somehow we're only 124th
- Member for
- 3 years 27 weeks
- View recent blog entries
- Nebraska 9-19
- Penn State 5-15
- Wisconsin 6-19
- Michigan 2-21
- North Dakota St. 22, Montana 10
- North Dakota St. 24, Weber St. 7
- Illinois St. 59, Eastern Washington 46
- Northern Iowa 46, Northern Colorado 7
- South Dakota St. 44, Cal Poly 18
- South Dakota St. 26, Southern Utah 6
- Missouri St. 38, North Dakota 0
- Montana 28, South Dakota 0
- South Dakota 28, Northern Arizona 21
- Hoke was supposedly being considered for the Oregon State job.
- We now know that, for whatever reason, Oregon State is higher on the coaching totem pole than Wisconsin.
- Alvarez wants a head coach who will commit to a power running game. And while their defense was excellent on passing downs it hasn't be so great in short-yardage situations and their d-line could maybe use some shoring-up.
- James Stallons, Wisconsin
- David Cone, Michigan
- Marcel Jones, Minnesota
- Jacob Charest, Illinois
- Trevor Siemian, Northwestern
- Jake Rudock, Iowa
- Michigan -10000
- NJIT +1800
|22 hours 56 min ago||It seems to me...||
...that the single most important question on Harbaugh's mind, or anyone else that's thinking of taking the job, is probably this: what's broken there? and is it getting fixed? Am I walking into a toxic situation or is the AD change resolving the problems?
And nobody can speak to that more directly and openly than Hoke. It would shock me if they haven't spoken, and I wouldn't expect Hoke to be anything other than candid--which probably helps, unless it really is still a toxic situation in which case we've got bigger issues to solve than finding a head coach.
|23 hours 10 min ago||Isn't it more likely...||
...that Harbaugh would call Hoke? "Yo, Brady, what's really going on over there?"
He has a very relevant perspective, shared by no one else, and unlike pretty much every other insider he might contact Hoke isn't conflicted by an employment relationship and isn't personally invested in the search for his replacement.
|23 hours 23 min ago||Wasn't marketing taken from||
Wasn't marketing taken from Lochmann and given to her a couple of weeks ago? That would have been an odd move if she were about to be let go.
|1 day 15 hours ago||Because some weak ND teams||
Because some weak ND teams were ranked when we played them? '09 ND was #18 in the poll when we played them but I think we know better, in retrospect, than to call that a top-25 win.
In the Pelini era, against teams that finished in the top-25 (Massey):
The only Massey top-25 teams Michigan has beaten since 2008 were 2012 Northwestern (#21) and 2010 Notre Dame (#23). The other three ND teams had all dropped out by the end of the year.
It's not that easy to win more than 1/3 of your games against true top-25 opposition--look at Wisconsin, who won three B1G championships during that stretch. Alabama does better. Oregon, OSU. But those aren't Nebraska's peers now, are they?
|3 days 20 hours ago||And you went to the||
And you went to the restaurant just so you could watch them fight?
|3 days 20 hours ago||Why is it laughable?||
It was a common refrain from scouts and draft pundits--there was a whole lot of "adequate" and "just average" and "maybe good enough" in describing his arm strength. He has to hurl his entire body into the throw, which means he has to have a clean pocket or be on the move. He had a clean pocket every throw on his pro day; he won't have that luxury on the field.
I was already worried about it coming in, but it's a bigger problem than I thought. Every throw from the pocket today was floated--the only balls with any zip he'd gotten out of the pocket and was running forward when he threw.
|3 days 21 hours ago||Ultimately...||
...the problem is arm strength.
If he just needed to learn to stay in the pocket, that'd be one thing. But he doesn't have the arm to stand in the pocket and deliver a ball downfield. If he doesn't have the extra juice from running towards the receiver the ball takes forever to get there and in the NFL that means there's a good chance it's getting picked.
I don't see how that's ever going to change.
|3 days 22 hours ago||I'm not kidding.||
I've been watching football for about 50 years, and I'm not prone to hyperbole.
This is the worst NFL performance I've ever seen, and it isn't close. He gets happy feet immediately, starts running around in circles in the pocket, then throws high and late over the middle (and those are the successful plays).
I hear people comparing it to RG3--I guess because they both run--but Griffin has an arm. To get enough velocity to even have a chance of completing something downfield Manziel has to be sprinting towards the LOS. I don't know how anyone can think this could possibly work.
|3 days 23 hours ago||Browns/Bengals||
If you're not watching the game, you see the stats and assume Manziel isn't playing well, I can tell you...it's much, much worse than anything you're imagining.
|4 days 3 hours ago||The MVC is a dinkier conference?||
The top four FCS teams at Massey are all in the MVC; they've got seven schools ahead of the Big Sky's #2 and they've got nine of the top 20.
They've got two semifinalists; the Big Sky is shut out.
And here are all the head-to-head matchups this year:
That's 8-1 for the Dinkies, by an average score of 32-16.
|6 days 17 hours ago||Somebody had a craving.||
Only reason I can think of to go to Shreveport:
|1 week 4 hours ago||Since 2008, when Michigan started creeping out of the stone age||
Wisconsin is 38-18 in B1G play, with three championships.
Michigan is 24-32 in B1G play.
|1 week 4 hours ago||That's an izhitsa.||
Basically a Slavonic "y".
|1 week 17 hours ago||Yes, that would be why OSU>Wisconsin as a coaching job.||
The next guy will have to deal with that too, which limits the universe of available coaches somewhat.
|1 week 17 hours ago||Big 8 Nebraska||
This was addressed here a year ago. Since joining the B1G Nebraska's been trying to recruit within the conference footprint.
What's interesting is that the B1G footprint was also where they did most of their non-local (meaning not Nebraska or the Dakotas) recruiting in Big 8 days. 64 of the 88 players on their '71 NC team were from what is now the Big Ten; more than half of their non-local recruits were from what is now the Big Ten. 6 were from Illinois, 5 were from Michigan. They also recruited heavily in California and Arizona; they only had one player from Texas.
They had six first-team all-Americans. Three were local--Larry Jacobson from South Dakota won the Outland Trophy, RB Jeff Kinney and WR/PR Johnny Rodgers were from Nebraska. Quarterback Jerry Tagge was from Wisconsin; DE Willie Harper was from Ohio; NT Rich Glover was from New Jersey.
|1 week 17 hours ago||Thinking this through.||
You don't suppose....
|1 week 1 day ago||I don't understand the argument.||
Why should Michigan care about "perception? The people that matter--prospective coaches, their agents--know how coaching searches work. They aren't going to be confused by a supposed Cutcliffe rejection and they aren't getting their information from Mike and Mike.
|1 week 2 days ago||How many short chubby||
How many short chubby walk-ons play QB at any FBS program?
Lindley was a 3-star whose only other offer, according to Rivals, was from Idaho (UTEP, Utah and Fresno also showed interest). I'm looking for B1G equivalents we'd be familiar with and here are the QBs with the most similar recruiting ratings:
That's his peer set.
None of those guys were ever #6 in the country in YPA.
And Lindley fell off the charts in 2011, after Hoke and Borges left. That 9.1 YPA dropped to 7.1. We saw him in Ann Arbor and he wasn't particularly good...which, frankly, was already my impression when I saw him in 2010. His numbers were generated by the system just like so many Air Raid QB's. And like so many of them, it got him drafted.(It's a different system of course, so he piled up YPA instead of YPG.)
To credit Borges's success in 2010 to Lindley, who was having the only good year he ever had in his career, college or pro, is more than a little odd. You can make a case for Hillman, who's genuinely talented...but then you have to recognize that this was the staff that recognized and recruited him (he didn't have much of an offer sheet either). You can maybe make a case for Vincent Brown. But Lindley?
|1 week 2 days ago||I think there might be some confusion here.||
Gruden's agent also represents Charlie Weis.
And there's no way we've gotten this deep into a coaching search without reaching out to Charlie Weis.
|1 week 2 days ago||The words "Bliss" and "Baylor"...||
...should NEVER appear side-by-side.
Talk about rubbing salt in a wound....
|1 week 2 days ago||The "school historic" records||
The "school historic" records at BSU and SDSU were largely compiled in lower divisions. How are SDSU's three small-college national titles relevant to evaluating a coach's record in FBS? Why, if you're determining a baseline, would you care what they did when they were competing in the Southern California Junior College Conference?
In the 30 seasons prior to Hoke taking over, SDSU had a record of 154-191-6. To me that's a lot more relevant than Don Coryell winning 40 years ago in D2 with all-Juco teams, or C.E. Peterson's conference championships as a Juco team.
|1 week 2 days ago||This was more unlikely than App State.||
The money line for Saturday was
I don't think there was a money line on the App State game but the spread as I recall was around 25-27 points. Historically, underdogs at those spreads win about 4% of the time, a bigger percentage than is implied by the NJIT money line.
|1 week 2 days ago||So when Brian said Sam is credible...||
...was that credible? or incredible?
|1 week 2 days ago||The last guy to leave here||
The last guy to leave here had gone 8-21 against power 5 schools, and the press conference at his next stop went just fine.
I think the national perception, maybe not at ESPN but among football people, is that it's the Michigan program that's dysfunctional, not the coaches. Older members of their fanbase will remember Hoke and they won't have any problem selling the hire if that's the direction they go.
|1 week 2 days ago||I'm not sure what to tell you||
I'm not sure what to tell you about Mark Richt but this might help with your second problem:
Enjoy the hops.
|1 week 2 days ago||Dropped to #37 at kenpom,||
Dropped to #37 at kenpom, too, #8 in the B1G.
|1 week 3 days ago||Whoever tells you want you want to hear...||
...that's who you should trust.
|1 week 3 days ago||Hillman was a Hoke recruit.||
He was a freshman in Hoke's second season.
And Lindley is "in the NFL" as an emergency third--string QB because Carson Palmer is hurt. His career NFL stats to date include 0 TDs, 7 INTs and a QB rating of 46; I'll be surprised if he ever plays another meaningful down.
He was drafted largely on the basis of his success with Hoke/Borges; he's been poor since they left.
|1 week 3 days ago||Would Borges come back to||
Would Borges come back to work with him again? He's a West Coast guy, started his college career in Portland, seems too young to be ready to retire, and knows Hoke will let him do his thing without interfering.
|1 week 3 days ago||A decade of Michigan YPA.||
Borges's years in red.