[Bryan Fuller]

1985_villanova_logo.0THE ESSENTIALS

WHAT #25 Michigan (2-0) vs
#6 Villanova (2-0)
WHERE Finneran Pavilion
Philadelphia, PA
WHEN 6:30 PM
LINE Villanova –7 (KenPom)
TV FS1

chance they use the same dang wildcat growl everyone else does: 82%.

THE US

Michigan faces its first test of the 2018-19 season tonight with a true road game in a band-box (the Pavilion is Yost-sized) against the defending national champions… or at least the bits of that team that aren't in the NBA. For Michigan, though, it's more about reassembling an offense in the absence of MAAR, Moe Wagner, and Duncan Robinson.

The parts look like they're there. The shots look like pretty good shots. Michigan's EFG% after two games is 320th. There is a strong probability that's not a thing. Now would be a good time to demonstrate that it's not.

THE LINEUP CARD

Projected starters are in bold. Hover over headers for stat explanations. The "Should I Be Mad If He Hits A Three" methodology: we're mad if a guy who's not good at shooting somehow hits one. Yes, you're still allowed to be unhappy if a proven shooter is left open. It's a free country.

Pos. # Name Yr. Ht./Wt. %Min %Poss ORtg SIBMIHHAT
G 5 Phil Booth Sr. 6'3, 194 75 23 151 No
Sixth man last year shot 53/38 on 18% usage with close to 1:1 A:TO. Did little in title game. X can probably lock him down.
G 24 Joe Cremo Sr. 6'4, 191 54 16 137 No
Albany grad transfer was go to guy; projects as Just A Shooter at high-major level. 46% last year.
G 2 Collin Gillespie So. 6'3, 183 54 17 153 No
So will hope to expand game after a Just A Shooter FR year where he hit 39% from deep. Major assist rate uptick against early season tomato cans. Still taking 2/3rds of his shots from behind the line.
F 15 Saddiq Bey Fr. 6'8 220 54 17 151 No
Composite #138 freshman is 4/6 from line, 2, and 3 so far this year.
F 25 Eric Paschall Sr. 6'8, 255 58 30 134 No
Stretch five was deadly from 3 last year after 1/27 start. 1/5 this year. Usage increase from 18 to 30 unsustainable. Did little in title game.
F 23 Jermaine Samuels So. 6'7, 220 51 23 105 No
4 MPG last year. 3/9 from 3 this year, ton of blocks against low-majors. #46 composite croot in 2017.
G 2 Jahvon Quinerly Fr. 6'1", 17 41 19 64 Maybe?
Composite 5* was #29 recruit last year. Early struggles: 43 TO rate, 2.9 from three.
C 2 Dhamir Cosby-Roundtree So. 6'9, 226 45 13 134 Yes!
Traditional-ish post player will allow comfy Teske matchups for his time on the floor.

 

[Hit THE JUMP for the rest of the preview.]

yall be testing the sideline against this man? [Patrick Barron]

image-6_thumb_thumb5_thumb_thumb_thu[1]SPONSOR NOTE: Reminder that Matt is hanging out at the Charity Tailgate at 327 East Hoover (if you were at the preseason MGoEvents this year and last it's the same place). It's right next to the train tracks on Hoover. The band goes right by it on their way to the stadium, which is cool. Say hi.

When not tailgating Matt is also a person who will get you a mortgage right quick from the comfort of your own home.

FORMATION NOTES: A couple of hints at packages Michigan has either kept under wraps or can't quite get right. There was a snap that looked like a 3-4 with Winovich and Uche as the OLBs and a three man front. There was a bit of a run-out for the 3-3-5 Brown clearly wants to have available as a changeup but can't get working against most opponents because Michigan doesn't really have the personnel for it.

But mostly just the same stuff, with maybe more of a zone approach…

image

two-high == usually zone for M

…since Rutgers was attacking the edges constantly. A cover two corner is a good antidote for that.

SUBSTITUTION NOTES: Just 54 snaps, and 15 of them were in garbage time. During the brief time the D had the starters on the field it was Gary, Winovich, Kemp, and Mone. Marshall rotated through for a dozen or so snaps. Solomon was left home with an illness. Paye didn't get much time; he was limited to the rush package mostly and left with a minor injury in the third Q.

Mostly the usual at LB, with Bush and Hudson near omnipresent as Ross and Gil rotated. Jordan Anthony got in for the last drive. Uche was limited to ~10 snaps; Furbush and Glasgow got about that many, mostly late.

In secondary, Hawkins replaced Metellus. Hill was knocked out relatively early, leaving Watson and Long to get the lion's share of CB snaps. Ambry Thomas got 20 or so snaps; J'Marick Woods and Vincent Gray got in late.

FWIW, the final drive saw all manner of guys get on the field. M traveled a selection of deep bench walk-ons, because Rutgers.

[After THE JUMP: a gameplan to lose slowly]

Fairfield tight end and Michigan commit Erick All
[David Nasternak]

Previously: Hello post

One of the earliest games David filmed this season took him to Centerville, Ohio, which definitely sounds like either the town where all of Norman Rockwell’s imaginary subjects lived or the setting of a show on the CW. On this night its high school hosted 2019 TE commit Erick All and his Fairfield squad, and this is where the entertainment analogies die. Even Centerville’s mascot, the Elk, sounds idyllic, but Fairfield squashed them, 49-21. The downside to running roughshod over the opponent was Fairfield’s lack of passing, particularly their lack of targets of All. He did run enough routes to get a good feel for his athleticism, but more important to both Fairfield’s outcome and our scouting purposes was his blocking in the run game. Anyone who has watched with more than passing interest this season has seen the importance of blocking when Michigan lines their tight ends up as H-backs, and this tape allows us to extrapolate and get a feel for how All might fit in that role.

[After THE JUMP: every-snap film and scouting]

Shea Patterson and Jim Harbaugh have worked well this season

Shea Patterson, Lawrence Marshall and Jared Wangler talk to the media

MSU didn't vet Auston Robertson at all. Stadium should have vetted their latest Zach Smith expose better. 

How Rutgers did it

The frontcourt

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