A Short Illinois MBB Preview.

A Short Illinois MBB Preview.

Submitted by robbyt003 on January 27th, 2013 at 1:44 PM

(15-5, 2-4 Big Ten)

Wins vs Top 100 Opponents

 

Wins (RPI 1-50)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
10 Nov. 21 Butler* 78-61
8 Dec. 8 Gonzaga 85-74
21 Jan. 5 Ohio State 74-55

 

Wins (RPI 51-100)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
76 Dec. 16 Eastern Kentucky 66-53
67 Jan. 22 Nebraska 71-51

Losses

 

Losses (RPI 1-50)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
27 Dec. 22 Missouri* 73-82
11 Jan. 9 Minnesota 67-84
41 Jan. 12 Wisconsin 51-74

 

Losses (RPI 51-100)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
88 Jan. 17 Northwestern 54-68
Losses (RPI 101-150)
RPI DATE OPPONENT SCORE
112 Jan. 2 Purdue 61-68

Starting Five

SO. Tracy Abrams. G .6'1" 185 lbs. 

11.4 PTS. 3.8 REB. 3.0 3PA. 28% 3PT.

SR. D.J. Richardson. G. 6'3" 195 lbs.

11.8 PTS. 4.5 REB. 7.1 3PA. 33% 3PT.

SR. Brandon Paul. G. 6'4" 200 lbs. 

18.0 PTS. 4.8 REB. 6.6 3PA. 34% 3PT.

SR. Sam McLaurin. F. 6'8" 220 lbs. 

3.9 PTS. 3.6 REB. 3,2 FGA, 44% FG.

SO. Nnanna Egwu. C. 6'11" 235 lbs. 

6.3 PTS. 4.6 REB. 1.5 BLK.

Key Bench Players

JR. Joseph Bertrand. G. 6'6" 195 lbs.

22.9 MIN. 8.7 PTS. 4.7 REB.

SR. Tyler Griffey. F. 6'9" 220 lbs. 

22.8 MIN. 7.5 PTS. 3.4 REB.

Key Team Stats (Big Ten Rankings)

The Bad

11th. AST/TO. (.89)

10th. Rebounds per game. (35.4)

10th. Assists per game. (10.9)

8th.   FG %. (43%)

The Good

2nd. FT %. (71%)

2nd. Blocks per game. (4.8)

6th. PTS per game. (72.8)

6th. OFF Rebounds per game. (12.0)

What I make out of all of this

This is a team that lives and dies by the three.  When they were making them early in the year, they were a top ten team nationally.  They have attempted almost 100 more threes than Michigan, but have only made 4 more (they've played 20 games, we've played 19).  It is going to be very important that we don't give them any open looks on the outside.  They get a decent amount of Off Rebounds, but they also have the most FGA in the conference.

Spread  Mich -6

Prediction

Michigan 68, Illinois 61

I think Illinois is going to start off hot, similar to Purdue, and build a decent first half lead on us.  After an inspirational Bacari Alexander half time speech, the defense will shut down Illinois from the perimeter in the second half and Michigan will go on a run.  Illinois won't be able to continue their 3pt shooting success and Michigan will take over the game.

Go Blue!

 

Sunday Afternoon Basketball Open Thread

Sunday Afternoon Basketball Open Thread

Submitted by maizeonblueaction on January 27th, 2013 at 12:53 PM

Didn't see this up yet, so I figured I would take the initiative. Top 25 Matchups are

 

  1. 25 Miami v. FSU
  2. 7 IU v. 13 MSU
  3. 17 Creighton v SIU

and obviously us later at 6:00

 

Obviously, the IU MSU game has the most effect on us, but other games of note include Iowa v. Purdue, and possibly Rutgers v. UConn.

College Basketball 1-26-13 Open Thread

College Basketball 1-26-13 Open Thread

Submitted by aiglick on January 26th, 2013 at 10:50 AM
Lots of ranked teams in action today. Some games of note: Kansas State @ Iowa State 1:45 ET? Minnesota @ Wisconsin 2:00 ET Ohio @ PSU 12:00 High Noon ET North Carolina @ NC State 7:00 ET Bradley @ Wichita State 8:00 ET Northwestern @ Nebraska 3:00 ET Syracuse @ Villanova 11:00 AM ET Maryland @ Duke 1:00 PM ET Oklahoma @ Kansas 4:00 PM ET Temple @ Butler 6:00 PM ET Alla discuss.

Is 2012-2013 THE year for Michigan basketball?

Is 2012-2013 THE year for Michigan basketball?

Submitted by Blazefire on January 26th, 2013 at 1:13 AM

A recurring theme I've heard put forward over the past month or two is that this is THE year for Michigan basketball. Go for broke, because after this year, Burke leaves, THJ leaves, and even Little Dog may leave. Beilein has pulled out the redshirts this year because it is a year to win it all.

I don't disagree that it is a year to win it all for Michigan basketball, and it's worth putting everything into it. However, I'm wondering if it's true that this is THE year. In that spirit, I thought we could take an early look at 2013 Michigan basketball and what the odds are that next year could be "The Year" too.

First off, lets set a prospective depth chart for 2013. This depth chart will assume that we lose the following players for 2013:

Player Reason Position
2013 Lost Players
Matt Vogrich Graduation Guard
Eso Akune Graduation  Guard
Josh Bartelstein Graduation Guard
Blake McLimans Graduation Foreward
Corey Person Graduation Guard
Trey Burke Draft Point Guard
Tim Hardaway Jr Draft Shooting Guard
Glen Robinson III Draft Shooting Foreward

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

That makes our returning curren depth chart as follows:

Player Class Position
2013 Returning Depth
Spike Albrecht Sophomore Point Guard
Mitch McGary Sophomore Center
Nick Stauskas Sophomore Shooting Guard
Jon Horford RS Junior Center
Caris LeVert Sophomore Shooting Guard
Max Bielfeldt RS Sophomore Foreward
Jordan Morgan RS Senior Center

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

To these players, Michigan is adding the following freshmen for 2013 (others may be added, but these are sure things):

Player Position Stars
2014 Recruiting Class
Derrick Walton Point Guard 4
Zak Irvin Foreward 4
Mark Donnal Center 4
Austin Hatch Shooting Guard 3

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ed: No Hatch. He reclassified. Blame Bourbon

This Gives us a 2013 depth chart that looks something like the following:

Position First String Backup Third+
2013 Depth Chart
Point Guard Spike Albrecht Derrick Walton  
Guard Nick Stauskas, Caris Levert    
Foreward Max Bielfeldt Zak Irvin  
Center Mitch McGary Jordan Morgan Jon Horford, Mark Donnal

 

 

 

First of all, lets just come out and say it. That's a damn good depth chart. A little light, but damn good. At any rate, to figure out where we're at for 2013, we should look at lost production and minutes first. Per ESPN:

Player Minutes/Game Points/Game Ast/Game
2013 Lost time/Production
Matt Vogrich 7.7 1.2 0.3
Eso Akune 3.0 1.3 0.4
Josh Bartlestein 2.0 0 0.5
Blake McLimans 2.9 0.9 0.1
Corey Person 1.9 0.9 1.3
Trey Burke 33.7 17.8 7.2
Tim Hardaway Jr. 33.7 16.2 2.6
Glenn Robinson III 32.2 12.1 1.3

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I am going to discount the top five guys in that list because all put together they average less than 18 minutes per game. That's garbage time that you fill with those guys to reduce the chance of injury to your starters and primary backups and so that they get a chance to play.

PG - 33.7 MPG, 17.8 PPG, 7.2 APG

SG - 33.7 MPG, 16.2 PPG, 2.6 APG

F - 32.2 MPG, 12.1 PPG, 1.3 APG

I know that doesn't cover everything these guys are doing for the team, or even close to it. But if similar production can be put up, it can be assumed that production in other areas, defense, rebounding and general intangibles will be close.

The question is, between the improvement of Freshmen to Sophomore players and the addition of high rated freshemen, do we have it? There is no good math for just how players will perform when their minutes skyrocket (Spike?) or how freshmen will perform (Irvin?), because it varies so much. Therefore, I ask you. Do we have it?

John Beilein podcast on Jim Rome Show, Friday, Jan. 25th

John Beilein podcast on Jim Rome Show, Friday, Jan. 25th

Submitted by yossarians tree on January 25th, 2013 at 4:37 PM

The Coach spent about ten minutes visiting with Rome this afternoon. The linked podcast is for all of Hour 2 of Rome's program, but the Beilein visit comes right at the top.

http://jimrome.com/audio/1691-the-jim-rome-show/jim-rome-hour-2-12513/

 

Trey Burke #1 in KenPom POY

Trey Burke #1 in KenPom POY

Submitted by MH20 on January 25th, 2013 at 10:19 AM

After Wednesday's games, Trey Burke took over the #1 spot on Ken Pomeroy's POY ranking system, leaping over Lousville's Russ Smith and Duke's Marshall Mason Plumlee.  Following another solid performance on Thursday, Trey has added to his lead.

 

EDIT:  Didn't realize the kPOY standings were paywalled, my apologies there.  Here is a quick snippet of the top five:

 

1 Trey Burke, Michigan 2.341
2 Russ Smith, Louisville 2.275
3 Mason Plumlee, Duke 2.112
4 Cody Zeller, Indiana 2.009
5 Patric Young, Florida 1.985

 

An explanation of the award can be found below.

 

Updated kPOY explanation

Potential NCAA Tourney M-related storylines

Potential NCAA Tourney M-related storylines

Submitted by Butterfield on January 24th, 2013 at 4:36 PM

Looking at Andy Glockner's (way too early) bracket projection on SI.com (http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/college-basketball/news/20130122/bracket-watch/?sct=uk_t11_a5&sct=hp_t14_a10&eref=sihp ))  ), I was intrigued by the potential 2nd round matchup between #1 seed Michigan and #8 seed San Diego State in a West regional game in Auburn Hills.  If it were to happen, it would represent the first time Steve Fisher faced his former program after his dismissal and be, I'm sure, the main storyline in the media leading up to the game.  Could you imagine the buildup especially since the game would be at the Palace?!?

So that got me to thinking - what are some other potential off-the-court storylines that Michigan may be a part of in this upcoming tourney depending on how the bracket lays out?  Amaker's Crimson could be a potential 1st round matchup if Michigan falls from a #1 came to mind but I'm sure there are more that I'm overlooking.