Big Ten Recruiting Class Rankings 11-14-10

Big Ten Recruiting Class Rankings 11-14-10

Submitted by Tim on November 14th, 2010 at 3:00 PM

A new commit for the Wolverines means this hits the front page. Action since last rankings:

11-12-10 Michigan gains commitment from Dallas Crawford. Purdue gains commitment from Akeem Hunt.
11-14-10 Penn State gains commitment from Anthony Alosi. 70espn NR rivals NRscout.

Rivals and Scout have updated their rankings over the past couple weeks, so there are some shakeups in there.

Big Ten+ Recruiting Class Rankings
Rank School # Commits Rivals Avg Scout Avg ESPN Avg
1 Ohio State 18 5.76 3.78 78.94
2 Notre Dame 17 5.71 3.53 78.94
3 Nebraska 16 5.72 3.44 78.80*
4 Michigan State 16 5.65 3.25 76.75
5 Michigan 13 5.66 3.31 78.31
6 Indiana 22 5.54 2.73 75.36
7 Wisconsin 18 5.57 2.83 71.33
8 Iowa 16 5.60 2.94 76.69
9 Northwestern 13 5.57 2.77 77.23
10 Minnesota 15 5.53 2.60 73.87
11 Illinois 17 5.44 2.59 72.00
12 Penn State 5 5.50 3.00 76.20
13 Purdue 8 5.46 2.38 72.13

Rivals rankings are on the "RR" scale, which is on a scale from about 5 to about 6.1. Unrated prospects are given a 5.1 rating, on par with the worst of any Big Ten commit last year. Scout is on the 5-star system (unranked players earn star), and ESPN uses grades out of 100 (unranked is 40 or 45).

#1 Ohio State - 18 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Michael Bennett DT OH 6.0 4 80
Braxton Miller QB OH 6.0 5 81
Kenny Hayes DE OH 5.9 4 78
Steve Miller DE OH 5.8 5 84
Nick Vannett TE OH 5.8 4 80
Chase Farris DE OH 5.8 4 79
Brian Bobek OL IL 5.8 4 79
Evan Spencer WR IL 5.7 4 81
Jeremy Cash S FL 5.7 4 80
Ron Tanner S OH 5.7 4 78
DerJuan Gambrell CB OH 5.7 4 77
Devin Smith WR OH 5.7 4 76
Jeff Heuerman TE FL 5.7 3 80
Joel Hale DT IN 5.7 3 79
Chris Carter OL OH 5.7 3 78
Conner Crowell LB MD 5.7 3 78
Tommy Brown OL OH 5.6 3 78
Antonio Underwood OL OH 5.6 3 75

Braxton Miller moves up to 6.0, Jeremy Cash falls from 5.8 to 5.7 on Rivals.

#2 Notre Dame - 17 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Stephon Tuitt DE GA 6.0 4 80
Ben Koyack TE PA 5.9 4 81
Matt Hegarty OL NM 5.9 4 83
Justice Hayes RB MI 5.9 4 79
DaVaris Daniels WR IL 5.8 4 81
Eilar Hardy S OH 5.8 4 79
George Atkinson III S CA 5.8 4 79
Jarrett Grace LB OH 5.7 4 78
Anthony Rabasa DE FL 5.7 3 81
Tony Springmann OL IN 5.7 3 78
Josh Atkinson CB CA 5.7 3 78
Conor Hanratty OL CT 5.6 4 76
Ben Councell DE NC 5.6 3 78
Brad Carrico OL OH 5.6 3 77
Matthias Farley CB NC 5.5 3 77
Jalen Brown CB TX 5.5 3 78
Kyle Brindza K MI 5.4 3 79

No change for ND.

#3 Nebraska - 16 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Aaron Green RB FL 5.9 5 85
Tyler Moore OL FL 5.9 4 78
Bubba Starling QB KS 5.8 4 81
Jamal Turner QB TX 5.8 4 81
Charles Jackson CB TX 5.8 4 81
Ryne Reeves OL NE 5.8 4 79
Tevin Mitchell CB TX 5.8 4 79
Ryan Klachko OL IL 5.8 4 78
David Santos LB TX 5.8 3 79
Zach Sterup OL NE 5.8 3 78
Daimion Stafford S CA 5.8 3 NR
Kevin Williams DT OH 5.7 3 79
Daniel Davie S NE 5.5 3 75
Taariq Allen WR TX 5.5 2 75
Nicklas Sade K NC 5.4 3 78
Aaryn Bouzos CB CA 5.4 2 76

Rivals bumps Aaron Green down to 5.9, but David Santos goes from 5.6 to 5.8.

#4 Michigan State - 16 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Lawrence Thomas LB MI 6.1 5 80
Donavon Clark OG OH 5.7 4 78
Darien Harris LB MD 5.7 3 79
Taiwan Jones LB MI 5.7 3 78
Roger Williamson CB OH 5.7 3 78
Mikail McCall RB IL 5.7 3 77
Ed Davis LB MI 5.7 3 77
Arjen Colquhoun S ON 5.7 3 76
Connor Cook QB OH 5.7 2 76
Onaje Miller RB MI 5.6 4 78
Joel Heath DE OH 5.6 4 76
Jack Allen OL IL 5.6 3 78
AJ Sims CB GA 5.6 3 78
Mark Scarpinato DT WI 5.5 3 76
Trae Waynes CB WI 5.4 3 75
Paul Lang TE PA 5.4 3 68

Darien Harris upgraded to a 5.7 on Rivals.

#5 Michigan - 13 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Demetrius Hart RB FL 6.0 4 80
Brennen Beyer DE MI 5.8 4 79
Kellen Jones LB TX 5.7 4 79
Jake Fisher OL MI 5.7 4 77
Dallas Crawford CB FL 5.7 3 80
Delonte Hollowell CB MI 5.7 3 79
Shawn Conway WR MI 5.7 3 78
Kevin Sousa QB FL 5.7 3 78
Chris Rock DE OH 5.6 3 78
Jack Miller OL OH 5.5 3 78
Tony Posada OL FL 5.5 3 78
Greg Brown CB OH 5.5 3 77
Antonio Kinard LB OH 5.5 3 77

Lots of movers and shakers among the future Wolverines, on top of picking up a commit from CB Dallas Crawford. Demetrius Hart was described as "the best RB I've seen this year" by Barry Every... then Every's Rivals scouts proceeded to rank him the #5 RB in the country. He's up to the top 4-star, however. Everybody else is a faller, as Chris Rock goes from 5.7 to 5.6, Greg Brown and Tony Posada go from 5.7 to 5.5. Rivals still has Jack Miller at 5.5, about which LOL.

#6 Indiana - 22 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Raymon Taylor CB MI 5.8 3 77
Zack Shaw LB OH 5.8 3 76
Cody Latimer WR OH 5.7 2 73
Max Pirman LB OH 5.6 3 78
D'Angelo Roberts RB IN 5.6 3 77
Jake Reed TE IN 5.6 3 77
Jalen Schlachter TE MI 5.6 3 75
Ralston Evans OL IN 5.6 3 74
Tre Roberson QB IN 5.6 2 76
Forisse Hardin S KY 5.6 3 74
Bernard Taylor OL MI 5.5 3 76
CJ Robbins DE IL 5.5 3 75
Nick Stoner S IN 5.5 3 74
Kirk Harris OL KS 5.5 2 77
Kyle Kennedy LB IN 5.5 2 76
Mark Murphy S OH 5.5 2 75
Kenny Mullen CB IN 5.4 3 74
Shafer Johnson DT MI 5.4 3 77
Jay McCants WR OH 5.4 3 75
Mike Replogle LB OH 5.4 3 74
Donte Phillips DE WI 5.4 2 74
Nick VanHoose DB OH 5.4 3 74

No change.

#7 Wisconsin - 18 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Jake Keefer LB WI 5.8 4 78
Sam Arneson TE WI 5.7 3 78
Jesse Hayes DE OH 5.7 3 78
James Adeyanju DE IL 5.7 3 77
Mike Caputo LB PA 5.7 3 77
AJ Jordan WR OH 5.6 3 80
Makinton Dorleant CB FL 5.6 3 77
Austin Maly TE WI 5.6 3 76
Bennett Okotcha CB TX 5.6 3 76
Eric Steffes TE WI 5.6 3 NR
Terrance Floyd CB FL 5.6 2 77
Ray Ball OL OH 5.5 3 77
Jordan Frederick LB WI 5.5 3 75
Trayion Durham RB OH 5.5 3 75
Derek Landisch LB WI 5.5 3 74
Frederick Willis WR WI 5.5 2 NR
Kenzel Doe WR NC 5.4 2 75
Tyler Marz OL MN NR 2 NR

AJ Jordan loses his fourth star in Scout's re-rank, but Jake Keefer picks one up. Jordan also drops from 80 to 79 on ESPN. On Rivals, Makinton Dorleant goes from 5.5 to 5.6, and Bennett Okotcha goes from unrated to 5.6.

#8 Iowa - 16 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Jordan Walsh OL IL 5.8 4 79
Austin Blythe OL IA 5.8 3 79
Ray Hamilton TE OH 5.8 3 79
Melvin Gordon RB WI 5.7 3 79
John Raymon DE PA 5.7 3 78
Torrey Campbell RB FL 5.6 3 78
Riley McMinn DE IL 5.6 3 77
Jake Rudock QB FL 5.6 3 78
Marcus Grant WR MA 5.6 3 76
Melvin Spears LB TX 5.5 3 79
Henry Krieger-Coble TE IA 5.5 3 78
Nick Law CB MD 5.5 3 77
Cole Fisher LB NE 5.5 3 74
Jake Duzey TE MI 5.5 3 73
Mike Orloff LB MA 5.5 2 70
Austin Vincent WR TX 5.4 2 73

Ray Hamilton is stripped of his fourth star in Scout's re-rank, but he picks one up from Rivals. Go figure. Orloff gets a HUGE bump on ESPN from 69 to 70.

#9 Northwestern - 13 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Christian Jones WR TX 5.7 3 81
Sean Cotton S IL 5.7 3 79
Shane Mertz OL NJ 5.6 3 79
Jack Konopka OL IL 5.6 3 79
Zack Oliver QB LA 5.6 3 78
Jarrell Williams CB IL 5.6 3 76
Matt Frazier OL IL 5.6 3 75
Max Chapman DE FL 5.6 2 78
Derek Watt LB WI 5.6 3 77
Geoff Mogus OL OH 5.5 3 75
Cameron Dickerson WR NJ 5.5 2 73
Mark Szott TE IL 5.5 3 77
Treyvon Green RB TX 5.3 2 77

Green goes from unrated to 5.3 on Rivals.

#10 Minnesota - 15 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Tommy Olson OL MN 5.7 3 79
Matt LaCosse ATH IL 5.6 3 78
Max Shortell QB KS 5.6 3 74
Quinn Bauducco LB CA 5.6 3 74
Peter Westerhaus TE MN 5.6 2 76
Kyle McAvoy OL IL 5.5 3 79
Marquise Vann LB OH 5.5 3 78
Jephete Matilus LB FL 5.5 2 77
Mike Moore LB TX 5.6 3 77
Luke McAvoy OL IL 5.5 3 75
Devin Crawford-Tufts WR MN 5.5 2 74
Russell Haughton-James OL FL 5.5 2 74
Sam Rohr TE WI 5.4 3 74
Cameron Brown WR TX 5.5 2 74
Samuel Oyenuga CB TX 5.5 2 NR

Mike Moore is up to 5.6 (from 5.5) on Rivals. Cameron Brown and Samuel Oyenuga go from unranked to 5.5 on that service.

#11 Illinois - 17 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Clint Tucker DT IL 5.7 3 79
Zeph Grimes S SC 5.6 3 77
Chris Boles OL OH 5.6 3 77
Reilly O'Toole QB IL 5.6 3 76
Tony Durkin OL IL 5.5 3 74
Carl Williams CB FL 5.5 3 77
Josh Ferguson RB IL 5.5 3 75
Chris O'Connor DE IL 5.5 3 75
Ralph Cooper LB SC 5.5 2 78
Scott McDowell OL IL 5.4 3 75
Ted Karras OL IN 5.4 2 77
Marquise Mosley WR TX 5.4 2 74
JT Thornton CB FL 5.4 2 77
Daniel Rhodes TE NC 5.4 2 73
Hunter Wells OL IL 5.3 3 NR
Justin DuVernois K FL NR 2 70
Henry Dickinson LB TN NR 2 NR

Thornton and Rhodes pick up 5.4 ratings from Rivals.

#12 Penn State - 4 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Shawn Oakman DE PA 5.8 4 77
Angelo Mangiro OL NJ 5.7 4 81
Jordan Kerner DE PA 5.5 3 77
Kyle Carter TE DE 5.4 3 76
Anthony Alosi OL NJ NR NR 70

Finally a new commit, but still with the embarrassingly empty class.

#13 Purdue - 8 Commits
Name Position State Rivals Scout ESPN
Taylor Richards CB FL 5.6 2 77
Russell Bellomy QB TX 5.5 3 78
Robert Kugler TE PA 5.5 3 78
Brandon Cottom LB PA 5.5 3 76
Akeem Hunt RB GA 5.5 3 75
Michael Rouse DT IL 5.5 2 73
AJ King WR FL 5.5 NR 75
Randy Gregory DE IN NR 2 NR

Purdue picks up Akeem Hunt, and none of their other rankings are changed.

Communist Football's Almanack of Broken Records - Purdue Edition

Communist Football's Almanack of Broken Records - Purdue Edition

Submitted by Communist Football on November 14th, 2010 at 1:45 PM

Comrades,

What a difference two weeks makes. Instead of talking about throwing Molotov cocktails at Schembechler Hall, the MGoCommune is talking about New Year's Day bowl games. Unfortunately, an evil capitalist conspiracy of rain, Ryan Kerrigan, and poor decision-making led Denard to his worst statistical day of the season. Four turnovers (two INTs, two fumbles) does not a Heisman candidacy make, and it's hard to imagine Denard getting back in the race this year unless we beat both Wisconsin and O State.

Let's hope the Purdue game really was about the weather and not about Purdue's DL: because we face two stout defensive lines to close out the regular season. A lot of the records that Denard seemed certain to break before Saturday are much closer calls now.

Quick Links

Prefatory Verbiage • New This WeekWeek in ReviewRecord of the WeekQBs as Rushing ChampionsQB Rushing, GameQB Rushing, SeasonQB Rushing, CareerRushing (Any Position)200/200 Club1000/1000 ClubTotal OffenseTotal Offense Per PlayPassing EfficiencyOther M PassingOther M RushingTeam OffenseMiscellaneous RecordsStandard DisclaimersAcknowledgmentsComments

Prefatory Verbiage

  • Previous editions. Here are the links to the post-Illinois, post-PSU, bye week, post-Iowa, post-MSU, and post-Indiana editions of this Almanack.
  • Suggestions are welcome. If you have found an interesting statistic or record that you think I should add to this list, please put it in the comments section and I'll add it to the original post (and give you credit).
  • Review the disclaimers. Football has evolved considerably over its 141-year history, much more so than other major sports, and that is important to keep in mind when talking about all-time records. The existence of this diary is not meant to imply that individual achievement is more important than the achievement of the team.

New This Week

New to this week's Almanack is a "Miscellaneous Records" section to highlight records broken by other players this year, such as Roy Roundtree's single-game receiving mark set against Illinois. I also added a passage in the Disclaimers section about college football scoring conventions prior to 1912.

Week in Review: Denard Sets the Michigan Total Offense Season Record

Denard was 13 of 21 passing for 188 yards, 1 TD, and 2 interceptions, for a rating of 128.97, well below his averages. Even worse, he ran for only 68 yards on 22 carries, for a season-worst YPC of 3.09. Once again, the postgame commentary on the Purdue game failed to highlight what a remarkable season Comrade Denard is having. Unnoticed on Saturday was the fact that Denard set Michigan's single-season record for total offense, breaking John Navarre's 2003 mark of 3,240 yards.

Of the other prominant dual-threat QBs, Cam Newton ran for 151 yards and threw for 148 against Georgia to clinch the SEC West title (and a 14th game); Colin Kaepernick ran for 153 and threw for 171 in a comeback victory against Fresno State; and Taylor Martinez ran for 71 and threw for 167 in a 20-3 victory over Kansas. LaMichael James, Denard's leading rival for the FBS rushing title, moved into first place with 91 yards in a hard-fought win against Cal.

Records of the Week: NCAA Single-Season QB Rushing; 1500/2000 Club

Denard's season rushing total now stands at 1,417 yards, 77 yards short of Beau Morgan's FBS record of 1,494, set in 1996. If Denard gains 83 against Wisconsin, he will become the first major-college player in history to both rush and pass for 1,500 yards in a single season. If he passes for 10 yards against the Badgers, he will also become the first member of the 1500/2000 club.

Despite his relatively poor numbers against Illinois, Denard maintained possession of the Michigan career yards-per-carry record with a minimum of 200 attempts, with 6.5 YPC. The previous record had been held by 6.3 YPC by Jon Vaughn (from 1989-1990).

However, with his sloppy performance against Purdue, Denard lost possession of Michigan's single-season YPC record. Before Saturday, he was at 7.4 YPC for the year; today, he's at 6.0, well below Tyrone Wheatley's 7.3 mark set in 1992.

Denard continues to hold on to the Michigan career pass-efficiency record with a minimum of 200 attempts, at 149.1. The previous record was 148.1 by Elvis Grbac (from 1989-1992), and Elvis had the benefit of a Heisman Trophy-winning receiver. Denard's 149.1 mark is also on pace for third all-time in the Big Ten, though he needs 300 completions to qualify for that record (he currently has 145).

Quarterbacks as NCAA Rushing Champions

A quarterback has never led the NCAA FBS in rushing yards over a single season. In 1937, the first year in which the NCAA kept official football statistics, Colorado halfback Byron "Whizzer" White led the nation in rushing with 1,121 yards, along with 475 passing yards. (If that wasn't enough, White also went to Oxford on a Rhodes Scholarship, played in the NFL for Pittsburgh and Detroit, served in World War II during which he was awarded two Bronze Stars, came back and graduated from Yale Law School, and was appointed by John F. Kennedy to the Supreme Court of the United States.)

This year, Denard could become the first quarterback in history to finish the season as the NCAA rushing champion (by yards gained). He currently has gained 1,417 yards on the ground. LaMichael James of Oregon is 5 yards ahead having played one less game. James has a bye next week, so Denard is likely to regain the lead, at least temporarily, against Wisconsin.

On a yards-per-game basis, James is in first place with 158.0 (Denard has fallen to third with 141.7, behind James and Connecticut's Jordan Todman). Personally, I find the YPG statistic to be arbitrary: should Denard be punished because the Bowling Green game was a rout, and LaMichael James be rewarded because he was suspended for one game for pleading guilty to harrassing his ex-girlfriend? FWIW, on a yards-per-carry basis, Denard is still ahead of James.

Note that Cam Newton will play in the SEC championship game, and thereby have an extra game to pad his stats. Newton, however, is 203 yards behind Denard, despite the extra tilt. Here are the top 5 rushers in the country, sorted by yards gained:

Player Team Carries Yards YPC Games YPG TD
LaMichael James Oregon 224 1,422 6.35 *9 158.0 17
Denard Robinson MICH 205 1,417 6.91 10 141.7 12
Kendall Hunter Oklahoma St. 226 1,356 6.00 10 135.6 16
Cameron Newton Auburn 206 1,297 6.30 11 117.9 17
Bobby Rainey W. Kentucky 268 1,244 4.64 10 124.4 11
* - LaMichael James was suspended for Oregon's first game against 
New Mexico for pleading guilty to a misdemeanor.

Rushing Yards by a QB, Single-Game

Denard currently holds the Michigan and Big Ten records for rushing yards by a quarterback in a single game: 258 vs. Notre Dame. The NCAA FBS record is 308, on 22 attempts, by Stacey Robinson of Northern Illinois, against Fresno State, on Oct. 6, 1990. 

Rushing Yards by a QB, Single-Season

Denard currently has 1,417 rushing yards in 10 games. This projects to 1,842 over a 13-game schedule. He owns the Big Ten record, previously set by Antwaan Randle-El in 2000 with 1,270 yards, and has destroyed the previous Michigan record for QB rushing yards in a season: 674 by Steve Smith in 1981.

Before you get too overwhelmed by all the numbers in this diary, just stop and think about that for a minute. Denard Robinson, your starting Michigan quarterback, playing before your very eyes, has more than doubled a Michigan football record, with four games to go. And not just any record, but one that has stood for three decades. Even if you account for the fact that we're playing a very different style of football now—it's just incredible.

The NCAA FBS record is 1,494 by Beau Morgan of Air Force in 1996. This record is easily within reach. Denard only has to average 26 rushing yards a game over the rest of the  season to break the NCAA FBS record.

Rushing Yards by a QB, Career

There's no point in projecting Denard's career rushing totals, since we don't even know how he'll do this year (or if his knee will hold up), nor if he will stay for his senior season. But here are the records:

Michigan's career record is held by Rick Leach (1975-1978) at 2,176 yards: a record Denard will break this year, at his current pace. Denard needs to average 136 rushing yards a game to take this title. (Guys like Leach and Steve Smith must salivate at what they could have done in the offense of Comrade Rodriguez.) The Big Ten record is Antwaan Randel El's (1998-2001) at 3,895 yards. The NCAA FBS record is held by Pat White (2005-2008) at 4,480 yards.

The NCAA FBS per-game career record is 109.1 yards by Stacey Robinson of Northern Illinois, achieved from 1988-1990 over 25 games.

Rushing Records (At Any Position)

For a single game, the Michigan record is 347 by Ron Johnson in 1968 against Wisconsin; the Big Ten record is 377 by Anthony Thompson of Indiana in 1989 against Wisconsin; the NCAA FBS record is 406 by LaDainian Tomlinson of TCU in 1999 against UTEP.

For a single season, the Michigan record is 1,818 yards (Tshimanga Biakabutuka, 1995); the Big Ten record is 2,087 yards (Larry Johnson, Penn St., 2002); the NCAA FBS record is 2,628 yards (Barry Sanders, Oklahoma State, 1988). Denard can break Touchdown Tim's Michigan record by averaging 117 yards per game over the rest of the season.

That Barry Sanders record will be around for a while, but remember that Denard is on pace for 1,842 with a 13-game schedule; he will need a couple of great games against Wisconsin and Ohio State to get within striking distance of Larry Johnson's Big Ten record.

For a career, the Michigan record is held by Mike Hart (5,040 yards, 2004-2007); the Big Ten record is held by Ron Dayne (7,125 yards, 1996-1999); the NCAA FBS record is also held by Ron Dayne, but they list it as 6,397 yards. (Herschel Walker of Georgia holds the record for a 3-year career at 5,259 yards, set from 1980-1982.)

The 200/200 Club

Much has been made of the fact that Denard is the only player in FBS history to gain 200 yards rushing and 200 yards passing twice in regular-season games. To me this is a silly distinction—who cares if it was done in the regular season or a bowl game? If anything, Vince Young's performance in the 2005 Rose Bowl against USC is even more remarkable, given that that USC team is considered one of the most dominant teams of the modern era. Wake me up when Denard gets his third 200/200 game. (He did go for 191/190 against Penn State.)

Anyway, here are the 200/200 games listed in the NCAA record book, sorted by total offense. You'll note that Denard is the only member of the 240/240 club, and Marques Tuiasosopo is the only member of the 200/300 club.

Player Team (Opponent) Year Rushing Passing Total Off.
Marques Tuiasosopo Washington (Stanford) 1999 207 302 509
Vince Young Texas (Oklahoma St.) 2005 267 239 506
Denard Robinson MICH (Notre Dame) 2010 258 244 502
Denard Robinson MICH (Indiana) 2010 217 277 494
Reds Bagnell Penn (Dartmouth) 1950 214 276 490
Brad Smith Missouri (Nebraska) 2005 246 234 480
Brian Mitchell La.-Lafayette (Colo. St.) 1987 271 205 476
Antwaan Randle-El Indiana (Minnesota) 2000 210 263 473
Vince Young Texas (USC Rose Bowl) 2005 200 267 467
Patrick White W. Va. (Pittsburgh) 2006 220 204 424
Steve Gage Tulsa (New Mexico) 1986 212 209 421

The 1000/1000 Club

There are 30 quarterbacks (and one halfback, Johnny Bright of Drake) in FBS who have run and thrown for 1000 yards in the same season. Of these, none have both run and passed for 1500 yards (the rushing record for QBs is 1,223).

Seven quarterbacks have achieved this milestone multiple times: Brad Smith (thrice), Colin Kaepernick (twice and counting), Vince Young (twice), Pat White (twice), Beau Morgan (twice), Joe Webb (twice), and Joshua Cribbs (twice). Only two people have joined the 1000/1000 club as freshmen: Brad Smith of Missouri, and Joshua Cribbs of Kent State. Air Force leads the overall list with five different QBs, in six different seasons, in the 1000/1000 club. (It is interesting that an instrument of American capitalist imperialism, the U.S. Air Force Academy, is the premier exponent of communist football.)

As noted above, Denard joined the 1000/1000 club on his first drive against Iowa. As noted above, he should easily become the first member of the 1500/1500 and 1500/2000 clubs. The list below of 1000/1000 members is sorted this list by rushing yards.

I've also added 2010 season totals for Cam Newton, Taylor Martinez, and Colin Kaepernick, three dual-threat quarterbacks who are likely to surpass 1000/1000 this year (Kaepernick already did so in 2008 and 2009, and Newton already has for 2010).

Player Team Year Rushing Passing Total Off.
Dilithium (on pace for) MICH 2010 1,842 2,587 4,429
Newton (on pace for) Auburn 2010 1,651 2,594 4,245
Beau Morgan Air Force 1996 1,494 1,210 2,704
Joe Webb UAB 2009 1,427 2,229 3,726
Denard Robinson MICH 2010 1,417 1,990 3,407
Jammal Lord Nebraska 2002 1,412 1,362 2,774
Brad Smith Missouri 2003 1,406 1,977 3,383
Chris McCoy Navy 1997 1,370 1,203 2,573
Patrick White W. Virginia 2007 1,335 1,724 3,059
Brian Mitchell La.-Lafayette 1989 1,311 1,966 3,277
Brad Smith Missouri 2005 1,301 2,304 3,605
Cameron Newton Auburn 2010 1,297 2,038 3,335
Dee Dowis Air Force 1989 1,286 1,285 2,571
Beau Morgan Air Force 1995 1,285 1,165 2,450
Antwaan Randle El* Indiana 2000 1,270 1,783 3,053
Johnny Bright (HB) Drake 1950 1,232 1,168 2,400
Chance Herridge Air Force 2002 1,229 1,062 2,291
Patrick White W. Virginia 2006 1,219 1,655 2,874
Keith Boyea Air Force 2001 1,216 1,253 2,469
Ricky Dobbs Navy 2009 1,203 1,031 2,234
Colin Kaepernick Nevada 2009 1,183 2,052 3,235
Dwight Dasher Middle Tenn. 2009 1,154 2,789 3,943
Michael Desormeaux La.-Lafayette 2007 1,141 1,405 2,546
Colin Kaepernick Nevada 2008 1,130 2,849 3,979
Dan LeFevour Central Mich. 2007 1,122 3,652 4,774
Eric Crouch Nebraska 2001 1,115 1,510 2,625
Craig Candeto Navy 2003 1,112 1,140 2,252
Scott Frost Nebraska 1997 1,095 1,237 2,332
Michael Carter Hawaii 1991 1,092 1,172 2,264
Vince Young Texas 2004 1,079 1,849 2,928
Joshua Cribbs Kent State 2002 1,057 1,014 2,071
Vince Young Texas 2005 1,050 3,036 4,086
Josh Nesbitt Ga. Tech 2009 1,037 1,701 2,738
Bart Weiss Air Force 1985 1,032 1,449 2,481
Ell Roberson Kansas St. 2002 1,032 1,580 2,612
Brad Smith (Fr.) Missouri 2002 1,029 2,333 3,362
Joe Webb UAB 2008 1,021 2,367 3,388
Joshua Cribbs (Fr.) Kent State 2001 1,019 1,516 2,535
Reggie Collier So. Miss. 1981 1,005 1,004 2,009
Darian Hagan Colorado 1989 1,004 1,002 2,006
Woodrow Dantzler Clemson 2001 1,004 2,360 3,364
Taylor Martinez Nebraska 2010 957 1,328 2,285
Colin Kaepernick Nevada 2010 946 2,161 3,107
* Previous Big Ten record for rushing yards by a quarterback

Total Offense

Denard already owns the Michigan single-game total offense record (502 yards against Notre Dame). In fact, Denard has broken the old Michigan single-game total offense record four times this year, with games of 502, 494, 383, and 381 yards. (The previous record was 368 by John Navarre against Iowa in 2003.) Against Illinois, Denard almost broke this record again, gaining 367: giving him five of the six highest totals in Michigan history.

Player Opponent Year Rushing Passing Total Off.
Denard Robinson Notre Dame 2010 258 244 502
Denard Robinson Indiana 2010 217 277 494
Denard Robinson Connecticut 2010 197 186 383
Denard Robinson Penn State 2010 191 190 381
John Navarre Iowa 2003 -21 389 368
Denard Robinson Illinois 2010 62 305 367

As noted above, Denard is also on pace to annihilate John Navarre's single-season total offense record of 3,240 in 2003 (Denard has 3,407 as of today, and projects to an astounding 4,245 yards over 13 games).

The Big Ten single-game total offense record is 585 yards by Dave Wilson of Illinois, vs. Ohio State in 1980. The Big Ten single-season total offense record is 4,189 yards by Drew Brees of Purdue in 2000, which is well within Denard's reach. Denard has to average 261 yards of total offense in his remaining games to pass Brees; he is currently averaging 341.

The NCAA total offense records are dominated by prolific passers. Those records appear to be unattainable by Denard: 732 yards for a single game (David Klingler, Houston vs. Arizona State, 1990); 5,976 for a season (B.J. Symons, Texas Tech, 2003); 16,910 for a career (Timmy Chang, Hawaii, 2000-2004).

Total Offense Per Play

As with total offense records, these will be tough for Denard to keep pace with, and his performances against Big Ten opponents have left him further behind the pace. Through Saturday, Denard has 3,407 yards of total offense in 412 plays, for an average of 8.3.

Here are the NCAA FBS records for a single game: 14.3 by Jason Martin (La. Tech vs. Toledo, 1996) in 37 plays and 9.9 by David Klingler (Houston vs. TCU, 1990) in 63 plays. Denard came pretty close to Martin in the Indiana game, where in 35 plays he averaged 14.1 yards per play (which is almost certainly a Michigan and quite likely a Big Ten record):

Denard Robinson Attempts + Carries Total Offense Yards per Play
Connecticut 51 383 7.51
Notre Dame 68 502 7.38
Massachusetts 31 345 11.13
Bowling Green 9 189 21.00
Indiana 35 494 14.11
Michigan State 50 301 6.02
Iowa 36 201 5.58
Penn State 50 381 7.62
Illinois 39 367 9.41
Purdue 43 244 5.67
TOTAL 412 3,407 8.27
NCAA Records Attempts + Carries Total Offense Yards per Play
Game: Jason Martin (La. Tech vs. Toledo, 1996) 37 529 14.30
Game: David Klingler (Houston vs. TCU, 1990) 63 625 9.92
Season: Colt Brennan (Hawaii, 2006) 645 5,915 9.17
Career: Sam Bradford (Oklahoma, 2007-09) 970 8,439 8.70

As you can see in the table, for a single season (minimum 3,000 yards), the record is 9.2 by Colt Brennan (Hawaii, 2006). For a career (minimum 7,500 yards) it's 8.7 by Sam Bradford (Oklahoma, 2007-2009).

Passing Efficiency

Passing efficiency is a statistic that rewards quarterbacks for yards, touchdowns, and completions per attempt, and punishes them for interceptions per attempt. The NCAA formula, which differs from the NFL one, is:

(8.4 * yards) + (330 * TDs) - (200 * INTs) + (100 * completions)
________________________________________________________________

attempts

Denard's 2010 passing efficiency is currently 157.7; his career efficiency (including last year) is 149.1, which would be a Michigan record if he keeps that pace. Here are Michigan's pass efficiency records:

  • Highest efficiency rating, season (min. 100 attempts): 173.3 (Bob Chappuis, 1947) (Denard is at 157.7, good for 7th all-time)
  • Highest efficiency rating, career (min. 200 attempts): 148.1 (Elvis Grbac, 1989-1992) (Denard is at 149.1 for his career, good for 1st all-time and on pace for 3rd all-time in the Big Ten)

Bob Chappuis' Michigan single-season mark is also the Big Ten single-season record. Ricky Stanzi and Terrelle Pryor are challenging that record this year, with ratings of 167.2 and 166.4, respectively, good for 3rd and 5th all-time. The NCAA FBS pass efficiency record belongs to Colt Brennan of Hawaii, who reached 186.0 in 2006: out of Denard's reach.

Other Michigan Passing Records

At the end of 2009, here were some of the other Michigan passing records. Denard could break some of the completion percentage records (Tate broke one as well):

  • Highest completion percentage, game (min. 10 attempts): 92.3% (Jim Harbaugh, vs. Purdue, 1985, 13 attempts) (Broken by Tate Forcier, 100% in 12 attempts, vs. Bowling Green)
  • Highest completion percentage, game (min. 20 attempts): 90.9% (Elvis Grbac, vs. Notre Dame, 1991, 22 attempts) (Denard is 2nd with 86.3% on 22 attempts vs. Connecticut)
  • HIghest completion percentage, season (min. 100 attempts): 65.3% (Todd Collins, 1992) (Denard is at 63.3%, 8th all-time)
  • Highest completion percentage, career (min. 200 attempts): 64.3% (Todd Collins, 1991-1994) (Denard is at 60.8% with 217 attempts, on pace for 5th all-time)
  • Yards per completion, game (min. 5 completions): Rick Leach, 36.3 vs. Purdue, 1975 (Denard's best is 30.5 with 10 completions vs. Illinois, good for 3rd all-time)
  • Yards per completion, game (min. 10 completions): Jim Harbaugh, 30.0 vs. Indiana, 1986 (Broken by Denard Robinson, 30.5 YPC vs. Illinois with 10 completions)
  • Yards per completion, season (min. 60 completions): Bob Chappuis, 18.8, 1947 (Denard is at 15.2, on pace for 6th all-time)
  • Yards per completion, career (min. 120 completions): Rick Leach, 17.1, 1975-1978 (Denard is at 15.0, tied for 6th all-time)

Other Michigan Rushing Records

At the end of 2009, here were the other relevant Michigan rushing records. On average yards per carry, he owns one of the single-game records Michigan tracks, but is surprisingly far from the other ones (not that that couldn't change in a hurry). The single-season and career records are within reach:

  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 5 carries): 25.80, Denard Robinson vs. Bowling Green (previous record was Leroy Hoard, 18.28 ypc vs. Indiana, 1988)
  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 10 carries): 18.00, Rob Lytle vs. MSU, 1976 (Denard: 11.42 vs. Indiana on 19 carries)
  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 15 carries): 15.70, Tyrone Wheatley vs. Washington, 1993 Rose Bowl (Denard: 11.42 vs. Indiana on 19 carries)
  • Average gain per rush, single-game (min. 20 carries): 11.19, Ron Johnson vs. Wisconsin, 1968 (Denard: 9.21 vs. Notre Dame on 28 carries)
  • Average gain per rush, single-season (min. 75 carries): 7.34, Tyrone Wheatley, 1992 (Denard 2010: 6.00, outside of the top ten)
  • Average gain per rush, career (min. 200 carries): 6.29, Jon Vaughn, 1989-1990 (Denard: 6.45 on 233 carries)
  • 100-yard rushing games, season: 10, Jamie Morris, 1987 (Denard has 7)
  • 150-yard rushing games, season: 6, Anthony Thomas, 2000 (Denard has 4)
  • 200-yard rushing games, season: 3, Mike Hart, 2004 (Denard has 2)

Also, Denard is one of 5 quarterbacks in NCAA history to record 5 consecutive 100-yard rushing games (the others are Ricky Dobbs of Navy in 2009, Joe Webb of Alabama-Birmingham in 2009, Brian Madden of Navy in 1999, and Beau Morgan of Air Force in 1995). No one has done it 6 times in a row.

Team Offense

Did you know that Michigan is averaging 521.8 yards per game in total offense, higher than any other team in Big Ten history? (Second place belongs to Penn State's 1994 team, which averaged 512.7 yards per game.) Even if you take out the 72 extra yards Michigan gained in the three overtimes against Illinois, Michigan is averaging 514.7 yards per game.

This year's team is on pace to demolish the old Michigan total offense record of 466.9, set in 1992, when Gary Moeller roamed the sidelines, barking orders to Elvis Grbac, Desmond Howard, and Tyrone Wheatley.

Big Ten All-Time Leaders Year YPG (Total Offense)
1. MICH (including overtime) 2010 521.8
1. MICH (regulation only) 2010 514.7
2. Penn State 1994 512.7
3. Northwestern 2005 500.3
4. Ohio State 1998 497.6
5. Michigan State 2005 497.3
6. Minnesota 2005 494.8
7. Minnesota 2003 494.6
8. Ohio State 1974 493.2
9. Ohio State 1996 490.4
10. Michigan State 1978 481.3
11. Ohio State 1995 478.6
     
Michigan All-Time Leaders (QB/WR/RB) Year YPG (Total Offense)
1. Robinson / Roundtree / Smith (regulation) 2010 514.7
2. Grbac / Howard / Wheatley 1992 466.9
3. Navarre / Edwards / Perry 2003 446.7
4. Henson / Terrell / Thomas 2000 446.1
5. Grbac / Howard / Vaughn 1990 432.5

In terms of scoring offense, Michigan is averaging 35.5 points per game in regulation (37.7 points per game including the overtime scoring), good for 9th all-time in Michigan history (7th if you count OT points). This is all the more remarkable given that our terrible placekicking and team defense give the offense poor field position and missed field goals.

Year 1902 1904 1901 1903 1947 1905 1976 1992 *2010 2003
PPG 58.5 56.7 50.5 47.1 39.4 38.1 36.0 35.9 35.5 35.4
* - Excludes points scored in overtime

The Fielding Yost "point-a-minute" teams averaged 50.5, 58.5, 47.1, 56.7, and 38.1 points per game from 1901 to 1905. Fritz Crisler's 1947 national championship team of Bob Chappuis and Bump Elliott, nicknamed the "Mad Magicians," averaged 39.4. (The official Michigan record book erroneously lists the 1947 average as second-highest in school history; it is missing the performances of 1901, 1903, 1904, and 1905.)

Dynamic offenses have been few and far between in the postwar era. The 1976 Bo Schembechler team, led by Rick Leach and Rob Lytle, scored 36.0 points per game, and owns the rushing season record with 345.3 yards per game. The aforementioned 1992 team averaged 35.9 points; and the 2003 team averaged 35.4.

Here are some other impressive stats:

  • Michigan is averaging 7.1 yards per play, which is most all-time in Michigan history (the existing record is 6.4 yards, in 1992 and 1947).
  • Michigan is averaging 266.3 rushing yards per game (inclusive of OT; 263.4 regulation-only). (The Big Ten record is 349.9 in 1974 by Ohio State; the Michigan record is 345.3 in 1976.)
  • Michigan is averaging 5.9 yards per carry, as high as any team in Michigan history (the current record is 5.9 per carry in 1976).
  • Michigan is averaging 255.5 passing yards per game (inclusive; 251.3 regulation-only), 3rd all-time in Michigan history. (The record is 270.8 in 2003.)
  • Michigan is averaging 23.9 first downs per game (inclusive; 23.6 regulation-only), tied for highest in Michigan history. (The current record is 23.9 in 2003.) Over 13 games, this would be the fifth-highest total in Big Ten history (6th using regulation numbers).

Miscellaneous Records

As most of you know, against Illinois, Roy Roundtree destroyed a 44-year-old Michigan single-game receiving record, by gaining 246 yards (on 9 catches with 2 TDs). The old record was set in 1966, when Jack Clancy gained 197 yards against Oregon State. (Roundtree's mark wouldn't even make the top ten all-time in the Big Ten: the Big Ten record is 301 by Chris Daniels of Purdue against MSU in 1999; the NCAA record is 405 by Troy Edwards of Louisiana Tech against Nebraska in 1998.)

Standard Disclaimers

  • Wins are more important than stats. The existence of this diary is not meant to imply that individual achievement is more important than the achievement of the team. It is, instead, to pay tribute to Denard's exceptional individual achievement within the context of a (hopefully) successful team. With a few minor exceptions, Denard's stats don't come at the expense of the team: when he rushes for 250 yards or has a QB rating of 270, the team is usually doing well. If you object to this point of view, you don't have to read further.
  • Past performance is not a predictor of future results. To the degree I describe end-of-season projections for Denard, I do so simply, rather than Mathletically: (current total) * (12-game season) / (games played to date). Denard's numbers may come down against stronger defenses, but he played quite well against Iowa and Illinois, two statistically strong defenses, so we'll see.
  • Projections are for a 13-game season. Beginning in 2002, the NCAA revised its single-season and career records to include postseason games. Michigan, with its defeat of the Illini, is set to go to a bowl game this year.
  • The quarterback position has evolved significantly. The forward pass was only formally legalized in 1906. From the 1910s until the 1950s, the most common college football formation was Pop Warner's single-wing, in which the quarterback's role was primarily as a blocker, and most passes were thrown by a tailback or halfback. The idea of a quarterback as the primary passer began to take hold after World War II, when coaches such as Clark Shaughnessy at Chicago and Stanford and Paul Brown at Ohio State took advantage of a recently redesigned football that was easier to throw, and married the ancient T formation to the threat of longer passes downfield.
  • The record books are murky from 1869 to 1937. Something to keep in mind is that the record books don't actually go back that far in time. At the national level, official statistics have only been recorded since 1937: a mere 52 percent of college football's history. It's not clear how rigorously school, conference, and national collegiate records were kept before then. (College football has been around since 1869.) One has to assume that Fielding Yost's point-a-minute teams would have harbored some record-producing players, though the game was quite different then, as noted above. So, to be as precise as possible, we should describe all of these records as modern-era, postwar records.
  • Post-1978 records are for Division I-A only. Let me note that all the records here are for Division I-A (FBS), but do include all Division I records prior to the I-A / I-AA split in 1978. I don't really care about who did what in the other divisions, given the inferior level of competition. Personally, I would prefer to eliminate the non-automatically qualifying BCS conferences, but since the NCAA doesn't do that, I won't.
  • Post-1996 overtime and pre-1912 scoring rules skew historical comparisons. The NCAA introduced overtime to I-A football in 1996, and soon after determined that points and yards gained in overtime would count toward NCAA records. Given that teams and players did not have the benefit of overtime prior to 1996, I try wherever possible to exclude overtime stats (or at least give both sets of numbers). The modern convention of TDs worth 6 points (+1 PAT) and FGs worth 3 began in 1912. From 1869 to 1882, touchdowns, extra points, and field goals were all worth one point each. From 1882-1883, TDs were worth 2, PATs 4, and FGs 5; from 1884-1897, TDs 4, PATs 2, FGs 5; from 1898-1903, TDs 5, PATs 1, FGs 5; from 1904-1908, TDs 5, PATs 1, FGs 4; from 1901-1911, TDs 5, PATs 1, FGs 3. The two-point conversion was introduced in 1958. I currently don't have the breakdown of TDs, PATs, and FGs for the Yost teams; if anyone else does, I would be pleased to adjust those numbers accordingly so as to make apples-to-apples comparisons with modern teams. The rules of college football evolved rapidly from 1879 to 1930, making strict comparisons difficult. For example, the goal posts were moved from the goal line to the end line (10 yards back of the goal line) only in 1927, which has a huge impact on field goal kicking, and the width of the uprights has varied significantly over time.

Acknowledgments

Thanks to tf (Michigan rushing single-game record) and danieljpaul (Denard's season totals) for corrections. H/T to tubauberalles and enlightenedbum for tracking down the FBS single-game QB rushing record. Raoul and UM in VA persuaded me to post the total offense numbers, and pointed out Denard's ridiculous per-play stats, which I also added to the diary. Trebor pointed out that we should keep an eye on the impressive seasons of Taylor Martinez and Cam Newton. U of M in TX helped identify a few updating errors. Raoul also suggested putting in the team offense stats. Hillhaus pointed out that I should discuss the pre-1912 scoring conventions.

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly from Purdue

The Good, the Bad and the Ugly from Purdue

Submitted by Indiana Blue on November 14th, 2010 at 1:18 PM

The Good A Win.  take a win anyway you can get it - maybe style points will matter next year.  Defense earned some confidence - critical to making an improvement is believing you are better ... Great job defense.  Finshing the Game - finally taking control at the end.  Seems like we have been leaving the end in doubt until the clock hit zero, but today the offense finished the drive leaving no doubt.   Coaching  -  RR's decision to not play Martin or Mouton.  D didn't need them v. Purdue and Martin hasn't played a full game for at least 3 games.  Fans  - first game I've missed in person since ND ... but at the start I could hear Go .... Blue ... on the TV !    

The Bad  -  the Weather  looked awful on TV.  Hard to maintain blocks, throw or kick (though Purdue didn't have as many issues with kicking).  Coaching -  my only BIG concern here was the end of the half mis-management.  Purdue tried to drive late but failed, it was 4th & 8 from their 38ish with 18 secs. left.  If RR calls time out they have to punt.  It was wet and anything could happen ... like a bad snap, dropped snap, a shanked punt whatever.  At least make Purdue punt ... I wouldn't even put a man back to field it.  But instead, we gave Purdue at last ditch chance (what if we would have been called for pass interference ?) ... even though it failed (and WTF a lateral after the INT ?) ... they should NEVER have had a chance to do anything ... make them punt !   BTN Coverage  -  OMG the worst TV coverage ever.  The camera angle was sooo close that every pass required the camera to follow the ball ... at times you had no idea where the ball was going.  I hate watching on TV, but c'mon BTN you can do much better than that !

The Ugly  -  The Win  -  yeah 5 turnovers again, but it was Good - Ugly as we came away with the W !   Purdue's campus & stadium -  had to throw this in ... the ugliest combo in the B10.

Back to Ann Arbor next week to take on an arrogant Wisconsin team (no excuse to lay 83 on any B10 opponent other than OSU).  I think the team will be ready ... I know the fans will be !!!

Go Blue !

Fanpulse: What Would It Take to Save GERG?

Fanpulse: What Would It Take to Save GERG?

Submitted by ATLWolverine on November 14th, 2010 at 12:30 PM

So I'm not sure if GERG is coaching for his DC life right now or if the defense is actually beginning to gel and show the jump in productivity that a defense fielding 7+ freshman often will given some time together... but either way, the defense has improved pretty significantly over the past two weeks.

While Illinois did put up 65(!), our defense had several key stops and kept us in it despite a very lopsided TO differential; they also ended the game at the end of 3OT. We didn't give up an offensive touchdown (!) (!) (!) this week at Purdue w/o Martin or Mouton, and while yes their offense is in shambles, I recall the same thing being said about PSU, about cockiness regarding UMass, and that Purdue was leading Wisconsin at halftime last week.

I realize Brian among others has totally written off GERG, and I certainly wouldn't say no to Casteel or another elite DC if we had a shot a them. That being said, I wonder if GERG's firing is a foregone conclusion among the fans? Is there anything (reasonably, e.g. not "if we pulled in every 5-star defensive back left on the board due to GERG's recruiting!") that would convince you that GERG deserves a shot at staying at Michigan for another year?

For me, it would take a win at the end of the season featuring good enough defense to let our offense not have to score on every drive, + further signs of our incredibly young D progressing. I'd be neutral on GERG coming back if that were to happen. What about you?

The Game After Indiana Effect

The Game After Indiana Effect

Submitted by DreadPower on November 14th, 2010 at 11:51 AM

This is an interesting trend for the Big 10 teams the game after playing Indiana:

Michigan

Oct 2 @ Indiana-  W 42-35

Oct 9 vs. MSU-  L 17-34 (Michigan was a 3 point favorite)

Ohio State

Oct 9 vs. Indiana- W 38-10

Oct 16 @ Wisconsin- L 18-31 (OSU was a 4 point favorite)

Illinois

Oct 23 vs. Indiana- W 44-13

Oct 30 vs. Purdue- W 44-10

Northwestern

Oct 30 @ Indiana- W 20-17

Nov 6 @ Penn State- L 21-35

Iowa

Nov 6 @ Indiana- W 18-13

Nov 13 @ Northwestern- L 17-21 (Iowa was a 10.5 point favorite)

Wisconsin

Nov 13 vs Indiana- W 83-20

Nov 20 @ Michigan- TBD..

 

OVERALL: Big 10 teams are 1-4 in the game after they play Indiana, with 3 outright losses by favorites in Vegas. You could also say that Big Ten teams are 0-4 in this game against teams that aren't Purdue. This might not mean anything but let's hope it does and it continues.

Progress, Quantified

Progress, Quantified

Submitted by Swayze Howell Sheen on November 14th, 2010 at 11:43 AM

Introduction

Now that we're seriously into the season, I thought it might be time to see how we're doing as compared to last year. Some people around here like tables (called "charts"), but methinks charts are hard to read. In fact, that's why last year I started plotting the Hennegraphs and other related graphical views of data B. Cook has put together.

The Graph

And hence, a graph of some key offensive statistics across the first ten games of the year, for both 2009 and 2010:

Click here for the full-sized graph, which is much easier to read.

The graph plots a number of statistics across each game of the season. On the left are all the number for 2009, and on the right the numbers for 2010. The bottom-most graph shows points scored in each game; the next graph up shows point differential (how many points we scored minus how many points the opposition scored); a similar set of graphs for how many yards our offense accumulated and yard differential (yards gained minus yards given up) are shown above those.

I also took some liberty of moving the 2009 Delaware St. game to before the Big Ten Season so that the comparable games are in the same part of the season.

Analysis

These graphs I believe allow one to make a few observations about how much the team has progressed since last season. And so I do:

  • In 2009, we were outgained in yardage, often significantly, in virtually every game against serious competition (the Big Ten team and Notre Dame). I think it is reasonable to make the case, and the record indeed shows, that we were just a bad Big Ten team.
  • In 2010, there is only one game like this: the MSU game. We have thus made a jump, at least to the middle of the pack, and possible higher (which the next two weeks will play a significant role in determining).
  • In 2009, a number of Big Ten games were quite close despite the yardage differentials. Is this a testimony to the fact that the team is actually pretty tough mentally, never quitting in games even though they were getting pushed around? It is pretty amazing how close the team was to having a pretty good seasonin 2009.
  • In 2010, in many ways our record is worse than our yardage numbers. This has a lot to do with turnovers undoubtedly, and is a great sign for the 2011 season.
  • Your observations go here.

A lot of this is well known and obvious for those who follow the team (i.e. mgoblog fanatics like myself), but I thought the visualization was a nice way to see the differences between 2009 and 2010. Certainly, it can be shown to any idiot who claims we haven't made much progress. 

Enjoy! And please do suggest other items to include on said graphs; it is not hard to scrape the data from the espn box scores.

Congratulations to South Carolina

Congratulations to South Carolina

Submitted by Topher on November 14th, 2010 at 11:34 AM

Michigan had more tradition and success before any of us was born than South Carolina has had up to this second. So I think it's an interesting experiment in perspective to consider their SEC East division-clinching win at the Swamp last night. 

While disclaiming that I'm not a southerner and thus have no dog in the fight, my hat is off to the Gamecocks. What's going on this season is uniquely special to that community - it could be once in a lifetime for them. It feels good to see it; I'm very excited for USC's team and fan base. Whatever happens down the stretch, they'll remember that win last night as one of the great ones in program history.