Springbits offense has a bit of injury news
|WHAT||#5 Michigan (28-6) vs
#137 Montana (26-8)
|WHERE||HomeSure Lending Arena
Des Moines, IA
|LINE||Michigan –17, 93% to win (Kenpom)
Michigan –17.7, 96% to win (Torvik)
Time to shake off the last game and resume Beilein time. Coaches versus expectations in the tournament since 2000:
PAKE = performance against Kenpom expectations. PASE = performance against seed expectations. Michigan has a rather good coach, especially once you adjust for the fact that due to Circumstances Beilein has just 10 appearances in the round of 64 versus 14, 19, 14, and 18 for the other guys on the list. On a per-appearance basis nobody does it like Beilein.
As the man says, LFG.
THE LINEUP CARD
Click for big.
Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country. Minutes are from the last five games except where starred.
|G||0||Ahmaad Rorie||Sr.||6'1, 183||91||22||117||No|
|Will get to the rim some but mostly a shooter. Shooting 54/36 with low TO rate and solid assist rate, doesn't draw FTs.|
|G||34||Michael Oguine||Sr.||6'2, 180||79||22||117||No|
|Slasher with a backup plan. Half his shots at rim, 65% there, few other twos, 35% from three, gets to line.|
|G||21||Timmy Falls||Jr.||6'2, 165||62||16||90||Meh|
|Promoted to starting lineup for last 4; 31 TO rate and shooting 41/33. Yikes.|
|F||35||Sayeed Pridgett||Jr.||6'5 200||82||25||112||Ish|
|Post specialist gets more than half his shots at the rim and converts at 74%, most unassisted. 47% from three but only 38 attempts on year.|
|F||22||Bobby Moorehead||Sr.||6'10, 225||75||11||102||Meh|
|Wing Just A Shooter forced into 20 MPG at C. 31% from deep.|
|G||23||Kendal Manuel||Jr.||6'4, 177||41||22||112||No|
|Not Just A Shooter But Should Be: 43/43 split, meh 17 TO rate. Might be horrible on D if Falls is playing over him?|
|F||1||Donaven Dorsey||Sr.||6'7, 216||22||15||119||No|
|Another Just A Shooter wing playing C. 46% from three though.|
|C||2||Mack Anderson||Fr.||6'9, 202||32||14||98||Yes|
|The usual freshman C who does nothing but dunk and turn the ball over. 1.1 block rate.|
|C||15||Ben Carter||Sr.||6'10, 282||0||17||37||Yes|
|Has seen 1 minute in the last 11 games but I am duty bound to place him on the list.|
[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]