What is NCAA Timetable on Ohio Report?

What is NCAA Timetable on Ohio Report?

Submitted by StephenRKass on November 1st, 2011 at 11:28 PM

So, I'm ready for my next fix of NCAA induced Ohio pain. Obviously, something will happen. The question is when. We could have a statement of findings:

  • between now and the end of the regular season
  • between the end of the season and the bowl
  • in the beginning of the new year
  • after national signing day

I'd be interested to know if all of these potential dates are still on the table. Secondarily, I'm speculating on what would benefit Michigan the most and hurt Ohio the most. To some degree, having info come dribbling out from the NCAA every 3 - 5 weeks has been glorious. The best scenario I can see is a report right after a (lower level) bowl game, announcing sanctions including a bowl ban of a year (better, two) and the loss of scholarships. This would take away the option of not going bowling this year, and potentially bring Dunn into the MIchigan fold.

At the other end of the spectrum is a complete exoneration of Ohio, announced soon, such that there are no bowl bans and no scholarship losses.

The wild card would be for yet more new information to come out, conclusively establishing the dreaded LOIC and bringing the most significant and severe sanctions.

Anyone have real knowlege of what can be expected?

2012 Scholarship Numbers

2012 Scholarship Numbers

Submitted by Marley Nowell on November 1st, 2011 at 10:57 PM
                         MICHIGAN FOOTBALL DEPTH BY CLASS                          
Position   # 

Freshmen
(c/o 2016)

Sophomores
(c/o 2015)
Juniors
(c/o 2014)
Seniors
(c/o 2013)
QB

3

R. Bellomy*

D. Gardner*   D. Robinson
RB

6

J. Hayes*

T. Rawls

F. Toussaint*
S. Hopkins
M. Cox*
V. Smith
WR 3


 

J. Robinson*

J. Jackson D. Stonum*
Slot 4

 

  J. Gallon*
D. Dileo
R. Roundtree*
T. Robinson*
TE 2  

R. Miller*

  B. Moore*
OT 2  

 

M. Schofield*
T. Lewan*
 
OG 4 C. Bryant*  

 

 

P. Omameh*
R. Barnum*
E. Mealer*
C 2 J. Miller*

 

 

R. Khoury*
DT

4

 

R. Ash*
K. Wilkens*

Q. Washington*

W. Campbell

DE 5 C. Rock*
K. Heitzman*

B. Beyer

 

J. Black

 

C. Roh
LB

10

A. Poole*

J. Ryan*

J. Paskorz*

D. Morgan

F. Clark

I. Bell*

C.Gordon*

M. Jones*

K. Demens*

B. Hawthorne

CB

6

D. Hollowell*
R. Taylor*

B. Countess C. Avery
T. Talbott
J.T. Floyd*
SS 3

T. Carter*

 

M. Robinson

J.Kovacs*
FS 2  

J. Furman*

T. Gordon*  
P/K 3   M. Wile B. Gibbons*
W. Hagerup
 

 

SCHOLARSHIP COUNT: 59

Current Commits: 23

Unrenewed 5th Years: 1 (M. Cox)

Transfer: 1 (?)

 

OPEN SLOTS: 5

 

GO BLUE!

ACE: Shaq Thompson Taking Official Visit to Michigan

ACE: Shaq Thompson Taking Official Visit to Michigan

Submitted by Ace on November 1st, 2011 at 10:48 PM

I just chatted with five-star CA S Shaq Thompson on Twitter, and he confirmed to me that he'll be taking an official visit to Michigan. Thompson is the top safety in the country and the #12 player overall on Rivals, so this is obviously huge news. Still waiting to hear back from him about which weekend he's visiting (it's either Nebraska or OSU, obviously, and I'm guessing it's the latter), and I'll let you know when I find that out.

Purdue game wrap (with pics!)

Purdue game wrap (with pics!)

Submitted by SFBayAreaBlue on November 1st, 2011 at 7:17 PM

Maybe it won't be like last time...

 

(edit: Embed fail http://youtu.be/Qpux-Drk6EY?t=37s)

And even if it is, maybe that's not such a bad thing. Ok? ... Ok.

There was something rather familiar about Saturdays' game against Purdue. For the first time in a long time, that felt like "Michigan fergodsakes!" There was just something about the way we dominated and put the game away.  It brought back my idealized memories of how Michigan would roll over the rabble of the big ten in year's past.

I enrolled at Michigan in the fall of 1995, Lloyd Carr's first year. And of the 40 odd games that I've attended in person, all but 2 were under his direction.  

This wasn't cupcake nonconference, this wasn't baby seal U, this wasn't even one of the worst Minnesota teams in the last half century.  This was a normal, lower tier big ten team that was coming off a victory over a previously ranked team.  And they had maybe 4 or 5 good plays against us all game.  (the screen TD, Denard's INT, the transcontinental to Siller, and maybe you count the final TD and their QB scramble).  

The game wasn't as close as the score.  Take away their garbage time TD, and give us another 11 points if we execute a little better on the goal line and we're talking about a 40 point blow out.  

But it's not just the score that made me reminisce on the Lloyd days. It was the way we did it; we just had better athletes.  And we used that advantage to make  the game boring.  Even though the lead was only 3 possessions, by the middle of the 3rd quarter there was absolutely no drama left that we might blow the game.  And it's been a long time since I've felt that way when we've played a bigten team.  I guess the Minnesota game didn't make me feel that because they didn't feel like a bigten team, and we were still scoring points. By the time the 4th quarter started on Saturday,  I was thinking we'd only get 2 more possessions since we were grinding the clock out so fast.  

I actually fell asleep before the game finished, (granted that was about 4 am local time and my BAC was significant).  When I woke up, I had the rest of the day to ponder, 'do I like boring old Michiganfergodsakes?'

Was it really so bad?

Towards the end of the Lloyd years, we had grown accustomed to 9 and 10 win seasons and a bowl loss.  And frankly we were bored with them.  We had become frustrated with having a roster full of NFL talent that would only call dive plays once we had a double digit lead.  And then 7-5 came, and we called it "the year of infinite pain".  Oh summer child, what did we know of pain?  Little did we know that Richrod was coming.  

After the Horror, it was pretty clear that Lloyd's retirement was somewhat of a mutual split between him and the fanbase.  I freely admit that I was fed up, and wanted change.  You can count me amongst those that wanted RR to succeed.

In a way, I loved Lloyd.  I still think he's a great role model.  If I ever have a son, I would point at Lloyd as someone he should look up to. But toward's the end, I thought that his risk aversion and gameday decision making was impairing our ability to win big games.  

There's been a lot of harsh words directed at Lloyd in light of the revelations in John Bacon's book.  I don't believe he acted maliciously. I hope not, anyway. I just think Lloyd was just being Lloyd.  He never liked the spotlight, and he resented the media.  This was apparent from his first news conference (which, if anyone has video of this, I'd love to see it again) in the wake of Moeller's firing.  

I like to believe that he was just trying to be loyal to his players.  From a program perspective, that might have been a mistake.  Ok, it was definitely bad for the program.  And the program needed someone to be like Bo, to be the face of the university, to force people to work things out.  But that's not who Lloyd was, it just wasn't in his DNA.  

The details seem to get lost in history.  People forget that things started kinda shaky in '95 and '96.  We lost 4 games both years (just one less than the 'year of infinite pain').  And then came the miracle year of 97, and Lloyd could never live up to that standard again.  It's like when poor married couples go on an expensive, once in a lifetime honeymoon, all the sex after that just seems a little bit pale in comparison.  

Do we really want to go down that road again?

I admit it, I wanted the hot young model.  I think Jim Harbaugh would have been very successful as a head coach here.  He would have been fiery, and dramatic, and when we finally score 48 points on OSU, he'd have gone for 2.  But Harbaugh probably would have gotten bored with us and ran off to the pro's while he still had his looks.  So maybe it's better this way.  Maybe someday he'll get tired of that and be ready to settle into a comfy college job.  

Until then we've got Hoke.  Brady Hoke and his magical golden poop.  (From top to bottom, I can't remember the bigten ever being weaker.  Bigten teams are going to get smashed come bowl time.)  Hoke fits like a comfortable old shoe.  But he's not the old shoe.  He's not kicking field goals on 4th and inches.  He's like that old shoe, but back when it had fresh treads.  

And then I realized, it's not about da shoes.  The thing that changed was me.  I'm ready to go back to 9-3 season's again.  I'm willing to tolerate 8-4 years if they're balanced with 10-2.  I might even be able to stomach the very infrequent 7-5 year if it's offset with a couple 11-1's and 12-0's.  And I don't need last second comeback drives against Indiana to be entertained.  Saturday's stomping of Purdue was boring, and entertaining, and filled with more satisfaction than I've felt in years.

Play it again, Sam. 

So it's week 9, the 8th game of the year, and we're starting to develop some patterns.  If you were to blindfold me and make me predict what's going to happen next week, I could just think about this week and rattle off:

  • Mike Martin makes a big play
  • Craig Roh makes a mistake, but then makes a big play
  • Kovacs makes a big play
  • Jake Ryan has a mental breakdown and loses contain
  • Jake Ryan blows someone up in the backfield
  • A CB misses a tackle
  • Molk makes a great block
  • Denard has a sweet run
  • Denard has a horrible interception
  • XXXX receiver fights for a jump ball or adjusts to the under thrown bomb
  • Vincent is wide open for a throwback screen. 
  • The defense causes a couple of flukeyish takeaways. 

And you could probably run that against most of our games this year and not be very far off.  The lack of a Vincent screen and a successful jumpball against MSU could easily be blamed for the score deficit of two weeks ago.  

The major differences this week were the reverses and the excellent production from the Tailback position.  

Let's see that again. 

Bad Roh, Good Roh

I've been bitching about our lack of a bubblescreen, because it's a simple fucking play, that works.  Especially if you get a favorable matchup with personnel. 

Rohbubblescreen

On Purdue's first drive, they've got Craig Roh lined up against the slot man.  Even though he's into the boundary, he's not going to win a footrace to the sideline. 

Rohbubblescreen2

They only need 3 yards for the first down, and with the Corner playing 8 yards off, the bubble screen is a nearly automatic 5 yards unless the man in Roh's position has a lot more speed in space than Craig.  

Rohbubblescreen3

He's thinking about his flat responsibility in the zone, but what he should be thinking is that he's got to get out to that 2nd man and ignore the blocker.  

Rohbubblescreen4

JT Floyd, doesn't use his hands well enough and lets the blocker get into his body, Roh is almost in position to make a play, but he's taking a bad angle.  

Rohbubblescreen5

Defensive snapshots where more than one defender is on the ground and the ball carrier is hopping past them, are never good for the defense. Morgan is also taking a bad angle and is barely there in time to escort the WR out of bounds after a huge gain. 

But when Purdue tried to come back to it on their next drive, we played it much better.

rohbubblescreenadjust

Here's our first appearance of golden poop.  We're futzing around with flip-flopping the D-line and Roh is getting a late start.  But because he's still running to get in position when the ball is snapped, he's got momentum built up and quickly gets out on the receivers.

rohbubblescreenadjust2

This time Floyd does a better job of taking on the blocker and forcing the play back inside. 

rohbubblescreenadjust3

With Roh in position and Floyd not getting knocked on his ass, the pursuit closes off any cutbacks and the ballcarrier has no place to go.  

Mike Martin : Bruce Banner mode

The difference between a good athlete and a great football player is understanding the game. Mike Martin destroys this outside zone read because he recognizes the blocking assignments.

martinzoneread

If you haven't watched the excellent (if somewhat corny) video by fishduck, you should check it out. The RB is next to QB so this should be an outside zone play.  The O-line all slant to the wideside of the field.  If the RB can get to the corner, he should get about 7-10 yards with good blocking as everyone is accounted for except the deep safety. Martin has seen this in practice about a zillion times from the Richrod days and beats his man to the spot and gets penetration. For Oregon, this is no problem, because the cutback is just as good as the designed play.  

martinzoneread2

But Martin sees the cutback and tosses his man to the side so he can come back underneath and make the tackle.   Our LB's are actually a little slow to react and would have been in trouble if the RB had continued to bounce it outside.  

martinzoneread3

If it weren't for Martin, this play has a decent design to pick up lots of yards.  The guards are scraping off their initial reach blocks and releasing to the 2nd level.  Roh is unblocked because it's expected that the QB fake will hold him in position.  If the center and left tackle had gotten better blocks, this play gets an easy first down.  But Heimerdinger beats his block too. 

martinzoneread4

So the three of them converge to make the gang tackle.  

Mike Martin: Getting Angry...

martinsafety

On the safety, Martin had to fight through a hold to get the sack.  (and a bit of facemask)

Mike Martin: Hulk Smash! mode

Before we even get to halftime its apparent that the Boiler's can't block Martin one on one, so they keep in the RB to help out.

hulksmash

Martin uses his hands so well.  He does an outside move on the left guard and gets by him easily.

hulksmash2

The RB sees him come free and moves to pick him up.

hulksmash3

When you're a little guy, trying to block a much bigger man, they teach you to go low. 

hulksmash4

Because this is what happens if you don't go low. 

hulksmash5

You get sent airborne. 

hulksmash6

and knocked back 4 yards, (or more if those other guys hadn't been there)

hulksmash7

This other angle shows how badly off balance this guy gets knocked back.  

Bad Tackling, Good Tackling

Late in the 4th quarter, both starting cornerbacks were in the game when most other starters had left the field.  You gotta think that's partly because of a lack of depth at DB, and partly because they both weren't very great at run support or tackling.  

On the long screen for a TD, Countess was the only man with a chance to make the play, and he missed. 

RPSscreen

But I don't really blame him.  We got caught in a blitz.  This play was always going to be a touchdown unless one of the blockers completely whiffed.  

RPSscreen2

Which almost happened. Blake does a good job to slip the block. 

RPSscreen3

But the blocker had gotten just enough of him to prevent him from making the shoestring tackle.  They say football is a game of inches. There's about 6 inches standing between a 5 yard gain and a 50 yard TD. 

There's better examples of DB's (mostly Floyd) not breaking down to make the tackle, or not coming up aggressively enough in run support.  By I'd rather show them an example of what you're supposed to do.

morgankickoff

On this kickoff, Morgan does a great job of taking on the blocker

morgankickoff2

And then he disengages to make the tackle.

morgankickoff3

He hits the ball carrier right in the midsection with perfect form and wraps up and holds on until help arrives. 

I'll take "improved running game" for $100, Alex

So, it's just Purdue, but that's what I call manball. And it started with our first play from scrimmage. 

1stplay

Purdue has an alignment problem because they didn't pick up the unbalanced line.  This might be the first time we've used it extensively this year.  

1stplay2

The end is left unblocked because he has to respect Denard on the bootleg.  This is fine as long as the guy isn't fast enough to tackle Denard before he can make the handoff (like what MSU did to TSIO). So we've got two pulling lineman and a fullback giving us a huge numbers advantage on the play side.

1stplay3

We get a good kickout block, and Molk does an excellent job of peeling back to get the linebacker.  Hopkins is leading through the hole like any good fullback. 

1stplay4

Fullback is a deceptively skilled position.  You've got to be able to read the hole like a TB and then be both fast enough to get to the block, and big enough to make the block.  Here, Hopkins has to choose which of the free men to block.  If he picks the linebacker, that ensures a solid gain and puts Fitz one-on-one with the safety with room to make a move.  If he thinks the LB won't make the play then he should block the safety which often leads to long TD runs. 

1stplay5

He chooses to go after the safety, which I think is the right choice.  But without eyes in the back of his head, he doesn't realize that Fitz is making a beeline towards the sideline. 

1stplay6

So he ends up not blocking anybody. 

1stplay7

And he knows he's got to hit SOMEBODY.  That coulda been a TD.(probably not, as the WR didn't sustain his block). 

To the house!

So, did Fitz and Shaw perform a Vulcan mind meld during the bye week?  If so, it worked.  Fitz was bouncing the play outside all day, and Shaw had what I think is his best run of the year by busting through the line.  Someone mentioned that Purdue has a better than average interior D-line (i guess) which would explain some of the bouncing outside.  But who told Shaw he could run through tackles?

Fitzhomerun

On this Denard fake jetsweep counter pitch, the boilers are in good position to stop the play for a moderate gain.  But they've got two guys who are jogging around waiting for the play to develop instead of attacking the LOS. *cough*JTFloyd*cough*. But look at Molk, He's not really designed to be in this play, he's just hustling to make a block.  

Fitzhomerun2

Fitz is reading the play and sees the defenders over-run it, so he cuts back. .  #3 is in pursuit and should close off the cutback. But Molk and now #75 are following the play. 

Fitzhomerun3

Fitz sees the two unblocked defenders and breaks down to make a move.  

Fitzhomerun4

It's just at that moment that Molk catches up and gets a twofer. Schofield is also making himself useful by getting in the way of the pursuit.    

Fitzhomerun5

#2 is in good position to make the stop, but his momentum is in the wrong direction as Fitz is now running against the grain. 

Fitzhomerun6

But here's the amazing part.  When he sees the lane open up in the middle, he just turns on the jets. 

Fitzhomerun7

This is the speed we haven't really seen from Fitz on the field.  Maybe reports of him being dinged up were true and now he's finally healthy. (He should be after having 3 weeks off). 

Shaw's TD came from some improvisation on a simple lead dive. 

shawhomerun

The boiler DT get's a good push up front to disrupt the play. Hopkins has to help block him instead of getting to the free linebacker.  Odoms is coming around for the end around fake that will hold the unblocked end. 

shawhomerun2

Shaw sees that the play side is clogged up, so he cuts back.  So now he has to deal with an unblocked safety instead of an unblocked LB => more yards.  

shawhomerun3

The right guard doesn't get the best of blocks and his man starts coming off of him to make the tackle.  But Shaw sees just enough daylight to make him decide to accelerate through the hole. 

shawhomerun4

Normally, this is where Shaw falls down for a minimal gain, but on this play he keeps his balance.

shawhomerun5

And he shows off a little leg strength to fight through the contact. 

shawhomerun6

Then he does what he does best and shows off his top gear outracing the defender to the pylon.  

I know I've been critical of him on this blog, but that's because he's very frustrating.  Physically he's got all the tools to be a great back, ala Chris Perry.  His vision might be half a notch down, and I haven't seen him much in the passing game.  But he's got the speed, and if he learned how to harness his talents, he could be making runs like this on a regular basis.  Anyway, this was a great run. 

ETC:

  • The defense is playing so much better than last year.  But the last two games have seen waaaaaay too many arm tackles.  I'm not liking that. 
  • One game is not a season.  Playcalling vs. Minnesota, Northwestern, and Purdue was great, creative, and effective.  Playcalling vs. MSU, eh ... not so much. I hope this isn't establishing a trend where we have zany fun stuff against Iowa and Illinois and go into a shell against NE and TSIO. 
  • Rocketman! I didn't notice the helmet on the low quality streams

rocketman

  • The theme for homecoming was something about space, and the wavefield got some love on TV. That wavefield was like a 2nd home for me for 3 years. 

wavefield

  • Obligatory. 

derpderp

BHGP takes it to sports talk radio

BHGP takes it to sports talk radio

Submitted by king_kerridge on November 1st, 2011 at 6:16 PM

Apparently the Iowa blog got into a bit of a tiff with local Iowa talk radio and fearing they would get passed by as "AM radio goes racing into the future" they decided to send in an audition tape to AM1630 KCJJ and look for employment. Hilarity ensues. 

http://www.blackheartgoldpants.com/2011/11/1/2528937/black-heart-gold-podcast-69-with-big-ron-and-the-noodle

Even though Iowa fans hate us,  I'll always have a soft spot in my heart for them after listening to this. 

EDIT: start at 5:20 if you want to get right into the radio bit

Michigan football ranked #9 in SRS

Michigan football ranked #9 in SRS

Submitted by dnak438 on November 1st, 2011 at 5:26 PM

Here's the link to Smart Football, where the column is posted. For those who don't want to bother, here is a description of the system:

The SRS takes only two factors into account: strength of schedule and adjusted margin of victory. Each game is given equal weight. Therefore, the sum of a team’s SOS and MOV rating is its SRS rating. A team could have an SRS rating of 60 by having an MOV of 30 and an SOS of 30, or an MOV rating of 40 and an SOS of 40. Once you have the SRS scores for each team, it’s very simple to understand how the system arrived at those ratings. Further, the numbers the system spits out are easy to understand: if Team A has a rating of 55 and Team B has a rating of 44, it means that Team A is predicted to be 11 points better than Team B. The units here mean exactly what you think they mean.

 

For starters, the road team is given 3 points for each game (but there is no home or road team for neutral site games). After that adjustment, all wins and losses of between 7 and 24 points as exactly that. So a 24-10 road win goes down as +17 for the road team, -17 for the home team. Wins of 7 or fewer points are scored as 7-point wins and losses of 7 or fewer points are scored as 7 point losses (except that road losses of 3 or fewer/home wins of 3 or fewer are graded as 0 point ties). This gives a very minor boost to teams that win by a couple of points. Finally, wins of more than 24 points/losses of more than 24 points are scored as the average between the actual number and 24. This is to avoid giving undue credit to teams that run up the score.

Now, the Top 10 SRS ratings after week 9:

Rk  Team             MOV      SOS      SRS      W-L
1.  LSU              24.5     43.9     68.4     8-0
2.  Alabama          27.4     40.7     68.1     8-0
3.  Oklahoma St      22.0     45.2     67.2     8-0
4.  Stanford         27.4     39.2     66.5     8-0
5.  Oklahoma         21.5     44.1     65.6     7-1
6.  Boise St         22.7     41.2     63.9     7-0
7.  Oregon           20.7     42.0     62.7     7-1
8.  Wisconsin        21.5     38.0     59.5     6-2
9.  Michigan         17.4     40.6     57.9     7-1
10. Texas A&M        9.9      46.3     56.2     5-3

And the Big 10:

8. Wisconsin        21.5     38.0     59.5     6-2
9.  Michigan        17.4     40.6     57.9     7-1
13. Nebraska        12.3     42.4     54.8     7-1
17. Michigan St     9.1      43.7     52.9     6-2
23. Ohio State      5.8      44.7     50.5     5-3
28. Penn State      8.4      40.8     49.3     8-1
39. Illinois        6.2      39.7     45.9     6-3
50. Iowa            9.2      34.0     43.2     5-3
61. Purdue          2.3      37.2     39.4     4-4
67. Northwestern    0.5      37.4     37.9     3-5
98. Minnesota       -13.8    43.6     29.8     2-6
107.Indiana         -12.4    38.9     26.6     1-8

 

OT: [Temporary] Georgia Running Back Apocalypse

OT: [Temporary] Georgia Running Back Apocalypse

Submitted by ATLWolverine on November 1st, 2011 at 4:47 PM

Georgia has just suspended three running backs for at least 1 game over a failed drug test.

Their best remaining RB injured his ankle against Florida at the Cocktail Party, leaving only a redshirt soph with little experience to play this weekend against New Mexico State (good timing for a suspension).

 

This quote from Richt makes me remeber just how fragile a CFB team is: "I don't know about [who will start]. We'll kind of see how it goes, but everybody else who resembles a running back will be competing." Apparently cornerbacks are currently in the mix for the job.