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    national champs baby

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    Patrick Hruby is doing God's work.

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    first comment: "EVERY ATHLETE HAS ASPIRATIONS OF WINNING AND WE HAVE OUR FAVORITES BUT IT IS ALWAYS A PLEASURE TO OTHER STUDENTS ACHIEVE THEIR GOALS, TOO!"

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    I am only motivated by people who have no opinion about me.

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    the just released schedules were a flat-out statement that the B10 doesn't believe SOS will matter in playoff selection

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    but I thought that draft was supposed to be incredibly loaded?

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wile_e8

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Date Title Body
2 weeks 1 day ago Even if he's a Florida grad,

Even if he's a Florida grad, can he complain if you donate $79.59?

2 weeks 2 days ago The biggest reason these

The biggest reason these divisions had to go: the MSU game this year is about 100x more important to Michigan's Rose Bowl chances than the OSU game. If Michigan loses that game, they are going to need MSU to lose two more games than them on the remaining B1G schedule, which isn't going to happen given MSU's schedule. Thankfully division realignment is on the way.

2 weeks 3 days ago #jptta

#jptta

2 weeks 3 days ago I think an even better

I think an even better example is Ohio St. Their NCAA violations with Jim O'Brien weren't as notorious because Boban Savović didn't lead a team with all freshmen starters to the Final Four, but they still fired their coach and had postseason ineligibility sanctions due to players receiving pay and academic fraud. But they barely missed a beat because they hired Thad Matta instead of Brian Ellerbe.

3 weeks 2 hours ago I never said it has no

I never said it has no predictive value, I said it wasn't a prediction. There is a difference which you keep ignoring. Saying a team is 60% likely to win *does* has predictive value and can be useful stat to use while making predictions. Especially useful for situations like determining which tourney upsets picks are more or less likely than their seeding would indicate, or seeing if Vegas has odds on a game particularly out of line with a team's likelihood of winning. But while going to Vegas and only betting in situations where the book is giving even odds but KenPom gives 60% win probability would be a winning strategy in the long run, you're going to lose a few bets along the way.

3 weeks 17 hours ago You have no clue how

KenYou have no clue how probabilities work, as has been evident by every time you rag on KenPom. There is no "right" or "wrong" probability based on one single event, just seeing if a multitude of outcomes eventually approach the expected percentage. For example, if I say the probability of rolling a 1-5 on a 6-sided die is 83.3%, I'm not "wrong" if the result of the next roll is a 6. However, if I roll the die 100 times, I would expect the result to be 1-5 close to 83 times, and even larger sample sizes getting closer to 83.3% as variance lowers. As this applies to KenPom, when he says Florida is 21% likely to win the tournament, it doesn't mean he was wrong if they don't win, it just means this roll came up with less probable result. Unfortunately, we can't run the tournament 100 times to see if Florida wins approximately 21 times, but KenPom does check his season game results to make sure predictions at each percentage are right the appropriate amount of the time (I can't find the blog post where he said that, but it's on his site somewhere).

KenPom did not predict anything. He just gave the win probabilities of every team,  with Florida having the highest probability but being much less probable than all the other teams combined. If you were dumb enough to assume highest win probability is the same as a prediction, that's a problem with you, not KenPom. 

3 weeks 1 day ago Not really. He said Florida

Not really. He said Florida was the most likely of any team, at 21.0%, but that still means he thought it was a lot more likely that someone besides Florida would win it. He had Louisville at 20.2%.

He even put up a blog post for critics that couldn't tell the difference between "Florida is most likely" and "I predict Florida will win".

4 weeks 2 days ago I was going to try and help

I was going to try and help Brian out here, but I was disappointed in the lack of hat recipes online. Best I could find was from the Owosso Argus in 1952(!): http://news.google.com/newspapers?nid=1978&dat=19520709&id=JmkiAAAAIBAJ&sjid=jqoFAAAAIBAJ&pg=2985,4854037

If anyone else with superior googling skills can find any better hat recipes feel free to pass them on.

4 weeks 2 days ago Was this rant really worthy

Was this rant really worthy of it's own thread instead of joining the daily Tigers thread?

4 weeks 4 days ago I'm assuming the seats won't

I'm assuming the seats won't be a complete free-for-all, but seats given out as you show up. From the actual release:

More details on this new GENERAL ADMISSION policy and procedure will be shared prior to the season (note: seating groups no longer apply during the ticket order process as you will simply enter the stadium together).

This sounds like what it was like when I went to a couple games in the MSU student section ten years ago. A few entrance gates were specifically assigned to students, and the students would use those gates to exchange blank GA tickets for tickets with assigned seats on them. The earlier you showed up the better seats you were assigned, and anyone wanting to sit together just had to show up to the gates together. Everyone had a spot for the game, no diapers, no shoving, no losing the group. I thought it was a lot nicer the Michigan seating policy because early arrivers got the best seats and it was easy to get groups to sit together.

And FYI for anyone whining about getting terrible seats if you aren't waiting in line: one of those MSU games I went to was the game against Michigan, which was by far the biggest game of the year for them. We heard about students lining up ahead of time, but left our tailgate less than and hour before kickoff and still had pretty good seats. It will still be possible to do all the usual social stuff before the game and get decent seats without camping out for hours (unless you are desparate for the front row, but you can't have everything in life).

4 weeks 4 days ago I'm thinking general

I'm thinking general admission and higher tickets prices might cut out quite a bit of the 5,000+ no shows. Why? Because the type of person that no shows football games is even less likely to buy tickets if they cost a lot and they get terrible seats when they show up late. Then those tickets can be sold to non-students that will actually go to the games. There will be fewer obvious gaps in the student section if it takes fewer students to fill it up.

4 weeks 5 days ago When you are in charge of an

When you are in charge of an organization that expects to be around for longer than ten-fifteen years (and I hpoe the B1G does), making a decision that will only help for ten-fifteen years is the definition of short term thinking. I will bet an MGoPoint that the B1G outlasts the "rapidly-fading cable model". At which point Maryland and Rutgers will still be demanding an equal share of media revenue despite having tiny fanbases that bring in smaller amounts of that media revenue. What benefit do they provide once non-fans in their states aren't sending a portion of their cable bills to the BTN?

4 weeks 5 days ago One question for you law

One question for you law talker types on this one though: This release makes it sound like the Grant of Rights was unanimous, while IIRC Maryland voted against the $50M buyout but lost the majority vote. Does that make a difference if anyone tries to challenge this in the courts?

5 weeks 1 day ago But don't you need a lot of

But don't you need a lot of guys with high individual rankings to have the #1 class as a whole?

5 weeks 3 days ago It's improved when teams stop

It's improved when teams stop fouling him every drive because they know it'll get 25 free throws instead of four free throws and ten off balance shots/passes.

5 weeks 5 days ago My poin is that even more

My poin is that even more security to protect the huge lines is just goint to lead to more huge lines waiting to get through that layer of security. How are we going to protect them, even more security?

Your last part is getting at the main point of my first post though. Since we'll never be able to completely stop something like this, adding even more security accomplishes nothing but taking away personal freedom for security theater. Which is why is bothers me to see people jumping on something like this as an excuse to add even more security when we're never going to be secure until we've given all our freedom away.

5 weeks 5 days ago So I say "Even more security

So I say "Even more security isn't a solution" and you propose to fix that by... even more security?

5 weeks 5 days ago That wouldn't actually solve

That wouldn't actually solve anything. Sure, attacks on the actual sporting event would be less likely, but then the huge lines at security become easy targets. "Even more security" isn't a solution to something that can't be stopped.

6 weeks 6 hours ago Turning off Adblock Plus

Turning off Adblock Plus fixed that for me.

 

Anyone have the Android app working? It has a banner saying with "Spring Football" and a picture of Michigan, but no working link.

6 weeks 3 days ago I agree, but a lot of it has

I agree, but a lot of it has to do with the situations. Michigan won the B1G last year and has had a stigma attached to the program ever since that the Ed Martin scandal, while Indiana didn't seem to get nearly as much of a stigma as they went through their violations and ensuing down period. Getting back to the Final Four and erasing the last of those "Not since the Fab Five" anchors was a lot more important to Michigan than another B1G banner, while Indiana's long term future is probably helped the most by standing along on top of the B1G reminding everyone they are blue blood program.

6 weeks 4 days ago   - No more Final Four and

 

- No more Final Four and Big Ten draughts.

 

Thanks god. It will be so nice to be in the running for banners in the future without every TV commentator needing to mention how long it has been since they've won a banner.

7 weeks 4 hours ago I disagree with you here.

I disagree with you here. First of all, it isn't a whole lot of time and money invested. Setting up a Twitter account - quick and free. Drawing the handle on the field - quick and cheap. Having some student tweet out updates during games and relevant news outside of games - relatively cheap, only a minor distraction from other duties. So it is very little time and money invested.

The return could be great though. As you mentioned, not many people away from the game will see the handle. However, the people at the game will, and will be much more likely to tweet about the game because of it. That should lead to people away from the game hearing about it from those at the game. How many of those people will be more likely to go once they hear people they know tweeting about it? Who knows, but it's certainly more than if no one was tweeting about it.

For an operation as small as Michigan Baseball advertising, this is a can't miss opportunity. Very cheap investment, fans not on the payroll do most of the work, and traditional methods of advertising with the same reach cost orders of magnitude more. What's to lose?

7 weeks 2 days ago Do you know if the great

Do you know if the great MGoDrupal Migration will include a mobile web site module? Nothing against your great work here, but it seems like displaying a mobile-friendly version of the web site would be 100x easier than trying to copy all the functionality to apps for different platforms.

7 weeks 3 days ago Watch a replay of that
  1. Watch a replay of that shot
  2. Watch a replay of that shot
  3. Watch a replay of that shot
  4. Watch a replay of that shot
  5. Watch a replay of that shot
  6. Watch a replay of that shot
  7. Watch a replay of that shot
  8. Watch a replay of that shot
  9. Watch a replay of that shot
  10. Watch a replay of that shot
  11. Watch a replay of that shot
  12. Go to 1
7 weeks 3 days ago And now the president

And now the president contradicts what Pernetti said:

There appears to be a significant contradiction between the Rutgers presdient and AD Tim Pernetti. A quick post: nj.com/rutgersbasketb…

— Steve Politi (@StevePoliti) April 3, 2013

Confirmation from President Barchi's office: He did not review the Rice video until yesterday. Waiting for an explanation from Pernetti.

— Steve Politi (@StevePoliti) April 3, 2013

So if this means Pernetti lied to the media, it's really not looking good for him

7 weeks 3 days ago Cover up - they knew about

Cover up - they knew about these videos back when he was suspended and tried to hide the reason for his suspension until the videos came out. Spin control - once the videos came out they initially tried to defend the decision to keep him instead of firing him. It was only after 24 hours of outrage made it clear what they should have done in the first place did they actually do it. It shouldn't take a national media flogging to make the AD say "Maybe we shouldn't keep a coach that throws basketballs at players heads."

7 weeks 3 days ago Way to make the correct

Way to make the correct decision after the coverup and spin control fails.

7 weeks 3 days ago (No subject)

8 weeks 4 days ago I tried using a make-you-own

I tried using a make-you-own filter with my Keurig, but it just sort of ruined the point of having a Keurig. Keurigs are nice for quickly and conveniently having a cup of coffee. If you are going to bother with grinding coffee and cleaning filters afterward, might as well just make up a regular pot of coffee. Bonus: less grit in the bottom. Sure, the filter will save you some money, but if you're looking to save money on coffee you probably should be skipping the Keurig entirely.

PS: Nice analysis

9 weeks 1 day ago Oops, forgot when the lost to

Oops, forgot when the lost to 'Cuse. Either way, KenPom was a lot closer in the end than any of the crtiics that caused him to write this post about Wisconsin.

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