,573
Patrick White W. Virginia 2007 1,335 1,724 3,059
Brian Mitchell La.-Lafayette 1989 1,311 1,966 3,277
Brad Smith Missouri 2005 1,301 2,304 3,605
Cameron Newton Auburn 2010 1,297 2,038 3,335
Dee Dowis Air Force 1989 1,286 1,285 2,571
Beau Morgan Air Force 1995 1,285 1,165 2,450
Antwaan Randle El* Indiana 2000 1,270 1,783 3,053
Johnny Bright (HB) Drake 1950 1,232 1,168 2,400
Chance Herridge Air Force 2002 1,229 1,062 2,291
Patrick White W. Virginia 2006 1,219 1,655 2,874
Keith Boyea Air Force 2001 1,216 1,253 2,469
Ricky Dobbs Navy 2009 1,203 1,031 2,234
Colin Kaepernick Nevada 2009 1,183 2,052 3,235
Dwight Dasher Middle Tenn. 2009 1,154 2,789 3,943
Michael Desormeaux La.-Lafayette 2007 1,141 1,405 2,546
Colin Kaepernick Nevada 2008 1,130 2,849 3,979
Dan LeFevour Central Mich. 2007 1,122 3,652 4,774
Eric Crouch Nebraska 2001 1,115 1,510 2,625
Craig Candeto Navy 2003 1,112 1,140 2,252
Scott Frost Nebraska 1997 1,095 1,237 2,332
Michael Carter Hawaii 1991 1,092 1,172 2,264
Vince Young Texas 2004 1,079 1,849 2,928
Joshua Cribbs Kent State 2002 1,057 1,014 2,071
Vince Young Texas 2005 1,050 3,036 4,086
Josh Nesbitt Ga. Tech 2009 1,037 1,701 2,738
Bart Weiss Air Force 1985 1,032 1,449 2,481
Ell Roberson Kansas St. 2002 1,032 1,580 2,612
Brad Smith (Fr.) Missouri 2002 1,029 2,333 3,362
Joe Webb UAB 2008 1,021 2,367 3,388
Joshua Cribbs (Fr.) Kent State 2001 1,019 1,516 2,535
Reggie Collier So. Miss. 1981 1,005 1,004 2,009
Darian Hagan Colorado 1989 1,004 1,002 2,006
Woodrow Dantzler Clemson 2001 1,004 2,360 3,364
Colin Kaepernick Nevada 2010 981 2,412 3,393
Taylor Martinez Nebraska 2010 974 1,435 2,409
* Previous Big Ten record for rushing yards by a quarterback
** Previous NCAA FBS (I-AA) record for rushing yards by a QB

Total Offense

Denard already owns the Michigan single-game total offense record (502 yards against Notre Dame). In fact, Denard has broken the old Michigan single-game total offense record four times this year, with games of 502, 494, 383, and 381 yards. (The previous record was 368 by John Navarre against Iowa in 2003.) Against Illinois and Wisconsin, Denard almost broke this record again, gaining 367 and 360 yards respectively: giving him six of the seven highest totals in Michigan history.

Player Opponent Year Rushing Passing Total Off.
Denard Robinson Notre Dame 2010 258 244 502
Denard Robinson Indiana 2010 217 277 494
Denard Robinson Connecticut 2010 197 186 383
Denard Robinson Penn State 2010 191 190 381
John Navarre Iowa 2003 -21 389 368
Denard Robinson Illinois 2010 62 305 367
Denard Robinson Wisconsin 2010 121 239 360
Scott Dreisbach Virginia 1995 -14 372 358

As noted above, Denard is also on pace to annihilate John Navarre's single-season total offense record of 3,240 in 2003 (Denard has 3,767 as of today, and projects to an astounding 4,452 yards over 13 games).

The Big Ten single-game total offense record is 585 yards by Dave Wilson of Illinois, vs. Ohio State in 1980. The Big Ten single-season total offense record is 4,189 yards by Drew Brees of Purdue in 2000, which is well within Denard's reach. Denard has to average 211 yards of total offense in his remaining games to pass Brees; he is currently averaging 343.

The NCAA total offense records are dominated by prolific passers. Those records appear to be unattainable by Denard: 732 yards for a single game (David Klingler, Houston vs. Arizona State, 1990); 5,976 for a season (B.J. Symons, Texas Tech, 2003); 16,910 for a career (Timmy Chang, Hawaii, 2000-2004).

Total Offense Per Play

As with total offense records, these will be tough for Denard to keep pace with, and his performances against Big Ten opponents have left him further behind the pace. Through Saturday, Denard has 3,767 yards of total offense in 459 plays, for an average of 8.2. This would be a Michigan single-season record: the current record is held by Drew Henson, who in 2000 gained 2,140 yards on 270 plays for an average of 7.9.

Here are the NCAA FBS records for a single game: 14.3 by Jason Martin (La. Tech vs. Toledo, 1996) in 37 plays and 9.9 by David Klingler (Houston vs. TCU, 1990) in 63 plays. Denard came pretty close to Martin in the Indiana game, where in 35 plays he averaged 14.1 yards per play (which is almost certainly a Michigan and quite likely a Big Ten record):

Denard Robinson Attempts + Carries Total Offense Yards per Play
Connecticut 51 383 7.51
Notre Dame 68 502 7.38
Massachusetts 31 345 11.13
Bowling Green 9 189 21.00
Indiana 35 494 14.11
Michigan State 50 301 6.02
Iowa 36 201 5.58
Penn State 50 381 7.62
Illinois 39 367 9.41
Purdue 43 244 5.67
Wisconsin 47 360 7.66
TOTAL 459 3,767 8.21
NCAA Records Attempts + Carries Total Offense Yards per Play
Game: Jason Martin (La. Tech vs. Toledo, 1996) 37 529 14.30
Game: David Klingler (Houston vs. TCU, 1990) 63 625 9.92
Season: Colt Brennan (Hawaii, 2006) 645 5,915 9.17
Career: Sam Bradford (Oklahoma, 2007-09) 970 8,439 8.70

As you can see in the table, for a single season (minimum 3,000 yards), the record is 9.2 by Colt Brennan (Hawaii, 2006). For a career (minimum 7,500 yards) it's 8.7 by Sam Bradford (Oklahoma, 2007-2009).

Passing Efficiency

Passing efficiency is a statistic that rewards quarterbacks for yards, touchdowns, and completions per attempt, and punishes them for interceptions per attempt. The NCAA formula, which differs from the NFL one, is:

(8.4 * yards) + (330 * TDs) - (200 * INTs) + (100 * completions)
________________________________________________________________

attempts

Denard's 2010 passing efficiency is currently 158.2; his career efficiency (including last year) is 150.4, which would be a Michigan record if he keeps that pace. Here are Michigan's pass efficiency records:

  • Highest efficiency rating, season (min. 100 attempts): 173.3 (Bob Chappuis, 1947) (Denard is at 158.2, good for 6th all-time)
  • Highest efficiency rating, career (min. 200 attempts): 148.1 (Elvis Grbac, 1989-1992) (Denard is at 150.4 for his career, good for 1st all-time and on pace for 3rd all-time in the Big Ten)

Bob Chappuis' Michigan single-season mark is also the Big Ten single-season record. Ricky Stanzi and Terrelle Pryor are challenging that record this year, with ratings of 163.2 and 158.6, respectively, good for 3rd and 5th all-time. The NCAA FBS pass efficiency record belongs to Colt Brennan of Hawaii, who reached 186.0 in 2006: out of Denard's reach.

Other Michigan Passing Records

At the end of 2009, here were some of the other Michigan passing records. Denard could break some of the completion percentage records (Tate broke one as well):

  • Highest completion percentage, game (min. 10 attempts): 92.3% (Jim Harbaugh, vs. Purdue, 1985, 13 attempts) (Broken by Tate Forcier, 100% in 12 attempts, vs. Bowling Green)
  • Highest completion percentage, game (min. 20 attempts): 90.9% (Elvis Grbac, vs. Notre Dame, 1991, 22 attempts) (Denard is 2nd with 86.3% on 22 attempts vs. Connecticut)
  • Highest completion percentage, season (min. 100 attempts): 65.3% (Todd Collins, 1992) (Denard is at 63.4%, 8th all-time)
  • Highest completion percentage, career (min. 200 attempts): 64.3% (Todd Collins, 1991-1994) (Denard is at 61.2% with 232 attempts, on pace for 5th all-time)
  • Yards per completion, game (min. 5 completions): Rick Leach, 36.3 vs. Purdue, 1975 (Denard's best is 30.5 with 10 completions vs. Illinois, good for 3rd all-time)
  • Yards per completion, game (min. 10 completions): Jim Harbaugh, 30.0 vs. Indiana, 1986 (Broken by Denard Robinson, 30.5 YPC vs. Illinois with 10 completions)
  • Yards per completion, season (min. 60 completions): Bob Chappuis, 18.8, 1947 (Denard is at 15.2, on pace for 6th all-time)
  • Yards per completion, career (min. 120 completions): Rick Leach, 17.1, 1975-1978 (Denard is at 15.0, tied for 6th all-time)

Other Michigan Rushing Records

At the end of 2009, here were the other relevant Michigan rushing records. On average yards per carry, he owns one of the single-game records Michigan tracks, but is surprisingly far from the other ones (not that that couldn't change in a hurry). The single-season and career records are within reach:

  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 5 carries): 25.80, Denard Robinson vs. Bowling Green (previous record was Leroy Hoard, 18.28 ypc vs. Indiana, 1988)
  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 10 carries): 18.00, Rob Lytle vs. MSU, 1976 (Denard: 11.42 vs. Indiana on 19 carries)
  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 15 carries): 15.70, Tyrone Wheatley vs. Washington, 1993 Rose Bowl (Denard: 11.42 vs. Indiana on 19 carries)
  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 20 carries): 11.19, Ron Johnson vs. Wisconsin, 1968 (Denard: 9.21 vs. Notre Dame on 28 carries)
  • Average gain per rush, single-season (min. 75 carries): 7.34, Tyrone Wheatley, 1992 (Denard 2010: 6.00, outside of the top ten)
  • Average gain per rush, career (min. 200 carries): 6.29, Jon Vaughn, 1989-1990 (Denard: 6.38 on 296 carries)
  • 100-yard rushing games, season: 10, Jamie Morris, 1987 (Denard has 8)
  • 150-yard rushing games, season: 6, Anthony Thomas, 2000 (Denard has 4)
  • 200-yard rushing games, season: 3, Mike Hart, 2004 (Denard has 2)

Also, Denard is one of 5 quarterbacks in NCAA history to record 5 consecutive 100-yard rushing games (the others are Ricky Dobbs of Navy in 2009, Joe Webb of Alabama-Birmingham in 2009, Brian Madden of Navy in 1999, and Beau Morgan of Air Force in 1995). No one has done it 6 times in a row.

Team Offense

Did you know that Michigan is averaging 514.6 yards per game in total offense, higher than any other team in Big Ten history? (Second place belongs to Penn State's 1994 team, which averaged 512.7 yards per game.) If you take out the 72 extra yards Michigan gained in the three overtimes against Illinois, Michigan is averaging 508.1 yards per game, which would be second all-time.

This year's team is on pace to demolish the old Michigan total offense record of 466.9, set in 1992, when Gary Moeller roamed the sidelines, barking orders to Elvis Grbac, Desmond Howard, and Tyrone Wheatley.

Big Ten All-Time Leaders Year YPG (Total Offense)
1. MICH (including overtime) 2010 514.6
1. Penn State 1994 512.7
2. MICH (regulation only) 2010 508.1
3. Northwestern 2005 500.3
4. Ohio State 1998 497.6
5. Michigan State 2005 497.3
6. Minnesota 2005 494.8
7. Minnesota 2003 494.6
8. Ohio State 1974 493.2
9. Ohio State 1996 490.4
10. Michigan State 1978 481.3
11. Ohio State 1995 478.6
     
Michigan All-Time Leaders (QB/WR/RB) Year YPG (Total Offense)
1. Robinson / Roundtree / Smith (regulation) 2010 508.1
2. Grbac / Howard / Wheatley 1992 466.9
3. Navarre / Edwards / Perry 2003 446.7
4. Henson / Terrell / Thomas 2000 446.1
5. Grbac / Howard / Vaughn 1990 432.5

In terms of scoring offense, Michigan is averaging 34.8 points per game in regulation (36.8 points per game including the overtime scoring), good for 10th all-time in Michigan history (9th if you count OT points). This is all the more remarkable given that our terrible placekicking and team defense give the offense poor field position and missed field goals.

Year 1902 1904 1901 1903 1947 1905 1976 1992 2003 *2010
PPG 58.5 56.7 50.5 47.1 39.4 38.1 36.0 35.9 35.4 34.8
* - Excludes points scored in overtime

The Fielding Yost "point-a-minute" teams averaged 50.5, 58.5, 47.1, 56.7, and 38.1 points per game from 1901 to 1905. Fritz Crisler's 1947 national championship team of Bob Chappuis and Bump Elliott, nicknamed the "Mad Magicians," averaged 39.4. (The official Michigan record book erroneously lists the 1947 average as second-highest in school history; it is missing the performances of 1901, 1903, 1904, and 1905.)

Dynamic offenses have been few and far between in the postwar era. The 1976 Bo Schembechler team, led by Rick Leach and Rob Lytle, scored 36.0 points per game, and owns the rushing season record with 345.3 yards per game. The aforementioned 1992 team averaged 35.9 points; and the 2003 team averaged 35.4.

Here are some other impressive stats:

  • Michigan is averaging 7.1 yards per play, which is most all-time in Michigan history (the existing record is 6.4 yards, in 1992 and 1947).
  • Michigan is averaging 257.4 rushing yards per game (inclusive of OT; 254.7 regulation-only). (The Big Ten record is 349.9 in 1974 by Ohio State; the Michigan record is 345.3 in 1976.)
  • Michigan is averaging 5.8 yards per carry, second-highest in Michigan history (the current record is 5.9 per carry in 1976).
  • Michigan is averaging 257.2 passing yards per game (inclusive; 253.4 regulation-only), 3rd all-time in Michigan history. (The record is 270.8 in 2003.)
  • Michigan is averaging 23.9 first downs per game (inclusive; 23.6 regulation-only), tied for highest in Michigan history. (The current record is 23.9 in 2003.) Over 13 games, this would be the fifth-highest total in Big Ten history (6th using regulation numbers).

Miscellaneous Records

As most of you know, against Illinois, Roy Roundtree destroyed a 44-year-old Michigan single-game receiving record, by gaining 246 yards (on 9 catches with 2 TDs). The old record was set in 1966, when Jack Clancy gained 197 yards against Oregon State. (Roundtree's mark wouldn't even make the top ten all-time in the Big Ten: the Big Ten record is 301 by Chris Daniels of Purdue against MSU in 1999; the NCAA record is 405 by Troy Edwards of Louisiana Tech against Nebraska in 1998.)

Standard Disclaimers

  • Wins are more important than stats. The existence of this diary is not meant to imply that individual achievement is more important than the achievement of the team. It is, instead, to pay tribute to Denard's exceptional individual achievement within the context of a (hopefully) successful team. With a few minor exceptions, Denard's stats don't come at the expense of the team: when he rushes for 250 yards or has a QB rating of 270, the team is usually doing well. If you object to this point of view, you don't have to read further.
  • Past performance is not a predictor of future results. To the degree I describe end-of-season projections for Denard, I do so simply, rather than Mathletically: (current total) * (13-game season) / (games played to date). Denard's numbers may come down against stronger defenses, but he played quite well against Iowa and Illinois, two statistically strong defenses, so we'll see.
  • Projections are for a 13-game season. Beginning in 2002, the NCAA revised its single-season and career records to include postseason games. Michigan, with its defeat of the Illini, is set to go to a bowl game this year.
  • The quarterback position has evolved significantly. The forward pass was only formally legalized in 1906. From the 1910s until the 1950s, the most common college football formation was Pop Warner's single-wing, in which the quarterback's role was primarily as a blocker, and most passes were thrown by a tailback or halfback. The idea of a quarterback as the primary passer began to take hold after World War II, when coaches such as Clark Shaughnessy at Chicago and Stanford and Paul Brown at Ohio State took advantage of a recently redesigned football that was easier to throw, and married the ancient T formation to the threat of longer passes downfield.
  • The record books are murky from 1869 to 1937. Something to keep in mind is that the record books don't actually go back that far in time. At the national level, official statistics have only been recorded since 1937: a mere 52 percent of college football's history. Indeed, the first rules for compiling football statistics were formulated prior to the 1941 season by an NCAA committee headed by Fielding Yost. (College football has been around since 1869.) One has to assume that Yost's point-a-minute teams would have harbored some record-producing players, though the game was quite different then, as noted above. So, to be as precise as possible, we should describe all of these records as modern-era, postwar records.
  • Post-1978 records are for Division I-A only. Let me note that all the records here are for Division I-A (FBS), but do include all Division I records prior to the I-A / I-AA split in 1978. I don't really care about who did what in the other divisions, given the inferior level of competition. Personally, I would prefer to eliminate the non-automatically qualifying BCS conferences, but since the NCAA doesn't do that, I won't.
  • Post-1996 overtime and pre-1912 scoring rules skew historical comparisons. The NCAA introduced overtime to I-A football in 1996, and soon after determined that points and yards gained in overtime would count toward NCAA records. Given that teams and players did not have the benefit of overtime prior to 1996, I try wherever possible to exclude overtime stats (or at least give both sets of numbers). The modern convention of TDs worth 6 points (+1 PAT) and FGs worth 3 began in 1912. From 1869 to 1882, touchdowns, extra points, and field goals were all worth one point each. From 1882-1883, TDs were worth 2, PATs 4, and FGs 5; from 1884-1897, TDs 4, PATs 2, FGs 5; from 1898-1903, TDs 5, PATs 1, FGs 5; from 1904-1908, TDs 5, PATs 1, FGs 4; from 1901-1911, TDs 5, PATs 1, FGs 3. The two-point conversion was introduced in 1958. I currently don't have the breakdown of TDs, PATs, and FGs for the Yost teams; if anyone else does, I would be pleased to adjust those numbers accordingly so as to make apples-to-apples comparisons with modern teams. The rules of college football evolved rapidly from 1879 to 1930, making strict comparisons difficult. For example, the goal posts were moved from the goal line to the end line (10 yards back of the goal line) only in 1927, which has a huge impact on field goal kicking, and the width of the uprights has varied significantly over time.

Acknowledgments

Thanks to tf (Michigan rushing single-game record) and danieljpaul (Denard's season totals) for corrections. H/T to tubauberalles and enlightenedbum for tracking down the FBS single-game QB rushing record. Raoul and UM in VA persuaded me to post the total offense numbers, and pointed out Denard's ridiculous per-play stats, which I also added to the diary. Trebor pointed out that we should keep an eye on the impressive seasons of Taylor Martinez and Cam Newton. U of M in TX helped identify a few updating errors. Raoul also suggested putting in the team offense stats. Hillhaus pointed out that I should discuss the pre-1912 scoring conventions.

Trick Plays for OSU

Trick Plays for OSU

Submitted by UM2k1 on November 22nd, 2010 at 2:47 PM

No, this is not another stoopid "lets have Lewan and Robinson line up in backfield as QB and put Denard at slot..." threads.  I have a trick play guaranteed to work for the OSU game...and it has nothing to do with the offense.

Let's play 17 people on defense.  We could have 4 linemen, 4 linebackers, 3 deep safeties and 6 cb (over-under double of all their receivers).  I think we could hold them to few enough points to mak the game interesting.

 

/s

TVHWeekly: Jack Tabb & Kris Frost Visits, More

TVHWeekly: Jack Tabb & Kris Frost Visits, More

Submitted by TomVH on November 22nd, 2010 at 2:38 PM

Michigan's loss this weekend was tough for fans, but it didn't seem to affect how the visiting recruits perceived Michigan's program. Here's their reaction with a few extras as usual.

Jack TabbJack Tabb

6'4", 230 lbs.

Tight End

Red Bank, New Jersey


Michigan has been trying to land a tight end in this class for some time now. They missed on a few, and have now targeted Tabb as their guy. This was Jack's second time to Michigan, but first for an actual game.

It was a great visit. The game was as good as you could dream of. 110,000 people, it was absolutely wild. It was a real cool environment, besides the loss, but I felt really comfortable with everyone there.

Tabb's mom was with him on his visit, and she seemed to have the same feelings as her son about the overall experience at Michigan.

Mom really liked it. She liked everything, how it was the total package. I talked to the coaches, and Rich Rodriguez told us how he really me, needs me at tight end, and that there's an opportunity to play early.

Tabb will visit North Carolina on December 3rd and may go to Arkansas after that. He's already been to Iowa. He is going to make his decision before Christmas, so this visit was big for Michigan. If I had to guess, I would say that this visit may have put Michigan in the lead.

Kris FrostKris Frost

6'3", 210 lbs.

Athlete

Matthews, North Carolina


Kris Frost has been open about his love for Michigan. I've been in close contact with Frost, and have a good picture of his recruitment, and how it will play out. This visit was instrumental for Michigan. Since Auburn is closer, he's been able to take more visits, and has allowed them to gain quit a bit of ground on Michigan lately. He said this before the visit this weekend.

I'm excited for the visit to Michigan, because I want to see what it's like up there for the game. Auburn is making it really hard for me. Every time I go down there they show me a great time, and they showed me how I would fit in. So this visit to Michigan is going to be big for me.

I didn't get to talk to Kris in depth last night after his visit since he was traveling. We have a phone call scheduled for later today, and I can get you the full details after that. He did have this to say so far, though.

The visit was great, it was basically what I was hoping for. I'm still planning on going to LSU and Cal, then making my decision at the Army game.

I'll have more quotes and better detail later today. He obviously didn't commit, but this visit was a big help for Michigan. He has told me that he is watching the NCAA situation at Auburn very closely.

Ryan PetroRyan Petro

6'3", 210 lbs.

Linebacker

Winter Springs, Florida


Petro was recently added to Michigan's radar but hasn't been offered yet. He took an unofficial trip up to Ann Arbor this weekend and was blown away by the experience.

It was my first trip to any college game. It was crazy going to the biggest stadium in the country. Even if I go anywhere else, I don't think anywhere can compare to that. It was a lot more than I expected. The noise from everyone, people cheering, it was amazing.

Ryan plans to come back to Michigan for an official visit in December. The visit isn't set in stone yet, but will most likely be December 10th, for the Big Chill.

I loved the visit. The coaches were great, Mike Barwis was amazing. Everyone was really laid back and easy to talk to. The facilities were amazing, too. If they were to offer me, I would probably commit after what I saw this weekend.

Petro may have to wait to receiver his offer depending on how other recruits Michigan is targeting make their decisions. Either way, the coaches do like his athleticism, and have told him he has the potential to play the hybrid linebacker/safety role.

Devin LucienDevin Lucien

6'1", 189 lbs.

Wide Receiver

Encino, California


Devin recently received an offer from Michigan, and was excited to receive the news. The four star receiver said that Michigan was one of his favorite programs, and was glad the offer came through.

I will be visiting Michigan for sure, it just depends on when my season ends. We're still in the playoffs, so I'm not too sure. Michigan is in my top five though. I'm not ready to say who's in the top five besides them, but they're in it.

Sammy Watkins committed to Clemson today, which was a surprise to me. I knew he was announcing soon, but didn't think it would be for Clemson. This offer to Lucien makes sense in that light, although I still think something happened with Watkins. Nonetheless the coaches are very high on Lucien and told him how they felt:

The coaches just told me that I was a great receiver, and they like the way I play the game. They think that Michigan is a great fit for me, and I do too.

Lucien isn't going to make his decision until signing day, so there's no hurry to get him on campus. I'm sure the staff would like to get him in for the Big Chill on December 10th.

Extra:

  • Michigan running back Justice Hayes has opened up his recruitment, and decommitted from Notre Dame. He says Michigan, Tennessee, and Notre Dame are in it, but I believe that Tennessee is the main school he's looking at. He and Demetrius Hart are similar runners.
  • Glenville teammates QB Cardale Jones and WR Shane Wynn are planning on visiting Michigan. Wynn said, "I'm definitely taking a visit there." 
  • Wide receiver Sammy Watkins committed to Clemson. I still think something happened to change his mind or that it was so close and ultimately decided for Clemson. I'm going to find out if this is over or if he still plans on visiting with Dallas after the playoffs.

Best Buckeye Insult of MGoBlog Ever.

Best Buckeye Insult of MGoBlog Ever.

Submitted by formerlyanonymous on November 22nd, 2010 at 2:09 PM

Luke, aka @worstfan, over at Eleven Warriors does his best summary of mgoblog:

 "As long as you hate, there will be people to hate" MGoBlog is a superb site we often pay lip service to what with their being the model for most other individual team blogs to aspire towards. Seeing as this is the one week where their and our content respectively may have overlap, I figure why not jump over and check and see what wisdom they have to impart on us Buckeyes:

Yikes. It's just like USA Today.

We're NERDS! But in all fun... AND ALL HATE... 11W is a good site. Luke's a good guy.

HIS SCHOOL FUCKING SUCKS.